This
website contains subjects I covered in my seminars (done within the context of
a company) with the yellow buttons on the bottom what I used as a foundation
for my older seminars between 1997-2007.
Copyright
by Eric Vandenbroeck
For your own comments about related subjects,
you can contact me via: ericvandenbroeck1959@gmail.com
5 Febr. 2019: Spring
Festival
27 Jan. 2019:
Currently at the Sundance Festival for 9
days, yesterday I was able to see the full current version of the Cold Case
Hammarskjöld production, whereby it is remarkable (tipped off at the time by
the Hammarskjöld Foundation) how much the
basic scenario still is like the one I commented on in August 2016 and as it appears to me only the filming of
certain scenes were not done yet at the time. Why the mystery of Hammarskjöld murder might soon be
solved.
12 Jan. 2019:
In an investment, spree reminiscent of the golden years of 'big science' in
post-war America, and venturing into relatively new
fields some in the West now feel threatened by China’s advances in science. Unveiling China's big science.
3 Jan. 2019:
A New Year’s Day editorial in China’s official military newspaper told its
readers that “war preparations” should be a top priority for the year. The
following day, President Xi Jinping offered a forceful reminder that Beijing
considers Taiwan its most likely focus on conflict. Is China planning to take Taiwan by force?
30 Dec. 2019: Encompassing 65 countries with a
combined gross domestic product of US$23 trillion and a total population of 4.4
billion, the belt and road strategy was introduced as a way
to advance China’s political interests abroad, but is it viable? Many
projects also have drawn criticism for being overvalued or disconnected to the
development needs of the host countries, thus China’s grand ambition
furthermore may not necessarily be a road to riches for its partners. Thus has China's new Silk Belt
and Road failed? Updated
15 Feb. 2019
26. Dec. 2018: While there are many good things about
China, and while there are also some concerns, the one issue that has remained
under-researched is: China's
ticking time-bomb. Updated 4 Jan. 2019
20. Dec. 2018: Crossing into N. China today:
16. Dec. 2018: Arrived in Shanghai this morning:
14. Dec. 2018: As someone who works with information a
lot, I am aware that there are many tendencies in both the context and how we
think that can lead us astray and distort our view of the world. But is there
something we can do about it? I’ve
started with points more related to how we think as individuals, moving through
to more society-wide actions: Here
are eight ways how we can form more accurate views of the world.
12 Dec. 2018: Tree cover map of the world. This helps
to answer a few geographic questions: Why do Australians live on the eastern
seaboard, why do we divide Africa into "North" and "Sub-Saharan",
why isn't Brazil's interior settled?
10 Dec. 2018: Belgium’s Africa Museum, once seen as Europe’s
last unreconstructed museum of the colonial era has just reopened. One of the present day Congolese contributors Mpane
says he initially had doubts about taking part, despite reassurances that
proper context would be provided for the colonial statues. "But when I
started to dig a bit deeper into it, I realized we're really talking about our
history and we must try to make sense of it. If we don't take part in it, who
is going to do it?" Belgium’s
Africa Museum Had a Racist Image. Can It Change That?
8 Dec. 2018: This was an explosive week for the Russia
probe as the special counsel signals interest in wrapping up at least some of
his most high-profile efforts with a sentencing memo's involving Michael Flynn,
Michael Cohen, and Paul Manafort. Why the Robert Mueller endgame is starting now.
28 Nov. 2018: Two
days ago marked a decade since Pakistan-based
terrorists killed over 160 people in India’s financial capital of Mumbai. The
city remained under siege for days, and security forces disjointedly struggled
to improvise a response. The 10th
anniversary of an assault that raised fears of war with Pakistan and why in the
end it was about Kashmir.
21 Nov. 2018: Air pollution reduces average life
expectancy by 2 years:
19 Nov. 2018: While it has been suggested that Robert
Mueller is looking at multi-state collusion, not just a bipolar collusion involving
Russia, and why the Khashoggi case might receive even more traction going
forward. Robert Mueller and Saudi Arabia.
17 Nov. 2018: In a 23 August interview with CNN
famous Watergate reporter Dan Rader said that if you think the Michael Cohen
guilty plea and Manafort's conviction was a shock then "stay tuned."
The former news anchor said other things Mueller is working on will make
yesterday "pale by comparison." All indications are that after a long
period of silence during the close of the midterm campaign, Mueller is about to
do something big, or a series of somethings. What Robert Mueller Knows.
15 Nov. 2018: While the previous graphic about the
First World War shows that most lives were lost on the battlefields throughout
East and Western Europe, the role of the war in shaping and creating the
state-system of the modern Middle East merits much more than an afterthought.
The Ottoman Empire and the Allied Powers signed an armistice on October 30,
1918, which was supposed to end hostilities, even before the armistice in Europe
was signed. But the wars in the Middle East didn’t stop with the armistice. Why World War I was pivotal to the creation of the modern
Middle East.
12 Nov. 2018: World War I became known as the war to end all wars
due to how deadly it was to those who went into combat. The advent of mustard
gas and chlorine gas along with trench warfare, made the casualties rate much
higher than previous conflicts. A
complete timeline of what happened.
10 Nov. 2018:
Tomorrow will mark the passing of 100 years since the end of World War
I. In 1918, on “the 11th hour of the 11th day of the 11th month,” on a train (of
which the above-pictured one with Macron and Merkle is a replica) in a forest
near the French city of Compiègne the armistice was
signed. I did do extensive research on the days that followed the armistice and
will place that on a later date. My presentation of the following research,
however, refers to some of the less known aspects of another centennial. The
Kristallnacht of 9/10 November 1938: Hitler's Bolshevism and the myth of the Jewish Conspiracy.
5 Nov. 2018: Mapping the world’s urban population,
on the left the year 2018 on the right 2050.
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2 June 2018: Revisiting India's Harappan civilization
including new answers as to where the Indo-European languages came from,
enter:
5 June 2018: When
history was first taking shape as a university discipline in the nineteenth century,
elite young men were fed a diet of Greek and Roman history. Thus there was the misuse of antiquity and the Holy Roman
Empire, Nationalism, and today Presentism. Towards a future of historical
approach, enter:
10 June 2018: About Hard health data, waste, and how a proper google
search might help you.
Major Case Study 17 June 2018: Analyses of what is currently happening
in the world, including economically, going forward the next few months: North and South Korea, China, Russia, the US, Iran,
Mexico, India, Central and South America, Turkey, and so on. 20 June 2018: British Imperial Agents invade Russia P.1:
July 16-17 will mark the centennial of the death of Nicholas II and his
family. Placing this in its larger context of British intelligence and its intend to control Russia economically, here the lesser known aspects surrounding the
events of 1918. 23 June 2018: British Imperial Agents invade Russia
P.2: The British Banking scheme to control Russia's
economy and the Allied intervention. |
1 July 2018: Artificial intelligence: The question about current medical
efficiency and that of digital authoritarianism versus liberal democracies. 18 July 2018: Murder and Conspiracy in Tsarist Russia:
Because today I will be leaving for on a lecture and seminar tour in China, I
will not be able to post much on this website for a while. But considering
that a recent two-part article detailing a plan to save the Tsar and his
family plus the British Banking scheme to control Russia's economy and the Allied
intervention, has drawn such a large readership I will add a third part
expanding on the previous two including: From Rasputin to little known aspects of Nicholas's II
abdication and the situation in Russia.
2 Aug. 2018: Today arrived in Guangzhou China, (pictured
below), tomorrow flight for transit in Beijing which will end my current
visit to China. And in two days will post an article about Shantung the
Versailles Treaty and the Manchurian episode (one of my topics here in China)
which in a way broke the League of Nations.
4 Aug. 2018: As I pointed out on 20 Jan. 2017, the League of
Nations ratified the Treaty of Versailles of which I detailed what exactly it
entailed. Today, nearing the centennial of the Versailles Peace Conference,
now some lesser known details. Shantung the Versailles Treaty and the Manchurian
episode.
13 Aug. 2018: Having previously taken occasional note as this
matter unfolded, following a meeting with a number of
experts, I am now putting all the dots together. The Trump/Russia investigation what can be
said today. |
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24 Dec. 2017: The last few days have been awash with a media avalanche about the
fact that the Congress, a decade ago quietly set up a multimillion-dollar
program to investigate what are popularly known as unidentified flying
objects, UFOs. Why the initiative might rather be reeking of
desperation. 27 Dec.
2017: Conflicting scholarship
on the issue of the Rohingya in Myanmar, revisiting the Four Cuts Strategy,
and China.
What next with Myanmar and its Chinese influence. Plus update 2 February. 30 Dec. 2017: With the
conflict in Syria slowing down the conflict in Yemen
seems anything but over.
2 Jan. 2018: It would be somewhat ironic if Iran, in
its most strategically advantageous position in the Middle East since 2010,
when it was expected it would press its advantage in the region in the year
ahead is forced to put its ambitions aside to deal with unrest at home. What to make of the Iran protests?
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5 Jan. 2017: The upcoming talks in Seoul have brought up the question if a US
limited strike strategy against N.Korea
is now on or off the table, whereby the question few are asking is in
reference to China. From bloody nose attack to nonmilitary options? Plus update 18 January. 9 Jan. 2017: While the end of Northern Song and the beginning of Southern Song
Dynasty is considered a high point of Chinese innovation in science and
technology, it is also where we will discover, lay the roots of Chinese
Nationalism or the idea Han cosmopolitanism. The East Asian
World Order. 14 Jan. 2017: The emergence of China's population as
a monocultural and monoethnic people. The concept of Han Chinese.
18 Jan. 2018: A Chinese
nuclear attack submarine surfaced near Japan northwest of the disputed Senkaku
Islands and hoisted the Chinese flag this while it is also reported that
China builds up a new presence near the Doklam
disputed border with India.To better understand it
is important to know about the post-1989 Chinese patriotism and belief that a
strong China reclaiming its core interests in Asia should be compatible with
a China engaging in the liberal international order at the global level. China's New Nationalism. 12 May 2018: Currently still working my way through the
Pacific region this is (showing the more industrialized areas versus the
others) what it looks like by night:
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28 Dec. 2016: Other subjects I have covered in the recent past are Russia, Europe,
Brexit, South Asia, the USA, South China Sea debacle, and so on. A look at other developments going forward
in 2017.
Above a map of
Syrian refugee flows. 20 Jan. 2017: On 10 January 1920, the League of Nations ratified the Treaty of
Versailles, officially ending World War I with Germany. Much has been written
about the treaty which concluded the First World War, its competing and
sometimes conflicting goals. And as we shall see it also was the beginning of
a long propaganda exercise to discredit the victors. P.1 Reparations and the famous Article 231. 1 Febr. 2017: Weimar politics and the reception of the Versailles Peace Treaty. The conspiracy theory that gave rise to
Hitler:
6 Febr. 2017: Given its
centennial this year no doubt we will see a lot of renewed discussions about
the insurrection by Lenin and those that were willing to fight with him to
overthrow the Provisional Government. But the most important event that
followed no doubt where the complex situations that ensued when the Russian
Empire fell apart. First, some unanswered questions about the event that
brought the Civil War to the Russian heartland. Captives of the Russian Civil
War P.1: Why and how
the Czech Legion conquered the Siberian railway. 12 Febr. 2017: After the 1917
Bolshevist insurrection the Russian Empire also stood at Germany’s mercy. But
it was signing the diktat peace treaty of Brest-Litovsk that largely
determined the actual fighting in 1918. Captives of the Russian Civil War
P.2: The
Counterrevolution and the Anatomy of Allied Intervention. 20 Febr. 2017: One of the most
serious threats to the Bolsheviks came from the would-be Russian government
controlled, in Samara and Ufa provinces. And when the latter issued a formal
invitation for the Allies to intervene militarily in Russia’s civil war. The
United States and Japan promptly signed an agreement on proposed troop
deployments to Siberia. Captives of the Russian Civil War P.3: The rise and fall of Komuch’s
People’s Army. 28 Febr. 2017: Just as in
February 1917, in Petrograd, nobody had got the revolution they wanted, by
end 1918 nobody got the counter-revolution they wanted. Thus
the emergence of Kolchak as supreme ruler. When the Allies started to pull
back the Red Army stormed into Ufa pushing the Whites back to the Ural
Mountains. However, Trotsky’s heightened focus on the eastern front did open up room for Denikin's
Volunteer Army in the south. While by not pursuing Yudenich
into Estonia, Trotsky had levered Britain into a policy of accommodation.
Captives of the Russian Civil War P.4: From White resurgence to the Anglo-Soviet
Trade Agreement. 12 March 2017: The increased risk of war in Korea. Will the U.S. accept a
nuclear N.Korea or
intervene P.1.
25 May 2017: Since early on 23 May, the media have been abuzz about the incendiary
statements about Iran and Israel posted on Qatar’s state-run news agency
(that authorities blamed on hackers) sparked a regional dispute Wednesday,
with the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia blocking Qatari media
including Al-Jazeera. The series of disputes of which this is just the latest
spat, as we shall see, go back some years. Except for this time around things
are set to become much worse. Case
Study: Qatar's master strategy or opportunism? 6 June 2017: Gulf plunged into diplomatic crisis as Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the
U.A.E. and Egypt broke diplomatic relations and cut all land sea and air
contacts with Qatar requesting Qatari citizens to leave. Two longtime rivals battle by proxy and
why this crisis will get worse. 11 July 2017: While the current US President's visit to Poland and Nationalists
speech a few days ago was largely symbolic, Polish commentators didn't miss
the fact that Trump mentioned the 1919/20 armed
conflict led by General
Pilsudski including the fact that it was due to President Wilson that Poland
received its independence. The following investigation, however, will dispell the myth that instead of being negotiated with or
arbitrated by the League of Nations the new Polish border,
in reality, were being determined by brute force because the
provisions of the Paris Peace Conference were unenforceable. Signed the same
day as the main Treaty of Versailles was signed, this article will also make
mention of the Polish Minority Treaty or "Little Treaty of
Versailles" as it is known. Woodrow Wilson, Versailles, and the making
of Eastern Europe. |
26 July 2017: In context what is an almost forgotten war, China yesterday warned
India it is willing to defend territory “at all costs,” and it should not
harbor any “unrealistic illusions” over a border dispute that threatens to
boil over into an open conflict. Will the Standoff Lead to a Second
India-China War? With Update 29 Aug. 2017
9 Aug.2017: Military officials for the first time
leaked information about a specific plan for a preemptive strike on North
Korea. The USA "ready to fight tonight"
claim.
12 Aug. 2017: Today I arrived per intercontinental flight in Vienna where I will do
archival research at Vienna's Haus-, Hof- und Staatsarchiv.
Above, to overcome jet lag (picture taken during) a walk near the Nikolaitor in Vienna. After my visit to China 10-15 Dec.,
I then will fly to London where I will do my final research for this year. 2 Oct. 2017: Following Christopher Clark's bestseller, The
Sleepwalkers about the origins of WWI (where Clark revived the revisionist
argument of the 1930's) a new discussion has ensued about who and what
started the First World War of which the consequences are very much present
today. A major topic, including in Clark's book which devotes a quarter of
his book to Serbia which he depicts as the real cause. Having embarked on a
detailed investigation, we now present a nine-part investigation with new
answers that help us understand why so many historians got it wrong. The almost First World War P.1. 6 Oct. 2017: The almost First World War P.2. 10 Oct. 2017: The almost First World War P.3. 15 Oct. 2017: Leading up the First World War P.4. 20 Oct. 2017: Leading up to
the First World War P.5. 24 Oct. 2017: How the First World War started P.6. 27 Oct. 2017: How the First
World War started P.7. 30 Oct. 2017: How the First World War started P.8. 1 Nov. 2017: How the First World War started P.9. 2 Nov. 2017: Today marks the centenary of the Balfour Declaration, a 67-word
letter from Britain's then foreign secretary Arthur Balfour that threw
London's backing behind a homeland for the Jewish people in Palestine. And
while many demands that the UK government apologize for it, overlooked is the
fact that the statement would not have been made without prior approval from
the other Allied powers including the Vatican and a jostling with the USA. A Somewhat Hidden History of the Balfour Declaration. 8 Nov. 2017: Over the weekend,
Mohammad bin Salman purged his potential rivals to impose a centralized
system that can confront what is perceived as the Iranian threat. Why Tehran Is Winning the War for Control
of the Middle East.
15 Nov. 2017: The following came as part of a discussion with a former student
when he asked me about the Bobrinskoy Orthodox
Order of Saint John (OOSJ) and the alleged "The Sovereign Hospitaller Order of Saint John of Jerusalem Knights of
Malta" thus opening up what for me is a new
research topic. Self-styled Knights Of
Today. 19 Nov. 2017: Where the previous part
described the phenomenon of self-styled Knightly orders of St John or of
Malta, most of these orders claim to be continuations of various alleged
offshoots of what now appears to be a non-existing Russian Orthodox priory.
Case Study: Malta and the Russian Usurpation. 27 Nov. 2017: In the following
historical investigation it has become clear that the original SMOM Order
indeed continued unabated and that the Order's continuing sovereign status
was not forfeited through the loss of Malta. The
appointment of a new Grand Master. 2 Dec. 2017: Contested as some of the following developments initially where they
also contain some intrigue. The foundations of the National Associations of
the Order in England and Germany. 7 Dec. 2017: Following an earlier remark about Festing
at the end of the discussion here, there is in fact a historical precedent in the form of an even more
severe dispute that more significantly gave rise to a vacancy in the Grand
Mastership from 1951 to 1962(which Roger Peyrefitte's
famous novel wrongfully attributed to a grain deal). Vatican's
opposition to the Order of Malta. |
9 Dec. 2017: While the UN security
council is to meet in order to discuss the US decision to Jerusalem as Israel's
capital, here an analysis of the Jerusalem problem and the two-state solution
option. Jerusalem Unveiled.
Arrived today per
intercontinental flight in Vienna where I will do research about the origins of
the First World War. Above, to overcome jet lag (picture taken during) a walk
near the Nikolaitor in Vienna. I hope to place the
results of my investigation on this website in the course of October 2017.
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23 Dec. 2016: While there is no
clear resolution in sight when it comes to settling the Israeli and Palestinian
dispute, including the governments that offer the Palestinian Authority
political and financial support, are loath to risk their relationship with
Israel by advocating the creation of a Palestinian state, another conference
is about to take place. Paris Peace Conference redux 15 Jan.2017:
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25 Dec. 2016: The Syrian civil war and the Middle East
going forward.
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20 Dec. 2016: From Versailles to
the Making of the Modern Middle East P.8: British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and
the Syria crisis today.
14 Dec. 2016: Sykes-Picot granted Britain the right to administer Syria after it
captured the Levant from the Ottomans in 1918.In 1919, London conceded at the
Paris Peace Conference both Levantine entities to France that moved quickly
and, aware of Hashemite progress, settled on creating Greater Lebanon.From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.7: The unresolved
sectarian issue in Lebanon today.
8 Dec. 2016: The profound
effects of the British Empire’s actions in the Arab World during the First
World War can be seen echoing through the history of the 20th century. From
Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.6: The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’,
and the British.
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In recent months a number of Arab States, like for example Amman, have celebrated the centennial of the 'Arab Revolt' 1916-2016.
20 Oct. 2016: Soon I will be
posting a series of three research articles about the Balfour Declaration and
several more about the Versailles Treaty and the Making of the Modern Middle
East, whereby first here an introductory: During the First World War, British
strategy for the Middle East was aimed at protecting India, which meant keeping
India’s numerous Muslim subjects tranquil. Initially, this gained Whitehall’s
support, as it feared foreign troops in the Muslim Holy Land would make the
followers of Hussein, the Sharif of Mecca, Emir of the Hejaz and potential
British ally, oppose him. From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.1: The
‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle
East.
24 Oct. 2016: Mark Sykes returned
to England where, almost immediately, he was thrust into negotiations with M.
Charles François Georges-Picot, French counselor in London and former French
consul general in Beirut, to try to harmonize Anglo-French interests in
‘Turkey-in-Asia’. Picot on the other hand had ‘expressed complete incredulity
as to the projected Arab kingdom, said that the Sheikh had no big Arab chiefs
with him, that the Arabs were incapable of combining, and that the whole scheme
was visionary.' From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.2: The Arab question and the ‘shocking document’ that shaped the Middle
East.
26 Oct. 2016: The rebellion
sparked by the Hussein-McMahon correspondence; the Sykes-Picot agreement; and
memoranda such as the Balfour Declaration (to be dealt with in detail) all have
shaped the Middle East into forms which would have been unrecognizable to the
diplomats of the 19th century.From Versailles to the
Making of the modern Middle East P.3: The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It.
29 Oct. 2016: French rivalry in
the Hijaz; the British attempt to get the French government to recognize
Britain’s predominance on the Arabian Peninsula; the conflict between King Hussein
and Ibn Sa’ud, the Sultan of Najd; the British
handling of the French desire to take part in the administration of Palestine;
as well as the ways in which the British authorities, in London and on the
spot, tried to manage French, Syrian, Zionist and Hashemite ambitions regarding
Syria and Palestine.From Versailles to the Making of
the modern Middle East P.4: The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question.
6 Nov. 2016: The British authorities
in Cairo, Baghdad, and London steadily lost their grip on the continuing and
deepening rivalry between Hussein and Ibn Sa’ud, in particular regarding the possession of the desert town of
Khurma. British warnings of dire consequences if the
protagonists did not hold back and settle their differences peacefully had
little or no effect. All the while the British wanted to abolish the Sykes–
Picot agreement. From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.5: The Syrian question.
16 Nov. 2016: This is the most
important and longest part. Following, a gripping account of the swashbuckling
during the Paris Peace Conference deliberations including the Arab/Syrian, the
King-Crane Commission, impasses and some breakthrough at the end. From
Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.6: The Paris Peace Conference deliberations.
25 Nov. 2016: One of the most
far-reaching outcomes of the First World War was the creation of Palestine,
initially under Britain as the Mandatory, out of an ill-defined area of the
southern Syrian boundary of the Ottoman Empire. Considering this, on 16 Nov.
2016, the British Parliament debated the Balfour Declaration and how its
upcoming 2017 Centennial should be handled. Yet even professionals are often
not familiar with the details surrounding the Balfour Declaration, thus here a
detailed investigation. The true
history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1.
28 Nov.2016: Showing the topic
is of ongoing relevance, following the British Parliament last week, tomorrow a
discussion about the Balfour Declaration is to take place in the House of
Commons. My analysis, however, is wholly independent of pro or contra stance
and instead focuses on discovering the historical details that have been left
out in recent discussions. The true
history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2.
2 Dec. 2016: Apart from the
strategic consideration that they needed Palestine for the imperial defense of
India, the decision by the War Cabinet to authorized foreign secretary Balfour
to make a declaration of sympathy with Zionist aspirations in November 1917,
one could ad, was also a curious blend of sentiment (the romantic notion of the
Jews returning to their ancient lands after 1,800 years of exile) and anti-
Antisemitism (world Jewry was a force that could vitally influence the outcome
of the war) also led them to this decision.
The true
history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3.
29 November 2016
discussion about the Balfour Declaration at the British Houses of Parliament.
5 Dec. 2016: As we have seen, in
the end, the idea was to use President Wilson’s recognition of the Balkan
nations’ right to self-determination – namely, freedom from Ottoman rule – to
overcome his opposition to the implementation of this same policy in the Middle
East. By supporting Zionist aspirations in Palestine, the Lloyd George
Government thus strove to compel Wilson to expand his policy regarding the
'small nations' from the European regions of the Ottoman Empire to its Asian
territories. The true history of the Balfour Declaration
and its implementations P.4.
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6 June 2016: While a Brexit
vote is very much possible, the leading voting reason is for Britain to quit
the EU in order to curb immigration. But not only would there be the grave
economic implications when the UK leaves, the Brexit campaign and the rise of
Europe's populist right have also dented Turkish hopes of ever joining the
EU. What will happen after
Brexit:
17 June 2016: The Islamic State
has lost grip on more than 10% of territory in six months, following is what
is still there:
25 June 2016: "Whe're out", well sort of. The Implications and Germany's nightmare:
10 July 2016: In the wake of the
more than a 100 people that were arrested in Baton Rouge, Louisiana today,
one photo has stood out:
With a situation where five police officers were shot at in Dallas,
the picture, of course, should not miss the complexity of the situation. 11 July 2016: The new British
prime minister will lead a divided parliament and a divided country. The next steps of Theresa May. 12 July 2016: The Hague Tribunal Decides China has "no historic rights" in
South China Sea: An international tribunal ruled that China’s claim to
historic rights in most of the South China Sea has no legal basis, dealing a
severe setback to Beijing that the U.S. fears could intensify Chinese efforts
to establish its control by force. Continue…
13 July 2016: Boris is back, and could be a risky pick. Today’s
cabinet appointments sends a clear signal however.
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16 July 2016: The failed attempt by military factions to overthrow the elected
government could be viewed as a victory for democracy. But it also reflects
the increasing political polarization, repression of dissent, and fear for
the country’s security that have emerged under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. Turkey’s
new Sultanate.
20 July 2016: WikiLeaks releases 300 thousand internal emails from Erdoğan's AKP - through to July 7, 2016 plus 500,000
documents from in the wake of the failed coup. Crackdown in Turkey targeted
over 58,000 people. Greek Air force confirms Erdogan was not chased by
fighter jets during coup. Turkey's
government fears second coup:
24 July 2016: Today British Intel published in the print edition of Focus Magazine
shows Turkey knew in advance about coup plus Conclusion about what is really happening
in Turkey.
1 Aug. 2016: Like Aleppo, Putin gave Chechen people of Grozny a chance to leave.
Then destruction began. the Syrian Civil War is now in a critical stage. The make or break battle currently underway,
rebels appear to be losing.
29 July 2016: Up to 1 million people could be forced to flee their homes in Iraq
soon as fighting intensifies in a government offensive to retake Mosul from
Islamic State militants, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
said, plus 'growing evidence' Russia is using cluster bombs in Syria. And
then today we have Aleppo. FM denounces "cynical game" of
Syrian regime and rebuked Moscow. 6 Aug. 2016: Battle for Aleppo intensifies as rebels around 5 am this morning
entered the Ramouseh Artillery Base, and a few hours later, the Islamic Front said the
siege of east Aleppo has been broken. Who are the rebels and how will Assad and
Russia respond.
11 Aug 2016: Russia announces war games after accusing Ukraine of terrorist plot: Concerns Russia could use the alleged plot in
Crimea to justify more military incursions into the Ukraine. 14 Aug 2016: Rebels in Aleppo trying to advance after broken the siege of Aleppo, question is for how long. 22 Aug
2016: Investigating the
dead of Hammarskjöld in the Congo. Mads Brügger "Cold Case Hammarskjöld" and the making
of the Operation Celeste myth, plus not a myth: Head of UN, Ban Ki-moon, seeks to appoint
investigator for fatal crash of Dag Hammarskjöld.
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27 August 2016: It is not without
historical irony that the centenary of the Great War was accompanied by civil
war in Syria and Iraq, revolution in Egypt, and violent clashes between Jews
and Arabs over the Palestinian question, as if to offer proof that many of the
issues raised but not solved by the First World War and its immediate aftermath
are still with us today. Investigating
the never-ending Great War.
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24 Aug 2016: As suggested
by me earlier Turkish tanks and jets backed by planes from a U.S.-led coalition
launched an offensive into Syria today. President Erdogan said the operation
was targeting both Islamic State and the Kurdish PYD party. As I suggested on
25 May, the effect of the operation will be to preserve a corridor between
Turkey and ISIS. Turkey told the Kurdish YPG that when they do not move back
east across the Euphrates River within a week that Turkish troops will drive
them back by force. International
rivalry and the battle for Syria.
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10 Sept. 2016: The Hajj, Muslim worshipers at the Grand Mosque in Mecca: What two million people are about to do here.
28 Sept. 2016: Did Aleppo's Grozny moment arrive? If there was ever any hope of salvaging the
latest cease-fire in Syria, there isn't anymore. |
24 June 2016: Yesterday we were
on transit in N.Thailand
where we visited among others “the White Temple” near Chiang Rai:
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24 May 2015: In what appeared to be an
act of defiance Greece's defense minister recently threatens to send migrants
including jihadists to Western Europe. And while this would be problematic, my opinion is that Greece will turn around and agree to
yield about austerity. Greece
expected to strike a deal with the EU.
9 Aug. 2015: Fighting in Syria seen problematic for Damascus while
exit strategy for Assad under discussion. 21 Aug. 2015: The Weather as influenced by El Nino going forward. 26 Aug. 2015: From Chinese yuan adjustment to the fall of world
markets; the lesson to learn. 23 Sept. 2015: Why the Islamic State
represents a new and more dangerous evolution in the development of violent
extremism and demonstrate its deep roots in Islamic history (click on image):
Online tool reveals terrorist networks and behavior over
time. 20 Nov. 2015: In the last few weeks, Islamic State has carried out massacres in
Baghdad, Ankara, and south Beirut, and downed a Russian plane with 224
passengers. It has taunted survivors with threats of future attacks as if its
deepest wish were to provoke violent retaliation. Paris and the end times of ISIS: 21 Nov. 2015: The Paris debacle has also put the “long united long divided” Belgium
back in the limelight. Belgium powers have been highly decentralized to try
to prevent the country from breaking apart. Why this complicates the reaction to the
Paris attacks: On the left smog in Delhi, India. On the right
smog in Beijing, China.
26 Nov. 2015: In a few days world leaders will gather in
Paris for a grand conference on climate change, the 21st such get-together
since the United Nations began to grapple with the issue. A torrent of
pronouncements and promises has already issued forth—from Pope Francis, Xi
Jinping, Barack Obama and many others. Here is a blueprint as to how to approach the
problems: 28 Nov. 2015:
Russia's sanctions might increase: Why Turkey shot down the Russian Jet.
12 Dec. 2015: Three days ago I arrived in Myanmar P.1: I look at why despite the
NLD's sweeping win, public doubts linger about the military's government role
given its record of political intervention and lucrative network of
businesses that could be impacted by future policy shifts. I also look at the
background of the so called peace agreement and why
the fighting in Myanmar continues. Discovering the background from where today’s
Myanmar evolved. |
17 Dec. 2015: Myanmar P.2: A lot of the current fighting is taking
place in the area around Hpakant, not surprising
one of the leading jade-producing zones. Plus
concern NLD goes the way of AFPFL in the parliamentary era of the 1950s. To Myitkyina
and Kachin State.
19 Dec. 2015: Myanmar P.3 ethnic
cleansing in Sittwe: Among others the 969 movement
(by some seen as influenced by the psywar department) and how intolerance
threatens Myanmar’s nascent transition to a more open, democratic state. Two
kinds of Monks. On the left rural
market, on the right walking through Shan State
23 Dec. 2015: Traveling through
Myanmar P.4 Shan State: Even after having signed a ceasefire, the Burmese
military continued to attack the Burma Army and the Shan State Progress
Party/Shan State Army-North areas. Ethnic rebels in the north of Burma, such
as the Kachin Independence Army (KLA) and the Ta’ang
National Liberation Army (TNLA), have accused the Burmese government of
actively participating in the drug trade, whilst at the same time claiming to
be cracking down on it. The
Challenge of Unity in a Divided Country. 27 Dec. 2015: Traveling through Myanmar P.5: If the Kachin have suffered the most
at the hands of the Burmans in recent years, it is the Karen who have fought
them for the longest. Past the Golden Rock to Karen (Kayin) State. 30 Dec. 2015: Traveling through Myanmar P.6: Moulmein, Orwell,
Kipling, the Mon, including revisiting the bizarre insurgency of two teenage
boys. Mawlamyine and beyond. 24 Feb 2016: South China Sea: Risks of a clash caused by China’s
paramilitary ships that could bring U.S. forces to bear in defense of U.S.
allies. 10 April 2016: What is commonly known as the 'Russian Civil War' was, in fact, a
whole series of overlapping and mutually reinforcing conflicts. The second First World War. 17 April 2016: After another incident just before in the Baltic Sea, currently the
news is abuzz with reckless behavior by Russia vis a vis a US plane: We tell you why it happened. 6 May 2016: Aung San Suu Kyi Asks U.S. Not to Refer to ‘Rohingya’: Myanmar update. 16 May 2016: Does the Middle East Need New Borders? 18 May
2016: Although there
are limits to these weapons' effectiveness, N. Korea would counter strike
using its considerable artillery, rocket and missile arsenal. Continue… 25 May 2016: As the fighting intensifies in southern Turkey and northern Syria,
various Kurdish factions are becoming significantly more important. How close is ISIS to defeat, and will Turkey
invade Syria? |
I attended the Honolulu
Festival 7-8 March 2015 with underneath
some of the photos I took:
29 Jan. 2015: Russian Aristocrats, Putin, and European
extreme right wing parties.
1 Jan. 2015: The EU unable to solve its
fundamental problem, unlikely that the Russian Federation will survive in its
current form, why instability in the Arab world is to continue, the problem for
China. The world going forward:
|
6 July 2013: With the approach of the centenary of the
outbreak of the Great War, attention will focus again on the ‘origin’ of the
First World War. Following is the
story of an unnecessary tragedy - one that can be understood only by
retracing the steps taken by those who went down the road to war. Almost
every day it seemed possible that the crisis could be settled as so many had
been over the previous decade; almost every day there was a new suggestion
that gave statesmen hope that war could be avoided without abandoning vital
interests. With each passing day, we
see how the personalities of leading figures such as Kaiser Wilhelm II, the
Emperor Franz Joseph, Tsar Nicholas II, Sir Edward Grey, and Raymond Poincaré were central to the unfolding crisis, how their
hopes and fears intersected as events unfolded, and how each new decision
produced a response that complicated or escalated matters to the point where
they became almost impossible to contain. A new investigation why the First World War broke out.
7 July 2013: Dissecting the events in Sean
McMeekin's book; The
Real Russian Origins of the First World War. 1March 2014: Enter the Unfolding Crises in Europe and the
Ukraine/Crimea:
2 March 2014:
Resurgence or is
Russia Doomed? Continue:
|
4 March 2014: Thailand and the Political and Economic Volatility in
Important Markets.
6 March 2014: Intelligence
scoop of what is happening with the Ukraine and the standoff between Russia
the US and Europe:
9 March 2014: Had Israel lost its war of
independence in 1948, its territory would have been divided among the
invading Arab forces. And as a recent article argues the name Palestine would
have vanished into the dustbin of history. After the war, the Arab states
continued to manipulate the Palestinian national cause to their ends. The Palestinians' Real Enemies. 16 March 2014: Case
Study: The ‘decline of the West’ and a look behind
Putin’s new Eurasianism. 4 Dec. 2014: Putin’s speech: The main question now is whether Russia will push back
with what power it has left or find a way to compromise with this shifting
worldview.
|
30 Nov. 2014:
Venezuela’s international reserves declined $1.3 billion following
declining oil price. The
worsening situation will make 2015 a crucial year for Venezuela:
26 Nov. 2014: While al Qaeda might have longed to
take control of a significant nation-state, it primarily remained a sparse, if
widespread, terrorist organization. It held no significant territory
permanently; it was a movement, not a place. But the Islamic State, as its name
suggests, is different. It sees itself as the kernel from which a transnational
Islamic state should grow, and it has established itself in Syria and Iraq as a
geographical entity. The
Future of the Islamic State:
|
14 Oct. 2012: Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb: The Intervention Force in Mali. 24 Nov. 2012: The contradictory web that fuels conflicts in
the Middle East.. 30 Nov. 2012: Background of the crises in Egypt: Consequences for the balance of power between the
Brotherhood and the military.
27 Nov., 2012: Background of the crises in Egypt: Protesters Storm Muslim Brotherhood Offices. 5 Dec. 2012: The USS Eisenhower, an
American aircraft carrier that holds eight fighter bomber squadrons and 8,000
men, arrived at the Syrian coast today in the midst of
a heavy storm, indicating US preparation for a potential ground intervention.
Why Assad Won’t Use Chemical
Weapons, yet why we should still be worried. 7 Dec. 2012: Background of the crises
in Egypt: What next with Egypt and Syria
to Jordan. 10 Dec. 2012: Why the War in Syria will not end with the removal of
the al Assad regime. 13 Dec. 2012: Will the European Crises soon be over? 20 Dec. 2012: Suitable for Christmas and New
Year, the below are just a few of the more than 100 titles about ‘positive
thinking’ published this month. Plus then there is
‘The Power of Negative Thinking’ by Bob Knight. The Secret of Positive Thinking, Self Help books
and Happiness.
|
24 Dec. 2012: Of importance to China,
the question of the next Dalai Lama is political, not spiritual. The future Dalai Lama: 28 Dec. 2012: Apart from ‘positive
thinking’ no other new religious movement coming from the USA has received so
much attention as Scientology. Here a complete expose including an update
about the signposts for reincarnated Scientologists who come from outer space
plus 'could Belgium Bring Down Scientology?' and a review of Going Clear:
Scientology, Hollywood & The Prison of Belief. Enter Scientology:
29 Dec. 2012: Myanmar army jets
yesterday fired on positions near the Kachin Capital:
China/US, 2013 projection for Myanmar/ Burma. 30 Dec. 2012: What next with Syria,
Lebanon, Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia:
The Arab World in Transition
2013. 31 Dec. 2012: Two of the subjects
that will become of increased importance the next months are Europe and the
Middle East once more, today: The
fate of Europe in 2013. 17 Jan. 2013: Al Quaeda
and the Algerian hostage crises plus: Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Morocco, Lybia,
Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Senegal. 18 Jan. 2013: French colonial policy redux or a new chance?: The
Next Phase of the Mali Intervention. 20 Jan. 2013: Algerian hostage crises
is over: When will Future Attacks take
place. 22 Jan. 2013: Long-term conflict
brewing in the Middle East: The
Sunni-Shia struggle. 1 July 2013: Countdown Egypt: Why Egypt's Mursi
will either resign or be sacked on 3 July. 26 Aug. 2013: Obama’s Syria and What the Confrontation Will Look
Like: |
23 Nov. 2013: China creates air defense zone over
Japan-controlled islands. As Japan and China increase air activity around the
disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands in the East China Sea, the United States is
steadily increasing its active involvement to reassure Tokyo and send a warning
to Beijing. But Beijing may seek an opportunity to challenge U.S. primacy in
what China considers its territorial waters. Continue:
17 Nov. 2012: Iran and the Gaza Offensive: Why the
Iranian connection will complicate the situation.
|
17 Sept. 2012: China: "For The
Respect Of The Motherland, We Must Go To War With Japan." History as a political weapon:
21 Sept. 2012: The past ten days Salafi led unrest in reaction
to an anti-Islamic video spread through the Muslim world. Here a look at who
is behind it: The Salafist Resurgence. 1 Oct. 2012: Forecast for Asia, Europe, Sub-Saharan
Africa, Former Soviet Union,Middle East/North
Africa, South Asia, Latin America. 15 Oct. 2012: The Start of Europe’s fragmentation.
20 Oct. 2012: Lebanon on a knife-edge: With Turkey moving
warplanes to the Syrian border,US troops on standby
in Jordan, the new tensions in Lebanon today are widening the influence of
the Syrian civil war to neighbouring countries; Background forms the rebel Free Syrian Army
supply lines in Lebanon.
|
24 Oct. 2012: The insurgency in Thailand: Multiple Dilemmas.
27 Oct. 2012: Satellite pictures show hundreds of buildings
by Muslim Rohingya are destroyed in the coastal town of Kyaukpyu
alone. Myanmar's Shame:
30 Oct. 2012: Lebanon and what next with Syria: Charting the course of future events.
7 Nov 2012: Upcoming turmoil in Asia? 16 Nov. 2012: The
Gaza offensive: Egyptian-Israeli relations, other groups than
Hamas, wider relevance or importance. |
29 Dec. 2011: Iran threatens to block Strait of Hormuz oil
route, yet why
they will not. (with
Iran's Nuclear Sites map).
22 Dec. 2011: Why the European crisis has been
solved (for a while).
6 Nov. 2011: Military
steps up plans for Iran attack?
27 Oct. 2011: Europe’s Crises Worsening.
21 Oct. 2011: The financial crisis Europe faces it
has not wanted to admit even exists (with graphs).
3 Oct. 2011: Geopolitical Imperatives of Greece and
Consequences of the Coming Default:
31 Aug. 2011: Three days that
rocked the world: The
Qaddafi libel against Gorbachev and the last days of the Soviet Union
Enter: Arab Spring 2011
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23 Jan. 2008:
According to the Dictionary of Gnosis & Western Esotericism, 2005, p.
1049: "Because of the nature of its worldview, Scientology can be seen
as belonging within the domain of Western esotericism" (the latter topic
I covered in a seminar in 2001 see update
here:) Now, following the recent book by Andrew
Morton, “Tom Cruise: An Unauthorized Biography” Case Study (updated July 2008): Scientology Unveiled. 18 July 2008: Proceeding
from Thomas Craughwell’s recent description in “How
the Barbarian Invasions Shaped the Modern World” I trace the Huns to their
Mongol related origin in what is now China, and how close they came to taking
Rome: Continue... 22 July 2008: The following three books focus on the time
when Turkish troops under Mustafa Kemal (aka Ataturk) took Smyrna. However,
they also present an introduction to the larger context of the events in
question. As we will next see, some of these issues still play al role in Turkish
bid for EU membership, today:
7 Aug. 2008:
France has rejected Rwandan
claims accusing French officials of playing an active role in the Rwandan
genocide of 1994. But what are the real facts? Case
Study: The French Rwanda File: 14 Aug. 2008: Case Study: Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle
East. 28 Aug. 2008: Communal violence is
continuing in the Indian state of Orissa, and since this has been going
on for some time
we investigated: Why Orissa 5 Sept. 2008: While ‘Science
of the Apocalypse’ drew a law suit demanding that the U.S. halt
construction, The Telegraph today reports LHG Scientists get "end
of the world" death threats. Apocalypse: The History of an Idea.
Why some people believe the Large Hadron Collider
cause the end of the world. 6 Sept. 2008:
Today Turkey's President Abdullah Gul has made a landmark visit to Armenia.
Due to Turkey’s denial
of an Armenian genocide, normally such contact would take place. In fact,
it is only recently that also Germany’s historical role in the Armenian drama
is emerging.
And one reason Germany was so complacent in the matter might have been because
Wilhelm II hatched a plan where Turkey would be colonized by Germans. Case Study: 8 Sept. 2008: Last week a new High-tech tool for unmasking
counterfeit wine was unveiled. Yet it was hard to be sure whether a wine was
fraudulent or not-- when even definitions of what “wine” was were not clear. Hence we researched: The Secret
Wine Report. 19 Sept. 2008: While a recent book "Alexander Dugin and Extreme Right Networks" claimed
neo-Eurasian involvement with the secret services, following a mention by
Newsweek and Der
Spiegel, the CSM now asks if Alexandr Dugin is really the new sage of the Kremlin. Russian Eurasianism: A New
Ideology of Empire? 13 Sept. 2008: Chinese Yellow Turban
rebellion, Celestial and Terrestrial Spirits, Taiping Rebellion, Boxer Uprising,
Falun Gong. Case Study: The Politics of Qigong. 14 Sept. 2008: Five bomb blasts leave 21 people dead in New Delhi. Attacks claimed
by "Indian Mujahadeen"
like recent attacks in Ahmedabad and Jaipur.
Media reports said 10 people had been arrested. 17 Sept. 2008: Having carefully
watched last night’s ABC special “UFOs: Seeing is Believing” we continue
with: Investigating,
UFOs Seeing is Believing. 24 Sept. 2008: Millenarian Bolshevism and Nazism, Russia's
New Map, Analyses of Abimael Guzman’s Shining Path, The Paranoia of Pol Pot's
Communism, the Globalization of Genocide, Mongolia and East Germany, Cuba and
Bulgaria, Romania and North Korea, Eastern Germany and Soviet Central Asia,
Bin Laden's conspirational paranoid, Radical Islam,
the Caliphate and Iraq. Apocalyptic
Politics During the 20st Century and Beyond. |
28 Sept. 2008: From New Thought to Self Improvement Books:
29 Sept. 2008: The Politically Incorrect Guide to
Psychology and Psychiatry:
4 Oct. 2008: Three recent books
“Healing, Hype, or Harm?: A Critical Analysis of
Complementary or Alternative Medicine”, “Suckers: How Alternative Medicine
Makes Fools of Us All" and “Trick or Treatment: The Undeniable Facts
about Alternative Medicine” do not only critique alternative medicine, but
tells us also a lot about its history. We investigated further: Alternative Medicine in Context.
5 Oct. 2008: But while regulations
regarding alternative therapies are now being considered, it might be time to
do the same with mainstream medicine today. For example, when do new
treatments stop being experimental? We all have a tendency
to think that "newer is better" and "more is
better" when it comes to medical care. We want to believe the marketing
and media hype that describes many modest scientific steps as
"lifesaving new technology." Case
Study: Medical
Advancements to the Test. 14 Oct. 2008: Where today
saw the end of a Khmer Rouge trial, early
2009 will see the high level trial of chief interrogator Kaing Guek Eav,
also known as Duch. And while the reason for the
genocidal craze remained a mystery to date, we investigated and
discovered the utopian longings and delusions of lost or stolen grandeur
combined with delusions of persecution along with virulent conspiracy
theories. The Why of Khmer Rouge
Terror. 5 Jan. 2009: Having already
commented on the Israeli
military incursion into the Gaza Strip which grabbed the
headlines this week, we investigated P1: Geostrategy of Israel. 7 Jan. 2009: The Problems with Israel and
Palestine P2: Geostrategy of
the Palestinians. 10 Jan. 2009: The Problems with
Israel and Palestine P3: The
Palestinian Challenge Beyond Israel. 17 July 2009:
Jemaah Islamiah is most likely behind the fatal
blasts in two Jakarta hotels today. Jemaah Islamiah and Global Jihad. 25 July 2009: China Today. 10 Oct. 2009: Having
mentioned this more than a year ago, the BBC today now confirms that
Turkey and Armenia are preparing to sign a historic agreement normalizing
relations. 9 March 2010: Predicaments
of Pakistan in Afghanistan: 15 March 2010: The dressing-down from Israel's closest ally over the approval of
plans for new homes in Jerusalem during the US vice president's visit
continued in full force over the weekend. One solution to leave Jerusalem
undivided however would be to internationalize it. A
Brief History of the Jerusalem Problem: 10 April 2010: While it will have little effect on the permission for the US to
have a transit bases there, it is clear from the April 7 revolution in
Kyrgyzstan, that Russia is capable of creating
“color revolution”-style uprisings in countries where it wants to increase
its influence. And why China might be concerned, plus Uzbekistan, Tajikistan,
Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Georgia, Azerbaijan, The Baltic States. Continue: 23 April 2010: Eurozone’s Debt crisis no longer just about Greece. Continue…
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Countries by Population Size
16 Jan. 2004: Bin
Laden, Al-Qaeda, and Salafi jihadism: Interview with Eric Vandenbroeck