Index

Read More

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z 

A

Afghanistan

Africa / Congo

Arab World - Arab Spring

Archeology

Armenia

Artificial Intelligence – Cybersecurity - Cryptocurrency

Asia and Cold War

Asia’s WWII

Australia

 

B

Brazil

Buddhism

 

C

Celts

China

China - Movie Industry

China - Taiwan - Hong Kong

China / US - South-East Asia

China - Oceanic Powers

China Xi Jinping

Chinese Hegemony

Climate Change

Cold War

Colonianism

 

D

Dalai Lama

 

E

East Asia

Economy, see World - World Economy

Egypt

Empires

Enlightenment

EU - Europe

Europe

Extremism

 

F

Fascism, see Second World War

First World War, see also WWI

 

G

 

Gaza

Globalization

Global Jihad

Greater Han-Han Zhou Dynasty

 

H

Haiti

Hamas

Hawaii

Hitler, see Second World War

Human Origins - Humanity

Houthis

 

I

 

Illiberal Democracy

India

International Relations

International Systems

Iran

Iranian-Palestinian

Iraq

Islam

Israel And Hamas

Israel In Gaza

Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem

 

J

 

Japan

 

K

Kurds

 

L

 

Latinoamerica, see also South America

 

 

M

 

Middle East

Moscow To China

Myanmar - Rohingya Crisis

 

N

Napoleon

NATO

North Korea

Nuclear Peril

 

O

Oman

 

P

 

Pacific War

Pakistan

Palestine: see Israel – Palestine – Jerusalem

Political Qigong

Psychology - Psychiatry

Putin

 

Q

 

Qatar

 

R

Russia - Central Asia

Russia - Putin

Russia - Tsar

 

S

 

Second World War, see also WWII

Slavery North America

South America

South Asia

Spy Agencies - Secret Intelligence Services

Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen

 

T

Taiwan

Taiwan Conundrum

Thailand

Turkey

Turkey In Context

 

U

UAE

Ukraine

United Kingdom

United Nations, UN

United States

 

V

 

Venezuela

Venice

 

W

 

Warsaw Pact

World - World Economy - History - Politics

WWI, see also First World War

WWII, see also Second World War

 

Z

Zionism

 

A

 

Afghanistan

Africa / Congo

Arab World - Arab Spring

Archeology

Armenia

Artificial Intelligence

Asia and Cold War

Asia’s WWII

Australia

 

 

Afghanistan Still Threatens The Region And Beyond.

 

Why Pressure Is The Best Way.

 

The Forces That Could Threaten The Taliban’s Control.

 

What can be said about US involvement and the current situation in Afghanistan

 

What next with Afghanistan

 

Predicaments of Pakistan in Afghanistan

 

 

The SA Election for Worse and for Better.

 

A Sort Of 'Out Of Africa’.

 

The Youthful Continent.

 

Africa’s Ukraine Dilemma.

 

From Past To Next Fifty Years.

 

Deep-Rooted Factors. (Part 3)

 

Trade, Colonialism And Uneven Development. (Part 2)

 

The New Out Of Africa Theory. (Part 1)

 

Belgium’s Africa Museum Had a Racist Image. Can It Change That?

 

Head of UN, Ban Ki-moon, seeks to appoint investigator for fatal crash of Dag Hammarskjöld

 

Case Study:

The French Rwanda File:

 

South Africa and AFRICOM

 

The Hamitic theory of race and the role it played in the Rwandan Genocide:

 

Case Study P.1:

The Creation of Belgium

 

Case Study P.2:

The Start of Belgian Empirialism: When Texas was to be a Belgian Colony

 

History of the former Belgian Congo

P.1: Egypt in Central Africa

 

History of Central Africa

P.2: King Leopold's Media

 

our earlier comment about Blood Diamonds

 

 

The Red Sea.

 

Saudi Arabia Is On The Way To Becoming The Next Egypt.

 

Will Saudi Arabia Get The Bomb?

 

The Coming Arab Backlash.

 

The UAE And Its Talest Building In The World.

 

Why A Spate of Diplomatic Deals Won’t End Conflict.

 

Key To The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

 

How To Deal With The Saudi Arabia Problems.

 

What Needs To Happen Next.

 

The Making Of The Middle East.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part 2.

 

The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.

 

Enter: Arab Spring 2011

 

Archeology

 

Göbekli Tepe revisited part three

 

Göbekli Tepe revisited part two

 

The world’s earliest cities and what it means for today

 

Ancient Globalization

 

In the Beginning

 

Genes or Behavior?

 

The Archeology of Worldwide War and Peace

 

They Built the First Temples?

 

The Earliest States

Truth In History: Inventing Archeology

 

Case Study:

Archeology of the Middle East Today

 

Nationalism: Ancient Egypt, Judea, Armenia, Japan?

‘King Arthur’

 

Click to enter:

 

Fringe Archeology Update

 

'Archeological Fantasies' continue:

 

The Mother of all Theocratic States: Lemuria

 

September 2004, Cult Archeology: Civilization One Book (excerpt)

 

Neo Paganism

 

From Mircea Eliade to Carlos Castaneda

 

The Truth About Carlos Castaneda

 

The Myth of the Noble Savage

 

Reader Comment: The Myth of the Noble Savage

 

Celts and Druids Speaking

 

From N. Pennick to Celtic/Northern Literature

 

The Temple of a Nation, Stonehenge

 

And Who Owns Ancient Remains?

 

Neo-Shamanists and Pagans Today

 

Why We Never Found Atlantis

 

The Atlantis Syndrome P.1

 

The Atlantis Syndrome P.2

 

The Atlantis Syndrome P.3

 

Cuba's Gateway To Atlantis P.1

 

Cuba's Gateway To Atlantis P.2: Cocaine

 

Gateway to Atlantis P.3: Seven Cities, El Dorado

 

Gateway to Atlantis P.4: Urheimat der Arier

 

Cuba's Atlantis

 

Armenia

 

Why, and what happened

 

Major Case Study:

So what really happened in Armenia

 

(Updated version)

Case Study:

Armenian Genocide

 

 

Crypto in China and Beyond.

 

AI Large Language Models.

 

The New Empires Of The Internet.

 

Cryptocurrency And The Bankman-Fried Case.

 

Bydance And TikTok.

 

The Test.

 

The New Threat.

 

Generative Artificial Intelligence.

 

How Artificial Intelligence Will Transform The Military.

 

The Ramifications Of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Part Two.

 

The Ramifications Of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Part One.

 

There Is No Time To Waste.

 

Get Ready For Artificial Intelligence.

 

An Extensive Overview Of How Crypto-Currency Fraud Functions.

 

The Illusion Of China’s AI Prowess.

 

The Battle For Brains.

 

But There Is A Solution.

 

Blockchain Analysis.

 

Cryptocurrency-Based Crimes Part Four.

 

Cryptocurrency-Based Crimes Part Three.

 

Cryptocurrency-Based Crimes Part Two.

 

Cryptocurrency-Based Crimes.

 

Tackling The 2023 Problem Of Cybersecurity.

 

Weaponized Artificial Intelligence.

 

The logic of human nature and causal networks

 

Dismantling the myths of AI Part Two

 

Dismantling the myths of AI Part One 

 

The question about current medical efficiency and that of digital authoritarianism versus liberal democracies

 

 

Introduction

 

P.2 The Malay Theatre

 

P.3 The Vietnam Theatre

 

P.4 The Korean Theatre

 

P.5 Indonesia and China Burning

 

P.6 1945-1950

 

P.7 Vietnam War and World Decolonization.

Was the Cold War inevitable?

 

…investigae in the following part

 

Introduction: Gorbachev's Last Days

 

Was the Cold War Predetermined? Investigating the Beginning of the Cold War P.1.

 

Was the Cold War Predetermined? Investigating the Beginning of the Cold War P.2

 

Investigating the End of the Cold War P.1

 

Investigating the End of the Cold War P.2

Investigating the End of the Cold War P.3

 

 

Major Case Study:

From hot to Cold War: Asia's WWII

 

 

Genocide In Australia.

 

B

Brazil

Buddhism

 

 

Bolsonaro Redux.

 

Far-Right Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.

 

The Current Situation.

 

Far-Right Rioters Invaded Brazil's Federal Representative Institutions.

 

Why the political climate in Brazil matters to the rest of the world

 

 

 

Discussion, Buddhism

 

A new understanding of Buddhist's past and at least one possible future

 

C

Celts

China

China - Movie Industry

China - Taiwan - Hong Kong

China / US - South-East Asia

China - Oceanic Powers

China Xi Jinping

Chinese Hegemony

Climate Change

Cold War

Colonianism

 

Celts

 

Major Case Study:

The less-known aspects of early Irish and Scottish Nationalism

 

Recherche sur ce qui ne va pas avec les Celtes

 

 

Foreign Policy for the World.

 

Will America and China Heed the Warnings.

 

The China Sea Syndrome.

 

Modi’s Tough Stance Could Invite, not Deter, Chinese.

 

When Israel Was in China.

 

The Cold War Between China, Europe, and the United States.

 

China's Quest to Innovate.

 

Crypto in China and Beyond.

 

Lai Ching-te’s Precarious Balancing Act.

 

The World's Second Most Populous Country.

 

US-China Relations.

 

The Real Motives For China’s Nuclear Expansion.

 

Importance Of The Middle Powers.

 

Overview Of Chinese Spy Activities.

 

A Problem With China's Economy.

 

China Today And Tomorrow.

 

Competition With China To Be Won.

 

Misconceptions About China.

 

China’s Economic Collision Course.

 

Cold War China Xi Jinping And The United States.

 

President Xi's Thought.

 

From Moscow To China.

 

But It Can Still Prevent Chinese Hegemony.

 

Chinese Spy Operations.

 

But Where Is This Going?

 

Will Xi’s Military Modernization Pay Off?

 

Beijing Seeks To Extend The Hegemony Of Mandarin.

 

More Likely To React To External Threats.

 

The Real Toll Of Beijing’s Belt And Road.

 

Why America And China Will Be Enduring Rivals.

 

Berlin’s Delicate Balance With Beijing.

 

The End Of China’s Economic Miracle.

 

A Form Of Preparation For War.

 

The Global South.

 

Living On The Edge.

 

Blinded By The Fight.

 

How Institutional Balancing Promotes Stability In Asia.

 

U.S.-Chinese Rivalry.

 

China’s Affinity With Russia Is Over.

 

The Virtue Of Low Expectations.

 

China Is Ready For A World Of Disorder.

 

What Does The West Know About Xi’s China?

 

Why China Is Rewriting The Law Of The Sea.

 

The Technology Trap.

 

The U.S.-Chinese Economic Relationship.

 

Lifelines And Chokepoints.

 

The Consequences Of China’s Peace Deal.

 

The Consequences Of China's Demographic Decline.

 

How To Spy On China.

 

The Bad Advice Plaguing President Xi.

 

The Question Of Chinese Military Support For Russia.

 

Russia And China Behind The Scenes.

 

The New Age Of Great-Power Competition.

 

Spy Ballons TikTok And Chinse Intelligence.

 

Xi Jinping Preparing China For War.

 

China Will Lead The Next Technological Revolution.

 

Sweeping Belt And Road Initiative.

 

Solidify Global Divisions For The Coming Decades.

 

China Is Practicing How to Sever Taiwan’s Internet.

 

Possibility That Chinese Spy Balloon’s Path Over The US Was Accidental.

 

Why Are Meteorologists Tracking The Location Of The Chinese Balloon?

 

China’s Indo-Pacific Folly.

 

On The Leaks Of A War With China Plus A Recension In Europe.

 

What The Cities Of The Future Will Look Like.

 

The Looming Taiwan Crisis.

 

Detention Camps.

 

The Story of Why The Chinese Can Travel Again.

 

What Made Taiwan Understand How Perilous This Situation Is.

 

Can China Take Taiwan?

 

Why It Is Of Importance.

 

The Skirmish In Arunachal Pradesh Reflects Beijing’s Confidence, And New Delhi’s Diminished Deterrence.

 

The Meaning Of China’s Dangerous Decline.

 

Why Saudis Don’t Want To Pivot To China.

 

The Nowhere Road With An Answer To It.

 

It Took Just Seven Words That NBA-China’s Viewership Approaching Pre-Banned Levels.

 

How China Manipulates The Media.

 

We Address Why There Is No Inevitability In China's Decline To India's Rise.

 

China's Economy.

 

Will Xi Learn From History?

 

What Is Achievable In East Asia?

 

China The Global Power And Russia The Junior Partner.

 

Why XI Might Prefer Détente. 

 

What To Expect From Xi's Third Term.

 

What To Expect From The Xi-Biden Meeting.

 

China’s Past And Xi’s Future.

 

Reactions To China's Spy Operations. Part 5

 

The Circumstances That Allow Chinese Spy Operations To Thrive. Part 4

 

The Way To The White House. Part 3

 

The Chinese Police Service Stations. Part 2

 

Chinese Spies Part One. Part 1

 

How To Build A Better Order.

 

We Analyze The Reasons Why.

 

Can A War Over Taiwan Still Be Avoided?

 

The Revelations Of Document Number Nine.

 

Large And In Charge

 

The World According To Xi. 

 

China's COVID-19 Politics To The Test.

 

China's Growth In Peril.

 

China's Global Security Initiative.  

 

The Forbidden History

 

The Future War Between China And The US.

 

Xi Jinping And  Present-Day China.

 

Point Of No Return.

 

The United States Does Not Need To Beat China.

 

Whereby The Truth About Taiwan Is.

 

China Needs To Reach An Understanding And Russia Does Not.

 

Nancy Pelosi’s Visit To Taiwan.

 

What Is Happening Here?

 

Xi Unleased.

 

Whose China Sea Is It?

 

Facing A Window Of Vulnerability Over Taiwan.

 

China Could Invade Taiwan.

 

China’s Motivations.

 

Geopolitical Consequences Of Taiwan War.

 

Why Should Taiwan Be Seen As A Part Of China?

 

What the situation looks like going forward

 

China's pursuit of greatness part two and conclusion

 

China's pursuit of greatness

 

China the Pandemic and Sovereignty

 

 

The Actual History Behind The Seven Years In Tibet With Brad Pitt.

 

How The Movie Industry Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Four.

 

How The Movie Industry Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Three.

 

How The Movie Industry Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Two.

 

How The Movie Industry Became Chineses Diplomacy.

 

 

The Interconnected Fates Of The World’s Democracies.

 

The Taiwan Conundrum.

 

Taiwan Today.

 

Once More The Question Of Taiwan.

 

The Trouble With The South China Sea.

 

Taiwan Is An Important Partner.

 

Xi Jinping's Hawkish Forces He Can’t Control.

 

How To Avoid Catastrophe.

 

Don’t Panic About Taiwan.

 

The Looming Taiwan Crisis.

 

What Made Taiwan Understand How Perilous This Situation Is.

 

Can China Take Taiwan?

 

Major Case Study:

The lead up to present-day China and the making of the ChinaTaiwan crisis

 

After Hong Kong deterrence vs Taiwan?

 

Taiwan going forward

 

What the real future of Hong Kong might look like

 

Mapping the new reality of Hong Kong

 

How China will handle its future development

 

Understanding modern China

 

From Vancouver to Auckland and Hong Kong understanding the new Chinese nationalism

 

Will China now crush the protests in Hong Kong?

 

What does it all mean

 

Increased friction in the South China Sea and why

 

Outlook for the world China, US, Europe, N.Korea,Venezuela, and the way forward with Iran

 

Today’s legacy of the Tiananmen crisis

 

Unveiling China’s big science

 

Is China planning to take Taiwan by force?

 

Thus has China’s new Silk Belt and Road failed? Updated 15 Feb. 2019

 

China’s ticking time-bomb. Updated 4 Jan. 2019

 

China’s New Nationalism

 

China has “no historic rights” in South China Sea: Continue

 

From Chinese Yuan adjustment to the fall of world markets; the lesson to learn

 

.. the Huns to their Mongol related origin in what is now China Continue ...

 

 

The Philippines In The South China Sea.

 

How concerned should we be when Chinese growth runs out?

 

The importance of South and East Asia

 

Which way will the West turn? Left or right?

 

Understanding the 100 years of the current regime in China Part Two

 

Understanding the 100 years of the current regime in China

 

China’s multifaceted great power projection

 

The rivalry between America and China in South-East Asia

 

Where will the China/US competition lead the world? 

 

Major Case Study: 

Investigating the India-China standoff Part Three

 

Major Case Study: 

Investigating the India-China standoff Part Two

 

Major Case Study:

Investigating the India-China standoff Part One

 

South-East Asia between China and the US

 

Major Case Study:

Developmental forces in East and West as drivers of psychological change

 

Major Case Study:

The re-invention of Chinese History, Nation, Language, and Territory Part Three

 

Major Case Study:

The re-invention of Chinese History, Nation, Language, and Territory

 

Major Case Study:

The secrets of China’s new maps unveiled

 

Will a coming conflict make the military disasters of Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq pale in comparison?

 

China’s new claim about the border with Bhutan

 

China’s larger geostrategic game

 

The fall out from the current crises

 

Are the U.S. and China headed for a Cold War?

 

The 21st Century Arms Race

 

From bloody nose attack to nonmilitary options? Plus update 18 January.

 

Will the Standoff Lead to a Second India-China War? With Update 29 Aug. 2017

 

South China Sea: Risks of a clash caused by China’s paramilitary ships that could bring U.S. forces to bear in defense of U.S. allies

 

Uighur terrorist attack in China, a shoot-out between the Koreas along their disputed maritime border and, to top it off, a coup in Thailand

 

..China considers its territorial waters

 

..We must go to war with Japan…History as a political weapon:

 

China Today

 

The Why of Khmer Rouge Terror

 

 

The East Asian World Order

 

The concept of Han Chinese

 

China's New Nationalism

 

The Early Chinese Empires

 

The true voyages of Zheng He

 

There now might be increased diplomatic pressure on Beijing to reduce its presence in the South China Sea

 

Globalization and Empire:

Introduction

 

P.1 Indian Ocean's Business as Usual

 

P.2 Indian Ocean From Business to Power Broker

 

Oceanic Powers, US/China: Conclusion

 

Case Study

Chinese Religion: Daoism:

Historical Overview of Daoism

 

Origin of Daoism

 

Daoist secrets of ritualized alchemy to internal Neidan meditative alchemy

 

Tantric ‘internal’ alchemy P.1

 

Tantric practice in China P.2

 

The Politics of Qigong:

The Taiping Rebellion, Boxer Uprising, and Falung Gong

 

From Red Turban to Ming Tax Collecting

 

The Island of Seven Cities:

Research Report:

China Beyond Zheng Hi

 

From Persia to China

 

Research Report P.4:

China's Reinvented Historic Legacy

 

Case Study:

When China Woke Up to the World

 

Chinese and other Empires of the World

 

What Next with China? P.1.

 

What Next with China P.2.

 

 

China Xi Jinping And The United States.

 

 

But It Can Still Prevent Chinese Hegemony.

 

 

Their Failure To Act Fast Enough On Climate Change Violates Their Human Rights.

 

Preparing For A Future Of Extreme Weather.

 

Measure The Harm Of Climate Change.

 

The search for Nextpolis

 

Apocalypse Never:

 

Why Planet earth is shutting down

 

A history of the end of the world 

 

From climate change denialism to the Brazilian rainforest fires and solutions going forward

 

Here is a blueprint as to how to approach the problems:

 

The Weather as influenced by El Nino going forward

 

The world going forward:

 

 

Putin and the Cold War Part Two

 

Putin and the Cold War Part One

 

 

The economy of Colonialism: 

Major Case Study: 

Part one, Part two, Part three

 

The economics of colonialism part three

 

The economics of colonialism part two

 

The counterfactual view that explains colonialism

 

D

Dalai Lama

 

 

The Next Dalai Lama.

 

The future Dalai Lama

 

E

East Asia

Economy, see World - World Economy

Egypt

Empires

Enlightenment

EU - Europe

Europe

Extremism

 

 

The Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere, Part One Of Two.

 

What Is Achievable In East Asia?

 

 

Countdown Egypt: Why Egypt's Mursi will either resign or be sacked on 3 July

 

What next with Egypt and Syria to Jordan

 

Consequences for the balance of power between the Brotherhood and the military

 

Protesters Storm Muslim Brotherhood Offices

 

Empires

 

Ghosts Of Empires Past.

 

This Is Particularly True For Empires.

 

The transformation of the Russian Empire part two

 

The transformation of the Russian Empire part one

 

The Holy Roman Empire, the Reformation, and the birth of the Netherlands

 

Beginnings and endings of Empires

 

The concept of Han Chinese

 

The East Asian World Order

 

 

Enlightenment

 

Whose Enlightenment?

 

EU - Europe

 

When Europe Fell Apart.

 

The Promise And Peril Of EU Expansion.

 

The Truth About European Colonialism In The New World.

 

How The EU Will Learn To Wield Its Power.

 

Europe’s Geoeconomic Revolution.

 

Coudenhove-Kalergi And The Pan-Europa Movement.

 

Berlin’s Delicate Balance With Beijing.

 

Time To Expand The UN Security Council.

 

Europe’s Real Test Is Yet To Come.

 

Poland 1941.

 

Europe And Russia’s Aggression In Ukraine.

 

On The Leaks Of A War With China Plus A Recension In Europe.

 

The German Connection.

 

How The War In Ukraine Will Remake The Continent.

 

The Gripping Story Of How A Plot Would Take Over Germany.

 

Germany’s Unlearned Lessons.

 

Germany Just Averted Its Own Jan. 6, And Maybe The Fourth Reich.

 

Inflation And Economic Uncertainty.

 

Why This Could Last For Years.

 

Greece expected to strike a deal with the EU

 

The fate of Europe in 2013

 

Will the European Crises soon be over?

 

The Start of Europe’s fragmentation

 

Why the European crisis has been solved  (for a while).

 

Europe’s Crises Worsening

 

The financial crisis Europe faces it has not wanted to admit even exists (with graphs)

 

Eurozone’s Debt crisis no longer just about Greece. Continue…

 

 

Introduction

 

Critical Investigation:

 

Research Report: Conflict and Ethnicity

 

Research Report: Ethnoclass in Eastern Europe

 

Religion and Modern Politics P.1: Bakunin's Christianity

 

Religion and Modern Politics P.2: From 'New Right' to Habermas Today

 

P.1: The New World of  'Sociology'

 

P.2: Signor Mazzini I Presume?

 

P.3: Social Democrats, A Political Religion

 

Updated:

P.4: The 1914 Clash of Civilisations

 

True History of the European Community, P.1: Its WWI Origin

 

True History of the European Community, P.2: Which Europe?

 

P.1 Globalization and Economics: A Search for the Holy Grail?

 

Cold War and Modern Historiography

 

Including major case study "From Belgium to Kososovo and back"

 

Towards a New Sociology of Religious Nationalism P.1

 

Towards a New Sociology of Religious Nationalism P.2, Part 3-a, Part 3-b:

 

The Politically Incorrect Guide to Religion P.1

 

The Future of Democracies Around the World

 

 

How To Understand Extreme Right-Wing Parties.

 

F

Fascism, see Second World War

First World War, see also WWI

 

 

 

 

Revisiting the First World War Part Three

 

Revisiting the First World War Part Two

 

Revisiting the First World War

 

Major Case Study:

A new investigation about the First World War

 

Major Case Study:

Revisiting the Origins of the First World War

 

Major Case Study:

Beyond the Treaty of Versailles

Treaty of Sèvres on 10 August 2020 new complex patterns and alliances were formed (many of them in the Middle East)

 

an interesting section about “The Flemish Lion”

 

The tribulations and consequences of the Treaty of Versailles                       

 

Why World War I was pivotal to the creation of the modern Middle East

 

World War I became known as the war to end all wars

 

A complete timeline of what happened

 

Shantung the Versailles Treaty and the Manchurian episode

 

A Somewhat Hidden History of the Balfour Declaration

 

How the First World War started P.9

 

How the First World War started P.8

 

How the First World War started P.7

 

How the First World War started P.6

 

Leading up to the First World War P.5

 

Leading up the First World War P.4

 

The almost First World War P.3

 

The almost First World War P.2

 

The almost First World War P.1

 

The conspiracy theory that gave rise to Hitler:

 

P.1 Reparations and the famous Article 231

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.8:

British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and the Syria crisis today

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.7:

The unresolved sectarian issue in Lebanon today

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.6:

The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’, and the British

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.4

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.6:

The Paris Peace Conference deliberations

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.5:

The Syrian question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.4:

The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.3:

The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.2:

The Arab question and the ‘shocking document’ that shaped the Middle East

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.1:

The ‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East

 

The second First World War

 

The Real Russian Origins of the First World War

 

A new investigation why the First World War broke out

 

G

 

Gaza

Globalization

Global Jihad

Greater Han-Han Zhou Dynasty

 

 

Southern Gaza City of Rafah.

 

Why it is Crucial that it Not Be.

 

Gantz’s Gaza Plan.

 

Gaza After Gaza.

 

Witness To Palestine.

 

The Way Going Forward In Gaza.

 

The Food Weapon.

 

Palestinian Option.

 

How Israel Fights.

 

Israel And Hamas.

 

America’s Hypocrisy On Gaza.

 

The Path To A Regional Order.

 

 

Requiem for Hyperglobalization.

 

Deglobalization.

 

Is this the end of Globalization?

 

The 'out of Eden' peopling of the earth

 

For example:

 

Historical Overview

 

Historical Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.1

 

The Myth of 1492 - Historical Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.2

 

The Myth of The Industrial Revolution - Historical Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.3

 

What the East Thought the West - Historical Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.4

 

P.1, Mutual Contact

 

P.2, Violent Occupations

 

P.3, Broken Treaties and the Sex Trade

 

P.4, Disease and Changing Worlds

 

P.5, Controlling Landscapes

 

P.6, Administering People

 

P.7, WWII of Indigenous Populations

 

P.8, Enter the 21st Century

 

History of Globalization: In and out of India P.1: The First Trade-Wars

 

History of Globalization: In and out of India P.2: The First Multinational Companies.

 

"Globalization Flat or Round?"

 

What do Naomi Klein's "No War" have in common with with two other recent books: "The Fire This Time: U.S. War Crimes in the Gulf" or "The Iraq War : A Military History"?

 

others are in complete denial of what is happening to them or soon will happen

 

Postscript: Where did all the Money Go?

 

 

Why this complicates the reaction to the Paris attacks:

 

Paris and the end times of ISIS:

 

why Islamic history

 

The Future of the Islamic State:

 

The Salafist Resurgence

 

Jemaah Islamiah and Global Jihad

 

Case Study:

Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East

 

Bin Laden, Al-Qaeda, and Salafi Jihadism: Interview with Eric Vandenbroeck

 

Radical Islam and Global Jihad Today

 

Report:

Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East

 

The Islam Code P.1.

 

The Islam Code P.2.

 

Conclusion:

The Islam Code P.3.

 

An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern Radical Islam P.1

An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern Radical Islam P.2

 

An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern Radical Islam P.3

 

Pictural Overview of the Middle East Today

 

Global Jihad P.1

 

Global Jihad P.2

 

Global Jihad P.3

 

Global Jihad P.4

 

Global Jihad P.5

 

Global Jihad P.6

 

Global Jihad P.7

 

Conclusion and Implications:

Global Jihad P.7

 

The apocalypse within:

 

Updated

Case Analysis:

SA in Indonesia, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Chechnya

 

Future World Jihad P.1

 

Future World Jihad P.2

 

Future World Jihad P.3: The Nazi Connection

 

Future World Jihad P.4:  Jerusalem’s Armageddon

 

Future World Jihad P.5: What Now?

 

Evidence

 

Bangladesh, Indonesia, Pakistan, plus more

 

Global Jihad

Case Study:

Central Asia P.1

 

Central Asia P.2

 

Central Asia P.3

 

Major Researchproject: Future World Jihad P.5 

 

The Quest for World Jihad: Introduction

 

The Quest for World Jihad P.1.

 

The Quest for World Jihad P.2.

 

we described the significance of the Ottoman Empire in the context of today's world jihad

 

let alone an inevitable, consequence of World War 1. The Quest for World Jihad P.3

 

six part investigation of British encounters with Islamic warfare

 

The Quest for World Jihad P.4

 

Bin-Laden’s Bookshelf p.1 and 2

 

2006 30 Jan. al-Qaeda nr.2 on bin-Laden's Truce''

 

Updated

The Background Story of 7/7/2005 in the UK:

 

Today's War on Terrorism

 

A New 'Jihad' Wave?

 

Pakistan

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.1: Egypt and the Sudan

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.2: Somalia and Lebanon

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.3: Wahhabi's and Shi'ites

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.4: Iraq

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.5: Afghanistan

 

The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.6: Strategic Lessons

 

From Hitler to the "Arab Reich"P.1

 

From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.2

 

From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.3

 

From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.4

 

A Convergence of Militant Islam and the New Right?

fringe groups not yet mentioned

 

 

The concept of Han Chinese

 

The East Asian World Order

 

H

Haiti

Hamas

Hawaii

Hitler, see Second World War

Human Origins - Humanity

Houthis

 

 

 

Who Will Lead Haiti?

 

 

How to Deal with Hamas.

 

Consequences of the Israel/Hamas War Part Two.

 

Consequences of the Israel/Hamas War.

 

The Day After.

 

Israel And Hamas

 

 

From Pearl Harbour On.

 

The True Story Of Hawaii.

 

2020 9 July: 

Rediscovering Hawaii's place in the pacific

 

Rediscovering Hawaii's place in the pacific

 

 

 

And Then It Got Cold.

 

The Mystery Of Inequality.

 

The Myth of Human Origins

 

When humanity almost got wiped out

 

 

The Measure Of Their Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.

 

I

 

Illiberal Democracy

India

International Relations

International Systems

Iran

Iranian-Palestinian

Iraq

Islam

Israel And Hamas

Israel In Gaza

Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem

 

 

The Rising Threat Of Illiberal Democracy.

 

 

How Indian Voters Constrained Modi.

 

Bharatiya Janata Party Suffer a Setback.

 

Modi’s Tough Stance Could Invite, not Deter, Chinese.

 

Modi’s Middling Economy.

 

The British 'Company’ And The Conquest Of India.

 

The Fate Of Over 1.4 Billion People Hangs In The Balance.

 

Modi's New Messenger.

 

The Teacher To The World.

 

The Story How Hardeep Singh Nijjar Was Killed In Canada, September 2023.

 

India’s Massive Military Restructuring.

 

Will India Surpass China To Become The Next Superpower?

 

India As It Is.

 

India Won’t Side With Washington Against Beijing.

 

India’s Great-Power Opportunity.

 

Kashmir Today.

 

The Urgent Issues That Preoccupy Much Of The Developing World.

 

Why It Is Of Importance.

 

The Skirmish In Arunachal Pradesh Reflects Beijing’s Confidence, And New Delhi’s Diminished Deterrence.

 

A Critical Look At Narendra Modi's India Today.

 

India’s Ruling Party Is Losing Control.

 

Why I Killed Gandhi.

 

A New Look At The History Of Partition.

 

Major Case Study:

A movie, a new book, and what India stands for today

 

Ladakh fighting

 

Major Case Study:

The Hindu right in context

 

Could India and China Go to War?

 

Kashmiri militants

 

What is really happening in India?

 

The empire within an empire that changed the future fate of India

 

The impeachment of the first governor-general of Bengal

 

Jammu and Kashmir

 

What happened with Kashmir and why it matters

 

“I think it is probably a god-gifted ability”

 

A concern is that it might leed to more violence in Sri Lanka

 

The 10th anniversary of an assault that raised fears of war with Pakistan and why in the end it was about Kashmir

 

Revisiting India’s Harappan civilization .. where the Indo-European languages came from, enter:

 

..."Indian Mujahadeen" like recent attacks in Ahmedabad and Jaipur

 

Why Orissa

 

Introduction

 

What is happening in India today?

 

What happened with Kashmir and why it matters.

 

Update

India's tech sector following explosions

 

began on Wednesday, 26 November

 

repercussions in reference to Kashmir

 

including that the Indian air and missile forces were placed on war footing

 

Kashmir is a victim of the disputed division of British India during the transfer of colonial power in 1947.

 

Partition of British India's Geostrategic Cause.

 

Through Burma and Back

 

India: The Clash Within: The World's Largest Democracy?

 

Deciding to go for facts rather than fiction today:

 

The Eurasian Industrial Revolution.

 

Bose movie, published in: Return of the Swastika, 2007 P.1

 

From Japan to Burma, P.2

 

From Nagaland to Burma, P.1

 

From Nagaland to Burma, P.2

 

sometimes also encountered in our research report about Europe

 

Politics in S.Asia P.1

 

Politics in S.Asia P.2 post-1966 Indira Gandhi

 

Politics in S.Asia P.3 Competitive Populism

 

…in Madras Henry Olcott stated

 

Political Religious Violence in Asia P.1

 

Political Religious Violence in Asia P.2

 

Political Religious Violence in Asia P.3

 

Fascism and Communism

 

 

Matthew Specter And Jonathan Kirshner’s New Books.

 

International Systems

 

…the rise and fall of a principle of hierarchical sovereignty. See:

 

…vassalage system employed in Europe some fifteen hundred years later. See:

 

S.America that led up to the League of Nations Conference at Montevideo. See:

 

…most likely resulting in failure. See:

 

…boundaries between political units will increase. See:

 

The state is not the only form of political unit to have existed…See:

 

… former Yugoslavia … See:

 

… crisis in Yugoslavia -- the question we next answered is why. See:

 

… a nascent American imperial that represents the status quo. See:

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.1: Introduction

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.2: China and Tibet

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.3: Islamic Empires

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.4: Christians and Pagans in Europe

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.5: Protestant Reformation

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.6: From God To  Proto-Nationalism

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.7: Demand for increased boundaries

 

The Past and Future of the Nations

P.8: Federalism and its Consequences

 

…disintegration of Yugoslavia…

State Behaviour in the International System P.1

 

…legal tradition…

State Behaviour in the International System P.2

 

…during 2003 Iraq Standoff.

State Behaviour in the International System P.3

 

The Kyoto Protocol and Africa.

State Behaviour in the International System P.4

 

United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, India, and Sierra Leone.

State Behaviour in the International System P.5

 

Conclusion and Outlook:

State Behaviour in the International System P.6

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.1

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.2

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.3

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.4

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.5

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.6

 

From Belgium to Kosovo P.7

 

Introduction

 

Conclusion

 

Iran

 

The Iran-Israel Relationship.

 

Escalation Could Set Israel And Iran On A Collision Course.

 

What Narges Mohammadi’s Nobel Means For Iran.

 

Iran’s New Patrons.

 

The Iran Gamble.

 

We Investigate A Sorbid History Under Pressure.

 

Israel’s Dangerous Shadow War With Iran.

 

An Even More Intransigent Regime.

 

Iran’s Question Of Legitimacy.

 

Iran’s Anti-Veil Protests Have Already Succeeded.

 

The enduring relationship between China and Iran

 

What next?

 

What to make of the Iran protests? 

 

Why Tehran Is Winning the War for Control of the Middle East

 

Iran - Gaza Offensive: Why the Iranian connection will complicate the situation

 

Iran threatens to block Strait of Hormuz oil route, yet why they will not

 

Military steps up plans for Iran attack?

 

Introduction

 

Modern Iran P.1

 

Modern Iran P.2

 

The Iran Papers P.1

 

The Iran Papers P.2

 

The Iran Papers P.3

 

The Iran Papers P.4

 

The Iran Papers P.5

 

Conclusion: The Iran Papers

 

…Iran…

 

Iran-Chinese relationship

 

Iran and its conspiracytheories

 

 

Whoever Succeeds Him Won’t Change Course.

 

Why Tehran’s Hard-Liners Choose To Escalate.

 

Why Iran And Israel May Not Be Finished.

 

The Cascading World.

 

Iran's Strategy.

 

A Detente Option For Iran.

 

The Iranian-Palestinian Marriage Of Convenience.

 

Iraq

 

What is to follow after Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi's resignation

 

Islam

 

 

The End of the Islamic Republic As We Know It Part Two.

 

The End of the Islamic Republic As We Know It Part One.

 

Early Islam and the decay of Rome part two

 

Major Case Study: 

Early Islam and the decay of Rome part one

 

 

The Day After.

 

Hamas’s Future.

 

Israel From A Singaporean Perspective.

 

The Rafah Operation.

 

Pressuring Allies Not To Retaliate Against Attacks Raises The Risk Of Spiraling Conflicts.

 

Hamas Part Two.

 

Qatar And The Hamas Leader.

 

These Are The Three Options.

 

Only Way Is To Defeat Hamas.

 

Israel And Hamas.

 

 

Stuck In Gaza.

 

Why Israel Will Remain In Gaza.

 

Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem

 

When Israel Was in China.

 

The Iran-Israel Relationship.

 

Palestine: a British Dilemma.

 

Regional Ties of Israel.

 

Where the Case Stands Now.

 

The Land that is Israel.

 

Consequences of the Israel/Hamas War Part Two.

 

Consequences of the Israel/Hamas War.

 

Can America’s Special Relationship With Israel Survive?

 

How it Could be Done.

 

When The Palestinian Flag Was Raised At Harvard.

 

But This Is Equally True For The United States.

 

Why International Law Is Failing.

 

Judicial Reforms As War Of Words Escalates.

 

The Coming Arab Backlash.

 

Jordanian Fighter Pilots.

 

Dilemmas Of The Gulf States.

 

So What Is It All About?

 

Relations With Israel And American Leadership.

 

Israel's Cyberabilities.

 

The New Capacity.

 

Witness To Palestine.

 

Where This War Will Go Next?

 

The Food Weapon.

 

Palestinian Option.

 

How Israel Fights.

 

Israel And Hamas.

 

America’s Hypocrisy On Gaza.

 

The Path To A Regional Order.

 

The Measure Of Their Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.

 

Gaza Makes A Nuclear Iran More Likely.

 

Regional Conflicts Resemble World War II.

 

Why Peace Remains Possible.

 

The Ongoing Houthi Attacks.

 

The Choice Cannot Be Clearer.

 

Gaza Historical Role.

 

But Far Greater Risks May Emerge If He Doesn’t.

 

Why Israel Will Remain In Gaza.

 

Researching Israel’s Goals And Strategy.

 

How Hamas Has United Israelis Behind The War.

 

The Iranian-Palestinian Marriage Of Convenience.

 

The Way Going Forward In Gaza.

 

The Future Of The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.

 

Why Israel Won’t Change.

 

Protest The Netanyahu Government.

 

What Does It Mean To Defeat A Terrorist Group?

 

The Gaza Case.

 

It Is A Pattern That Is Already Playing Out Again.

 

Why Did Antony Blinken Attend A Meeting In Doha?

 

The No Blueprint Assault.

 

The Protests In Israel.

 

Duelling Speeches.

 

The End Of Israel’s Gaza Illusions.

 

What To Do About Gaza, And What Gazans Think.

 

Israel Enter Gaza Imminent.

 

Misinformation About The Israel-Hamas War Is Flooding Social Media.

 

Erdogan And The Hamas-Israel War.

 

Escalation Could Set Israel And Iran On A Collision Course.

 

The Israeli/Hamas Conundrum.

 

Return The Gaza Strip To Palestinians.

 

A Strategy Beyond Revenge.

 

Why Washington Should Restrain Israeli Military Action In Gaza.

 

Time To Step Back From The Brink.

 

Hamas Rise To Power.

 

How The Conflict In The Middle East Came About P.1.

 

Crises In The Middle East.

 

Gaza Redux Part One.

 

Hezbollah, Israel, And Tehran.

 

The Why And How Of The Surprise Attack On Israel.

 

Operation Al-Aqsa Flood.

 

What A Saudi-Israeli Deal Could Mean For The Palestinians.

 

Debating Israel’s One-State Reality.

 

Confronting A One-State Reality.

 

The US Is Indispensable To Israel’s Safety And Security.

 

Israel’s Dangerous Shadow War With Iran.

 

How To Prevent A Third Intifada.

 

The Holy Land and its contestants

 

Major Case Study:

A critical history of Palestine P.2

 

Major Case Study:

A critical history of Palestine P.1

 

The story of British Policymaking at the End of Empire and the Creation of Israel P.2

 

The story of British Policymaking at the End of Empire and the Creation of Israel P.1

 

Jerusalem Unveiled

 

Paris Peace Conference redux 15 Jan.2017

 

The Hajj, Muslim worshipers at the Grand Mosque in Mecca: What two million people are about to do here

 

The Palestinians' Real Enemies

 

The Gaza offensive: Egyptian-Israeli relations, other groups than Hamas, wider relevance or importance

 

A Brief History of the Jerusalem Problem

 

The Problems with Israel and Palestine P3: The Palestinian Challenge Beyond Israel

 

The Problems with Israel and Palestine P2: Geostrategy of the Palestinians

 

Israeli military incursion

P1: Geostrategy of Israel

 

J

 

Japan

 

Japan

 

To China and South Korea.

 

East Asia’s Coming Population Collapse.

 

Tokyo Aims To Counter Growing Chinese And North Korean Aggression.

 

The Consensus From Canberra To Tokyo.

 

The Japanese Attempt to Solve the Mongol Question

 

Major Case Study:

Asia after China

 

Japans dealing with China

 

Identity in Japan

 

Anglo-American ascendance

 

The U.S. financial siege of Japan:

 

The U.S. Oil Shortage that never was

 

…Turkish and Japanese foreign policies, and why: Continue...

 

Cold War Japan

 

demanded that Japan open its doors to foreign trade

 

The U.S. financial siege of Japan:

 

The U.S. Oil Shortage that never was

 

Making the New Japan:

 

The New Japan P.1:

 

The New Japan P.2:

 

Asia-Pacific Rim Hegemony:

An Assessment P.1.

 

Asia-Pacific Rim Hegemony: From Japanese to Chinese Containment?

An Assessment P.2.

 

K

 

Kurds

 

Kurds

 

What next with the Kurdish conundrum?

 

L

 

Latinoamerica, see also South America

 

 

Mexico On Edge?

 

Who Will Lead Haiti?

 

Bolsonaro Redux.

 

When The Past Does Not Go Away.

 

The Haitian Government Is Dependent On International Power.

 

Far-Right Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.

 

The Current Situation.

 

Far-Right Rioters Invaded Brazil's Federal Representative Institutions.

 

A History Of Making Bad Situatiuations Worse.

 

Latin America 2022.

 

Democracy Or Authoritarian Populism?

 

M

 

Middle East

Moscow To China

Myanmar - Rohingya Crisis

 

Middle East

 

The Red Sea.

 

The Region’s Perilous Security Conditions.

 

The Making Of The Middle East.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part Seven.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part Six.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part Five.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part Four.

 

The Middle East Gamble.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part Two.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part One.

 

The Path To A Regional Order.

 

The Measure Of Their Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.

 

The Problems With The Middle East.

 

Part One:

 

How The Conflict In The Middle East Came About P.1.

 

Crises In The Middle East.

 

Why A Spate of Diplomatic Deals Won’t End Conflict.

 

Key To The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

 

How To Deal With The Saudi Arabia Problems.

 

What Needs To Happen Next.

 

The Making Of The Middle East.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part 2.

 

The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.

 

Making of the Middle East's hidden history Part Two

 

Making of the Middle East's hidden history Part One

 

Why World War I was pivotal to the creation of the modern Middle East

 

Why Tehran Is Winning the War for Control of the Middle East

 

The Syrian civil war and the Middle East going forward

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.8: 

British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and the Syria crisis today

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.7: 

The unresolved sectarian issue in Lebanon today

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.6: 

The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’, and the British

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.6:

The Paris Peace Conference deliberations

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.5:

The Syrian question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.4:

The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.3:

The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.2:

The Arab question and the ‘shocking document’ that shaped the Middle East

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.1:

The ‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East

 

Does the Middle East Need New Borders?

 

The contradictory web that fuels conflicts in the Middle East

 

Forecast for Asia, Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, Former Soviet Union, Middle East/North Africa, South Asia, Latin America

 

Case Study:

Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East

 

Pictural Overview of the Middle East

 

conflict in Yemen seems anything but over:

 

Jerusalem Unveiled

 

Paris Peace Conference redux 15 Jan. 2017

 

The Syrian civil war and the Middle East going forward

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.4

 

Geopolitical Implications

 

The Shi’ite-Suni Devide

 

Case Study:

Shi'ite Lebanon and Hezbollah

 

The Occupation and its Legacy, P.1

 

The Occupation and its Legacy, P.2

 

The Occupation and its Legacy, P.3

 

Unknown to most we checkep up who and what Hezbollah really is

Who/What Hezbollah really is: The Larger Picture

 

…the new conflict between the post-Christian West and Islam…Case Study

 

Research Report:

The Iran US Conflict

 

also in the case of China

 

Research Report:

The Iran US Conflict Today

 

Israel is the 'Zion' of prophecy, part of God's plan

 

We frequently pointed out

 

Case Study:

Pan-Arabist Media

 

The New Pan-Arabism P.2:

 

Research Report:

Saudi-Arabia and Terrorism:

World Jihad

 

 

From Moscow To China

 

Myanmar - Rohingya Crisis

 

The Situation in Myanmar Today.

 

The Future of Myanmar.

 

Major Case Study: Myanmar and the looming war for its borderlands Part Five

 

Major Case Study: Myanmar and the looming war for its borderlands Part Four

 

Major Case Study: 

Myanmar and the looming war for its borderlands Part Three

 

Major Case Study: Myanmar and the looming war for its borderlands Part Two

 

Major Case Study:

Myanmar and the looming war for its borderlands Part one

 

What Myanmar as a failed state may look like:

 

What next with Myanmar

 

The ongoing tragedy that faces the Muslim Rohingya communities of western Myanmar

 

Major Case Study:

The consequences of the Arakan Campaign

 

in reference to faulting Myanmar

 

...where she is planning to deny any wrongdoing by the armed forces and defend Myanmar against charges of ethnic cleansing or genocide

 

The politics of statelessness investigation

 

The Rakhine/Rohingya Conundrum

 

What next with Myanmar and its Chinese influence  Plus update 2 February

 

Myanmar update

 

Myanmar P.6:

Mawlamyine and beyond

 

Myanmar P.5:

Past the Golden Rock to Karen (Kayin) State

 

Myanmar P.4:

The Challenge of Unity in a Divided Country

 

Myanmar P.3:

Two kinds of Monks

 

Myanmar P.2:

To Myitkyina and Kachin State

 

Myanmar P.1:

Discovering the background from where today’s Myanmar evolved

 

China/US, 2013 projection for Myanmar/Burma

 

Myanmar's Shame:

 

the Panglong agreement

 

Aung San was assassinated just over five months later.

 

…crisis or political uncertainty, was the military. Continue…

 

….most Burmese watched and waited, untroubled by the small flurries of activity among Europeans. Continue... 

 

…inter-communal hatred versus the Karen and others. Continue…

 

…and thus contributing to the confusion. Continue…

 

…Asia weighed heavily on the minds of the British. Continue...

 

…as they had been doing for years. Continue…

 

…or minority tribal leaders to hold out for too much. Continue...

 

…of a favorable conjunction of the stars. Continue...

 

…Burma soon had all but become one of the first 'failed states’. Continue...

 

The return of Japan post WWII. Continue...

 

N

Napoleon

NATO

North Korea

Nuclear Peril

 

 

Enter Napoleon:

 

 

 

The End of NATO?

 

The West Needs A Strategy For After The Counteroffensive.

 

How To Keep The Country Safe Without NATO Membership.

 

Today's NATO Meeting In Vilnius.

 

The Next Few Years Will Be Crucial.

 

NATO’s East Deterring Russia.

 

Let Ukraine Join NATO Now.

 

Why NATO Must Admit Ukraine.

 

The Leaked Documents.

 

How To Protect Ukraine Without NATO Membership.

 

Explaining The NEW NATO Strategic Concept.

 

What the situation looks like going forward

 

 

The Coming North Korean Crisis.

 

What Putin And Kim Want From Each Other.

 

A Form Of Preparation For War.

 

The Korea Model.

 

Today's Situation In Korea.

 

Major Case Study:

The Korean War in context

 

The news from N.Korea

 

The USA “ready to fight tonight” claim

 

Will the U.S. accept a nuclear N.Korea or intervene P.1

 

....N. Korea … Continue

 

 

What Proliferation Means For Global Security.

 

The Return Of Nuclear Escalation.

 

Confronting The New Nuclear Peril.

 

O

Oman

 

 

Major Case Study: 

Charting the future of Oman

 

P

 

Pacific War

Pakistan

Palestine: see Israel – Palestine – Jerusalem

Political Qigong

Psychology - Psychiatry

Putin

 

 

The Pacific Space.

 

The five days that made Pearl Harbours as a key for the worldwide war.

 

Part Eight Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Seven Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Six Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Five Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Four Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Three Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part Two Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Part One Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?

 

Pakistan

 

Imran Khan’s Long March.

 

The 10th anniversary of an assault that raised fears of war with Pakistan and why in the end it was about Kashmir

 

Predicaments of Pakistan in Afghanistan

 

For an overview of Pakistan enter here:

 

Introduction:

to support an Islamic State in Pakistan

 

…controlled by British political officers with the help of tribal chieftains...

Continue P.1

 

…Blood and chaos were everywhere."

Continue P.2

 

…some ways to think about territory, history, and ethnic belonging. Continue P.3

 

…key theories of nationalism.

Continue P.4

 

Who Made Pakistan? P.5: The Militarization of Pakistan

 

P.6 India's Backlash

 

…under civil/military rulers before turning Islamic during the last decade and a half. Continue P.7

 

With the case of Indonesia, India, and Pakistan…

 

 

 

Case Study:

The Politics of Qigong

 

Psychology - Psychiatry

 

Rationality and progress

 

The logic of human nature and causal networks

 

So what to do about bias?

 

The secrets behind the making of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part Three

 

The secrets behind the making of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part Two

 

The secrets behind the making of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part One

 

So what is with Psychological Science?

 

Here are eight ways how we can form more accurate views of the world

 

The Secret of Positive Thinking, Self Help books and Happiness

 

The Politically Incorrect Guide to Psychology and Psychiatry

 

From New Thought to Self Improvement Books

 

 

Putin And The Right

 

Q

 

Qatar

 

 

Two longtime rivals battle by proxy and why this crisis will get worse

 

Case Study:

Qatar's master strategy or opportunism?

 

R

Russia – Central Asia

Russia - Putin

Russia - Tsar

 

Russia – Central Asia

 

Agreement Not Be a Formal Binding.

 

To Sow that Fear in Moscow.

 

Russia’s Quest for a Gateway to Iran and the Middle East.

 

To Run the World.

 

Putin Threatens the West with "Special Ammunition."

 

Russia’s Pro-Putin Elites.

 

Foreign Propagandists.

 

The Russian Volunteer Corps.

 

The Anti-Western Club.

 

The Five Futures Of Russia.

 

Too Many European Politicians Are Failing To Confront Russia.

 

Like In The First World War?

 

What Putin And Kim Want From Each Other.

 

What The West Still Gets Wrong About Russia’s Military.

 

What It Will Take To Break Putinism’s Grip.

 

The Wagner Paramilitary Group.

 

Russian Ethnonationalism Chauvinism.

 

The Dangers Of Russian Disorder.

 

Think Twice Before You Launch A Conflict.

 

The War Of Endurance.

 

Blinded By The Fight.

 

Crimes Without Punishment?

 

China’s Affinity With Russia Is Over.

 

The Treacherous Path To A Better Russia.

 

How Wars Don’t End Ukraine, Russia, and the Lessons of World War I.

 

Prepare For A Brutal War.

 

1984 In Russia Today.

 

Stalin’s Secret Force.

 

The Latest News.

 

The Question Of Chinese Military Support For Russia.

 

A Partial Victory Will Solve Little.

 

The Coming Russia Disintegration.

 

The Presence Of Kishida In Kyiv And Xi In Moscow.

 

Russia And China Behind The Scenes.

 

The Limits Of Economic Warfare.

 

How To Prepare For Peace Talks In Ukraine.

 

The Russia That Might Have Been.

 

Looting As A Potential War Crime.

 

How Long Can This Not-Quite-Total War Be Sustained?

 

Russia’s Anti-Jewish Dimension.

 

Europe And Russia’s Aggression In Ukraine.

 

The War Will Go On Into Next Year.

 

Russian Patriotic Death Cult.

 

Russia Is Losing The War.

 

Can Moscow Learn From Its Failures In Ukraine?

 

Export Control Cooperation From Allies.

 

They Can Do Business With.

 

2023 Is The Decisive Year.

 

Why The Sanctions In Russia Are Already Biting Hard.

 

How Putin Is About To Lose His War.

 

The War Will Likely Continue Until The End Of 2023.

 

To Prepare For Russia’s Collapse.

 

Russia's Target Of 300,000 Additional Troops.

 

The Russian Crisis.

 

To Know Stalin And What Followed.

 

To Recognize The Stakes.

 

We Have To Prepare For Russia’s Defeat But Also Its Return.

 

A Decentralized Entity Can Reform Itself From The Inside Out.

 

In 1954, Crimea Was Transferred From Russia To Ukraine.

 

A Re-Assessment.

 

Why Policymakers Around The World Should Take Note.

 

Revisiting the Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Four.

 

Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Three.

 

Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Two.

 

Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part One.

 

What should not be taken off the table when talking with Putin

 

We show in seven maps how Ukraine came about

 

Major Case Study: 

Putin Has Long Tried to Balance Europe. Now He’s Working to Reset It

 

What the situation looks like going forward

 

Ukraine today

 

Why Putin believes Ukraine was given to Russia

 

Putin and the Cold War Part Two

 

Putin and the Cold War Part One

 

The transformation of the Russian Empire part two

 

The transformation of the Russian Empire part one

 

Why Putin claims that most of Ukraine “was given” to Russia

 

Gorbachev’s reforms

 

Imperial Russia and Qing China

 

Revealing Harbin’s interesting Russian history

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.7

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.6

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.5

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.4

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.3

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.2

 

Major Case Study:

Spys Invade Russia P.1

 

The Svalbard/Spitsbergen Saga

 

 

Major Case Study:

Was the Cold War inevitable?

 

A German and British plot to take the last Tsar  

 

Ukraine as a test case

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.6.

British spycraft in Bolshevist Russia

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.5.

What must develop into a civil war

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.4.

How North Russia evolved into its military phase

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.3.

The alleged protecting of supplies propaganda

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.2.

To mold irregular warfare into a method which honored the Imperial myth

 

Major Case Study:

When Spies invaded Russia P.1

 

Major Case Study:

Why is Ukraine so important to Russia

 

From Rasputin to little known aspects of Nicholas’s II abdication and the situation in Russia

 

British Imperial Agents invade Russia P.2: The British Banking scheme to control Russia’s economy and the Allied intervention

 

British Imperial Agents invade Russia P.1: here the lesser known aspects surrounding the events of 1918          

 

Captives of the Russian Civil War P.4: From White resurgence to the Anglo-Soviet Trade Agreement 

 

Captives of the Russian Civil War P.3: The rise and fall of Komuch’s People’s Army

 

Captives of the Russian Civil War P.2: The Counterrevolution and the Anatomy of Allied Intervention

 

Captives of the Russian Civil War P.1: Why and how the Czech Legion conquered the Siberian railway

 

Concerns Russia could use the alleged plot in Crimea to justify more military incursions into the Ukraine

 

…Russia vis a vis a US plane: We tell you why it happened

 

Russian Aristocrats, Putin, and European extreme right wing parties

 

The main question now is whether Russia will push back with what power it has left or find a way to compromise with this shifting worldview

 

Case Study:

The ‘decline of the West’ and a look behind Putin’s new Eurasianism

 

Intelligence scoop of what is happening with the Ukraine and the standoff between Russia the US and Europe:

 

Resurgence or is Russia Doomed? Continue:

 

Enter the Unfolding Crises in Europe and the Ukraine/Crimea:

 

The Qaddafi libel against Gorbachev and the last days of the Soviet Union

 

…Russia wants to increase its influence. …China might be concerned, plus… Continue:

 

Russian Eurasianism: A New Ideology of Empire?

 

Introduction

 

The Next European Battleground?

 

Russia’s Geostrategic Predicament and Power Today P1

 

Finding the West

 

following part

 

Introduction: Gorbachev’s Last Days

 

Case Study:

Russia’s Move Towards the Right

 

Global Jihad Case Study:

Central Asia P.1

 

Central Asia P.2

 

Central Asia P.3

 

Research Report:

Russia’s Geostrategic Roots Today

 

European policy that is about to change now …Comment

 

…more questions than answers.

Comment P.1

Comment P.2:

…transforming the face of Eurasia

 

Predicting the next half Year:

 

Russia’s New Map: The Third Rome

 

A History of Eurasianism

 

The New Map of Russia

 

Russia’s New Map P.2: A History of Panslavism

 

Russia’s New Map P.3

 

World Revolution: The Roots of Modern Russia

 

How the End of the Cold War Occurred

 

After the Cold War: America over the Brink

 

What Led To The Dissolution of The Soviet Union 1991

 

Central Asia: Why The Great Game Heats Up

 

Why The Great Game Heats Up P.2: Azerbaijan

 

 

Putin Threatens the West with "Special Ammunition."

 

Russia’s Pro-Putin Elites.

 

Putin And The Right.

 

Bolshevik Rule.

 

Too Many European Politicians Are Failing To Confront Russia.

 

What Does Putin Want?

 

What Putin And Kim Want From Each Other.

 

What It Will Take To Break Putinism’s Grip.

 

Why There Can Be No Negotiations With Putin.

 

The Beginning Of The End For Putin?

 

Crisis Abates, But Questions Remain.

 

Is Worse To Come From Putin?

 

How Putin Revived Stalinism.

 

Dictator Without Borders.

 

Putin’s Forever War.

 

Putin, The Suspect.

 

Putin Remains In Day-To-Day Government.

 

Sanctions Can Help End Putin’s Imperial Pretensions If The West Keeps Its Nerve.

 

The War Started Due To Putin's Policy Failure.

 

War in Ukraine Has Revealed About Putin’s Regime.

 

Indications Putin Decided To Give The Missile That Downed MH17.

 

They Can Do Business With.

 

2023 Is The Decisive Year.

 

How Putin Is About To Lose His War.

 

Calling Out Putin's Excuse.

 

Russia As State Sponsor Of Terrorism And More.

 

Putin And Ukraine’s Nuclear Reactors.

 

The Ukrainian Saboteurs Behind Enemy Lines.

 

Divide And Conquer.

 

The Polish Incident That Is Changing It.

 

We Investigate The Nonproliferation Conundrum.

 

Why Putin Gladly Tells You Is No Khrushchev.

 

What Is Needed For The Russian Economy To Grow.

 

China The Global Power And Russia The Junior Partner.

 

Putin And Stalin.

 

Turkey And Russia: Friends For Now.

 

What To Do About Putin.

 

We Assess The Possibility Of Regime Collapse.

 

The Outcome Of Significant Wars Ultimately Comes Down To Attrition.

 

The Way Forward For Russia.

 

Putin Puts Faith In The Poor Man's Weapon.

 

The War Might Last Another Year And What That Means.

 

Our Source In The Kremlin Speaks Up.

 

What Happens To Russia’s Periphery.

 

Why Today It Becomes More Likely Putin Will Lose This War. 

 

A Fear Greater Than Putin.

 

The End Of Putin’s Bargain With The People.

 

Climbing The Escalation Ladder.

 

How To Build A Better Order.

 

Policy For A World In Crisis.

 

Putin's Private Army.

 

Why Is There Little Hope For A Quick Rebound.

 

Wait For The Tide To Turn.

 

They Will Be Front And Center In Domestic And Global Politics.

 

Naturally, There Can Be No Excuse, Only Ruthless Punishment.

 

Assessment Of How The Russia-Ukraine War Is Progressing.

 

Peter Took Russia Into The Future. Putin Pushing It Back To The Past.

 

Russians Are In For A Rude Awakening This Fall.

 

There Is A Risk Of Serious Harm.

 

China Needs To Reach An Understanding And Russia Does Not.

 

Bad Timing Of Global Agriculture And Food Supply Chains.

 

Russia’s Security Concerns And Allay Its Anxieties.

 

China’s Motivations.

 

Fantasy Is Not History.

 

When The Economic Recovery Comes.

 

Putin’s Entire Ukraine Invasion Hinges On The Coming Battle Of Kherson.

 

Convicted For The Usurpation Of Power.

 

This Will Put One Side At A Disadvantage.

 

Russias Fifth Service.

 

The Ukraine/Russia War.

 

Fighting Climate Change Through Trade.

 

Time For New Trade Agreements.

 

What Next With The World Energy Situation.

 

Whose Middle East?

 

What If The War In Ukraine Spins Out Of Control?

 

Can Austria Stay Neutral?

 

Explaining How Far NATO Can Go.

 

Western Fears Of Putin.

 

Why Libya Could Be Putin’s, Trump Card.

 

The Case For Diplomacy.

 

He Has None.

 

This Is Not A Victory.

 

The Key To Victory In Ukraine.

 

A Need To Build A Better World Order.

 

A Global Cold War.

 

Part Eight From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Seven From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Six From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Five From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Four From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Three From 1917 To 2022.

 

Part Two From 1917 To 2022.

 

From 1917 To 2022.

 

The Hidden History Of The Glastonbury Festival.

 

Can Putin Survive?

 

Why The Russian Army Is Facing A Long, Grim Fight In Ukraine.

 

Why Do Russian Sanctions Persist As A Tool Of Diplomacy?

 

Why Ukraine Reached A Pivotal Moment.

 

Why Kyiv Needs An Immediate Solution.

 

The Why Of The Road To War.

 

The Putin Challenge.

 

Putin’s Challenge To The West.

 

Why Putin’s Ukraine War Is An Inflection Point For The West.

 

Why It Is Too Soon For A Lasting Diplomatic Settlement.

 

What Candidate Status Would Mean.

 

Russia’s Early Failures Doesn’t Make It Less Dangerous.

 

Russian Army Would Have To Collapse.

 

The End Of Climate Policy.

 

Why Does China Neither Endorse Nor Condemn Russian President Vladimir Putin’s War?

 

What The G7 Foreign Ministers Will Do.

 

Belgian Lessons.

 

What Will The Consequences Of Mobilization Be?

 

The Kremlin’s Questionable Worldview.

 

Understanding The Kremlin’s Worldview.

 

Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part One.

 

The Re-Invention Of History And National Identity.

 

Why The War In Ukraine Is Shifting.

 

Understanding Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part Three.

 

Understanding Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part Two.

 

Understanding Putin’s Worldview Part One.

 

The Wargame.

 

How Serious A Threat Is Putin.

 

The War About Food Supplies.

 

Infiltrating The Highest Level Of Government.

 

Meanwhile, Russians Are Fleeing Their Country In Doves.

 

Revealing Putin’s Inconsistencies While Striving For A New Empire.

 

Geostrategy Of Russia.

 

Putin’s Victory Speech.

 

The Murder Of General Wrangel An Equally Famous Ballerina.

 

The Atomic Option.

 

A “New” War, Twenty Years In The Making.

 

Exposure To Russian Intelligence Services.

 

Major Case Study: 

The Mongolia Factor.

 

Moscow’s Suez Moment.

 

What Putin Has In Mind Next.

 

Who Is The Tsar Of Russia.

 

 

Life For The Tsar.

 

S

 

Second World War, see also WWII

Slavery North America

South America

South Asia

Spy Agencies - Secret Intelligence Services

Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen

 

 

The Special Operations Executive In France And Elsewhere.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part Six.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part Five.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part Four.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part Three.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part Two.

 

Hitler's Aristocrats Part One.

 

Major Case Study: 

The Pearl Harbour attack and its consequences Part Two

 

Major Case Study: 

The Pearl Harbour attack and its consequences Part One

 

The post-WWII new order part two

 

The post-WWII new order part one

 

The old order is crumbling, and a new order is rising

 

Axis states understood they settled the moral low ground.

 

The Second World War created the conditions for transforming Europe and the entire global geopolitical order.

 

Creating a new world order part one.

 

How the various countries justified WWII Part One.

 

Major Case Study: 

From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II Part Four

 

Major Case Study: 

From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II Part Three

 

Major Case Study: 

From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II Part Two

 

Major Case Study: From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II Part One

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Sixteen

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Fifteen

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Fourteen

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Thirteen

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Twelve

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Eleven

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Ten

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Nine

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Eight

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Seven

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Six

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Five

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Four

Trianon (1919 and 1920)

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Three

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Two

 

Major Case Study:

Russia, Germany, and Poland Part One

 

How Britain hoped to avoid war with Germany in the 1930s

 

Major Case Study: 

The Vatican archives and World War II

 

When Britain gave Hitler the go-ahead

 

Hitler’s Bolshevism and the myth of the Jewish Conspiracy

 

 

Slavery North America

 

Major Case Study:

London, Madrid, and the creation of Washington, D.C.

 

South America

 

Case Study:

S.America P.1: Overview

Case Study:

S.AmericaP.2: Economic Musings

 

Case Study:

S.America P.3:

The Road to Independence

 

Case Study:

S.America P.4:

Che and Castro

 

Case Study:

S.America P.5:

From Chile to Brazil

 

…and distribution networks: Research Report

 

Hugo Chaves

 

Anonymous activists threaten to expose Mexican drug cartel secrets, here the context:

 

South Asia

 

A Nuclear Collision Course In South Asia.

 

Introduction

 

... traders that "turned sovereign". And Burke sought the impeachement of the companies Governor, Warren-Hastings...

 

History of Globalization: In and out of India P.1: The First Trade-Wars

 

History of Globalization: In and out of India P.2: The First Multinational Companies

 

So let us start with the most important one, language

 

a gendered/racial categorization of the Indian populace by the British gave rise to several stereotypes like the manly Sikh, the devious Maratha, and the loyal Gurkha

 

a reaction to the warfare 'with France in Europe', that 'The British Company' proceeded to involve itself more actively with 'local politics.' This becomes particularly apparent when one doesn't only consult British, but also French sources

 

Hindutva

The Secret Backround of the Kashmir Problem

 

…overview of Atlantis and Lemuria:

 

'World Hindu Council'

 

Bengal: Making a New Hinduism:

 

Politics or Culture?: The Making of Religion in India Today, P.1:

 

Politics or Culture?: The Making of Religion in India Today, P.2

 

Politics or Culture?: Hindu and Muslim Fundamentalism Today

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: The Anti Aryan Myth

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: Seek Mason, Will Travel

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: Are you a Sikh?

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: Polynesian Aryans

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: The Orion Myth

 

Reformed Aryans, in East and West: Aryan Christianity

 

our overview about India

 

Spy Agencies – Secret Intelligence Services

 

The Spy that Defeated the Nazis.

 

The Agents Who Risked All Behind Nazi Lines.

 

The Noor Inayat Khan Story.

 

The Spying Program.

 

How To Spy On China.

 

The Harrowing Story Of A Double Agent.

 

Possibility That Chinese Spy Balloon’s Path Over The US Was Accidental.

 

Why Are Meteorologists Tracking The Location Of The Chinese Balloon?

 

Codename Madeleine.

 

The Secretive PWE Political Warfare Executive.

 

The Inside World About Spy Agencies Revealed.

 

Meet the new world today’s spy agencies part three

 

Meet the new world today’s spy agencies part two

 

Important Case Study: 

Meet the new world today's spy agencies

 

Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen

 

 

The Path To A Regional Order.

 

The Measure Of Their Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.

 

Regional Conflicts Resemble World War II.

 

The Ongoing Houthi Attacks.

 

U.S. Strikes Targets In Syria.

 

Yemen's Humanitarian Crisis.

 

Time To Move On.

 

What Needs To Happen Next.

 

The Making Of The Middle East.

 

The Making Of The Modern Middle East Part 2.

 

The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.

 

Making of the Middle East's hidden history Part Two

 

Making of the Middle East's hidden history Part One

 

..conflict in Yemen seems anything but over

 

The Syrian civil war and the Middle East going forward

 

Did Aleppo's Grozny moment arrive? If there was ever any hope of salvaging the latest cease-fire in Syria, there isn't anymore

 

Investigating the never-ending Great War

 

As suggested by me earlier International rivalry and the battle for Syria

 

...Aleppo, question is for how long

 

…entered the Ramouseh Artillery Base… Who are the rebels and how will Assad and Russia respond

 

.. Syrian Civil War…The make or break battle currently underway, rebels appear to be losing

 

FM denounces "cynical game" of Syrian regime and rebuked Moscow

 

How close is ISIS to defeat, and will Turkey invade Syria?

 

Does the Middle East Need New Borders?

 

Fighting in Syria seen problematic for Damascus while exit strategy for Assad under discussion

 

Obama’s Syria and What the Confrontation Will Look Like:

 

The Sunni-Shia struggle

 

The Arab World in Transition 2013

 

Why the War in Syria will not end with the removal of the al Assad regime

 

Why Assad Won’t Use Chemical Weapons, yet why we should still be worried

 

The contradictory web that fuels conflicts in the Middle East

 

Upcoming turmoil in Asia?

 

Lebanon and what next with Syria: Charting the course of future events

 

Background forms the rebel Free Syrian Army supply lines in Lebanon

 

T

Taiwan

Taiwan Conundrum

Thailand

Turkey

Turkey In Context

 

 

The Perils of the Taiwan Strait.

 

Major Case Study:

The lead up to present-day China and the making of the ChinaTaiwan crisis

 

After Hong Kong deterrence vs Taiwan?

 

Taiwan going forward

 

Is China planning to take Taiwan by force?

 

 

Taiwan Conundrum

 

Thailand

 

Thailand, China, And The US.

 

Uighur terrorist attack in China, a shoot-out between the Koreas along their disputed maritime border and, to top it off, a coup in Thailand

 

Thailand and the Political and Economic Volatility in Important Markets  

 

The insurgency in Thailand: Multiple Dilemmas

 

Turkey

 

Erdogan’s Tumultuous Leadership.

 

Turkey In Context.

 

Will Erdogan Stay in Power?

 

Erdogan’s Foot-Dragging On Sweden And Finland Is Causing Headaches For Western Leaders.

 

Turkey And Russia: Friends For Now.

 

Turkey in context today

 

Conclusion about what is really happening in Turkey

 

Turkey's government fears second coup

 

Turkey’s new Sultanate

 

Why Turkey shot down the Russian Jet

 

more than a year ago …Turkey and Armenia…

 

Turkish bid for EU membership ….  today:

 

Introduction

 

Evolving Turkey P.1

 

Evolving Turkey P.2

 

Evolving Turkey P.3

 

Evolving Turkey P.4

 

Evolving Turkey P.5

 

aligned itself

 

former Islamist

 

Conclusion and Bibliography

 

Case Study:

…Turkish and Japanese foreign policies, and why. Continue...

 

 

Erdogan’s Tumultuous Leadership.

 

Erdogan And Hamas.

 

Turkey In Context

 

U

UAE

Ukraine

United Kingdom

United Nations, UN

United States

 

UAE

 

The UAE And Its Talest Building In The World

 

 

Agreement Not Be a Formal Binding.

 

How to Create a Durable Peace in Europe.

 

Stop Fearing Victory.

 

American Aid Alone Won’t Save Ukraine.

 

The Way Forward In Ukraine.

 

Obstacles To Diplomacy In Ukraine.

 

What NATO Membership Will Require.

 

Winning The Battle But Losing The War.

 

Why The War Might Defy Expectations.

 

Preparing For American Abandonment.

 

The Quiet Transformation.

 

The Ukraine-Taiwan Tradeoff.

 

All This Could Encourage Further Adventurism.

 

Negotiations Over Territory.

 

The Missing Escalation In Ukraine.

 

Will The West Abandon Ukraine?

 

What Ukraine Needs Right Now Is Time.

 

Ukraine And Next.

 

Back In The Ukraine Trenches.

 

The War Of Endurance.

 

Postwar Ukraine.

 

End In Sight For The Ukraine War.

 

Ukraine And The American War Machine.

 

How Wars Don’t End Ukraine, Russia, and the Lessons of World War I.

 

How The West Can Secure Ukraine’s Future.

 

What Really Happened To The Kakhovka Dam?

 

Let Ukraine Join NATO Now.

 

Vexing The Ukraine War On The Ground.

 

How Ukraine Learned To Fight.

 

Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive.

 

A Loophole In The Law.

 

Ukrainian War Going Forward.

 

Ukraine Today.

 

Why NATO Must Admit Ukraine.

 

A Partial Victory Will Solve Little.

 

Waiting On Weapons.

 

Ukraine And U.S. National Security.

 

The Presence Of Kishida In Kyiv And Xi In Moscow.

 

A Plan For Getting To The Negotiating Table.

 

The Promise Of Military Adaptation.

 

How To Protect Ukraine Without NATO Membership.

 

Ukraine’s Determination.

 

How To Prepare For Peace Talks In Ukraine.

 

The Conversations When Ukraine Wins.

 

Fortifying Ukraine.

 

Make The Position Of The Russian Military Untenable.

 

Key To The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

 

The Urgent Issues That Preoccupy Much Of The Developing World.

 

The War Will Go On Into Next Year.

 

An Even More Intransigent Regime.

 

Ukraine’s Coming Electricity Crisis.

 

What Ukraine Needs To Liberate Crimea.

 

Breakthrough In Ukraine.

 

Kennan On Ukraine.

 

Reading Like A Spynovel This is What Happened.

 

Why Some Wars Don’t End.

 

Russia As State Sponsor Of Terrorism And More.

 

Putin And Ukraine’s Nuclear Reactors.

 

The Ukrainian Saboteurs Behind Enemy Lines.

 

Divide And Conquer.

 

How The US Can Help.

 

The Situation Ukraine Is Facing This Winter.

 

We Analyse What The Result Of The Airstrikes Will Be.

 

Putin's Atomic Gamble.

 

Game-Changer For Current And Future Conflicts.

 

How Ukraine Can Take Back All Its Territory.

 

Ukraine As A Poison Pill For Putin.

 

Putin’s Eventual Replacement.  

 

Putin Threated Nuclear Response.

 

The UNGA Meeting.

 

The Nuclear Strike Aimed At Shock?

 

Mobilize, Retreat, Or Something In Between?

 

Why Support For Ukraine Will Withstand Russian Pressure.

 

Is Ukraine Going To Win This War?

 

Africa’s Ukraine Dilemma.

 

Xi Jinping's Strategic Predicament And The View From Washington.

 

From Ukraine to Taiwan.

 

Putin's Victory Speech.

 

 

 

How The World Lost Faith In The UN.

 

 

Palestine: a British Dilemma.

 

The Agents Who Risked All Behind Nazi Lines.

 

The Red Book.

 

Royalty And The Nazi's Part One.

 

The Secret History Of The Glastonbury Festival.

 

Sunak Hopes To Mend Fences With Europe.

 

The UK Today.

 

Why The House Of Windsor Will Ultimately Fall.

 

Can Sunak Save Britain?

 

The Limits Of Monarchy.

 

The UK Can Be Leading By Supporting.

 

The rise and fall of the Thomas Cook Group

 

Boris Johnson’s Majority Falls to One Seat, Heightening Chances of an Election

 

Boris is back…Today’s cabinet appointments sends a clear signal however

 

The next steps of Theresa May

 

"We're out", well sort of. The Implications and Germany's nightmare:

 

What will happen after Brexit:

 

United States

 

Their Words Should be Taken Seriously.

 

Will America and China Heed the Warnings.

 

But He Cannot Fire Them.

 

Where the Case Stands Now.

 

Can America’s Special Relationship With Israel Survive?

 

How One Man Seduced the U.S. Navy.

 

The End of NATO?

 

The Ongoing Investigation.

 

Washington’s Fears About Energy Markets.

 

Why U.S. Credibility And Resolve Is At Stake.

 

The Tiktok Ban Shows How Decisions End Up Rushed.

 

Why TikTok Needs To Get Out Of The Hands Of The Chinese Government.

 

Showing An Industrial Strategy.

 

Blinken-Xi Talks Also Highlight Continued Areas Of Disagreement.

 

The Patron’s Dilemma.

 

The Politicization Of The U.S. Military.

 

Japan Defense And China Springboard.

 

US New World War.

 

Explaining America’s Global Role.

 

The New American Way Of Trade How The USMCA Does What NAFTA Couldn’t.

 

Bracing For Trump 2.0.

 

The West Needs A Strategy For After The Counteroffensive.

 

Why America And China Will Be Enduring Rivals.

 

Can America Protect The Peaceful Transfer Of Power?

 

How To Boost Cooperation.

 

The Formula For Managing Migration.

 

The Overlooked Influences On Donald Trump.

 

Think Twice Before You Launch A Conflict.

 

The Global South.

 

Living On The Edge.

 

How Institutional Balancing Promotes Stability In Asia.

 

Ukraine And The American War Machine.

 

The Virtue Of Low Expectations.

 

The U.S.-Chinese Economic Relationship.

 

Spread Too Thin?

 

Ukraine And U.S. National Security.

 

A Plan For Getting To The Negotiating Table.

 

The New Age Of Great-Power Competition.

 

The Leaked Documents.

 

America Fill The Missile Gap.

 

The Promise Of Military Adaptation.

 

How Elites Misread Public Perceptions Of The War.

 

We Investigate A Sorbid History Under Pressure.

 

The US Is Indispensable To Israel’s Safety And Security.

 

China Is A Paper Tiger.

 

Technology Defines The Future Of Geopolitics.

 

Does Technology Win Wars?

 

Rattled By China, The U.S., And Its Allies Are Beefing Up Defenses In The Pacific.

 

How Biden White House Operated Under Cloak-And-Dagger Secrecy.

 

Far-Right Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.

 

America Is Back.

 

U.S. To Boost Military Role In Philippines As Fear Of Taiwan Conflict Grows.

 

Export Control Cooperation From Allies.

 

What To Expect From Xi's Third Term.

 

What To Expect From The Xi-Biden Meeting.

 

Have Americans, As Is Claimed, Been Conned?

 

Is A Major War To Come?

 

The United States Does Not Need To Beat China.

 

A candid look at the why two atomic bombs

 

What the situation looks like going forward

 

Revisiting the Paranoid Style in American Politics

 

The election could be a highly fluid situation

 

The Cost of Chaos review

 

Major Case Study:

The secret background of the attack on Pearl Harbor part two

 

Major Case Study:

The secret background of the attack on Pearl Harbor part one

 

Major Case Study: 

The origins of Trumpology

 

Why Washington should push for a resolution to a disastrous war

 

The racist lie that is fueling the US terrorist attacks

 

Includes update 20 April 2019:  Why Robert Mueller is ending his report

 

How Israeli, Saudi, and Emirati officials influenced Trump to strike a bargain with Putin

 

What Robert Mueller Knows

 

The Trump/Russia investigation what can be said today

 

Woodrow Wilson, Versailles, and the making of Eastern Europe

 

American Ascendance P.1: Asia in the New Spatial Order

 

American Ascendance P.2: The China Blockade

 

American Ascendance P.3: The Japan Blockade

 

American Ascendance P.4: Opium War

 

The Anglo-Saxon Ascendancy: A Concise Overview P.1

 

The Anglo-Saxon Ascendancy: A Concise Overview P.2

 

over the course of the Mexican Revolution

 

...glaring misadventures in Iraq

 

America at a Crossroads P.1:

The Truth about the Cold War

 

America at a Crossroads P.2:

Superpower Politics

 

America at a Crossroads P.3:

Anti-Americanism

 

America at a Crossroads P.3:

The Last 'WWIII'

 

Possible Future Conflicts from a US Point of View

 

V

 

Venezuela

Venice

 

 

The worsening situation will make 2015 a crucial year for Venezuela:

 

 

The history of Venice beyond 2021

 

 

W

 

Warsaw Pact

World - World Economy - History - Politics

WWI, see also First World War

WWII, see also Second World War

 

Warsaw Pact

 

The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact part three

 

The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact part two

 

The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact

 

 

World - World Economy - History - Politics

 

Requiem for Hyperglobalization.

 

The Hidden Driver of Modern History.

 

Sixty-Eight Countries Will Hold Elections.

 

Deglobalization.

 

The Farmer Who Feel the Heat First.

 

Infrastructure Is Remaking Geopolitics.

 

The Rest Of The World.

 

Why It Will Not Surprise.

 

The Rising Threat Of Illiberal Democracy.

 

Their Failure To Act Fast Enough On Climate Change Violates Their Human Rights.

 

Why Academic Links Are Essential In A Fragmenting World.

 

The World Outside The Great Powers.

 

Why It’s So Hard To Forecast Authoritarian Aggression.

 

How To Reduce The Vulnerabilities That Free Markets Create.

 

There’s No Such Thing As A Great Power.

 

The State Of The World.

 

The World To Come.

 

Why The World Still Needs Trade.

 

Political Violence In Authoritarian Societies.

 

The Defence Of Global Order And Address Global Crises.

 

Make The Center Vital Again.

 

How To Survive A Great-Power Competition.

 

Managing A Multipolar World.

 

How The Fight For Resources Is Upending Geopolitics.

 

Tackling The Opportunity For Change.

 

Counter Autocracy.

 

2023 Anual Forecast.

 

The World Has Changed.

 

Those Who Cannot Remember The Past Are Condemned To Repeat It.

 

Understanding The World By Means Of A Geopolitical Approach.

 

This Highlights A Socio-Economic Challenge That The World Needs To Tackle Before It Gets Worse.

 

The Long-Term Trend Is Concerning.

 

What To Expect In 2023.

 

Remaining Robust Enough When Malign Actors Are Denied Access.

 

The World Faces A Zeitenwende.

 

Let Us Be The Last Generation To Do So.

 

The Profound Economic And Financial Shift.

 

The Direction Of The World Economy.

 

The Global Effects Going Forward.

 

What the situation looks like going forward

 

China's pursuit of greatness

 

Economics and real-time revolution

 

From East to West and back to East?

 

A few countries to look out for the next six months

 

How the end of an age is not the same as the end of history

 

Major Case Study:

The outlook of the world in 2020

 

What 2020 will bring P.2

 

What 2020 will bring P.1

 

From new economics to new politics

 

Major Case Study:

North and South Korea, China, Russia, the US, Iran, Mexico, India, Central and South America, Turkey, and so on

 

A look at other developments going forward in 2017

 

Forecast for Asia, Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, Former Soviet Union, Middle East/North Africa, South Asia, Latin America

 

Apocaliptic Politics During the 20st Century and Beyond

 

World Finance

Introduction

 

World Finance Today:

Worldwide History of Stock Markets and Economics

 

World Finance Today:

Worldwide History of Inshurance Risks

 

World Finance Today:

Worldwide History of the Housing Bubble

 

Following an assessment of current finance crash; the international situation, Europe, China/Japan and S.America, plus Korea…Continue...

 

The Genetics of Finance: Putting the Credit Crisis in Perspective

 

WWI, see also First World War

 

The tribulations and consequences of the Treaty of Versailles

 

Why World War I was pivotal to the creation of the modern Middle East

 

Shantung the Versailles Treaty and the Manchurian episode

 

A new investigation why the First World War broke out

 

The Real Russian Origins of the First World War

 

Major Case Study:

What led to the Frist World War P.1

 

Major Case Study:

What led to the Frist World War P.2

 

Major Case Study:

What led to the Frist World War P.3

 

What led to the First World War P.4

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.1:

The ‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.2:

The Arab question and the ‘shocking document’ that shaped the Middle East

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.3:

The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.4:

The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.5:

The Syrian question

 

From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle East P.6:

The Paris Peace Conference deliberations

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.6:

The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’, and the British

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.7:

The unresolved sectarian issue in Lebanon today

 

From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle East P.8:

British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and the Syria crisis today

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3

 

The true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.4

 

WWI's Religious Ideology

 

From Colonization to de-Colonization

 

…newly researched documents...took this a step further

 

From Shandong to Versailles: China's participation in the First World War

 

Why We were Entering a Century of Genocide

 

The second First World War

 

The conspiracy theory that gave rise to Hitler:

 

P.1 Reparations and the famous Article 231

 

Investigating the never-ending Great War

 

WWII, see also Second World War

 

 

From Hitler to Stalin P.1

 

From Hitler to Stalin P.2

 

From Hitler to Stalin P.3

 

From Hitler to Stalin P.4

 

From Hitler to Stalin P.5

 

The Nazi Documents P.1: The Russian Connection

 

The Secret War Between the Allies:

The Final Secret of WWII: The Murder of Hitler

 

The Secret Archive

 

Hess/Hitler overture to England

 

The Mistake of Peter Longerich

 

Alternative Histories of the 20 to 21 Century we start with the making of WWII today

 

…the Cold War: Continue:

 

Comment

 

Asia and Cold War

 

The Vatican’s War P.1

 

The Vatican’s War P.2

 

The Vatican’s War P.3

 

From Belgium to Kosovo Research

 

The Vatican’s War P.4 

 

The Vatican’s War P.5

 

The Nazi/Vatican Connection P.6

 

The Valkyrie Debate P.1

 

The Valkyrie Debate P.2

 

The Valkyrie Debate P.3

 

Protestant Nazi Hopes P.1

 

Protestant Nazi Hopes P.2

 

Protestant Nazi Hopes P.3

 

Protestant Nazi Hopes P.4

 

Protestant Nazi Hopes P.5: Conclusion

 

Z

 

Zionism

 

 

The way to Zionism Part Three

 

The way to Zionism Part Two

 

The way to Zionism

 

Esoterica going Mainstream

 

Esotericism, Freemasonry, and Conspiracy

 

main aspects of Western esoteric traditions have their foundations in antiquity

 

Case Study:

From Numerology to Magic and Esoteric Christianity

 

Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.1

 

Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.2

 

Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.3

 

New History of the Hermetica P.1: Hermes Times Three

 

New History of the Hermetica P.2: The Sabian Myth

 

New History of the Hermetica P.3: Middle East Disporea

 

The Rosicrucians

 

Freemasonry

 

The Occult Revival in America P.1

 

The Occult Revival in America P.2

 

Alleged New Age Religions

 

the Goetheanum

 

Harry Potter 6 and Gnosis: The Search for the Higher Self

 

founder of Scientology L.R. Hubbard to create a 'moonchild' by means of 'Magic'

 

first ever history of this idea rooted as it is, in Paracelsian Magic

 

Reincarnation: The Invention of a Modern Myth

 

New Age or Emerging Religions?

 

The 1920's Vinland Map - A Legend is Born

 

Alternative History books:

 

The Nazi Occult Myth

 

ABC News UFO's: The Day After

 

UFO's as Conspiracy Theory

 

From Esotericism to Pop Culture

 

From Esotericism to Pop Culture P.2

 

Update

From Aleister Crowley to Scientology

 

Case Study:

New Religious Movements –

Rudolf Steiner/Waldorf Schools P.1 of 2

 

We successfully questioned the term "Gnostic" and "Gnosticism"

 

Dan Brown's two recent books

 

Case Study:

New Religious Movements -

Spiritualism P.1

 

Case Study:

New Religious Movements:

Spiritualism P.2

 

Case Study New Religious Movements

Spiritualism P.3

 

Case Study New Religious Movements

Spiritualism P.4

 

Case Study New Religious Movements

Spiritualism P.5

 

Case Study New Religious Movements

Spiritualism P.6

 

P.1: The Making of Spiritism

 

P.2: Christian Spiritist Conversion

 

P.3: To England Now

 

P.4: Occult Orders

 

P.5: Taming the Wild Spirits

 

P.6: Revelation of the Revelation

 

P.7: Text Related Occult Conversions

 

P.8: An Occult Sociological Profile

 

P.9: Phenomena on Trial

 

P.10: Theosophical Fights

 

P.11: Nazis and The Occult

 

P.12: Cults of the Self

 

P.13: The Esoteric

 

P.14: The Never Ending Mystery?

 

P.15: Psychic Androginity

 

P.16: Cosmological Searches

 

Comment: The Forgotten Monarchy Discovered

 

From Robert Anton Wilson to the Da Vinci Code Prank: The Californian Illuminati

 

Introducing H.P. Blavatsky

 

H.P.Blavatsky and her 'Masters' of the Theosophical Society

 

Search For Astral Projection: The Investigation

 

The Hodgson Report

 

The Hodgson Report P.2

 

The Hodgson Report P.3

 

Finding the Theosophical Masters and Mahatmas

 

Blavatsky's Final Work

 

After Blavatsky P.1: Krishnamurti, the Fashioning of a Mahatma

 

After Blavatsky P.2: Fashioning the Future Race

 

Race and Literary Nationalism

 

Enter Scientology:

 

Investigating, UFOs Seeing is Believing?

 

The Secret of the Cabalah/ Qabbalah

 

New History of Jewish Kabbalism

 

Establishing the Christian Kabbalah, P.1: Rewriting Frances A. Yates

 

Establishing the Christian Kabbalah, P.3: F.M. van Helmont

 

Zosimos of Panopolis and the Book of Enoch

While somnambulist ventures like the Course in Miracles have been well researched

 

The Key of Solomon P.1: The Making of Witchcraft

 

The Key of Solomon P.2: Occult Science

 

The Key of Solomon

P.3: Magical Revival

 

Conspiracy Theories P.1

 

Conspiracy Theories P.2

 

Conspiracy Questions or Answers?

 

The Rise and Fall of the Silver Shirts

 

auf Deutsch

Towards "a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.1

 

auf Deutsch

Towards "a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.2

 

auf Deutsch

Towards "a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.3

 

Neoplatonism, Philology and Nationalism

 

Geschichtliche Entwicklung des Ariermythos

 

The True Story Behind "The Aquarian Gospel" Movie:

 

Conspiracy Theories

 

DaVinci Code Matrix

 

From Invented Witchcraft To The Carlos Castaneda's legacy

 

The 'Werdegang' of Mary Wigman:

 

The 'Werdegang' of Mary Wigman P.2:

 

Inventing The Mormon Tradition

 

Major Case Study:

Paganism and Early Christianity in N. Europe P.2

 

The Positive Thinking Movement P.2

 

Case Study:

Ungern P.1: The Revolution

 

Self Help Books as Popular Culture: Introduction 

 

Self Help Books as Popular Culture P.1

 

Self Help Books as Popular Culture P.2

 

 

 

Eric Vandenbroeck world-news-research.com

 

Flooding in New York today:

 

17 July: Within Russia, Putin has many options. He commands the infrastructure for mass mobilization, including the security services and the state-controlled media. He could enact a ruthless, ideological conscription campaign with harsh punishments for those unwilling to enlist. If Putin has so far refrained from traveling down this path, it is not because he is unwilling to deploy coercive power in Russia but because he is hesitant to destroy the calm that he has so painstakingly fashioned. Were he to abandon that equilibrium, Putin would end up waging a fanatic’s war in Ukraine, dragging Russia further in and wreaking ever greater havoc on the Ukrainian people. The Limits of Putin’s Balancing Act; What the Kremlin Will Sacrifice in Pursuit of Victory in Ukraine.

 

16 July: Trump has thus ended, or at least paused, the U.S. policy of strategic altruism. If successive U.S. leaders refrained from asking, “What can India do for us?” the current administration is shouting this question from the rooftops. Indeed, it is instructive that the administration has conditioned a broader dialogue with New Delhi on India acceding to several key demands. How India Can Placate America In a Reversal, It’s Time for New Delhi to Be Generous With Washington.

 

16 July: NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte met U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on 14 July 2025 to advance critical efforts in support of Ukraine’s defense against Russian aggression. Speaking to the press in the Oval Office, Rutte hailed President Trump’s pivotal decision to ensure Ukraine receives essential military resources, with NATO coordinating the effort with funding from Allies in Europe and Canada. The EU’s 27 Governments Have To Unanimously Approve the Plan.

 

16 July: Taking ownership of a renewed global push to recognize the state of Palestine and make it a reality on the ground would be the kind of dramatic reversal that perhaps only a leader as unconstrained by traditional political considerations and as personally mercurial as Trump could pull off. It’s unlikely to happen. And it would not alone be enough. But recognizing Palestine and forcing an end to the war in Gaza represents Trump’s best path to forging a new nuclear agreement with Iran, consolidating U.S. partnerships in the Gulf, and proving that he really can do better on foreign policy than his predecessors did. The Promise and Peril of Recognizing Palestine: Can a Two-State Solution Still Emerge From a One-State Reality?

 

15 July: In a contested world, the United States must be able to marshal both economic sticks and economic carrots. The first step is to articulate a doctrine for how, when, and why coercive tools are used. The second is to build the institutional muscle to deploy them with foresight. The third - and perhaps most vital - is to ensure that U.S. economic power is not guided by brute force but instead reflects a principled ambition to advance resilience at home, opportunity abroad, and innovations that shape a freer and secure world. The Right Way to Wield America’s Economic Power Without Statecraft, Even the Most Powerful Tools Will Be Self-Defeating.

 

15 July: The tasks ahead are difficult. They require a fundamental rethinking of how to manage economies, businesses, and investments. But if leaders are capable of rising to the challenge - and they should be, bolstered by the coming diffusion of exciting innovations - the world can do more than just navigate the storm. It can emerge stronger and more prosperous than it was before. Is America Breaking the Global Economy? What an Age of Economic Uncertainty Will Mean for the World.

 

15 July: Experience shows that a wounded proliferator learns from the attacks it survives, hardens its infrastructure, and returns to the task with greater secrecy and political resolve. Bombs can buy time; only diplomacy can buy lasting security. Why Force Fails to Stop Nuclear Proliferation: Only Diplomacy Can Ultimately Keep Iran From Getting the Bomb.

 

14 July: Victor Orban describes Hungary as being at a crossroads. "There is a path leading to a democratic transition from this semi-authoritarian, semi-constitutional system," he argues, "and there is a despotic path leading to a dictatorship." But Just As He Reaches the Height of His Fame Abroad, The Carpet Is Being Tugged from Under His Feet at Home.

 

14 July: The likelihood of a ceasefire in Gaza could turn on whether Israel meets a core demand of Hamas to stop a successful effort to feed the Palestinian people. Feeding Gazans, Not Letting Hamas Extort Them, and Paying a Price.

 

14 July: Visiting Baixiangju.

 

Smog In Grand Canyon National Park Due To Nearby Wildfires:

 

14 July: Recently, President Netanyahu addressed the war with Iran and said that the IRGC "rushed to weaponize enriched uranium after the fall of Hezbollah and the collapse of the axis." "We saw it. We said, within a year they will have a nuclear bomb - and they will use it," he continued. "Unlike other nuclear powers, they will use it, and they will wipe us out." The majority of Israelis support a comprehensive agreement that would return all hostages and fallen soldiers in a single phase in exchange for ending the war in Gaza. It Is Worthwhile to Look at How It All Started.

 

13 July: A grand bargain can only work if Israel and the United States align their strategies. The United States must allow Israel to confront emerging threats and strengthen the region’s security architecture. Israel, meanwhile, must help the United States shift its focus and resources toward higher-priority theaters, such as the Indo-Pacific. The Post-Iranian Middle East: America and Israel Can Build a New Regional Order.

 

12 July: Bangladesh’s ousted Sheikh Hasina charged with crimes against humanity. Former Leader, Who Is Hiding in India, Indicted Over Deadly Crackdown on Anti-Government Protests Last Year.

Hamas hands 'positive' ceasefire response, Israeli security cabinet to convene Saturday night. The Response Should Help Hamas and Israel Facilitate Reaching a Deal.

 

Russia’s top goal may no longer be taking Ukrainian territory. Capturing territory may no longer be Russia’s top priority at this stage of the war. Instead, some analysts say, Putin Wants To Grind Down Their Smaller Neighbor’s Forces and Equipment and Sap Support Both Among Ukrainian Civilians and in the West.

 

The spiritual leader of Tibetan Buddhists, the Dalai Lama, turned 90 on July 6 after a week of celebrations by followers during which he riled China again and spoke about his hope to live beyond 130 and reincarnate after dying. The Dalai Lama Said He Would Reincarnate As the Leader of the Faith Upon His Death.

 

Musk says he is forming a new political party after the fallout with Trump. Elon Musk and the Far-Right German Political Party With Ties To Neo-Nazis.

 

Instead of viewing AI as a despotic, robotic overlord, developers need to present it more as a super-intelligent member of people’s existing online crowds. That does not mean people place blind faith in AI or use it to displace human-to-human interactions; that would be disastrous. But it would be equally foolish to reject AI simply because it seems alien. AI, like humans, has the potential to do good and bad and to act in trustworthy and untrustworthy ways. If we want to unlock the full benefits of AI, we need to recognize that we live in a world where trust in leaders is crumbling, even as we put more faith in the wisdom of crowds - and ourselves. The challenge, then, is to use this digital boost to the wisdom of crowds to make us all wiser. AI and the Trust Revolution: How Technology Is Transforming Human Connections.

 

Ukraine’s fight represents a watershed in modern warfare. Kyiv has shown that it is possible to hold a stronger adversary at bay with advanced, affordable, and adaptable drones and other defense technologies. The United States must continue to help Ukraine defend itself against Russian aggression, and as the Trump administration seeks more in return, Ukraine should help the United States turbocharge its innovation. Both countries will be better and stronger for it. Ukraine’s Drone Revolution and What America Should Learn From It.

 

North Korea knows that it lucked out the last time around and didn’t end up paying a hefty price for walking away - saved, as it was, by China’s tensions with the United States and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Now, however, Pyongyang should be interested in a deal that grants it greater economic autonomy as well as distance from potentially dangerous neighbors. It Might Be Interested In a Deal, In Other Words, In Case Its Luck Runs Out.

 

Whether or when the country will obtain the ultimate deterrent remains an open question. But what is clear is this: Iran is unbowed and unlikely to behave differently than it did before. That means Israel may decide to strike again. Iran could swiftly retaliate. The conflict between these parties is far from over, and the Middle East should expect more turbulence ahead. The Islamic Republic’s New Lease on Life: How the U.S.-Israeli Strikes Empowered the Iranian Regime.

Elon Musk's Grok Chatbot Goes Full Nazi, Calls Itself ‘MechaHitler.' But We Have Seen This Before.

 

America’s gun violence is driving agony and contempt among its allies and handing easy talking points to its rivals, both of which erode the United States’ advantages. With his cuts to cultural diplomacy, U.S. President Donald Trump shows little overt interest in retaining the United States’ soft-power edge. But his administration remains intensely interested in making U.S. exports successful, both for the sake of American companies’ bottom lines and for the United States’ reputation as a maker and purveyor of cutting-edge goods. Gun violence has become a cutting-edge U.S. export - but one that will harm, not help, its positive balance of power. If U.S. policymakers do not take gun violence more seriously, they will only ensure that this balance goes further off kilter. American Gun Violence Goes Global: How Its Spread Is Distorting and Diminishing U.S. Soft Power.

 

Although U.S. firms excel in software and services, areas that are also expected to make significant productivity gains as a result of AI adoption, the United States has ceded ground to China in recent decades in physical industries, including manufacturing, logistics, energy, and infrastructure. With its state-driven industrial policy and massive manufacturing base, China can deploy AI at scale within these sectors and might unleash dramatic productivity gains that lead it to finally surpass the U.S. economy. The Real AI Race America Needs More Than Innovation to Compete With China.

 

Amid the ongoing exchange of fire between Israel and the Houthis, marked by ballistic missiles from Yemen and Israeli airstrikes on Red Sea ports, a surprising detail has come to light. UN Officials Have Expressed Frustration Over the Situation.

 

Rich countries around the world are watching one another for policy models. If the Supreme Court’s June 23 decision on deportations to South Sudan opens the floodgates from the United States, it will likely start a global race to the bottom. The Sordid History of Offshoring Migrants: Trump Is Only the Latest to Embrace a Costly and Immoral Tactic.

 

The best way to prevent a future war in Europe is to ensure Moscow never dares to start one. This will require Washington and its European partners to design a careful and coordinated handover plan. The United States must inform its partners exactly where any new gaps will appear, well in advance of their emergence. The United States must inform its partners exactly where any new gaps will be, well in advance of their appearance. How Russia Could Exploit a Vacuum in Europe: The Dangers of a Rapid Drawdown in American Forces.

 

Mobilizing frozen Russian assets for rebuilding Ukraine while also integrating the country into Western supply chains, protecting its rare mineral resources, and anchoring it firmly and irreversibly within the Euro-Atlantic economic and security architecture. Anything less risks repeating the aftermath of the 2008 war in Georgia, when the West’s desire for calm rewarded Russian aggression and left a Western-bound democracy out in the cold. Georgia’s Warning for Ukraine: A Cease-Fire Alone Would Hardly End Russia’s Quest for Dominance.

 

Rafael Grossi stated that Iran could start enriching uranium for a bomb within months, UN nuclear chief says. Rebuffing Trump.

 

The new U.S. national security strategy is in its early stages and, like containment, will need to be refined over time. The United States will be Asia-focused and China-focused for many years to come. It now falls on both supporters and critics of the Trump administration to develop alternative versions of prioritization that minimize its costs and risks. Strategies of Prioritization: American Foreign Policy After Primacy.

 

Defense Minister Israel Katz claimed last week that the Air Force had struck the “Destruction of Israel” clock in Tehran’s Palestine Square, counting down to Israel’s predicted demise in 2040. It’s not clear that the clock was smashed. If it were, Iran would doubtless fix it. And, we know full well, it was aiming to achieve the goal of rubbing out Israel a lot earlier than 2040. Iran Was a Decision and a Few Weeks Away From Nuclear Weapons. But Unlike Gaza 2023, Israel Had Been Watching.

 

Reindustrialization is not about nostalgia but about renewal. The United States can no longer rest on its reputation as the country that invents the future, but must build the infrastructure and deploy the technologies to deliver that future. The United States does not need to become China, nor is that even possible. But China has grasped a crucial point: economic prosperity for future generations hinges on investing in a twenty-first-century industrial base. Now, it is time for the United States to do the same. To Compete Like China, America Should Build Like China.

 

Victory for Ukraine may not come quickly, cheaply, or easily. But it is still possible and will likely cost fewer lives and resources than a perpetuation of the status quo. What remains to be seen is whether the West, especially Europe, is willing to summon the political will to secure this brighter future. Ukraine Can Still Win. Western Half Measures Have Prolonged the War, but Decisive Action Now Could End It.

 

Trump is enamored of the United States’ natural resources – its oil and natural gas, its timber, its agriculture. The country’s unparalleled intelligence community is another precious resource, a pillar of the “greatness” Trump strives for. Ensuring American security today and for future generations depends on his good stewardship of this national treasure. Hear No Evil.

 

The Dalai Lama has announced that he will have a successor after his death, continuing a centuries-old tradition that has become a flashpoint in the struggle with China’s Communist Party over Tibet’s future. Tibetan Buddhism’s Spiritual Leader Made the Declaration on Wednesday in a Video Message to Religious Elders Gathering in Dharamshala, India.

 

Will Hamas adhere to the ceasefire?

The post–Cold War power shift generated optimism that an active and well-resourced global civil society would change the world for the better. But the NGO sector was never impervious to political challenges or financial constraints. What the optimists did not foresee was that power could eventually shift back. The End of the Age of NGOs? How Civil Society Lost Its Post–Cold War Power.

 

In a long-sought first, researchers have sequenced the entire genome of an ancient Egyptian person, revealing unprecedented insight about the ancestry of a man who lived when the first pyramids were built. Some periods are dismissed as prefaces, others as postfaces, but Egypt is one of those. Museumgoers will likely know the division of ancient Egyptian history into Old, Middle, and New Kingdoms. But Now We Know More About Who Their Ancestors Were.

 

With only economic interests in alignment, relations between Beijing and Washington were plagued by mixed motives, as leaders navigated conflicting pressures to cooperate and compete. U.S. President Bill Clinton, for instance, devised a rationale for doubling down on economic interests that he thought could one day lead to strategic alignment: using free trade and investment as a means to integrate China into the U.S.-led global order. With Deng’s successor Jiang Zemin deepening reformist policies, China seemed willing to play ball. The net result was spectacular growth in U.S.-Chinese trade and the start of negotiations that led to China’s accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001. The U.S. and Chinese Economies Have Been Deeply Intertwined Ever Since.

 

A diplomat’s fall from a balcony, a military attaché’s sudden illness, a local employee of the Swiss embassy who was stabbed and shot in the hand while walking to work, and a Swiss tourist’s alleged suicide in prison. Switzerland warns of Iran threat as diplomats’ deaths re-examined. Switzerland’s Intelligence Service Said Wednesday That Iranian Espionage Posed a Growing Threat to Swiss Diplomats.

 

The US now has a chance, in concert with the region’s leaders, to more permanently stabilize the region and dramatically reduce its non-stop diplomatic crisis management and half century of nearly continuous combat operations. It Should Seize the Moment.

 

Historically, countries that fail to adapt effectively to changes in the character of war are less capable of deterring their adversaries and more likely to lose future wars. Japanese airpower destroyed supposedly impregnable British battle cruisers in the Pacific at the outset of World War II. In the Hundred Years’ War, England used the longbow to end the era of the mounted knight by defeating France at the Battle of Crécy. If the United States continues to underinvest in precision mass to complement its legacy investments, it may not face such a dramatic fate. But Its Deterrence May Deteriorate At The Hands of Adversaries Who Believe They Can Bleed U.S. Resolve.

 

The church is by the airport. Inside Russia’s Suspected Spy Activities in Sweden.

 

An unprecedented moment - but what the US and Iran do next could be even more momentous. US-Iran War Today.

 

Iran fires missiles toward US military bases in Qatar and Iraq: Iraq: Iran has launched missiles at a US airbase in Qatar in response to strikes on its nuclear sites on Saturday. What We Know About the US Strikes on Three Iranian Nuclear Sites.

 

In the years to come, the alliances it took decades to foster will begin to wither, and U.S. rivals will waste no time in leaping to exploit the resulting vacuum. Some of Washington’s partners may wait for a while, hoping that their American friends will come to their senses and try to reestablish something akin to the traditional U.S. leadership role. But there is no going all the way back; their faith and trust have been irreparably damaged. And they won’t wait long, even for an American return to form that would amount to less than a full restoration. Soon, they will move on - and so will the rest of the world. Disposable Nation: America in a Post-American World.

 

US air strikes failed to destroy Iran’s nuclear sites, sources say. A Preliminary U.S. Intelligence Assessment Determined that U.S. Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facilities Only Set Its Nuclear Program Back by a Matter of Months.

 

If the United States does not urgently prepare for the impending nuclear hurricane, it could find itself in a place it has never been: a situation in which China, North Korea, or Russia - acting separately or in concert - uses a nuclear weapon against a U.S. ally or even the U.S. homeland because Washington appears to be unwilling or unable to deter such an attack. How to Survive the New Nuclear Age: National Security in a World of Proliferating Risks and Eroding Constraints.

 

U.S. officials now have to make a choice. They can spurn Europe and face a more dangerous world alone and depleted. Or they can forge a new, more accommodating transatlantic relationship. They will face obstacles in attempting the latter, given all that has changed. But the two parties have nearly a century of shared experience. Their friendship can prevail. Beware the Europe You Wish For: The Downsides and Dangers of Allied Independence.

 

Iran’s nuclear facilities have been smashed, but the race toward a bomb may be gathering pace. US President Donald Trump quickly heralded the US strikes on Iran as a “spectacular military success,” saying the Islamic Republic’s nuclear facilities were “totally obliterated.” Trump pushes back after leaked report suggests Iran strikes had limited impact.

 

Ayatollah Khamenei may now be confident that his regime has survived, just. But at the age of 86 and ailing, he also knows that his days may be numbered, and he may want to ensure continuity of the regime with an orderly transition of power to another senior cleric or even a council of leadership. In any case, the remaining top commanders of the Revolutionary Guard who have been loyal to the supreme leader may be seeking to wield power from behind the scenes. Few People in Iran Think That the Ceasefire Brokered on Monday Will Last.

 

Casualties, particularly from diplomatic skirmishes with Trump, were fewer than expected. Only Spain caught flak from the US president over its foot-dragging over the 5% GDP spend. Even Zelensky, who has had a turbulent relationship with Trump, came away with wins. Inside the NATO Charm Offensive That Shocked As Much As It Delivered.

The past week was a roller coaster for Pakistani diplomacy. And while Islamabad’s foreign-policy interests emerged relatively unscathed, it may have to deal with some domestic political damage. Pakistan Finds Itself in Awkward Diplomatic Position.

 

High-resolution satellite images released by Maxar Technologies have given us an overview of damage at two more nuclear facilities targeted by the US: Isfahan and Natanz. The Esfahan site had already been partly destroyed by Israel before the US attack over the weekend, but satellite photos from Sunday show extensive new destruction - black scorch marks, multiple collapsed buildings, and debris throughout the complex. Satellite images also show two craters at the Natanz enrichment facility. What We Can Learn from Satellite Images of US Strikes on Iran.

 

Explosions Rock Moscow as 50 Drones Target Russian Regions, Vnukovo Flights Diverted. With Russian air defenses engaged and Moscow’s Vnukovo airport restricted, at least 50 UAVs were reportedly downed across various locations in Russia. Ukraine’s drone attack against Russian airfields was audacious and daring. But most of all, it was meticulously planned and flawlessly executed.

 

U.S. intelligence officials have concluded that Pakistan is developing an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of reaching the United States. This Could Lead Washington to Officially Classify It as a Nuclear Adversary.

 

The system that preserved relative peace and prosperity for nearly eight decades is not self-sustaining. It must be vigorously defended. After World War II broke out, U.S. policymakers realized that the failure to establish a durable postwar order following World War I had sown the seeds of future chaos. History’s lesson is that waiting until a moment of crisis has passed to begin planning for what comes next is a recipe for failure. Might Unmakes Right: The Catastrophic Collapse of Norms Against the Use of Force.

 

The Israeli-Palestinian crisis has shown how easily the EU can become paralyzed on divisive subjects. This is the moment to overcome the crippling effect of 27 veto powers - for the sake of European policy as well as for the Middle East. Such a change might, in turn, make it easier for the EU to help codesign a peace plan incorporating the views of all the relevant actors in the region. If a majority of member states can coalesce more effectively around a vision, the rest might follow. Europe Must Get Off the Sidelines in the Middle East. The EU Needs a More Assertive Plan for the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.

 

Nuclear proliferation in East Asia would also alter the terms of the debate in Europe, where it might be viewed as a shift more real and definitive than Trump’s threats alone. It is a sobering scenario: European leaders, faced with nothing but bad options, may prove incapable of breaking their nuclear impasse unless someone else takes the plunge first. Europe’s safest bet, until then, is to at least prepare for all contingencies. Europe’s Bad Nuclear Options and Why They May Be the Only Path to Security.

 

Although global demand for American power has proved resilient before, there are no guarantees that an American president of either party, come 2029, will be able to shape patterns of trust and cooperation the same way presidents have in the past. The world, meanwhile, continues to churn, as allies, partners, and adversaries make consequential decisions that will constrain the choices available to the next U.S. president. Washington needs a strategy fashioned for this post-primacy reality. American Strategy and the Delusion of a Post-Trump Restoration.

 

Israel and Iran attacked each other for a fifth straight day on June 17, and US President Donald Trump urged Iranians to evacuate Tehran, citing what he said was the country’s rejection of a deal to curb nuclear weapons development. Netanyahu Says Israel's Strikes On Iran Will Last Until the Threats Are Removed From It.

 

A narrower U.S.-Indian relationship centered on interests, not values, will not be a disaster for either country. But it would represent shrunken ambitions. The transformation of the bilateral ties between the two countries after the Cold War was once conceived as a way to help improve and uphold the liberal international order. Now, that relationship could be largely limited to trying to constrain a common competitor, China. And if so, neither India nor the United States nor the world at large will be the better for it. India’s Great-Power Delusions: How New Delhi’s Grand Strategy Thwarts Its Grand Ambitions.

 

The G7 Meeting, but not the usual one, because President Trump had to leave a day earlier because of the ongoing Problem between Israel and its attackers. The leaders' statement, published as Trump left Canada, said Israel had a right to defend itself, and that Iran was a source of terror that should not have a nuclear weapon. Its call for a resolution of the crisis that led to a broader de-escalation of hostilities in the Middle East amounted to a diplomatic compromise that preserved G7 unity but watered down the statement's impact. As he left, Trump told reporters: "I have to be back early for obvious reasons."

 

Do Americans trust Europeans to command the alliance? Do Europeans trust themselves to command, and can they trust one another to agree on who should be the commander? If the answers to those questions are no, then the future of the NATO alliance will be bleak. How to Make NATO More European: The Supreme Allied Commander for Europe Should Also Be From Europe.

 

After Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, the regime’s leaders opted for a campaign of maximum aggression. Rather than letting Hamas and Israel fight it out, they unleashed their proxies at Israeli targets. Israel, in turn, was compelled to expand its offensive beyond Gaza. How Iran Lost Tehran’s Hard-Liners Squandered Decades of Strategic Capital and Undermined Deterrence.

 

Iranian opposition coalition leader calls for 'regime change' Maryam Rajavi, the president-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran -- a coalition of dissident Iranian groups -- told European lawmakers on Wednesday that only "regime change by the people of Iran and the organized resisters" can ensure regional peace.  Israel's Friday surprise attack, Rajavi said, represents "the beginning of a critical new chapter, both in Iran's internal crisis and the broader dynamics of the region."

 

Achieving a peace agreement will be extremely difficult. Iran and Israel are entrenched in their respective positions. The conflict appears to be intensifying, not easing. Yet the world desperately needs a serious, sustained diplomatic effort at de-escalation. That effort must involve Iran and Israel and must be supported by the United States. But it can only be led, or at least catalyzed, by states in the region. A Last Chance at Middle East Peace: Arab States May Be the Key to Stopping the Israel-Iran War.

 

Continuing to deny Russia victory is a form of pressure on Putin, who has so little to show for such a long and calamitous campaign. Although it may be hard to imagine a military defeat for Russia, it is possible to imagine a shift in Ukraine’s favor. If Moscow becomes convinced, contrary to its current expectations, that time is not on its side, perhaps that might yet cause it to wonder whether the moment has come to cut its losses. Why Putin Still Fights The Kremlin Will End Its War in Ukraine Only When It Knows that Victory Is Impossible.

 

Since Israel’s strikes started, Iran has fired 400 ballistic missiles and hundreds of drones at Israel, killing 24 people and injuring more than 800, according to the Israeli government. At least 224 Iranians have been killed by Israel’s attacks. Senior US Officials Are Preparing for the Possibility of a Strike on Iran in the Coming Days.

 

A hospital in Beersheba in southern Israel has been hit after Iran launched a wave of missiles overnight --- Soroka Hospital has been extensively damaged, a spokesperson says, while Israel's emergency service says at least 89 people have been injured across the country Iranian state media reports that the missile strike targeted a military site next to the hospital and not the facility itself --- In Iran, Israel's military says it targeted nuclear sites, including the "inactive" Arak heavy water reactor and Natanz facility --- The attacks this morning come at a critical time, as Donald Trump considers the possibility of direct US involvement in Israel's campaign, writes Hugo Bachega --- Trump has reportedly approved plans to attack Iran, but has not made a final decision. Iran's supreme leader warned of "irreparable harm" if the US intervenes

Israel’s emergency response service said three people were seriously injured by Iranian strikes overnight across the country, with two “moderately” hurt. A Staff Member Walks Along a Damaged Area at the Soroka Hospital Complex after It Was Hit by a Missile in Beer Sheva, Israel, on Thursday.

 

Putin is more likely to end the war if he is confident that Ukraine will not thereafter join NATO. In return, NATO should demand that Russia agree to not only a permanent end to the war but also a renunciation of further territorial claims as well as any restrictions on Ukraine’s armed forces and its ability to defend itself. Close NATO’s Door to Ukraine. Years of Empty Promises Have Not Helped Kyiv or Fostered Peace.

Iran belongs to the Iranians. They are the only ones who can in the end determine the direction of their country. They have taken to the streets in 1906, 1922, and 1979, and they can be counted on to do so again. All the United States and Israel can do is weaken the regime and accentuate its vulnerabilities. The Islamic Republic has never faced a crisis like the one unleashed by this month’s attacks. It’s a great irony that Israel, disparaged relentlessly by the Iranian leadership as a savage, illegitimate colonial settler state aiming to humble Muslims everywhere, may, just possibly, have opened the door for a new future for the long-suffering Iranian people. The Right Path to Regime Change in Iran: How America and Israel Can Create the Conditions for the Toppling of the Islamic Republic.

 

Setting Iran’s nuclear program back without spurring a rush to a nuclear weapon, it is a particularly bad bet when compared with the alternative: an agreement that imposes robust verification on Iran’s nuclear activities and puts enough time on the clock to detect and preempt a breakout. Under these conditions, exhausting every possibility to achieve such an agreement is the only responsible course. A two-week delay should offer Trump and senior members of his administration time to register this reality and do what is required to strike a deal that would end the conflict. The US is on the Verge of Catastrophe in the Middle East. U.S. Intervention in Iran Would Be a Terrible Gamble.

 

Iran rules out new nuclear talks until attacks stop. The Israel Defense Forces Said They Had Attacked Ballistic Missile Storage and Launch Sites in Western Iran.

 

Hours after he appeared to suggest that the matter of US involvement in Israel’s campaign against Iran’s nuclear program was as yet undecided. Additional attacks target Natanz, Isfahan atomic sites in strikes coordinated with Israel; IDF Home Front Command reinstates the highest level of restrictions. US President Donald Trump Announced Early Sunday that the US Had Carried Out a “Successful Attack” on the Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan Nuclear Sites in Iran.

 

In the coming days or weeks, Iran may be forced to accept terms favorable to Israel and the United States, and the war may quickly end. But the track record of American military interventions in the Middle East and the nature of war over human history show that American involvement comes with tremendous risk. The best and most durable option for the United States all along was to pursue a diplomatic deal that verifiably restrained Iran’s nuclear program. Unfortunately, after the events of today, that option is much less likely. America’s War With Iran: What Comes After U.S. Strikes.

 

There's “no question” the US will be dragged into a regional war if it strikes Iran, former CIA director Panetta says:

 

Sunday morning in the Middle East. Israeli operation in Iran to take weeks, and it’s moving forward with implicit US approval. Overview Of What Defense Systems Israel Has In Place.

 

Iran warns US strikes will have ‘everlasting consequences’ as Trump says nuclear sites ‘obliterated.’

 

President Donald Trump says the US has carried out a "successful" bombing attack on three nuclear sites in Iran, and they have been obliterated. Details About US Strikes on Iran.

 

Iran Closes the Strait of Hormuz:

Strait of Hormuz, Makran region in southern Iran and southwestern Pakistan, Gulf of Oman and the northern coast of Oman as seen from space.

Trump’s Iran strike was clear and bold. The Aftermath Could Be Far Messier.

 

It takes time for history to reach its destination, and not before it sets out on many false trails. The years that lie ahead will not reflect tidy plans and rigorous policy prescriptions. They will be shaped by instinct and emotion, inspired by raw, deeply-rooted yearnings for historical redress and vengeance. This is not a world built by or for Americans. They will be at sea. The Perils of Middle East Triumphalism: Iran, Israel, and the Ghosts of History.

 

President Trump defended his claim that its nuclear enrichment sites had been “totally obliterated” by US strikes over the weekend, insisting it was an “accurate term” even as a US damage assessment was still underway. The US president said in a social media post that the sites, which were struck by GBU-57 “bunker buster” bombs and Tomahawk cruise missiles on Saturday night, sustained “monumental damage”, adding: “The biggest damage took place far below ground level.” Is 'Regime Change' Likely?

 

Some may hear Xi Jinping’s call not as a rallying cry but as a weary echo of the past. Many young Chinese people might be more interested in living less ardent lives than what Xi demands of them. The Xi family story raises questions about just how these young people can be won over. A message of suffering and struggle can indeed be meaningful for some, but for others, it may only lead to alienation. Xi Jinping’s Costly Inheritance: How His Father’s Travails Defined China’s Leader, and the Country He Rules.

 

India and Pakistan send delegations to the United States as part of a diplomatic blitz in the wake of their conflict last month, Nepal’s pro-monarchy movement presents a growing challenge to the government in Kathmandu, and Canada may not extend Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi his usual invite to the G-7 leaders’ summit. India and Pakistan Engage in Diplomatic Blitz. The Countries Are Waging a Narrative Battle on the Global Stage In The Wake Of Their Latest Military Conflict.

 

Just like all his predecessors, President Netanyahu retains a free hand in Gaza and the West Bank. He can move ahead with his plans to destroy and depopulate the former and to annex territory in the latter. He ultimately might not take these measures, thanks to broader international pressure or shifts in domestic public opinion, or because he strikes a deal to normalize ties with Saudi Arabia. The US and Israel Follow the Same Old Script: Trump Restrains Netanyahu’s Regional Ambitions, but Gives Him a Free Hand With the Palestinians.

 

Two Chinese nationals were charged with "Agro-Terrorism" smuggling toxic fungus into the U.S. The Two Chinese Nationals Have Been Charged With Conspiracy and Smuggling After Attempting To Bring a Toxic Fungus That Is A “Dangerous Biological Pathogen” Into the United States.

 

President Netanyahu confirms Israel arming clans opposed to Hamas in Gaza. The Abu Shabab Militia.

 

If the rest of the world demonstrates that it can cooperate and prosper without the United States, future American leaders and the American people may come to see the benefits of participating in global initiatives once again. That outcome would be good for Japan, good for the world, and even good for the United States. How Japan - and Other U.S. Allies - Can Work Around America a Plan to Survive Trump’s Trade War.

 

The certainty that Washington will seek to act ruthlessly in its self-interest and use its might to extract the best deal for itself. Future U.S. leaders may try to restore the country’s moral leadership, but trust once lost is hard to win back. Trade deals come and go, but if the light on the hill shines only for Americans, Trump will have ushered in a darker world for everybody else. America’s Allies Must Save Themselves: How to Pick Up the Pieces of the World Order Trump Is Breaking.

 

Hardened aircraft shelters aren’t flashy and are unlikely to generate the headlines of other defense projects, including planes like the new B-21 bombers, each of which is expected to cost around $700 million. Ukraine’s Shock Drone Strike On Russia’s Strategic Bomber Fleet.

 

Many waking up in the Los Angeles area are startled by the news of the National Guard arriving here. There have been protests on multiple days this week, all in areas where immigration raids were happening. But the LA area is huge, and these protests were fairly isolated in small pockets of the city. The county has nearly 10 million residents and covers 4,000 square miles. Today, National Guard members stand by trucks. Chaos in Los Angeles.

 

Police arrest about 60 people in San Francisco after protests on ICE's raids turn violent.

 

It’s unlikely the Trump administration will move as quickly and aggressively against politicians and state officials with crime ties as Washington might like. Curbing impunity for colluding with crime will be a long, incremental process, extending beyond any one six-year term. If Trump and Sheinbaum miss this opportunity, and the penalties for official collusion with crime remain as low as they are today, the outcome is all but certain: more drug overdose deaths in the United States, and more tragic cases like Teuchitlán in Mexico. The Hole in Mexico’s Security Strategy: Can Sheinbaum Take on Cartels and Corruption Without Losing Control?

 

Whether they like it or not, geopolitics has shifted in ways that make the previous rules-based order unsustainable. Trump’s shock to the system may not be pretty. But it could open the way for a much better system. The Right Way to Build a New Global Economic Order.

 

Anti-ICE protests are popping up across the US.

Most Americans approve of Trump's actions:

 

The biggest lesson of Brexit is that policy uncertainty can chill business investment, growth in productivity, and incomes, quickly, lastingly, and painfully. The supporters of Trump’s “strategic uncertainty” approach have been forewarned. America’s Brexit Phase, Trump’s Tariffs, and the Price of Economic Uncertainty.

 

Not only are Arab citizens turning out in support of the people of Gaza; their efforts are also changing regional dynamics in ways that challenge U.S. and Israeli interests. As long as Arab populations perceive U.S. and Western policies toward Israel to be based on double standards and impunity, this standoff will likely continue. And if Israel’s Gaza campaign drags on and efforts to displace Gazans by force persist, it will most likely escalate. How Arab Public Opinion Constrains Normalization With Israel.

 

Recently we mentioned that the U.S. attorney’s office for the Eastern District of Michigan accused Yunqing Jian, a researcher at the University of Michigan, and Zunyong Liu, a researcher at Zhejiang University in China, of working together to smuggle into the United States samples of Fusarium graminearum, which it described as a “noxious fungus.” Now, There Is a Second Such Case.

 

As long as the United States remains the world’s top energy producer, the temptation to use this advantage to extract trade concessions, walk away from costly commitments, and prioritize near-term gains over long-term alliances will persist. Energy dominance may seem like a boon for the future of American power, but unless the U.S. government shows more restraint, it could turn into a bust. Petrostate America: The Downsides of Energy Independence.

 

Why Trump’s get-tough-on-immigrants strategy will be hard to sustain. Assurances That the Administration Would Focus On Dangerous Criminals Never Squared With Trump’s Promise of Mass Deportations.

Congress Must Constrain Trump. Deploying Marines to Los Angeles Is Not Only Illegal, It Is Bad For the Relationship Between the American People and the Military.

 

At least 290 people are dead after a passenger plane crashed on departure at an airport in Ahmedabad, India, health officials said. The plane, en route to London, hit a hostel for doctors when it crashed, and images show its tail protruding from the building. The death toll includes people on the plane and others on the ground, police said. A single British national passenger survived.

It is expected that Israel will soon strike Iran. Trump is meeting with his National Security Council behind closed doors at the White House today. During the day, we're likely to hear and see strongly worded statements from the administration, with a particular focus on repeating that the US played no active part in the strike, and warning Iran of a stern response should US forces in the Middle East be attacked.

Netanyahu described the strikes on Iran as "very successful", but Israel is now in a state of emergency in anticipation of counterattacks from Iran. Residents have been told to "remain in the protected areas" and "obey the instructions" of the authorities.

 

Due to the recent non-compliance from Iran, strikes on Nuclear Sites are possible.

 

Washington will face the worst possible outcome: a superior competitor with increasing economic and military power enabled by AI, and a domestic AI industry unable to keep up, handicapped by its inability to build on Chinese models if necessary. Finishing second is not a death knell for U.S. AI, but refusing to adapt to compete would be. What If China Wins the AI Race?

 

The challenge, for Israel, the United States, and any other government intent on preventing nuclear proliferation in the Middle East, is to find ways to prevent Iran from following the path that Iraq did following the Osirak strike. If anything, the situation is more dangerous now than it was then, since Iran’s nuclear program is so much more advanced, its scientists so much more knowledgeable, and its nuclear infrastructure so much more capable than Iraq’s was in 1981. This creates the Catch-22, in which the best way to prevent Iranian reconstitution would be an aggressive pursuit of a new nuclear deal with Tehran, at precisely the moment when Iran’s leadership will be least interested in one, given their likely outrage at the Israeli attack. And without such a new deal, Israel may have succeeded in setting the Iranian nuclear program back in the short term, perhaps for a year or two, only to ensure the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran not long thereafter. The Real Threat From Iran: Tehran’s Most Dangerous Option for Responding to Israel.

 

Israel's military says Iran fired about 100 drones towards its territory, many of which were intercepted, after Israel carried out waves of strikes on Iran overnight. The IDF Says It Carried Out Strikes On Nuclear Sites and Says Revolutionary Guard Chief Hossein Salami and Other Commanders Have Been Killed.

 

Israeli strikes are ongoing in Iran, targeting several cities across the nation, state-run media said. Iranian state television and state-affiliated media said the Natanz nuclear site was struck in a missile attack. The outskirts of the cities of Tabriz and Shiraz were also targeted in what state television called “an aggressive attack.”

 

 

The Gulf states will likely condemn the Israeli attack to dissuade Iran from hitting their territory and assets. But if the United States gets involved, Iran might well fire close-range ballistic missiles at civilian locations or energy infrastructure in the Gulf states, to exact a price for what they would see as complicity with a U.S. attack. How War Between Iran and Israel Could Escalate, and Drag the United States In.

 

Israel’s attacks against Iran appear to have been tactically brilliant and well-informed. But its ability to carry out sophisticated strikes was never really in doubt. Analysts knew that the Israeli military was supremely capable and had tricks up its sleeve. Instead, the question was always whether an Israeli-only attack – or even a joint U.S.-Israeli operation – could meaningfully forestall an Iranian dash for nuclear weapons. Can Israel Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Program? What It Will Take to Block Tehran’s Path to the Bomb.

Following decades of enmity and conflict by proxy, it is the first time that Israel and Iran have traded fire with such intensity, with fears of a prolonged conflict engulfing the region. Tehran Will Burn.

 

Sunday morning in the Middle East. Israeli operation in Iran to take weeks, and it’s moving forward with implicit US approval. Overview Of What Defense Systems Israel Has In Place.

 

No Kings organizers avoided calling for demonstrations in Washington, where the military parade was being held despite a forecast of thunderstorms. Trump previously warned that anyone seeking to protest at the parade would be met with “very big force.” The Pacific Curfew Threatened To Escalate Clashes Between Law Enforcement Officials and Protesters in Downtown Los Angeles.

 

Underneath Iranian president vowed ‘harsher response’ to Israel.

 

The consequences of the second Trump administration for future American foreign policy, under either party, are already grave. If there is no serious reckoning that attempts to rebuild presidential accountability for foreign policy, then Americans should expect not only more military parades but also more military misadventures, unpredictable trade relations, and fitful foreign-policy making in a very uncertain future. Political scientists who study autocracies recognize this for what it is: a dictator’s foreign policy. Imperial President at Home, Emperor Abroad: American Foreign Policy in an Age of Unrestrained Executive Power.

 

The Israel-Iran War Is Just Beginning. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Has Announced That Israel Will Continue Strikes For "As Many Days As It Takes."

 

If Trump is committed to a nuclear-free Iran, his best bet is to get the Iranians and Israelis to stop the war and bring Tehran back to the negotiating table. Without a deal, Iran’s frightened government seems more likely than not to sprint for nuclear weapons as conditions allow. Then Trump Would Either Have To Accept a Nuclear Iran or Join Another Israeli Assault on the Country, Risking Precisely the Kind of Catastrophic Middle East Entanglement He Promised To Avoid.

 

The indomitable Erdogan has run out of room to maneuver. By choosing the time and manner of his exit, he could help ease the transition to a new leader and ensure Turkey is at peace with itself. He can still shape his legacy. His personality, however, suggests that he is unlikely to embark on such a shift. If he sticks to his typical approach, there is a significant risk that the Turkish public will turn decisively against him – and that his long, eventful tenure in office will be remembered more simply as an era of autocracy. How the Turkish Leader Has Engineered His Own Undoing.

 

The border between North and South Korea is swamped with layers of dense barbed-wire fencing and hundreds of guard posts. But dotted among them is something even more unusual: giant, green camouflaged speakers. Kim Jong Un Might Now Be Winning.

 

Called by us initially, Pahalgam and the Balochistan Conundrum. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif Emphasized the Need for Talks.

 

A thematic sanctions program focused on illicit natural resource trafficking aimed at preserving limited natural resources and securing their sustainable and equitable use would elevate awareness of the threat, disrupt international networks, and deter would-be illicit actors. The tools developed in the fight against other transnational threats should be used to safeguard the world’s forests against exploitation. Otherwise, illicit actors will continue to profit from their pillage. The War on Trees: How Illegal Logging Funds Cartels, Terrorists, and Rogue Regimes.

 

Members of the Indian all-party delegation visiting the United States to brief the country on Operation Sindoor condemned the targeted terrorist attack in Colorado, where a man threw firebombs at a Jewish gathering, injuring at least six people. The United States Has Witnessed a Surge in Anti-Semitic Attacks in Recent Months.

 

As major European powers seek to rapidly augment their defense capabilities in a world where the U.S. defense umbrella is no longer assured, their governments face a choice: they can either uphold the international principles they often champion or abandon their claim to moral leadership. Just as crucially, major states in the global South that have long and rightly criticized international courts for targeting only non-Western actors and outright adversaries of the West must now step up. What Gazans Want.

 

 

Elsewhere in Switzerland, after a glacier collapsed onto Blatten, fear is gripping the mountains. The destruction of the village served as a stark reminder to residents that dramatic collapses are becoming more frequent in the Swiss Alps. Clearly, due to global warming, which will create havoc also elsewhere in time, the most exposed sites may have to be abandoned.

 

In a post on social media, the SBU said Operation Spider Web cost Russia $7bn (£5.2bn). Russian state media stayed studiously quiet on the attacks, with primetime Sunday TV shows merely quoting statements by regional authorities. By Monday morning, the story had disappeared from the bulletins. On the internet and beyond, Ukrainians celebrated, with one lauding the operation as "titanic". How Ukraine Carried Out Daring 'Spider Web' Attack on Russian Bombers and Destroyed the Bridge Connecting Russia to Crimea with Underwater Explosives.

 

Hamas strategically used its well-prepared dense urban battlefield, including the hundreds of miles of tunnels it had built under the territory. It also systematically used Gaza civilians as human shields and turned hospitals, schools, and UN sites into military safe houses. For logistical purposes, it weaponized humanitarian aid to maintain its grip on the population and to finance its military effort and resurgence, refilling its dwindling ranks with recruits. Tactically, it opted for guerrilla warfare rather than pitched battles, avoiding Israeli forces when they advanced through certain areas and returning as soon as they left. Israel’s Dangerous Escalation in Gaza: How Politics and Ideology Are Sidelining National Security and Creating a Forever War.

 

Lee Jae-myung can provide the consistent focus on North Korea that Trump lacks. Suppose Lee can foreclose the unrealistic prospect of reunification, stop insisting on North Korea’s complete denuclearization, and offer Kim a path toward healthy economic development. In that case, he will open room for a détente. That would make it possible to put in place a wide variety of policies that reduce tensions on the Korean Peninsula. And if Lee succeeds, the U.S.-South Korean alliance can itself undergo a necessary transformation into a partnership based on fostering peace rather than preparing for war. South Korea’s New President Could Transform the Korean Peninsula: How Lee Jae-myung Can Push Trump and Kim Back to Real Diplomacy.

 

Congress is losing patience. Europe is growing frustrated. And the global oil market is better positioned to absorb disruptions than it has been in years. The stars are aligning for Trump to get the cards he needs to change Putin’s calculus. The question is whether he’s ready to play them - Putin’s Pressure Point: Congress Should Wield Oil Sanctions to Force Russia to Negotiate.

A view of Gazprom Neft’s oil refinery in Omsk, Russia

 

The United States and its allies should

develop military concepts and capabilities allowing them to respond to aggression quickly and effectively. In other words, they should make every effort to be able to deny territory grabs by China. They should be prepared to fight and win a conflict with Beijing, if necessary, despite the increasingly long nuclear shadow that China casts over the region. They should, in turn, consider how they can best leverage their collective military might, including nuclear weapons, against China. The End of Extended Deterrence in Asia?

 

Two Jewish Embassy staff were shot dead: The two were shot and killed as they left an event at the Capital Jewish Museum, which is in a part of downtown Washington about 1.3 miles (2 km) from the White House Washington Metropolitan Police Chief Pamela Smith said a man shot at a group of four people with a handgun, hitting both the victims. He was seen pacing outside the museum before the shooting. Jechiel Leiter, Israel's ambassador to the U.S., told reporters the young man killed had "purchased a ring to propose to his girlfriend next week." There were other situations like this before; one of them was the Chabad of Poway synagogue shooting in Poway, California, United States. Underneath a picture of the clean-up, of the shooting the next morning. Even the famous Dr. Phil had something to say about it. Phil McGraw, better known as “Dr. Phil”, isn’t Jewish, but a trained clinical psychologist.

 

Even as the U.S. dollar’s perch at the apex of the international monetary system looks increasingly fragile, the lack of viable alternatives should keep it from tumbling off that perch - for now. As has long been the case, this resilience is less a product of American exceptionalism than of fundamental economic, political, and institutional weaknesses in the rest of the world. Unless that changes, the dollar will remain on a much longer leash than any currency should rightfully have. Why America’s Currency Can Survive Trump’s Wrecking Ball.

 

Cooler heads would exercise restraint from a proxy war because Pakistan can ill afford repeated confrontations with an economically and militarily more powerful rival, nor to it court the risk of nuclear escalation. India, too, should not want perpetual conflict with Pakistan when it seeks to be a great power. But any respite from violence will likely be temporary as long as one side still believes that it has something to gain from assailing the other. The Next War Between India and Pakistan.

 

Basel, Switzerland, and the 69th edition of what is now the world’s largest musical event, whose more than 160 million annual viewers make it one of the most popular broadcasts in all of global television, it occurred to me that these are the very same complaints currently levied against liberal democracy: strained budgets, declining quality of services, and contested elections. The Trump administration could not be clearer: America’s commitment to liberal tolerance is over, and Europe is on its own.

 

The Chachapoya settled between the 7th and 16th centuries on the slopes of the northeastern Andes at altitudes between 2000 and 3000 meters. The "Cloud People" or "Mist Warriors" built highly developed urban centers, ceremonial platforms, rock tombs, and agricultural terraces. They resisted the Incas for a long time but were eventually subdued shortly before the arrival of the Spaniards.

 

Pakistan and India’s aviation authorities said on May 23 that they would extend an airspace ban on each other’s airlines, after the worst violence between the nuclear-armed rivals in decades. It comes a month after the deadly April 22 attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir, which sparked a four-day military conflict between India and Pakistan. From Pamalgam to the Balochistan Conundrum.

 

Further to our previous article, speaking at an event in Rajasthan recently, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is reported to have said that Pakistan would not have access to Indian rivers. The Indus Waters Treaty.

 

Strengthening counter terrorism efforts, disrupting the Tehrik-e-Taliban ’s financial networks, and enhancing regional cooperation will also be crucial. Additionally, winning the war of narratives is key to preventing political elements from opportunistic and disruptive alignment with the Tehrik-e-Taliban (TTP), more importantly, it is to address the underlying issues that fuel its rise. Pakistan’s leadership must devise a robust strategy that combines military, political, and narrative-based approaches to effectively combat the TTP’s influence. The Balochistan Conundrum: Balochistan’s Shadow War.

 

Armenia’s domestic fragility, waning global attention, and renewed Russian interest could derail the positive steps made over the past three years. The strategic opening created by Moscow’s distraction in Ukraine will not last indefinitely. If further geopolitical shifts occur without a durable settlement in place, Russia may still find ways to reinsert itself, maybe not to restore its former dominance but to obstruct progress, prolong ambiguity, and make sure its interests are preserved. How a Delayed Peace With Armenia Endangers a New Regional Order.

Striking Iran’s nuclear program would likely set off a much larger conflict in which Israel and the United States hunt for covert Iranian nuclear sites and Tehran retaliates in the Middle East and beyond. Instead, the United States should take advantage of its leverage and Trump’s ironclad grip on the Republican Party to make a deal - even an imperfect one - while doing so remains possible. Trump could even make good on his promise from 2018: to secure a better agreement than the JCPOA. What Washington Needs From Nuclear Negotiations With Tehran.

 

The South China Sea has been a source of friction for many decades. At This Time, the Philippines is Open To More Agreements With China To Keep Peace in the South China Sea.

 

The threat from China but also seen in taking unprecedented steps to invest in their militaries, build ties with their neighbors, and double down on their alliances with the United States. In fact, in recent years, Australia, Japan, and the Philippines have already made moves on defense and security matters that were previously deemed implausible. The conditions are now set for strong leadership to transform a collective defense pact in Asia from something once unimaginable into a defining feature of the region’s future peace and prosperity. The Case for a Pacific Defense Pact.

 

Rather than repeating that history, Syria’s post-Assad transition could be a catalyst for growth and stabilization. When Trump announced that he was ending U.S. sanctions, he said that the move gave Syrians “a chance at greatness.” To keep that chance alive, his administration must build on the current momentum and ensure that the U.S. government follows through on his promise - and that actors in Syria and across the region do not spoil the process. Can Syria Be Saved?

 

Opposition leader Shashi Tharoor, leading one of the all-party delegations on Operation Sindoor global outreach mission, has asserted in Panama City that though the leaders come from different political backgrounds, they all stand "united in national purpose". Shashi Tharoor's Delegation.

 

A former college principal in the eastern Indian state of Odisha has been sentenced to life in prison for sending a parcel bomb that killed a newlywed man and his great aunt in 2018. A court found Punjilal Meher, 56, guilty of murder, attempted murder, and use of explosives in what became known as the "wedding bomb" case that stunned India. 'Wedding Bomb' Murderer Gets Life Sentence in India.

 

China is making great strides in innovation. For now, the United States remains the global leader, thanks to the extraordinary innovation apparatus it has painstakingly built since World War II. Defending it will not be easy. Reconstituting it from ruins will be even harder. And China Will Reap the Benefits.

 

The United States cannot afford to ignore Kim any longer, and after three failed summits during Trump’s first term, a fourth will have to produce tangible results rather than empty words. Those results may not sit well with many. Trump’s obsession with winning the Nobel Peace Prize, his desire to end the fighting in Ukraine, and his unique “bromance” with Kim could lead him to make a deal that recognizes North Korea’s nuclear status, sells out allies, and appeases Putin - all in the name of putting “America first.” Get Ready for a Big, Bold, and Very Bad North Korea Deal. Trump Wants a Win, and Kim Has More Leverage Than Ever.

 

At Pahalgam on April 22, Pakistani and Pakistan-trained terrorists asked the tourists to read kalma to identify the non-Muslims, and shot them dead from point-blank range in front of their family members. The communal line in the attack also comes after the dog-whistling by General Asim Munir. "Our forefathers believed that we were different from Hindus in every possible aspect of life. Our religion is different. Our customs are different... That was the foundation of the Two-Nation Theory," said General Munir on April 16. Saifullah Kasuri, a Top Lashkar-E-Taiba Commander and the Alleged Mastermind Behind the Recent Terror Attack in Pahalgam.

 

How Nostalgia Ruins Economies; Trump and the Troubled History of Atempting to Going Back in Time (by Turning the Clock).

The war in Ukraine is much more likely to continue than it is to stop. Putin has no reason to let up, and Zelensky has no reason to give in: the Ukrainian president believes that conceding part of Ukraine now would eventually lead Kyiv to lose all of it. For him, under these circumstances, the cease-fire at the end of the tunnel is the light of an oncoming train. Nothing but death is predetermined. Trump and others have the power to change their opinions and tactics. But the best Europeans can do now is accelerate their efforts to arm Kyiv - and themselves. The Delusions of Peacemaking in Ukraine Kyiv Won’t Compromise on Its Sovereignty Because It Isn’t Facing Defeat.

 

Israel says it has launched strikes on the Yemeni ports of Hodeidah and as-Salif in response to the Houthi rebels firing missiles towards Israel, days after the Yemeni group agreed a truce with the United States. While the US under Trump stopped its support for the Houthis, Israel proceeded to defend itself. On 16 May, Israel Says It Has Launched Strikes on Yemen.

 

The US president, Donald Trump, secured hundreds of billions of dollars in investments while visiting Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates this week. He also announced the end of US sanctions on Syria, which have existed since 1979. However, the trip was overshadowed by criticism after Qatar offered to give the US Department of Defense a $400m Boeing 747-8 before the visit, prompting accusations of bribery.

 

Defying expectations, the United States and China have announced an important agreement to de-escalate bilateral trade tensions after talks in Geneva, Switzerland. The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly.

 

States should celebrate entrepreneurial success and foster competition by reducing regulatory burdens, especially those that disproportionately affect smaller and younger firms. Taxation on labor income should be modest enough to incentivize hard work and also allow for the accumulation of new wealth, while capital taxation should target income rather than wealth or inheritances. Public investment should focus on building the capabilities that let households become stakeholders - education, infrastructure, and a rules-based climate that rewards risk-taking. Such an agenda accepts that inequality can coexist with, and even flow from, broad prosperity. Frustration with privilege should be channeled into reforms that expand opportunity rather than cap success. Western Societies Are Growing More Equal, Not Less.

 

Who's paying for a blue checkmark on X-formerly-Twitter these days? According to a new report by the big tech accountability nonprofit Tech Transparency Project (TTP), the answer is: a bunch of terrorists. Though X says it reviews subscribed accounts to ensure they "meet all eligibility criteria" for verification, the feature has been pretty broken since Musk took over the platform and made the feature pay-to-play. The TTP Investigation.

 

The US could be planning to deport up to 1 million Palestinians from Gaza to Libya.

 

The India-Pakistan Crisis. Is China the Winner in the India-Pakistan Conflict? 

 

Isaac Herzog, President of Israel, meets the Pope. Comment.

 

The current theory of how the Universe came into being can't explain the existence of the planets, stars, and galaxies we see around us. Scientists Are in a Race to Discover Why Our Universe Exists.

 

For many in Washington, deterrence has come to mean projecting an uncompromising and even hostile posture toward China. But such gestures do not meaningfully augment Taiwan’s security. Instead, the United States should invest quietly in its military readiness and capabilities, speak carefully, and maintain economic resilience and even some interdependence. The Taiwan Tightrope Deterrence Is a Balancing Act.

A Russia-NATO War Would Look Nothing Like Ukraine. Moscow Will Seek to Avoid a Full-On War and Focus On Breaking the Bloc’s Resolve.

 

The global institutions that traditionally restrain both secessionist overreach and heavy-handed repression are losing their power to constrain either. The EU once played a central role in restraining violence between Serbia and Kosovo, for example, using accession talks as leverage to encourage cooperation. The UN helped limit violence in East Timor and South Sudan by providing peacekeeping forces. But ultimately, these institutions derive their power from the support of member countries, which is weakening. Trump, for his part, has repeatedly attacked both bodies and cut U.S. funding for the U.N.’s peacekeeping missions. The New Price of Statehood.

 

Chinese shop owner adopts stray dogs only to kill, cook and eat them. Woman Pretends To Offer Canines Loving Home, Slaughters Them, Then Posts Videos Online of ‘Perfect’ Dish for ‘Rainy Day With a Drink.

 

Romania’s development, identity, and even basic democratic orientation remain up for grabs. By surviving the greatest challenge to its democratic foundations since the end of the Cold War, Romania has avoided disaster. But by relying in part on an emergency judicial intervention to do so, it may have further eroded key institutions’ democratic legitimacy. Romania’s Postponed Reckoning: A Re-Run Election Averted Autocracy but Left Democracy in Peril.

 

U.S. support for Kyiv is receding; Moscow is continuing its invasion, with the help of Beijing, Pyongyang, and Tehran; and Putin is betting that his position will improve with time. European countries can shift these dynamics, provide Ukraine with a lasting source of support, and persuade Putin to engage in meaningful negotiations. Make Moscow Pay: The Case for Seizing Russian Assets to Fund Ukraine’s Defense.

 

The Attack Comes During a Fragile India-Pakistan Ceasefire.

 

On May 21, 2025, Pakistan was in the midst of escalating tensions with India. The situation had reached a crisis point after India launched missile strikes on Pakistan, mentioned below as 'Operation Sindoor', in response to a terrorist attack in Indian-administered Kashmir. Three children and two adults were killed in a suicide attack on a school bus in Pakistan on May 21, 2025. Additionally, the 2025 Pakistan Super League was delayed to May 25 due to the ongoing conflict.

 

The personal secretary and an adviser to the mayor of Mexico City were shot and killed in broad daylight on Tuesday while commuting to work. Mexico City Mayor Clara Brugada said the victims, Ximena Guzmán and José Muñoz, died as a result of a “direct attack” in Mexico City's Moderna neighborhood. At least 4 people involved in the Attack. Gunman Kills Top Aides to Mexico City Mayor in Daylight Attack.

 

As CHIPS demonstrated, policymakers need to make government an attractive place to work for people from finance and industry, identify and mitigate sources of delay, and measure success against clear and definable metrics. At the same time, policymakers should push for structural reforms to make the government work better. A Playbook for Industrial Policy.

 

Trump has radically undermined American soft power and the nonmilitary U.S. presence in the region by eroding the federal government’s ability to carry out policy, closing American borders, slashing foreign assistance, and shuttering institutions of public diplomacy. Support for Israel’s depopulation and annexation of Gaza will only inflame public opinion in the Middle East in ways that an Iran nuclear deal will not assuage. What Does Trump Want in the Middle East? America’s Allies in the Region Wish They Knew.

 

In a statement on X, Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said: Pakistan and India have agreed to a ceasefire with immediate effect. India’s Foreign Ministry said the head of Pakistan’s military operations called his Indian counterpart on the afternoon of May 10 and it was agreed that both sides would stop all firing. We Hope That Sense Will Prevail.

 

The Big Tech’s eclipse of the nation-state is not inevitable. But it seems as if Big Tech’s eclipse of democracy, at least, has already begun. The Technopolar Paradox.

 

President Donald Trump’s shock-and-awe tariff approach threatened to rupture the global financial system and drive the US economy into recession. Nervous about the prospect of empty store shelves and reignited inflation, Trump sent in his even-keeled and professional negotiators to Geneva to snag a win. Is Trump Losing the Trade War Vs China?

 

Germany urgently needs an ambitious industrial policy that delivers sustainable economic growth and good jobs. The German economy also needs to become more resilient to global demand shocks. What Germany’s Economy Needs.

 

Trump may ultimately reduce some of his levies, particularly as he negotiates with more and more countries. He has already made a trade deal with the United Kingdom. But the president has abandoned the institutions and norms that once stabilized global trade. In doing so, he is risking an era not of renewed American strength but of stagnation, fragmentation, and danger. When Trade Wars Become Shooting Wars.

 

When U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted, on May 10, that India and Pakistan had agreed to a cease-fire, the world breathed a sigh of relief. Yet the stakes grew especially high after the Indian military hit Pakistan’s Nur Khan air base, close to the country’s nuclear command forces. It was an attack that could have provoked uncontrolled escalation - and that pushed Washington to intervene even after senior officials had insisted the administration was disinclined to do so. How The US Can Keep the Peace Between India and Pakistan.

 

Playing all sides can lead to isolation, and pursuing every opportunity for engagement can overstretch countries that simply do not have a superpower’s resources. Turkey and other middle powers may see a transactional approach as an appealing way to get ahead in today’s world. But unless they temper it with realistic expectations, the policy will likely cost more than it yields. Turkey’s Middle-Power Dilemma.

 

If the Trump administration does not want a crisis on its hands, it should not leave such a door open for Beijing. The Taiwan Strait will be volatile enough over the next few years without adding to the mix muddled Chinese perceptions of what the United States is willing, or not willing, not do. Beijing’s Worry About the Future Could Spur a Deadly Miscalculation Soon.

The broader state of relations between India and Pakistan remains extremely tense. None of the nonmilitary steps taken earlier in the crisis have been reversed. Their main land border remains closed, trade is still halted, diplomatic presences are downsized, and the Indus Waters Treaty is still suspended. The Truth of What Happened Will Not Be Known Publicly.

 

Following the trade war countermeasures’ temporary wind-down, which both sides had committed to doing by May 14, there appears to be some reprieve for American rare earth importers. China announced that it was lifting curbs for 90 days on 28 American companies to which the export of controlled items, including the rare earths, would otherwise have been prohibited. China Retains Rare Earth Export Controls as a Bargaining Chip.

 

The West has failed to present a compelling postwar vision for Russia and a plan to achieve it, one that is realistic internationally and that can directly appeal to Russians themselves. If current trends are allowed to continue, Europe may soon encounter a completely militarized autocracy on its borders that is similar to North Korea’s in structure, and far more dangerous. And the United States might have to countenance a military union between Russia and China. Putin’s New Hermit Kingdom At War With the West and Its Elites.

 

 

Since a ceasefire was agreed on May 10, India and Pakistan are at odds over the exact toll of the four days of clashes that followed an attack in Kashmir. Exposing the Fake Images Generated in the Above Context.

 

'Tiranga Yatra' In India:

 

 

UK working to ensure enduring India-Pakistan ceasefire. Obfuscation By Russia and Ukraine.

 

 

Amidst escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, Baloch writer Mir Yar Baloch declared Balochistan's independence, urging India to establish a Baloch embassy in New Delhi. He appealed to the UN for peacekeeping forces and demanded the withdrawal of the Pakistani army. The Pahalgam Incident Was Used as a Distraction from the Fact that Balochistan Was Going To Declare Independence.

 

YouTuber Arrested for Spying for Pakistan: Haryana Travel Blogger Jyoti Malhotra Linked to Pakistani Operatives.

 

The United States, once solidly on the front lines of technology, is now on its way to becoming a much weaker player. And so far, it is responding to this decline by taking steps that will only weaken it further. There has never been anything inevitable about U.S. leadership in science and technology. What is inevitable is that if Washington does not work to maintain its lead on this battlefield, others will take its place. Trump’s War on Universities Could Kill U.S. Innovation.

 

Turkey and Israel should build on this dialogue, especially because both say they do not want a military confrontation with each other. Israel’s goal should be to assert legitimate security concerns without antagonizing Ankara or Damascus. This balancing act is especially important during Syria’s extraordinary period of flux. The new regime has not yet cemented its control over the country, and its political positions seem malleable. At this stunning moment in history, after the weakening of their mutual enemy Iran, Israel and Turkey should be striving to craft a mutually beneficial new regional order, not coming to blows. The Coming Clash Over Syria, Israel, and Turkey Is on a Collision Course.

 

The US State Department agrees there is a demographic divide among Americans on the topic of Israel, one that even extends to Congress. Americans Used To Be Steadfast in Their Support for Israel. Those Days Are Gone.

 

Last week, we explained why It Is Unlikely That Pakistan Will Make a Move Towards Rapprochement, which included an in-depth article posted on April 24, which explained the background of the overall situation. Now comes the news that a war between India and Pakistan has started with deaths on both sides as India launches air strikes on ‘terrorist camps’ inside Pakistan and Islamabad retaliates: ‘Three Indian planes shot down’ as nuclear-armed rivals go on war footing. The India-Pakistan War.

 

Around 550 flights were cancelled in India and Pakistan. This Is What Is Happening.

 

Today, as Russia prepares to celebrate Victory Day on May 9, 2025, Putin is determined to milk the story of his country’s “Great Patriotic War” for all it’s worth. He may well revert the name of the city of Volgograd to Stalingrad, it was changed in 1961 as part of Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev’s de-Stalinization campaign, to highlight the Red Army’s eventual victory over the Axis invaders in the Battle of Stalingrad in 1943, the great psychological turning point of the war. We Are Still Fighting World War II: The Unsettled Legacy of the Conflict That Shaped Today’s Politics.

 

Both the Russian and Ukrainian sides are naturally interested in creating the impression that their positions are non-negotiable. The bargaining comes in the process. A peace agreement may prove very difficult, perhaps impossible, to attain. But as the 2022 talks demonstrated, failed negotiations could augur many more years of war. Why Peace Talks Fail in Ukraine.

 

Over the past 14 days, since the deadly attack on tourists in Pahalgam, Pakistan has repeatedly violated a ceasefire agreement, targeting Indian positions along the border. Islamabad has not commented on this. The India and Pakistan Stand Off.

Putin has already made huge numbers of Russians into his accomplices, and to a certain extent, that guarantees their loyalty. But there is a downside to keeping an entire population as political hostages. If you remove this system’s main element, Putin, it will start to collapse. In such a scenario, as Russians adjust to new external circumstances, new inflated expectations may arise. But by that point, they will be directed at a new leader. Russia’s False Euphoria.

 

The Houthis bet from the beginning of the strikes that they could outlast the United States, and they did. Equally important, the cease-fire has dashed Yemeni hopes of U.S. support for a ground campaign, and there is a real chance that the already divided Yemeni government could buckle under the weight of financial pressure. Today, Israel Bombs Yemen’s Hodeidah Port after a Houthi Attack Near Tel Aviv Airport.

 

India-Pakistan conflict intensifies into the most expansive in decades. Both countries reportedly aimed attacks at each other’s territories well beyond their disputed Kashmir border. Pakistan and India’s battles and skirmishes are away from the public eye. Both Countries Aimed Attacks at Each Other’s Territories Well Beyond Their Disputed Kashmir Border.

 

If India stops here, “so will we,” says Pakistan’s foreign minister. We Genuinely Want Peace Without the Hegemony of Any One Country.

 

U.S., China prepare for high-stakes trade talks in Geneva. The Likelihood of the Two Sides Reaching a Comprehensive Deal Soon Remains Low.

 

Further to our earlier article, India and Pakistan appeared to be edging closer to war on Saturday, as the two nuclear-armed nations both claimed they were provoked by the other before launching strikes against military assets in their rival countries. India and Pakistan Edge Closer to War as Nuclear-Armed Rivals Trade Strikes.

 

Later today, India and Pakistan agree to a ceasefire, but will it hold? Soon after the cessation of firing and military action between India and Pakistan was announced on Saturday (May 10, 2025) evening. However, Cross-Border Firing from Pakistan Was Reported at Several Locations Along the Jammu Border.

 

If the U.S. president and his allies in Austin had their way, they would define “American identity” much the way that the Chinese government does: a conflation of national origin, ethnicity, and political loyalty. Their tactics echo Xi’s as well. Today's China as Borrowed from The Cold War Era Identity.

 

The Trump administration’s antagonism toward the traditional transatlantic alliance could be the most consequential trigger of further European integration since the groundwork for the EU was laid in 1948. Europe’s commitment to the transatlantic alliance thus far is not a symbol of weakness or of the continent’s inability to summon the political energy to become more autonomous. The Resurgence of Europe: How the Continent Can Survive American Antagonism and Come Out Stronger.

 

Extensively covered by us before trouble is brewing again in the Pacific. Geography and the Construction of Today’s China.

 

If the United States, in cooperation with its allies and partners, adopts and implements the right policies, it can regain the technological initiative and protect its intelligence operations and military communications around the world. But to do so, it must ensure that advanced, trusted, and secure digital infrastructure, designed and produced outside of China, remains available – and becomes the technology of choice, both at home and abroad. China Is Still Winning the Battle for 5G, and 6G America Must Do More to Compete with Huawei.

 

For now, Moscow is tied down in Ukraine and cannot afford to pursue more expansionist undertakings. But should the Trump administration decide that Ukraine does not merit U.S. partnership and cooperation, Putin’s ambitions will only grow, along with the cost of deterring Russia in the future. If Washington abandons Ukraine now, Europe could become the consuming crisis of Trump’s second term. What If America Abandons Ukraine? The Biggest Risk Might Be to the Rest of Europe.

 

One intriguing point highlighted by Ukraine’s government is that for the first decade of the reconstruction investment fund, profits will be “fully reinvested in Ukraine’s economy”, either in new projects or reconstruction. This Could Be Potentially Significant.

 

US President Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed that China has reached out for talks on the tariffs. On April 30, Trump reiterated there was a “very good chance we’re going to make a deal”. The Tariff and Trade Wars.

 

To reduce the risks of catastrophic conflict, strategists in Beijing and Washington should look inward and scrutinize their leadership before the uneasy stalemate can no longer hold. Will China Escalate? Despite Short-Term Stability, the Risk of Military Crisis Is Rising.

 

Despite Trump’s cordial conversation with Zelensky at the Vatican on the margins of Pope Francis’ funeral last week, and the minerals deal that soon followed, a photograph of Putin and Zelensky shaking hands on the White House lawn is unlikely. Trump, Ukraine, and the Limits of Presidential Peacemaking.

 

Blooming peach blossoms against a backdrop of snow-capped peaks at Gala Village, near the city of Nyingchi, Tibet.

Possibly influenced by their colleague, Elon Musk, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vice President JD Vance took turns on Friday blasting Germany after its domestic intelligence agency officially labeled the far-right Alternative für Germany party (AfD) an “extremist endeavor.” Germany’s Equivalent of the FBI Released a Statement Summing Up Their Investigation That Led to the New Classification for the Eurosceptic AfD.

 

The “de minimis” trade exemption allowing online retailers and marketplaces to ship low-cost items without paying duties was closed Friday, likely increasing the prices of items sold on Temu, Shein, eBay, and Etsy, among others. Key Tariff Loophole.

 

Donald Trump has posted an AI-generated image of himself in papal regalia, just 11 days after Pope Francis’ death. He said to reporters on the White House lawn: “I’d like to be Pope. That would be my number one choice.”

 

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio criticized Germany for classifying the right-wing extremist organization “Alternative für Deutschland” as ‘tyranny’ upon which Germany tried to explain why it is an extremist neo-Nazi type organization. Germany Defends Afd Extremist Classification.

 

Pakistan conducts training launch of surface-to-surface missile amid fears of military escalation with India over deadly attack on tourists in Kashmir. Pakistan’s Military Launch of the Abdali Weapon System.

 

After Pakistan test-fired a ballistic missile as tensions with India spiked yesterday, we focused on Pakistan’s Launch of the Abdali Weapon System. Today, we will focus on why a lack of crisis mechanisms could spark conflict with India after the deadly Kashmir attack. Why It Is Unlikely That Pakistan Will Make a Move Towards Rapprochement.

 

If proponents of global development embrace industrial transformation as their lodestar, they can help lift people out of destitution while avoiding political blowback. If poor countries industrialize, the entire world will benefit. Global development has the best chance of surviving and delivering results if it is seen as more than just charity. The End of the Global Aid Industry USAID’s Demise Is an Opportunity to Prioritize Industrialization Over Charity.

At the refugee camp in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh, March 2025

 

European security experts have been calling for integration for many years. Yet in practice, policymakers have doubled down on protecting their own institutions rather than fashioning a much-needed new template for European order. The shock of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine led Europeans to launch a broad rearmament effort to defend the continent against military invasion. Europe Needs a New Way to Cooperate.

 

That the leaders of both India and Pakistan are incentivized to stand firm reduces the space for compromise and increases the likelihood of confrontation. The risks of escalation, whether intentional or accidental, are higher than ever, with the consequences of miscalculation potentially calamitous for South Asia and the world. The Real Risk of Escalation in Kashmir.

U.S. diplomatic funding and priorities should be brought into alignment with the National Security Strategy. And American diplomats should be barred from promoting progressive causes that embolden opponents and undermine friends, causes that most Americans do not support. The Return of Great-Power Diplomacy.

 

A viable short-term solution is to make the attacker country’s denial as implausible as possible. To do this, governments must be prepared to share more evidence with the public, understandably, and manage the tradeoff between reaping the benefits of greater openness and protecting intelligence sources. The Power of Denial.

 

The decisions that Washington and its allies make now, in the early days of a new nuclear age, will dictate the direction of energy security, the global economy, and the shape of power for decades to come. The US is Falling Behind China and Russia on Energy Innovation.

If Trump wants to secure an agreement, he may have to join the Chinese people in “eating bitterness” and accept some tough compromises. But with a recalibrated diplomatic strategy, he could still claim some small victories and avoid the massive potential losses now facing the United States. How China Armed Itself for the Trade War.

 

Following the Pahalgam incident, Pakistan’s information minister said early on April 30 that Islamabad had “credible intelligence” that India was planning an imminent military strike, and he vowed a “decisive response”, as worries of spiralling conflict grew over a deadly attack in Kashmir. Will it Lead to War?

 

Because the conflict is overwhelmingly driven by a struggle over regional power and resources, rather than any larger political vision for the country, it remains likely that alliances will keep shifting, militias will keep defecting, and breakaway groups will keep forming. Sudan Is Unraveling: Why War Is Likely to Once Again Tear the Country Apart.

 

Israel’s current approach resembles its efforts to create a security zone in southern Lebanon in the 1980s and 1990s, which resulted in a war of attrition that deepened Lebanese resentment and made it much easier for Hezbollah to take over the country upon the IDF’s withdrawal in 2000. Israel must not repeat this mistake. The new Syrian government needs to be judged by its actions and not only its words. But it presents Israel with a potentially golden opportunity to deepen Iran’s isolation, turn Syria from a foe into a peaceful neighbor, and stabilize its region. Israel’s Dangerous Overreach in Syria.

 

A China that looks like the creator of a peaceful order in the 2040s will be much harder to argue against in the West and the wider world than its current confrontational incarnation. It is unclear whether China can take that path. Still, over the past century, the least reliable way to predict what China will look like in 20 years has always been to extrapolate in a straight line from where it is now. The Once and Future China.

 

A New International Order? U.S. President Donald Trump is Trashing the World Trade System over a Basic Economic Fallacy.

 

Protectionism grants states too much arbitrary power to intervene in the market and thus spawns more platforms for the exchange of political favors. This is not the path toward business regeneration but one toward the demise of capitalism and transparent governance. How Tariffs Erode Democracy.

 

Without an understanding of the special role played by the U.S. military, outsiders attempting to make it run like a business will fail. And their failures will represent more than a missed opportunity; they will weaken the United States, benefit its adversaries, and poison the well for more thoughtful plans for change in the future. The Pentagon Can’t Be Run Like a Business.

 

Further to our earlier comment, reminiscent of the Oberoi Hotel attack, but worsewhen militants opened fire on tourists and killed 26 people in Indian-administered Kashmir. Earlier, the United States, the former Soviet Union, and China all accorded Kashmir a place in their strategic agendas. The Pahalgam Attack.

 

Institutions that are flexible enough to preserve progress on yesterday’s issues but not constrain progress on those of today. They need to better understand what challenges they are facing. And they need to better invest in how the country responds to change. Yesterday’s Economic Thinking Can’t Solve Today’s Economic Problems.

 

A federal judge was arrested for helping an undocumented alien in her Courthouse.

Just as U.S. strategists during the Cold War discovered when the Soviets achieved nuclear parity, their successors facing a world of long-range precision-guided conventional weapons today may find that a stable balance of deterrence remains possible. It will depend, however, on U.S. forces acquiring a credible and assured conventional second-strike capability. This will force Washington to make difficult choices amid sharp political and budgetary debates. But the approach is feasible. The Conventional Balance of Terror: America Needs a New Triad to Restore Its Eroding Deterrence.

 

India's Response to the Pahalgam Attack. The number of terrorists involved could range from five to seven. They were aided by at least two local militants who received training in Pakistan, the officials said. Security Forces Arrested Two Terrorist Associates.

 

Ukraine deserves a better peace deal. Trump’s Current Proposal Favors Russia More Than it Should.

 

The values and strategy that Francis brought to international engagement are rooted in the gospel; they are not unique to him. His diplomatic style, moreover, is taught to the Vatican’s corps of priest-diplomats at the world’s oldest diplomacy school, the Pontifical Ecclesiastical Academy. The Pope’s Foreign Policy; How Francis Extended and Transformed the Vatican’s Global Reach.

 

Earlier news was that Yemeni factions are looking to utilize ongoing US airstrikes against the Houthis to oust the group that took control of the capital, Sanaa. The Iran Backed Houthis Struck Back.

 

Trumpists want a pope "soft enough to be able to control him." Today, Donald Trump's administration would like to see a more conservative pope emerge. Among those likely to be lobbying for a conservative successor to Francis are Raymond Burke, a Donald Trump-supporting US bishop, and Gerhard Müller, a German who warned last week that the church could split if an orthodox pope is not elected. Lobbying for next pope heats up, with outcome less predictable than ever. Conclave.

 

US Reaper drone losses mount in Yemen as campaign against Houthis intensifies. Civilian Casualties Raise Alarm.

 

Meeting on the sidelines of the Pope's funeral. Trump said the highlighted words to Zelenski:

 

Israeli officials have vowed to prevent Tehran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, and Netanyahu has insisted that any negotiation with Iran must lead to the complete dismantling of its nuclear program. Israel is Still Eyeing a Limited Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities.

 

Kim Kardashian will testify in person at an upcoming trial over a 2016 heist in Paris in which armed robbers tied her up and locked her in a bathroom while they stole millions of dollars’ worth of jewelry. The Heist in Paris.

 

Three former Presidents said that norms are being disregarded, and extraordinary measures are required. Trump’s violations of legal and democratic principles make him unfit for the presidency. Unusual Times for American Democracy.

 

Drones deliver supplies on Mount Everest. The Forever Change of Climbing.

 

Pope Francis, the first Latin American leader of the Roman Catholic Church, has died. He Sought to Overhaul the Institution.

 

As soon as one succeeds in increasing its trade balance at the expense of the rest, others retaliate, and the total volume of international trade sinks continuously. The Trump Global Trading System.

A security architecture in the Ukraine War no longer dependent on Washington is within reach, but only if Europe finds the political will to act now. If it does, this may well be the defining moment that secures its future, sovereignty, and relevance on the global stage. Europe Must Take the Challenge: Secure its Future.

 

In a rush to export its goods amid incoming US tariffs, China said its economy had beaten its anticipated first-quarter growth rate. Chinese Economy Grows 5.4%, Surpassing Quarterly Forecasts.

 

Only a major drive to rebuild the arsenal of democracy can deter China from taking Taiwan by force or other countries from similarly challenging the United States. As U.S. General Douglas MacArthur prophetically proclaimed in 1940: “The history of failure in war can almost be summed up in two words: Too late.” The Empty Arsenal of Democracy.

 

Trump seems unlikely to stick to any parameters that might mitigate the conflicts among great powers that would inevitably crop up. Nor is it easy to imagine Putin and Xi as enlightened partners, embracing self-abnegation and settling differences in the name of the greater good. Great Power Competition Returned.

 

Prime Minister Narendra Modi cut short his two-day visit to Saudi Arabia and returned to New Delhi on the morning of April 23 because of the worst attack on civilians in India since the 2008 Mumbai shootings, in which more than 160 people were killed. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman was also cutting short her visit to the US and Peru. Reminiscent of the Oberoi Hotel Attack, but Worse.

 

Mozart Concerto no. 23 in A major k. 488 / Elisey Mysin / Makhachkala

Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has largely been expected to follow one of two foreign policy paths: preserve the country’s position as the leader of the liberal international order or withdraw and adjust to a post-American, multipolar world. The most likely trajectory was always a third: become a rogue superpower, neither internationalist nor isolationist but aggressive, powerful, and increasingly out for itself. The Age of American Unilateralism.

 

Xi arrived in Kuala Lumpur from Vietnam, where he pledged to resist “unilateral bullying”– a veiled reference to US President Donald Trump’s inconsistent stance on tariffs. To meet Malaysia’s King, Sultan Ibrahim Iskandar, at Istana Negara in the morning. President Xi’s Asia Tour.

 

Beijing insists it will stand firm in the face of Donald Trump’s tariffs on Chinese goods. However, Chinese officials have acknowledged the potential for economic pain resulting from the unfolding trade war with the US. Hence, the Locals.

 

China will continue, under any future circumstance, to undermine the very cooperation among the rebels in Myanmar that is necessary to one day form a peaceful, stable, and federal democratic Myanmar. China has no genuine interest in peace or stability in Myanmar; it wants strategic dominance. And if Beijing can best grow its influence by playing Myanmar’s factions off one another, keeping them weak, fragmented, and dependent on China, then that is what it will do. China’s Double Game in Myanmar.

 

The recent change in U.S. leadership caught Europe unprepared. So will a sudden changing of the guard in the Kremlin unless the West more actively imagines what its relationship with Russia could be after Putin. A forever war that cycles between cold and hot is not inevitable. But if Western leaders postpone discussing a different vision, they risk abetting Putin’s efforts to make confrontation with the West a permanent legacy. Moscow, the West, and Coexistence Without Illusion.

China to convene UN meeting to blast ‘bullying’ US for weaponizing tariffs, sparking trade war. Meeting to Accuse the US of Bullying and “Casting a Shadow over the Global Efforts for Peace and Development” by Weaponizing Tariffs.

 

US mulls backing ground offensive against Yemen’s Houthis. Yemeni Factions, Alongside the UAE, are Looking to Utilize the US Air Campaign to Mount a Ground Offensive Against the Houthis.

 

Maryland Democrat meets with Abrego Garcia (whose full name is “Kilmar Abrego Garcia”), mistakenly deported to El Salvador. The President of El Salvador claimed in the White House that he could not return the man. The US District Court is Now Ordering an Expedited Recovery.

 

‘Sipping margaritas’ is the latest example in Bukele’s propaganda machine, which also includes ‘Margarita gate’. The Duplicity of the Salvadorian President Nayib Bukele.

 

 

The competition for AI leadership is likely to end up being mostly about adoption. It is the adoption of AI in the U.S. military, government, and private sector, and the ability of U.S. firms to export AI technologies to the rest of the world. AI Race Winning Means Deploying, Not Just Developing, the Best Technology.

 

 

Hopes for Iran nuclear talks tempered by threats and mixed messages. A Deal or a War.

 

The Chinese Communist Party is inordinately focused on perceptions of American power, and a critical input in that equation is its estimation of Washington’s ability to pull in the allies and partners that even Beijing openly admits are the United States’ greatest advantage. Underestimating China.

 

The Trump administration is embarking on an economic equivalent of the Vietnam War, a war of choice that will soon result in a quagmire, undermining faith at home and abroad in both the trustworthiness and the competence of the United States, and we all know how that turned out. Trade Wars are Easy to Lose.

 

When US President Donald Trump suggested that Canada stole the American auto industry, this seemed like a lie. Because they've always been Canadian jobs, Canada created them and sustained them. In Canada's Car Capital, Auto Workers Brace for the Worst.

Coercion will ultimately weaken the United States, not strengthen it. Without its allies and partners, U.S. leadership in Asia and around the world will erode. This will not make America great again - it will leave it weaker abroad and poorer at home. How Trump’s Coercion Could Backfire in Asia.

 

In continuing to engage in some form of export control diplomacy, doing the long, arduous, sometimes frustrating, but strategically rewarding work of persuading countries that it is in the collective interest of the United States and its allies to act together to maintain a technological lead over China. The Case for Export-Control Diplomacy.

 

Chinese President Xi On His Southeast Asia Tour.

 

Elephants form an ‘alert circle’ to protect the young during an earthquake. The Video shows the adult elephant herd forming a protective circle around a youngster.

 

Washington has been the world’s most powerful force for clean governance, pressuring and sanctioning corrupt elites elsewhere. But Trump has moved to suspend enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and backtrack on corporate transparency requirements. The United States, in other words, is not just abandoning its historical role as the world’s clean-governance policeman. The Economic Consequences of State Capture.

 

 

 

Just as in China, European platforms may continue to use the Internet as the technological foundation for their services. But they will begin to construct their alternative platforms on top, walled away from U.S. interference through Europe-only business models and strong encryption. The Brewing Transatlantic Tech War.

 

Trying to peel Russia away from China is both imprudent and wrong. It would be imprudent, above all, because it would hand Putin a dangerous amount of power. Moscow would become the pivot player in the competition between Beijing and Washington, with ties to both and space to maneuver to its advantage. China and Russia Will Not Be Split.

 

French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday called for a suspension of investment in the United States until Donald Trump's "brutal and unfounded" new tariffs against Europe and the rest of the world were clarified. He said President Trump’s decision was brutal and unfounded. Underneath as Echo's by Canada, Spain, Germany, Italy, Belgium, Poland and the European Parliament.

 

Five days after France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen was convicted of embezzling millions of euros from the European Parliament, President Donald Trump is suddenly decrying the verdict. Trump Rages at Far-Right Leader’s Guilty Verdict.

 

‘Larger-than-expected’ tariffs mean higher inflation, slower growth: US Fed chief Powell. Trump tariff tailspin worsens, moving stock markets into bear market. Decline Since the Onset of the Coronavirus Pandemic in March 2020.

 

On the outskirts of the Indonesian city of Semarang in Central Java, a new factory is cranking out solar cells and assembling solar panels with the help of robots while autonomous carts whizz around, ferrying parts and components. China’s Great Green March Across the Globe.

 

Over the past three months, the Trump administration has shown doubts about the United States’ commitments to its partners. However, the U.S. military establishment still has an interest in developing its capacity in concert with partner forces, which also have an interest in deepening security cooperation as Beijing becomes increasingly assertive. One Needs an Indian Ocean Strategy.

 

Tens of thousands of military reservists have already served hundreds of days each during the war, which has taken a heavy toll on their careers and families. Israel has, in fact, never faced so much ambivalence about military service on the part of its reservists - not even during its politically controversial 1982 war in Lebanon or during the second intifada. The Forever War in Gaza. Leaders on Both Sides, and in America, Have Little Incentive to End It.

 

Dow futures fall 1,300 points, S&P 500 set to enter bear market on Trump tariff market collapse. Markets Today.

 

Beautiful Barber's Adagio, Theme from Platoon, Andrzej Kucybała conductor

 

Taiwan Open to U.S. Tariff Talks Amid Market Volatility. Taiwan Says It Is Open to Negotiations With the U.S.

 

If Trump and Hegseth succeed in imposing their new bargain, the U.S. military will no longer excel at its main purpose: defending American citizens against serious threats from abroad. The Dangerous New Civil-Military Bargain Trump’s Demands for Loyalty Will Weaken the U.S. Armed Forces.

 

The dollar has not always been the world’s reserve currency or the currency of choice for international trade. In the nineteenth century, it was the pound sterling that enjoyed that status, and British financiers would have felt secure in its reign. There was nothing inevitable about the pound’s slide or the dollar’s emergence, just as there is nothing inevitable about the dollar’s potential demise today. Choices, not destiny, determine reserve currencies; if the dollar is finally dethroned, it will be a disaster of the Trump administration’s own making. The World’s Reserve Currency May Not Survive the Weaponization of U.S. Economic Power.

 

In a scientific breakthrough that could forever change how humans interact with our planet, Colossal Biosciences said it has brought back an extinct animal that last walked the Earth roughly 10,000 years ago: the dire wolf. Dire wolf revived after 10,000 years. Revived the Dire Wolves after Sequencing the Species' Genome..

 

The Signal discussion didn’t touch on how the Yemen bombings would affect Washington’s current diplomatic overture to Tehran. Hegseth and the President likely think it can’t hurt: Tehran will see Trump’s Washington as tougher for it and capable of coercing the Iranians into nuclear negotiations. The Vice President doesn’t believe Washington should go to war with Tehran over the nuclear issue, let alone Suez Canal traffic. If he isn’t willing to bomb an Iranian proxy for fear of a slippery slope, then he is surely unlikely to want to bomb its sponsor. Why Bombing the Houthis Won’t Work.

 

China has been the top foreign supplier of goods to the US, accounting for up to 16% of total imports in recent years, according to the USTR. It dominates the market in smartphones, computers, and toys, and it is likely to be hit by massive price hikes that take them out of reach of many Americans when the new tariffs come into force. US Slams 104% Tariffs on China..

 

All people born in British Mandatory Palestine between 1923 and 1948 (today's Israel) had "Palestine" stamped on their passports at the time. But when they were called Palestinians, the Arabs were offended. They complained: "We are not Palestinians, we are Arabs. The Palestinians are the Jews". Given the situation today, International institutions, including the EU and the United Nations, should demand that Israel uphold international law on minority rights. If Israel refuses to reverse its latest anti-Arab laws and continues turning a blind eye to Jewish Israeli extremism, these organizations should urge international, economic, and academic institutions connected to Israel to make their relationship with Israel contingent on the protection of Palestinian citizens. The Other War on Palestinians.

In the Budapest Memorandum, signed in December of that year by Russia, Ukraine, the United Kingdom, and the United States, Kyiv agreed to give up Soviet nuclear weapons in its possession - including more than a thousand warheads capable of hitting the United States - in exchange for security assurances. With this outstanding security problem ostensibly solved, Ukraine (and the question of its NATO membership) abruptly decreased in significance to Washington. Why They Fight What’s at Stake in the Blame Game Over Ukraine.

 

China calls for the world to unite against Trump's 'trade tyranny'. Trump Tariffs Effect.

 

 

EU backs first countermeasures against US tariffs: It said it would start to collect duties from April 15, stressing that “these countermeasures can be suspended at any time, should the US agree to a fair and balanced negotiated outcome,” meaning there is a European long end bonds slump..

 

 

The increasingly vicious trade war between Washington and Beijing took another turn Wednesday when China imposed an additional 50% tariff on imports from the U.S., hiking its levies on American imports to 84%. The tit-for-tat escalation came hours after President Donald Trump’s 104% tariffs on Chinese imports went into effect, including the 50% Trump added Monday. Why the USA is Losing Many Billions of Dollars on trade with virtually every country it does business with.

 

The most effective U.S. strategy - the one that has most unsettled Beijing in recent years and can deter its adventurism in the future - is to build new, enduring, and robust capacities with these states. A sustained, bipartisan commitment to an upgraded alliance network, coupled with strategic cooperation in emerging fields, offers the best path forward to finding scale against the most formidable competitor the United States has ever encountered. Underestimating China.

 

As the US ambassador to Kyiv steps down, Donald Trump has pledged that US officials will look into evidence that Chinese mercenaries are fighting alongside Russian forces against Ukraine. The Evidence.

 

A U.S. ballerina jailed for 12 years in Russia after donating $51 to a charity has been freed, according to her lawyer and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio. She was arrested in Yekaterinburg in February last year after returning to Russia to visit her family. LA Ballerina Freed in US-Russia Prisoner Swap.

 

A gradual exit from the European theater, during which the United States slowly removes military assets so that European countries can replace them with their own, would be vastly preferable to an abrupt withdrawal. Rushed changes could leave vacuums of power conducive to fear and suspicion. Properly planned for, a rearmed Germany could be just the right size for Europe. The Zeitenwende is Real.

 

Iran and the United States have a bitterly adversarial history. There is a chasm of mistrust between the two countries that diplomacy will struggle to bridge. But an agreement remains possible. Iran needs a deal. Trump wants one. And the alternative to successful negotiations would be catastrophic. The Case for a “Trump to Tehran” Strategy.

 

Chinese leader Xi Jinping has broken his silence on the deepening trade war with the United States, saying there will be "no winners." He warned President Donald Trump that China is "not afraid" - and shortly after his statement, Beijing announced reciprocal tariffs of 125% on all U.S. imports. Called on the European Union to join hands to resist. America vs. China.

 

Many will have seen the pictures of a young woman (a researcher at Harvard Medical School) who, screaming in panic, was arrested on the orders of President Trump. We Tell You Who She Is.

 

Not only do the tariffs on China make all processed industrial materials exponentially more expensive, but they also delay the progress the US will be able to make. In a post from its official account, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs accused the U.S. of "capricious and destructive behavior" and vowed not to bow to American pressure. Today's 'Tariff War'.

 

Trump, for now, is excluding tariffs on smartphones, prompting Americans to purchase them quickly before Trump changes his mind:

 

 

 

Live Footage of American Planes Bombing The Area Around Sanaa Airport (Yemen).

 

In Sudan, the paramilitaries have stepped up their attacks on el-Fasher, the only state capital in Darfur still outside their control, after the army recaptured the national capital Khartoum last month. Sudan Today.

 

The Painted Lady butterfly (Vanessa cardui) undertakes the longest known butterfly migration, an annual, multigenerational journey between Europe and tropical Africa. In search of blooming flowers and host plants, these butterflies travel more than 9,000 miles round-trip, crossing deserts, seas, and mountains along the way..

 

On the observation deck of the Eiffel Tower in Paris is a tribute to the 1889 World Expo, the very event that led to its creation. Opening Today. The Expo 2025 will be held to achieve a society in which the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goal,17 sustainable development goals set out at the United Nations Summit on Sustainable Development held at the United Nations Headquarters in September 2015, have been achieved. With five years remaining until 2030, the target year for achieving the SDGs, 2025 is an Extremely Important Year for Accelerating Efforts to Achieve Them.

 

They came to the US as kids for a better life. Now, they’re leaving for Europe as seniors and Crossing the Atlantic for a Better Life.

 

Most Latin American countries do not currently see Beijing as a threat to their economies, their democratic systems, or the security of their citizens, but as a source of investment, infrastructure, and export markets unencumbered by the historical baggage of U.S. interventionism. Why the Western Hemisphere is Turning Away from America and toward China.

 

The Trump administration continues to create headlines, but the real story may be elsewhere. Asia Is Getting Dangerously Unbalanced.

 

China, on Tuesday, April 1, sent its army, navy, air, and rocket forces to surround Taiwan for drills Beijing said were aimed at practicing a blockade of the self-ruled island. Taiwan dispatched its aircraft and ships, deployed land-based missile systems in response to the drills, and accused Beijing of being the world’s “biggest troublemaker.” China insists that democratic Taiwan is part of its territory and has threatened to use force to bring it under its control. Potential Flashpoint.

 

On 1 April, a massive inferno was seen in Putra Heights, Malaysia, with flames visible from Subang Jaya.

Even in a world without a stable structure, the Trump administration can still use American power, alliances, and economic statecraft to defuse tension, minimize conflict, and furnish a baseline of cooperation among countries big and small. American Power in the New Age of Nationalism.

 

PLA joint exercises code-named Strait Thunder-2025A continue around the island of Taiwan for a second day. Day 2 of Beijing Military Drills in Taiwan Strait Focuses on Blockade.

 

Maintaining a military presence is an investment the United States must make as the Middle East transitions, new leaders shore up popular support, and new security arrangements emerge. The Narrow Path to a New Middle East.

 

On 27 March 2025, Andrzej Duda President of Poland since 6 August 2015 (himself a Knight of the Order Malta) went on an official visit to the Grand Master of the Order of Malta to discuss a solution to the conflict in Ukraine. The Order of Malta?

A multi-story structure collapsed in Bangkok after a rare 7.7 magnitude earthquake struck midday Friday, sending the crane on top toppling to the ground and a massive plume of dust into the air. Thai emergency responders say two people have been found dead, and an unknown number of others are still under the rubble of a building that collapsed after a massive earthquake hit the capital. Bangkok Under State of Emergency | 7.7 Magnitude Earthquake.

 

Recently presented by Steven Colbert, Chuck Schumer's book (leader of the Democratic Party in the US) about Antisemitism gives an excellent historical overview of the issue. Antisemitism, an Overview.

 

Thailand’s capital grinds to a halt amid fear and chaos. After the Quake.

 

Freedom of navigation may be a national interest, but that’s only up to a point. The U.S. military is for hire, even if there has been no request for its services. How the Signal Chat Leak makes the NSA’s job harder now that everyone uses the same communications technologies, security vulnerabilities are amplified. What Signalgate Tells Us.

 

The quake, which hit around lunchtime on March 28, impacted wide swathes of the country, from the central plains around Mandalay to the hills of Shan, parts of which are not completely under the junta’s control. ASEAN Recognizes the Urgent Need for Humanitarian Assistance for Myanmar.

Ultimately, Europe has no way out of its strategic trilemma that does not involve painful tradeoffs. It is, therefore, no surprise that European leaders have thus far avoided making plans for the continent’s post-American defense. Europe’s Nuclear Trilemma.

 

Democracy in the United States faces a serious threat, but the case is not hopeless. Its defenders have a wide array of levers they can pull to oppose Trump and his allies’ attempts to consolidate power. How to Save a Democracy.

 

Israel has troops in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza. It’s vowed to demilitarize huge swaths of all three – backed by an unquestioning ally in the White House. The war in Gaza, which Israel restarted earlier this month, looks increasingly like it will lead to occupation for months or even years to come:

 

If leaders fail to seize this moment, they will cede control to external techno-powers with little incentive to respect Europe’s needs or ideals. Once this window closes, catching up - or even keeping pace - will be nearly impossible. Europe Must Avoid Becoming a Digital Colony.

 

A subject we have previously referred to now seems to come close to a boiling point. the Chinese military announced large-scale drills in the waters around Taiwan, as it warned the self-ruled island against seeking independence. Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense said it had tracked 19 Chinese navy vessels in the waters surrounding the island. China’s Campaign Against Taiwan