|
Index
Read More
|
|
A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z
A
Afghanistan
Africa / Congo
Arab World - Arab
Spring
Archeology
Armenia
Artificial Intelligence – Cybersecurity -
Cryptocurrency
Asia and Cold War
Asia’s WWII
Australia
B
Brazil
Buddhism
C
Celts
China
China
- Movie Industry
China
- Taiwan - Hong Kong
China
/ US - South-East Asia
China
- Oceanic Powers
China Xi
Jinping
Chinese
Hegemony
Climate
Change
Cold War
Colonianism
D
Dalai Lama
E
East Asia
Economy,
see World - World Economy
Egypt
Empires
Enlightenment
EU - Europe
Europe
Extremism
F
Fascism,
see Second World War
First World
War, see also WWI
G
Gaza
Globalization
Global Jihad
Greater Han-Han Zhou Dynasty
H
Haiti
Hamas
Hawaii
Hitler,
see Second World War
Human Origins - Humanity
Houthis
I
Illiberal Democracy
India
International
Relations
International Systems
Iran
Iranian-Palestinian
Iraq
Islam
Israel
And Hamas
Israel
In Gaza
Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem
J
Japan
K
Kurds
L
Latinoamerica, see also South
America
M
Middle East
Moscow To
China
Myanmar - Rohingya Crisis
N
Napoleon
NATO
North
Korea
Nuclear
Peril
O
Oman
P
Pacific War
Pakistan
Palestine: see Israel – Palestine – Jerusalem
Political Qigong
Psychology - Psychiatry
Putin
Q
Qatar
R
Russia - Central Asia
Russia - Putin
Russia - Tsar
S
Second World War, see also WWII
Slavery North America
South America
South Asia
Spy
Agencies - Secret Intelligence Services
Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen
T
Taiwan
Taiwan Conundrum
Thailand
Turkey
Turkey In Context
U
UAE
Ukraine
United Kingdom
United Nations, UN
United States
V
Venezuela
Venice
W
Warsaw
Pact
World - World Economy - History - Politics
WWI,
see also First World War
WWII,
see also Second World War
Z
Zionism
A
Afghanistan
Africa / Congo
Arab World - Arab
Spring
Archeology
Armenia
Artificial Intelligence
Asia and Cold War
Asia’s WWII
Australia
Afghanistan Still Threatens The Region And Beyond.
Why Pressure Is The Best Way.
The Forces That Could Threaten The
Taliban’s Control.
What can be said about US involvement and the current situation in
Afghanistan
What next with Afghanistan
Predicaments of Pakistan in Afghanistan
The SA Election for
Worse and for Better.
A Sort
Of 'Out Of Africa’.
The Youthful Continent.
Africa’s Ukraine
Dilemma.
From Past To Next Fifty Years.
Deep-Rooted Factors. (Part 3)
Trade,
Colonialism And Uneven Development. (Part 2)
The New
Out Of Africa Theory. (Part
1)
Belgium’s
Africa Museum Had a Racist Image. Can It Change That?
Head of UN,
Ban Ki-moon, seeks to appoint investigator for fatal crash of Dag
Hammarskjöld
Case Study:
The French Rwanda File:
South
Africa and AFRICOM
The
Hamitic theory of race and the role it played in the Rwandan Genocide:
Case Study P.1:
The Creation of Belgium
Case Study P.2:
The Start of Belgian Empirialism: When
Texas was to be a Belgian Colony
History of the former Belgian Congo
P.1:
Egypt in Central Africa
History of Central Africa
P.2:
King Leopold's Media
our earlier comment about Blood Diamonds
The Red Sea.
Saudi
Arabia Is On The Way To Becoming The Next Egypt.
Will
Saudi Arabia Get The Bomb?
The
Coming Arab Backlash.
The UAE And
Its Talest Building In The World.
Why A Spate of Diplomatic Deals Won’t End Conflict.
Key To The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
How To
Deal With The Saudi Arabia Problems.
What
Needs To Happen Next.
The Making Of The Middle East.
The Making Of The Modern Middle
East Part 2.
The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.
Enter: Arab
Spring 2011
Göbekli Tepe revisited part three
Göbekli Tepe revisited part two
The world’s earliest cities and what it means for today
Ancient Globalization
In the
Beginning
Genes or Behavior?
The Archeology of Worldwide War and Peace
They Built
the First Temples?
The
Earliest States
Truth In History: Inventing Archeology
Case Study:
Archeology of the Middle East Today
Nationalism: Ancient Egypt, Judea, Armenia, Japan?
‘King
Arthur’
Click to enter:
Fringe Archeology Update
'Archeological
Fantasies' continue:
The Mother of all Theocratic States: Lemuria
September 2004, Cult Archeology: Civilization One Book (excerpt)
Neo Paganism
From Mircea Eliade to Carlos Castaneda
The Truth About Carlos Castaneda
The Myth of the Noble Savage
Reader Comment: The Myth of the Noble Savage
Celts and Druids Speaking
From N. Pennick to Celtic/Northern Literature
The Temple of a Nation, Stonehenge
And Who Owns Ancient Remains?
Neo-Shamanists and Pagans Today
Why We Never Found Atlantis
The Atlantis Syndrome P.1
The Atlantis Syndrome P.2
The Atlantis Syndrome P.3
Cuba's Gateway To Atlantis P.1
Cuba's Gateway To Atlantis P.2: Cocaine
Gateway to Atlantis P.3: Seven Cities, El Dorado
Gateway to Atlantis P.4: Urheimat der Arier
Cuba's Atlantis
Why, and what happened
Major Case Study:
So what really happened in Armenia
(Updated version)
Case Study:
Armenian Genocide
Crypto in China and Beyond.
AI Large Language Models.
The New Empires Of The Internet.
Cryptocurrency And The Bankman-Fried
Case.
Bydance And TikTok.
The Test.
The New Threat.
Generative Artificial Intelligence.
How Artificial Intelligence Will Transform
The Military.
The Ramifications Of Artificial Intelligence
(AI) Part Two.
The Ramifications Of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Part One.
There Is No Time To Waste.
Get Ready For Artificial Intelligence.
An Extensive Overview Of How Crypto-Currency Fraud Functions.
The Illusion Of China’s AI Prowess.
The Battle For Brains.
But There Is A Solution.
Blockchain
Analysis.
Cryptocurrency-Based
Crimes Part Four.
Cryptocurrency-Based
Crimes Part Three.
Cryptocurrency-Based
Crimes Part Two.
Cryptocurrency-Based Crimes.
Tackling
The 2023 Problem Of Cybersecurity.
Weaponized Artificial Intelligence.
The logic of human nature and
causal networks
Dismantling the myths
of AI Part Two
Dismantling the myths of AI Part One
The question about current medical
efficiency and that of digital authoritarianism versus liberal democracies
Introduction
P.2 The Malay Theatre
P.3 The Vietnam Theatre
P.4 The Korean Theatre
P.5 Indonesia and China Burning
P.6 1945-1950
P.7 Vietnam War and World Decolonization.
Was the Cold War inevitable?
…investigae in the following part
Introduction: Gorbachev's Last Days
Was the Cold War Predetermined? Investigating
the Beginning of the Cold War P.1.
Was the Cold War Predetermined? Investigating the Beginning of the Cold War
P.2
Investigating the End of the Cold War P.1
Investigating the End of the Cold War P.2
Investigating the End of the Cold War P.3
Major Case Study:
From hot to Cold War: Asia's WWII
Genocide
In Australia.
B
Brazil
Buddhism
Bolsonaro Redux.
Far-Right Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.
The
Current Situation.
Far-Right
Rioters Invaded Brazil's Federal Representative Institutions.
Why the political climate in Brazil matters to the rest of the world
Discussion, Buddhism
A new understanding of
Buddhist's past and at least one possible future
C
Celts
China
China
- Movie Industry
China
- Taiwan - Hong Kong
China
/ US - South-East Asia
China
- Oceanic Powers
China Xi
Jinping
Chinese
Hegemony
Climate
Change
Cold War
Colonianism
Major Case Study:
The less-known aspects of early Irish
and Scottish Nationalism
Recherche sur ce qui ne va pas avec
les Celtes
Foreign Policy for the World.
Will America and China
Heed the Warnings.
The China Sea
Syndrome.
Modi’s Tough Stance
Could Invite, not Deter, Chinese.
When
Israel Was in China.
The Cold War Between
China, Europe, and the United States.
China's Quest to Innovate.
Crypto in China and Beyond.
Lai
Ching-te’s Precarious Balancing Act.
The
World's Second Most Populous Country.
US-China Relations.
The Real Motives For China’s Nuclear
Expansion.
Importance Of The Middle Powers.
Overview Of Chinese Spy Activities.
A Problem With China's Economy.
China Today And Tomorrow.
Competition With China To Be Won.
Misconceptions About China.
China’s Economic Collision Course.
Cold War China Xi Jinping And The United
States.
President Xi's Thought.
From Moscow To China.
But It Can Still Prevent Chinese Hegemony.
Chinese Spy Operations.
But Where Is This Going?
Will Xi’s Military Modernization Pay Off?
Beijing Seeks To Extend The Hegemony Of
Mandarin.
More Likely To React To External Threats.
The Real Toll Of Beijing’s Belt And Road.
Why America And China Will Be Enduring Rivals.
Berlin’s Delicate Balance With Beijing.
The End Of China’s Economic
Miracle.
A Form Of Preparation For War.
The Global South.
Living On The Edge.
Blinded By The Fight.
How Institutional Balancing Promotes Stability In Asia.
U.S.-Chinese Rivalry.
China’s Affinity With Russia Is
Over.
The Virtue Of Low Expectations.
China Is Ready For A World Of
Disorder.
What Does The West Know About Xi’s China?
Why China Is Rewriting The Law Of The Sea.
The Technology Trap.
The U.S.-Chinese Economic
Relationship.
Lifelines And Chokepoints.
The Consequences Of China’s
Peace Deal.
The Consequences Of China's
Demographic Decline.
How To Spy On China.
The Bad Advice Plaguing President Xi.
The Question Of Chinese Military
Support For Russia.
Russia And China Behind The Scenes.
The New Age Of Great-Power
Competition.
Spy Ballons TikTok And Chinse Intelligence.
Xi Jinping Preparing China For
War.
China Will Lead The Next
Technological Revolution.
Sweeping
Belt And Road Initiative.
Solidify
Global Divisions For The Coming Decades.
China Is Practicing How to Sever
Taiwan’s Internet.
Possibility That Chinese Spy
Balloon’s Path Over The US Was Accidental.
Why Are Meteorologists Tracking
The Location Of The Chinese Balloon?
China’s Indo-Pacific Folly.
On The Leaks Of A War With China
Plus A Recension In Europe.
What The Cities Of The Future
Will Look Like.
The Looming Taiwan Crisis.
Detention
Camps.
The
Story of Why The Chinese Can Travel Again.
What
Made Taiwan Understand How Perilous This Situation Is.
Can
China Take Taiwan?
Why It
Is Of Importance.
The
Skirmish In Arunachal Pradesh Reflects Beijing’s Confidence, And New
Delhi’s Diminished Deterrence.
The
Meaning Of China’s Dangerous Decline.
Why
Saudis Don’t Want To Pivot To China.
The Nowhere Road With An Answer
To It.
It Took
Just Seven Words That NBA-China’s Viewership Approaching Pre-Banned Levels.
How China Manipulates The Media.
We
Address Why There Is No Inevitability In China's Decline To India's Rise.
China's
Economy.
Will Xi
Learn From History?
What Is Achievable In East Asia?
China
The Global Power And Russia The Junior Partner.
Why XI
Might Prefer Détente.
What To
Expect From Xi's Third Term.
What To
Expect From The Xi-Biden Meeting.
China’s
Past And Xi’s Future.
Reactions To China's Spy
Operations. Part 5
The Circumstances That Allow
Chinese Spy Operations To Thrive. Part 4
The Way To The White House. Part 3
The Chinese Police Service
Stations. Part 2
Chinese Spies Part One. Part 1
How To Build A Better Order.
We
Analyze The Reasons Why.
Can A
War Over Taiwan Still Be Avoided?
The Revelations Of
Document Number Nine.
Large
And In Charge
The
World According To Xi.
China's
COVID-19 Politics To The Test.
China's
Growth In Peril.
China's
Global Security Initiative.
The
Forbidden History
The
Future War Between China And The US.
Xi
Jinping And Present-Day China.
Point Of
No Return.
The
United States Does Not Need To Beat China.
Whereby
The Truth About Taiwan Is.
China
Needs To Reach An Understanding And Russia Does Not.
Nancy
Pelosi’s Visit To Taiwan.
What Is Happening Here?
Xi Unleased.
Whose
China Sea Is It?
Facing A Window Of
Vulnerability Over Taiwan.
China Could Invade Taiwan.
China’s Motivations.
Geopolitical
Consequences Of Taiwan War.
Why
Should Taiwan Be Seen As A Part Of China?
What the situation looks like going forward
China's pursuit of greatness
part two and conclusion
China's pursuit of greatness
China the Pandemic and Sovereignty
The Actual History Behind The Seven Years In Tibet With Brad Pitt.
How The Movie Industry
Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Four.
How The Movie Industry
Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Three.
How The Movie Industry
Became Chineses Diplomacy Part Two.
How The Movie Industry
Became Chineses Diplomacy.
The Interconnected
Fates Of The World’s Democracies.
The Taiwan Conundrum.
Taiwan Today.
Once More The
Question Of Taiwan.
The Trouble With The South China Sea.
Taiwan Is An Important Partner.
Xi Jinping's Hawkish Forces He Can’t Control.
How To Avoid Catastrophe.
Don’t Panic About Taiwan.
The Looming Taiwan Crisis.
What
Made Taiwan Understand How Perilous This Situation Is.
Can China Take Taiwan?
Major Case Study:
The lead up to present-day China and the
making of the ChinaTaiwan crisis
After Hong Kong deterrence vs Taiwan?
Taiwan going forward
What the real future of Hong Kong might look like
Mapping the new reality of Hong Kong
How China will handle
its future development
Understanding modern
China
From Vancouver to
Auckland and Hong Kong understanding the new Chinese nationalism
Will China now crush
the protests in Hong Kong?
What does it all mean
Increased friction in
the South China Sea and why
Outlook for the world
China, US, Europe, N.Korea,Venezuela, and the way forward with Iran
Today’s legacy of the
Tiananmen crisis
Unveiling China’s big
science
Is China planning to
take Taiwan by force?
Thus has China’s new
Silk Belt and Road failed? Updated
15 Feb. 2019
China’s ticking
time-bomb. Updated 4 Jan. 2019
China’s New Nationalism
China has “no historic rights” in
South China Sea: Continue…
From Chinese Yuan
adjustment to the fall of world markets; the lesson to learn
.. the Huns to their Mongol related
origin in what is now China Continue ...
The
Philippines In The South China Sea.
How concerned should we be when Chinese growth runs out?
The importance of South and East Asia
Which way will the West turn?
Left or right?
Understanding the 100 years of the current
regime in China Part Two
Understanding the 100 years
of the current regime in China
China’s multifaceted great power projection
The rivalry between America and
China in South-East Asia
Where will the China/US
competition lead the world?
Major Case Study:
Investigating the India-China
standoff Part Three
Major Case Study:
Investigating the India-China
standoff Part Two
Major Case Study:
Investigating the India-China standoff Part
One
South-East Asia between China and the US
Major Case Study:
Developmental forces in East and West as
drivers of psychological change
Major Case Study:
The re-invention of Chinese History,
Nation, Language, and Territory Part Three
Major Case Study:
The re-invention of Chinese
History, Nation, Language, and Territory
Major Case Study:
The secrets of China’s new maps unveiled
Will a coming conflict make the military
disasters of Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq pale in comparison?
China’s new claim about the border with
Bhutan
China’s larger geostrategic game
The fall out from the current
crises
Are the U.S. and China headed for a Cold
War?
The 21st Century Arms Race
From bloody nose attack to nonmilitary
options? Plus
update 18 January.
Will the Standoff Lead to a Second
India-China War? With
Update 29 Aug. 2017
South
China Sea: Risks of a clash caused by China’s
paramilitary ships that could bring U.S. forces to bear in defense of U.S.
allies
Uighur terrorist attack in China, a
shoot-out between the Koreas along their disputed maritime border and, to
top it off, a coup in Thailand
..China considers its territorial
waters
..We must go to war with Japan…History
as a political weapon:
China Today
The Why of Khmer Rouge Terror
The
East Asian World Order
The concept of Han Chinese
China's
New Nationalism
The Early
Chinese Empires
The true
voyages of Zheng He
There now
might be increased diplomatic pressure on Beijing to reduce its presence in
the South China Sea
Globalization and Empire:
Introduction
P.1 Indian Ocean's Business as Usual
P.2 Indian Ocean From Business to Power
Broker
Oceanic Powers, US/China: Conclusion
Case Study
Chinese Religion: Daoism:
Historical Overview of Daoism
Origin of
Daoism
Daoist
secrets of ritualized alchemy to internal Neidan meditative alchemy
Tantric ‘internal’ alchemy P.1
Tantric practice in China P.2
The Politics of Qigong:
The Taiping
Rebellion, Boxer Uprising, and Falung Gong
From Red Turban to Ming Tax Collecting
The Island of Seven Cities:
Research Report:
China Beyond Zheng Hi
From Persia to China
Research Report P.4:
China's Reinvented Historic Legacy
Case Study:
When China Woke Up to the World
Chinese and other Empires of the World
What Next
with China? P.1.
What Next with China P.2.
China Xi Jinping And The
United States.
But
It Can Still Prevent Chinese Hegemony.
…Their Failure To Act Fast Enough
On Climate Change Violates Their Human Rights.
Preparing For A Future Of
Extreme Weather.
Measure The Harm Of Climate
Change.
The search for Nextpolis
Apocalypse Never:
Why Planet earth is shutting down
A history of the end of the world
From
climate change denialism to the Brazilian rainforest fires and solutions
going forward
Here
is a blueprint as to how to approach the problems:
The
Weather as influenced by El Nino going forward
The
world going forward:
Putin and the Cold War Part Two
Putin and the Cold War Part One
The economy of
Colonialism:
Major Case Study:
Part one, Part two,
Part three
The economics of colonialism part three
The economics of colonialism part two
The counterfactual view that explains
colonialism
D
Dalai Lama
The Next
Dalai Lama.
The future Dalai Lama
E
East Asia
Economy,
see World - World Economy
Egypt
Empires
Enlightenment
EU - Europe
Europe
Extremism
The Greater East Asia
Co-Prosperity Sphere, Part One Of Two.
What Is Achievable In East Asia?
Countdown
Egypt: Why Egypt's Mursi will either resign or be sacked on 3 July
What next with Egypt and Syria to Jordan
Consequences for the balance of power
between the Brotherhood and the military
Protesters Storm Muslim Brotherhood Offices
Ghosts Of Empires Past.
This Is
Particularly True For Empires.
The transformation of the Russian Empire
part two
The transformation of the Russian Empire part one
The Holy Roman Empire, the Reformation, and the birth of the
Netherlands
Beginnings and endings of Empires
The concept of
Han Chinese
The East
Asian World Order
Whose Enlightenment?
When Europe Fell Apart.
The Promise And Peril Of EU
Expansion.
The Truth About European
Colonialism In The New World.
How The EU Will Learn To Wield Its Power.
Europe’s Geoeconomic Revolution.
Coudenhove-Kalergi And The Pan-Europa Movement.
Berlin’s Delicate Balance With Beijing.
Time To Expand The UN Security Council.
Europe’s Real Test Is Yet To Come.
Poland 1941.
Europe And Russia’s Aggression In Ukraine.
On The
Leaks Of A War With China Plus A Recension In Europe.
The
German Connection.
How The
War In Ukraine Will Remake The Continent.
The
Gripping Story Of How A Plot Would Take Over Germany.
Germany’s
Unlearned Lessons.
Germany
Just Averted Its Own Jan. 6, And Maybe The Fourth Reich.
Inflation
And Economic Uncertainty.
Why This
Could Last For Years.
Greece expected to strike a deal with the EU
The
fate of Europe in 2013
Will
the European Crises soon be over?
The
Start of Europe’s fragmentation
Why the European crisis has been solved
(for
a while).
Europe’s Crises Worsening
The financial crisis Europe faces it has
not wanted to admit even exists (with graphs)
Eurozone’s Debt crisis no
longer just about Greece. Continue…
Introduction
Critical
Investigation:
Research Report: Conflict and Ethnicity
Research Report: Ethnoclass in Eastern Europe
Religion and Modern Politics P.1: Bakunin's
Christianity
Religion and Modern Politics P.2: From 'New
Right' to Habermas Today
P.1: The New World of 'Sociology'
P.2: Signor Mazzini I Presume?
P.3: Social Democrats, A Political Religion
Updated:
P.4: The 1914 Clash of Civilisations
True History of the European Community,
P.1: Its WWI Origin
True History of the European Community, P.2: Which Europe?
P.1
Globalization and Economics: A Search for the Holy Grail?
Cold War and Modern Historiography
Including
major case study "From Belgium to Kososovo and back"
Towards a New Sociology of Religious Nationalism P.1
Towards a New Sociology of Religious Nationalism P.2, Part 3-a, Part 3-b:
The Politically Incorrect Guide to Religion
P.1
The Future of Democracies Around the World
How To Understand Extreme
Right-Wing Parties.
F
Fascism,
see Second World War
First World
War, see also WWI
Revisiting the First World
War Part Three
Revisiting the First World
War Part Two
Revisiting the First World War
Major Case Study:
A
new investigation about the First World War
Major Case Study:
Revisiting the Origins of the
First World War
Major Case Study:
Beyond the Treaty of Versailles
Treaty of Sèvres on 10 August 2020
new complex patterns and alliances were formed (many of them in the Middle East)
…an
interesting section about “The Flemish Lion”
The tribulations and consequences of the
Treaty of Versailles
Why World War I was pivotal to the creation
of the modern Middle East
World War I became known as the war to end
all wars
A complete timeline of what happened
Shantung the Versailles Treaty and the
Manchurian episode
A Somewhat Hidden History of the Balfour
Declaration
How the First World War started P.9
How the First World War started P.8
How the First World War started
P.7
How the First World War started P.6
Leading up to the First World
War P.5
Leading up the First World War P.4
The almost First World War P.3
The almost First World War P.2
The almost First World War P.1
The conspiracy theory that gave rise to
Hitler:
P.1 Reparations and the famous Article 231
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.8:
British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and the
Syria crisis today
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.7:
The unresolved sectarian issue in Lebanon
today
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.6:
The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’,
and the British
The true history of the Balfour Declaration
and its implementations P.4
The true history of the Balfour Declaration
and its implementations P.3
The true history of the Balfour Declaration
and its implementations P.2
The true history of the Balfour Declaration
and its implementations P.1
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.6:
The Paris Peace Conference deliberations
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.5:
The Syrian question
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.4:
The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.3:
The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.2:
The Arab question and the ‘shocking
document’ that shaped the Middle East
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.1:
The ‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the
Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East
The second First World War
The Real Russian Origins of the First World
War
A new investigation why the First World War
broke out
G
Gaza
Globalization
Global Jihad
Greater Han-Han Zhou Dynasty
Southern Gaza City of Rafah.
Why it is Crucial that it Not Be.
Gantz’s Gaza Plan.
Gaza
After Gaza.
Witness To Palestine.
The Way Going Forward In Gaza.
The Food Weapon.
Palestinian Option.
How Israel Fights.
Israel And Hamas.
America’s
Hypocrisy On Gaza.
The
Path To A Regional Order.
Requiem for Hyperglobalization.
Deglobalization.
Is this the end of Globalization?
The
'out of Eden' peopling of the earth
… For example:
Historical Overview
Historical Truth in the Age of
Globalization, P.1
The Myth of 1492 - Historical Truth in the
Age of Globalization, P.2
The Myth of The Industrial Revolution -
Historical Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.3
What the East Thought the West - Historical
Truth in the Age of Globalization, P.4
P.1, Mutual Contact
P.2, Violent Occupations
P.3, Broken Treaties and the Sex Trade
P.4, Disease and Changing Worlds
P.5, Controlling Landscapes
P.6, Administering People
P.7, WWII of Indigenous Populations
P.8, Enter the 21st Century
History of Globalization: In and out of India P.1: The First
Trade-Wars
History of Globalization: In and out of India P.2: The First
Multinational Companies.
"Globalization Flat or Round?"
What do Naomi Klein's "No War" have in common with with
two other recent books: "The Fire This Time: U.S. War Crimes in the
Gulf" or "The Iraq War : A Military History"?
…others are in complete denial of what is happening to them or soon
will happen
Postscript: Where did all the Money Go?
Why this complicates the reaction to the
Paris attacks:
Paris and the end times of ISIS:
…why Islamic history
The Future of the Islamic State:
The Salafist Resurgence
Jemaah Islamiah and Global Jihad
Case Study:
Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of
the Middle East
Bin Laden, Al-Qaeda, and Salafi Jihadism:
Interview with Eric Vandenbroeck
Radical Islam and Global Jihad Today
Report:
Beyond
Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of the Middle East
The Islam Code P.1.
The Islam Code P.2.
Conclusion:
The Islam Code P.3.
An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern
Radical Islam P.1
An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern
Radical Islam P.2
An Exact Overview of the Growth of Modern
Radical Islam P.3
Pictural Overview of the Middle East Today
Global Jihad P.1
Global Jihad P.2
Global Jihad P.3
Global Jihad P.4
Global Jihad P.5
Global Jihad P.6
Global Jihad P.7
Conclusion and Implications:
Global Jihad P.7
The apocalypse within:
Updated
Case Analysis:
SA in Indonesia, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Chechnya
Future World Jihad P.1
Future World Jihad P.2
Future World Jihad P.3: The Nazi Connection
Future World Jihad P.4: Jerusalem’s Armageddon
Future World Jihad P.5: What Now?
…Evidence
Bangladesh, Indonesia, Pakistan, plus more
Global Jihad
Case Study:
Central Asia P.1
Central Asia P.2
Central Asia P.3
Major Researchproject: Future World Jihad P.5
The Quest for World Jihad: Introduction
The Quest for World Jihad P.1.
The Quest for World Jihad P.2.
…we described the significance of the Ottoman Empire in the context
of today's world jihad
…let alone an inevitable, consequence of World War 1. The Quest for World Jihad P.3
…six part investigation of British encounters with Islamic warfare
The Quest for World Jihad P.4
Bin-Laden’s Bookshelf p.1 and 2
…2006 30 Jan. al-Qaeda nr.2 on bin-Laden's Truce''
Updated
The
Background Story of 7/7/2005 in the UK:
Today's War on Terrorism
A New 'Jihad' Wave?
Pakistan
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.1: Egypt and the Sudan
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.2: Somalia and Lebanon
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.3: Wahhabi's and Shi'ites
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.4: Iraq
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.5: Afghanistan
The Hidden Roots of Modern Jihad P.6: Strategic Lessons
From Hitler to the "Arab Reich"P.1
From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.2
From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.3
From Hitler to the "Arab Reich" P.4
A Convergence of Militant Islam and the New Right?
fringe groups not yet mentioned
The concept of Han Chinese
The East Asian World Order
H
Haiti
Hamas
Hawaii
Hitler,
see Second World War
Human Origins - Humanity
Houthis
Who Will Lead Haiti?
How to Deal with Hamas.
Consequences of the
Israel/Hamas War Part Two.
Consequences of the
Israel/Hamas War.
The Day After.
Israel And Hamas
From Pearl Harbour On.
The True Story Of Hawaii.
2020 9
July:
Rediscovering Hawaii's place in the pacific
Rediscovering Hawaii's place in
the pacific
And Then
It Got Cold.
The Mystery Of Inequality.
The Myth of Human Origins
When humanity almost got wiped out
The Measure Of Their
Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.
I
Illiberal Democracy
India
International Relations
International Systems
Iran
Iranian-Palestinian
Iraq
Islam
Israel
And Hamas
Israel
In Gaza
Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem
The Rising Threat Of Illiberal
Democracy.
How
Indian Voters Constrained Modi.
Bharatiya Janata Party Suffer a Setback.
Modi’s Tough Stance Could Invite, not
Deter, Chinese.
Modi’s Middling Economy.
The British 'Company’
And The Conquest Of India.
The Fate Of Over 1.4 Billion
People Hangs In The Balance.
Modi's New Messenger.
The Teacher To The World.
The Story How Hardeep Singh
Nijjar Was Killed In Canada, September 2023.
India’s Massive Military Restructuring.
Will India Surpass China To Become The Next Superpower?
India As It Is.
India Won’t Side With Washington Against Beijing.
India’s Great-Power Opportunity.
Kashmir Today.
The Urgent Issues That Preoccupy Much Of The Developing World.
Why It
Is Of Importance.
The
Skirmish In Arunachal Pradesh Reflects Beijing’s Confidence, And New
Delhi’s Diminished Deterrence.
A Critical Look At Narendra Modi's
India Today.
India’s
Ruling Party Is Losing Control.
Why I Killed Gandhi.
A New Look At The History Of Partition.
Major Case
Study:
A movie, a new book, and what India stands for
today
Ladakh fighting
Major Case Study:
The Hindu right in context
Could India and China Go to War?
Kashmiri militants
What is really happening in India?
The empire within an empire that changed
the future fate of India
The impeachment of the first
governor-general of Bengal
Jammu and Kashmir
What happened with Kashmir and
why it matters
“I think it is probably a god-gifted
ability”
A concern is that it might leed to more
violence in Sri Lanka
The 10th anniversary of an assault that
raised fears of war with Pakistan and why in the end it was about Kashmir
Revisiting India’s Harappan
civilization .. where the Indo-European languages came from, enter:
..."Indian
Mujahadeen" like recent
attacks in Ahmedabad and Jaipur
Why Orissa
Introduction
What is happening in India today?
What happened with Kashmir and why it matters.
Update
… India's tech sector following explosions
…began on Wednesday, 26 November
…repercussions in reference to Kashmir
…including that the Indian air and missile forces were
placed on war footing
Kashmir is a victim of the disputed division of
British India during the transfer of colonial power in 1947.
Partition of British India's Geostrategic
Cause.
…Through
Burma and Back
India: The Clash Within: The World's
Largest Democracy?
Deciding to go for facts rather than
fiction today:
The Eurasian Industrial
Revolution.
Bose
movie, published in: Return of the Swastika, 2007 P.1
From Japan to Burma, P.2
From Nagaland to Burma, P.1
From Nagaland to Burma, P.2
sometimes also encountered in our research
report about Europe
Politics in S.Asia P.1
Politics in S.Asia P.2 post-1966 Indira
Gandhi
Politics in S.Asia P.3 Competitive Populism
…in
Madras Henry Olcott stated…
Political Religious Violence in Asia P.1
Political Religious Violence in Asia P.2
Political Religious Violence in Asia P.3
…Fascism and Communism
Matthew Specter And Jonathan Kirshner’s New
Books.
…the rise and fall of a principle of
hierarchical sovereignty. See:
…vassalage system employed in Europe
some fifteen hundred years later. See:
S.America that led up to the League
of Nations Conference at Montevideo. See:
…most likely resulting in failure. See:
…boundaries between political units
will increase. See:
The state is not the only form of
political unit to have existed…See:
… former Yugoslavia … See:
… crisis in Yugoslavia -- the
question we next answered is why. See:
… a nascent American imperial that
represents the status quo. See:
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.1: Introduction
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.2: China and Tibet
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.3: Islamic Empires
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.4: Christians and Pagans in Europe
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.5: Protestant Reformation
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.6: From God To Proto-Nationalism
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.7: Demand for increased boundaries
The Past and Future of the Nations
P.8: Federalism and its Consequences
…disintegration of Yugoslavia…
State Behaviour in the International System P.1
…legal tradition…
State Behaviour in the International System P.2
…during 2003 Iraq Standoff.
State Behaviour in the International System P.3
The Kyoto Protocol and Africa.
State Behaviour in the International System P.4
United States, the United Kingdom,
Australia, India, and Sierra Leone.
State Behaviour in the International System P.5
Conclusion and Outlook:
State Behaviour in the International System P.6
From Belgium to Kosovo P.1
From Belgium to Kosovo P.2
From Belgium to Kosovo P.3
From Belgium to Kosovo P.4
From Belgium to Kosovo P.5
From Belgium to Kosovo P.6
From Belgium to Kosovo P.7
Introduction
Conclusion
The Iran-Israel Relationship.
Escalation Could Set Israel And
Iran On A Collision Course.
What
Narges Mohammadi’s Nobel Means For Iran.
Iran’s New Patrons.
The Iran Gamble.
We Investigate A Sorbid History
Under Pressure.
Israel’s Dangerous Shadow War With Iran.
An Even More Intransigent Regime.
Iran’s
Question Of Legitimacy.
Iran’s
Anti-Veil Protests Have Already Succeeded.
The enduring relationship between China and Iran
What next?
What to make of the Iran protests?
Why Tehran Is Winning the War for Control
of the Middle East
Iran - Gaza Offensive: Why the Iranian connection will complicate
the situation
Iran threatens to block Strait of
Hormuz oil route, yet
why they will not
Military steps up plans for Iran attack?
Introduction
Modern
Iran P.1
Modern Iran P.2
The Iran Papers P.1
The Iran Papers P.2
The Iran Papers P.3
The Iran Papers P.4
The Iran Papers P.5
Conclusion: The Iran Papers
…Iran…
Iran-Chinese relationship
Iran
and its conspiracytheories
Whoever Succeeds Him Won’t
Change Course.
Why Tehran’s Hard-Liners
Choose To Escalate.
Why Iran And Israel May Not
Be Finished.
The Cascading World.
Iran's Strategy.
A Detente Option For
Iran.
The
Iranian-Palestinian Marriage Of Convenience.
What is to follow after Iraqi Prime
Minister Adil Abdul Mahdi's resignation
The End
of the Islamic Republic As We Know It Part Two.
The End
of the Islamic Republic As We Know It Part One.
Early Islam and the decay of Rome part two
Major Case Study:
Early Islam and the decay of Rome part one
The Day After.
Hamas’s Future.
Israel From A Singaporean Perspective.
The Rafah Operation.
Pressuring
Allies Not To Retaliate Against Attacks Raises The Risk Of Spiraling
Conflicts.
Hamas Part Two.
Qatar And The Hamas
Leader.
These Are The
Three Options.
Only Way Is To Defeat
Hamas.
Israel And Hamas.
Stuck
In Gaza.
Why Israel Will Remain In Gaza.
|
Israel - Palestine - Jerusalem
|
When
Israel Was in China.
The
Iran-Israel Relationship.
Palestine: a British
Dilemma.
Regional Ties of Israel.
Where the Case Stands Now.
The Land that is Israel.
Consequences of the
Israel/Hamas War Part Two.
Consequences of the
Israel/Hamas War.
Can America’s Special Relationship With
Israel Survive?
How it Could be Done.
When The Palestinian Flag
Was Raised At Harvard.
But This Is Equally
True For The United States.
Why International Law Is
Failing.
Judicial Reforms As War Of
Words Escalates.
The Coming Arab Backlash.
Jordanian Fighter Pilots.
Dilemmas Of The Gulf
States.
So What Is It All
About?
Relations With Israel And
American Leadership.
Israel's Cyberabilities.
The New Capacity.
Witness To Palestine.
Where This War Will
Go Next?
The Food Weapon.
Palestinian Option.
How Israel Fights.
Israel And Hamas.
America’s
Hypocrisy On Gaza.
The Path To A
Regional Order.
The Measure Of Their
Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.
Gaza Makes A Nuclear
Iran More Likely.
Regional
Conflicts Resemble World War II.
Why Peace Remains
Possible.
The
Ongoing Houthi Attacks.
The Choice Cannot Be
Clearer.
Gaza Historical Role.
But Far Greater Risks May
Emerge If He Doesn’t.
Why Israel Will Remain
In Gaza.
Researching Israel’s Goals And
Strategy.
How Hamas Has United Israelis
Behind The War.
The Iranian-Palestinian Marriage
Of Convenience.
The Way Going
Forward In Gaza.
The
Future Of The Israeli-Palestinian Conflict.
Why Israel Won’t
Change.
Protest The Netanyahu
Government.
What Does It Mean To
Defeat A Terrorist Group?
The Gaza Case.
It Is A Pattern That Is
Already Playing Out Again.
Why Did Antony Blinken Attend A
Meeting In Doha?
The No Blueprint
Assault.
The Protests In Israel.
Duelling Speeches.
The End Of Israel’s Gaza
Illusions.
What To Do About Gaza, And
What Gazans Think.
Israel Enter Gaza Imminent.
Misinformation About
The Israel-Hamas War Is Flooding Social Media.
Erdogan And The
Hamas-Israel War.
Escalation Could Set Israel And
Iran On A Collision Course.
The
Israeli/Hamas Conundrum.
Return The Gaza Strip
To Palestinians.
A Strategy Beyond Revenge.
Why Washington
Should Restrain Israeli Military Action In Gaza.
Time To Step Back From The
Brink.
Hamas Rise To Power.
How The Conflict
In The Middle East Came About P.1.
Crises In The Middle
East.
Gaza Redux Part One.
Hezbollah, Israel,
And Tehran.
The Why And How Of The
Surprise Attack On Israel.
Operation Al-Aqsa Flood.
What A Saudi-Israeli Deal Could Mean For The Palestinians.
Debating Israel’s One-State Reality.
Confronting A One-State Reality.
The US Is Indispensable To Israel’s Safety And Security.
Israel’s Dangerous Shadow War With Iran.
How To Prevent A Third Intifada.
The Holy Land and its contestants
Major Case Study:
A critical history of Palestine P.2
Major Case Study:
A critical history of Palestine
P.1
The story of British
Policymaking at the End of Empire and the Creation of Israel P.2
The story of British
Policymaking at the End of Empire and the Creation of Israel P.1
Jerusalem Unveiled
Paris Peace Conference redux 15
Jan.2017
The Hajj, Muslim worshipers at the
Grand Mosque in Mecca: What
two million people are about to do here
The Palestinians' Real Enemies
The Gaza offensive: Egyptian-Israeli relations, other groups
than Hamas, wider relevance or importance
A Brief History of the Jerusalem Problem
The Problems with Israel and
Palestine P3: The Palestinian Challenge Beyond Israel
The Problems with Israel and
Palestine P2: Geostrategy of the Palestinians
…Israeli military incursion…
P1: Geostrategy of Israel
J
Japan
To China and South Korea.
East Asia’s
Coming Population Collapse.
Tokyo
Aims To Counter Growing Chinese And North Korean Aggression.
The Consensus From Canberra To Tokyo.
The Japanese Attempt to Solve the Mongol Question
Major Case Study:
Asia after China
Japans dealing
with China
Identity in Japan
Anglo-American ascendance
The U.S. financial siege of Japan:
The U.S. Oil Shortage that never was
…Turkish and Japanese foreign
policies, and why: Continue...
Cold War Japan
…demanded that Japan open its doors to
foreign trade
The U.S. financial siege of Japan:
The U.S. Oil Shortage that never was
Making the New Japan:
The New Japan P.1:
The New Japan P.2:
Asia-Pacific Rim Hegemony:
An Assessment P.1.
Asia-Pacific Rim Hegemony: From
Japanese to Chinese Containment?
An Assessment P.2.
K
Kurds
What next with the Kurdish conundrum?
L
Latinoamerica,
see also South America
Mexico On Edge?
Who Will Lead Haiti?
Bolsonaro
Redux.
When The
Past Does Not Go Away.
The Haitian Government Is Dependent On International Power.
Far-Right Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.
The
Current Situation.
Far-Right
Rioters Invaded Brazil's Federal Representative Institutions.
A
History Of Making Bad Situatiuations Worse.
Latin America 2022.
Democracy Or Authoritarian Populism?
M
Middle East
Moscow To
China
Myanmar - Rohingya Crisis
The Red Sea.
The
Region’s Perilous Security Conditions.
The Making Of The
Middle East.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part Seven.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part Six.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part Five.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part Four.
The Middle East Gamble.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part Two.
The Making Of The
Modern Middle East Part One.
The Path To A
Regional Order.
The Measure Of Their
Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.
The Problems With
The Middle East.
Part One:
How The Conflict In The Middle East Came About P.1.
Crises In The Middle East.
Why A Spate of Diplomatic Deals
Won’t End Conflict.
Key To The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
How To
Deal With The Saudi Arabia Problems.
What
Needs To Happen Next.
The Making Of The Middle East.
The Making Of The Modern Middle
East Part 2.
The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.
Making of the Middle East's hidden history Part Two
Making of the Middle East's hidden history
Part One
Why World War I was pivotal to the creation
of the modern Middle East
Why Tehran Is Winning the War for Control
of the Middle East
The Syrian civil war and the Middle East
going forward
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.8:
British rule, Arab Spring-revolt, and the
Syria crisis today
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.7:
The unresolved sectarian issue in Lebanon
today
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.6:
The importance of oil, the ‘Arab question’,
and the British
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.6:
The Paris Peace Conference deliberations
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.5:
The Syrian question
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.4:
The ‘Arab’ and the ‘Jewish’ question
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.3:
The Menace of Jihad and How to Deal with It
From Versailles to the Making of the
modern Middle East P.2:
The Arab question and the ‘shocking
document’ that shaped the Middle East
From Versailles to the Making of the
Modern Middle East P.1:
The ‘Arab revolt’, Britain, and the
Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East
Does the Middle East Need New Borders?
The contradictory web that fuels conflicts
in the Middle East
Forecast for Asia, Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa,
Former Soviet Union, Middle East/North Africa, South Asia, Latin America
Case Study:
Beyond Terror and Martyrdom: The Future of
the Middle East
Pictural Overview of the Middle East
…conflict in Yemen seems anything but over:
Jerusalem Unveiled
Paris Peace Conference redux 15 Jan. 2017
The
Syrian civil war and the Middle East going forward
The
true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1
The
true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2
The
true history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3
The true
history of the Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.4
Geopolitical
Implications
The
Shi’ite-Suni Devide
Case Study:
Shi'ite Lebanon and Hezbollah
The
Occupation and its Legacy, P.1
The
Occupation and its Legacy, P.2
The
Occupation and its Legacy, P.3
Unknown to most we checkep up who and what Hezbollah really is
Who/What Hezbollah really is: The Larger Picture
…the new conflict between the
post-Christian West and Islam…Case Study
Research Report:
The Iran US Conflict
also in the case of China…
Research Report:
The Iran US Conflict Today
Israel is the 'Zion' of prophecy, part of God's plan
We frequently pointed out…
Case Study:
Pan-Arabist Media
The New Pan-Arabism P.2:
Research Report:
Saudi-Arabia
and Terrorism:
World Jihad
From
Moscow To China
|
Myanmar
- Rohingya Crisis
|
The Situation in Myanmar Today.
The
Future of Myanmar.
Major Case Study: Myanmar
and the looming war for its borderlands Part Five
Major Case Study: Myanmar
and the looming war for its borderlands Part Four
Major Case Study:
Myanmar
and the looming war for its borderlands Part Three
Major Case Study: Myanmar
and the looming war for its borderlands Part Two
Major Case Study:
Myanmar and
the looming war for its borderlands Part one
What Myanmar as a failed state may look like:
What next with Myanmar
The ongoing tragedy that faces the Muslim
Rohingya communities of western Myanmar
Major
Case Study:
The
consequences of the Arakan Campaign
…in reference to faulting Myanmar
...where she is planning to deny any wrongdoing by the
armed forces and defend Myanmar against charges of ethnic cleansing or
genocide
The politics of statelessness investigation
The Rakhine/Rohingya Conundrum
What next with Myanmar and its Chinese
influence Plus update 2 February
Myanmar update
Myanmar P.6:
Mawlamyine and beyond
Myanmar P.5:
Past the Golden Rock to Karen (Kayin) State
Myanmar P.4:
The Challenge of Unity in a Divided Country
Myanmar P.3:
Two kinds of Monks
Myanmar P.2:
To Myitkyina and Kachin State
Myanmar P.1:
Discovering the background from where
today’s Myanmar evolved
China/US, 2013 projection for
Myanmar/Burma
Myanmar's Shame:
…the Panglong agreement
Aung San was assassinated just over five
months later.
…crisis or political uncertainty, was the military. Continue…
….most Burmese watched and waited, untroubled by the small flurries
of activity among Europeans. Continue...
…inter-communal hatred versus the Karen and others. Continue…
…and thus contributing to the confusion. Continue…
…Asia weighed heavily on the minds of the British. Continue...
…as they had been doing for years. Continue…
…or minority tribal leaders to hold out for too much. Continue...
…of a favorable conjunction of the stars. Continue...
…Burma soon had all but become one of the first 'failed states’. Continue...
The return of Japan post WWII. Continue...
N
Napoleon
NATO
North Korea
Nuclear Peril
Enter Napoleon:
The End of NATO?
The West Needs A Strategy For
After The Counteroffensive.
How To Keep The Country Safe Without NATO Membership.
Today's NATO Meeting In Vilnius.
The Next Few Years Will Be Crucial.
NATO’s East Deterring Russia.
Let Ukraine Join NATO Now.
Why NATO Must Admit Ukraine.
The Leaked Documents.
How To Protect Ukraine Without
NATO Membership.
Explaining The NEW NATO Strategic Concept.
What the situation looks like going forward
The Coming North Korean Crisis.
What Putin And Kim Want From Each Other.
A Form Of Preparation For War.
The Korea Model.
Today's Situation In Korea.
Major
Case Study:
The
Korean War in context
The news from N.Korea
The USA “ready to fight tonight” claim
Will the U.S. accept a nuclear N.Korea or
intervene P.1
....N. Korea … Continue…
What Proliferation
Means For Global Security.
The Return Of Nuclear
Escalation.
Confronting The New Nuclear Peril.
O
Oman
Major
Case Study:
Charting
the future of Oman
P
Pacific War
Pakistan
Palestine: see Israel – Palestine – Jerusalem
Political Qigong
Psychology - Psychiatry
Putin
The Pacific Space.
The five days that made Pearl Harbours as
a key for the worldwide war.
Part Eight Can a potential future Pacific War be
avoided?
Part Seven Can a potential future Pacific
War be avoided?
Part Six Can a potential future Pacific War
be avoided?
Part Five Can a potential future Pacific
War be avoided?
Part Four Can a potential future Pacific
War be avoided?
Part Three Can a potential future Pacific
War be avoided?
Part Two Can a potential future Pacific War
be avoided?
Part One Can a potential future Pacific War
be avoided?
Imran Khan’s Long March.
The 10th anniversary of
an assault that raised fears of war with Pakistan and why in the end it was
about Kashmir
Predicaments of
Pakistan in Afghanistan
For an
overview of Pakistan enter here:
Introduction:
…to support an Islamic State in Pakistan
…controlled by British political
officers with the help of tribal chieftains...
Continue P.1
…Blood and chaos were
everywhere."
Continue P.2
…some ways to think about territory,
history, and ethnic belonging. Continue P.3
…key theories of nationalism.
Continue P.4
Who Made Pakistan? P.5: The Militarization of Pakistan
P.6 India's Backlash
…under
civil/military rulers before turning Islamic during the last decade and a
half. Continue P.7
With the case of Indonesia, India, and Pakistan…
Case Study:
The
Politics of Qigong
Rationality
and progress
The logic of human nature and
causal networks
So what to do about bias?
The secrets behind the making of the
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part Three
The secrets behind the making of the
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part Two
The secrets behind the making of the
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) Part One
So what is with Psychological Science?
Here are eight ways how we can form more
accurate views of the world
The Secret of Positive Thinking, Self Help
books and Happiness
The Politically Incorrect Guide to
Psychology and Psychiatry
From New Thought to Self
Improvement Books
Putin And The Right
Q
Qatar
Two
longtime rivals battle by proxy and why this crisis will get worse
Case Study:
Qatar's
master strategy or opportunism?
R
Russia – Central Asia
Russia - Putin
Russia - Tsar
Agreement Not Be a Formal Binding.
To Sow that Fear in Moscow.
Russia’s Quest for a Gateway to Iran and the
Middle East.
To Run the World.
Putin Threatens the West with
"Special Ammunition."
Russia’s Pro-Putin Elites.
Foreign Propagandists.
The Russian Volunteer Corps.
The Anti-Western Club.
The Five Futures Of Russia.
Too Many European Politicians Are
Failing To Confront Russia.
Like In The First World War?
What Putin And Kim Want From Each Other.
What The West Still Gets Wrong
About Russia’s Military.
What It Will Take To Break Putinism’s Grip.
The Wagner Paramilitary Group.
Russian Ethnonationalism Chauvinism.
The Dangers Of Russian Disorder.
Think Twice Before You Launch A
Conflict.
The War Of Endurance.
Blinded By The Fight.
Crimes Without Punishment?
China’s Affinity With Russia Is
Over.
The Treacherous Path To A Better Russia.
How Wars Don’t End Ukraine,
Russia, and the Lessons of World War I.
Prepare For A Brutal War.
1984 In Russia Today.
Stalin’s Secret Force.
The Latest News.
The Question Of Chinese Military
Support For Russia.
A Partial Victory Will Solve
Little.
The
Coming Russia Disintegration.
The
Presence Of Kishida In Kyiv And Xi In Moscow.
Russia
And China Behind The Scenes.
The
Limits Of Economic Warfare.
How To
Prepare For Peace Talks In Ukraine.
The
Russia That Might Have Been.
Looting
As A Potential War Crime.
How Long
Can This Not-Quite-Total War Be Sustained?
Russia’s
Anti-Jewish Dimension.
Europe
And Russia’s Aggression In Ukraine.
The War
Will Go On Into Next Year.
Russian
Patriotic Death Cult.
Russia
Is Losing The War.
Can
Moscow Learn From Its Failures In Ukraine?
Export
Control Cooperation From Allies.
They Can
Do Business With.
2023 Is
The Decisive Year.
Why The
Sanctions In Russia Are Already Biting Hard.
How
Putin Is About To Lose His War.
The War
Will Likely Continue Until The End Of 2023.
To
Prepare For Russia’s Collapse.
Russia's
Target Of 300,000 Additional Troops.
The
Russian Crisis.
To Know
Stalin And What Followed.
To Recognize The Stakes.
We Have To Prepare For Russia’s Defeat But Also Its Return.
A Decentralized Entity Can Reform Itself From The Inside Out.
In 1954, Crimea Was Transferred From Russia To Ukraine.
A Re-Assessment.
Why Policymakers Around The World Should Take Note.
Revisiting the Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Four.
Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Three.
Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part Two.
Revisiting The Ambassador-Lockhart Plot Part One.
What should not be taken off the table when
talking with Putin
We show in seven maps how Ukraine came about
Major Case
Study:
Putin Has Long Tried to Balance Europe. Now He’s Working to Reset It
What the situation looks like going forward
Ukraine today
Why Putin believes Ukraine was given to Russia
Putin and the Cold War Part Two
Putin and the Cold War Part One
The transformation of the Russian Empire
part two
The transformation of the Russian Empire part one
Why Putin claims that most of Ukraine “was given”
to Russia
Gorbachev’s reforms
Imperial Russia and Qing China
Revealing Harbin’s
interesting Russian history
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.7
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.6
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.5
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.4
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.3
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.2
Major
Case Study:
Spys Invade Russia P.1
The Svalbard/Spitsbergen Saga
Major
Case Study:
Was the Cold War inevitable?
A German and British plot to take the last Tsar
Ukraine as a test case
Major
Case Study:
When
Spies invaded Russia P.6.
British spycraft in Bolshevist Russia
Major
Case Study:
When
Spies invaded Russia P.5.
What must develop into a civil war
Major Case Study:
When Spies invaded
Russia P.4.
How North
Russia evolved into its military phase
Major
Case Study:
When Spies invaded Russia P.3.
The alleged
protecting of supplies propaganda
Major
Case Study:
When Spies invaded
Russia P.2.
To mold
irregular warfare into a method which honored the Imperial myth
Major
Case Study:
When Spies invaded Russia P.1
Major
Case Study:
Why is Ukraine so important to
Russia
From Rasputin to little known aspects of
Nicholas’s II abdication and the situation in Russia
British Imperial Agents invade
Russia P.2: The
British Banking scheme to control Russia’s economy and the Allied
intervention
British Imperial Agents invade
Russia P.1: here
the lesser known aspects surrounding the events of 1918
Captives of the Russian Civil War
P.4: From White
resurgence to the Anglo-Soviet Trade Agreement
Captives of the Russian Civil War
P.3: The rise and
fall of Komuch’s People’s Army
Captives of the Russian Civil War
P.2: The
Counterrevolution and the Anatomy of Allied Intervention
Captives of the Russian Civil War
P.1: Why and how the Czech Legion conquered the Siberian
railway
Concerns Russia could use the alleged plot in
Crimea to justify more military incursions into the Ukraine
…Russia vis a vis a US plane: We
tell you why it happened
Russian Aristocrats, Putin, and European
extreme right wing parties
The main question now is whether Russia
will push back with what power it has left or find a way to compromise with
this shifting worldview
Case Study:
The ‘decline of the West’ and a
look behind Putin’s new Eurasianism
Intelligence scoop of what is happening
with the Ukraine and the standoff between Russia the US and Europe:
Resurgence or is Russia Doomed? Continue:
Enter the Unfolding Crises in Europe and
the Ukraine/Crimea:
The Qaddafi libel against Gorbachev and the
last days of the Soviet Union
…Russia wants to increase its
influence. …China might be concerned, plus… Continue:
Russian Eurasianism: A New Ideology of
Empire?
Introduction
The Next European Battleground?
Russia’s Geostrategic
Predicament and Power Today P1
Finding the West
…following part
Introduction: Gorbachev’s Last Days
Case Study:
Russia’s Move Towards the Right
Global Jihad Case
Study:
Central Asia P.1
Central Asia P.2
Central Asia P.3
Research Report:
Russia’s
Geostrategic Roots Today
European policy that is about to change now …Comment
…more questions than answers.
Comment P.1
Comment P.2:
…transforming the face of Eurasia
Predicting the next half Year:
Russia’s New Map: The Third Rome
A History
of Eurasianism
The New Map of Russia
Russia’s
New Map P.2: A History of Panslavism
Russia’s
New Map P.3
World
Revolution: The Roots of Modern Russia
How the
End of the Cold War Occurred
After the
Cold War: America over the Brink
What Led To The Dissolution of
The Soviet Union 1991
Central Asia: Why The Great Game
Heats Up
Why The Great Game Heats Up P.2: Azerbaijan
Putin Threatens the West with
"Special Ammunition."
Russia’s Pro-Putin
Elites.
Putin And The Right.
Bolshevik Rule.
Too
Many European Politicians Are Failing To Confront Russia.
What Does Putin Want?
What Putin And Kim Want From
Each Other.
What It Will Take To Break
Putinism’s Grip.
Why There Can Be No Negotiations
With Putin.
The Beginning Of The End For
Putin?
Crisis Abates, But Questions Remain.
Is Worse To Come From Putin?
How Putin Revived Stalinism.
Dictator Without Borders.
Putin’s Forever War.
Putin, The Suspect.
Putin Remains In Day-To-Day
Government.
Sanctions Can Help End Putin’s Imperial Pretensions If The West
Keeps Its Nerve.
The War
Started Due To Putin's Policy Failure.
War in
Ukraine Has Revealed About Putin’s Regime.
Indications
Putin Decided To Give The Missile That Downed MH17.
They Can
Do Business With.
2023 Is
The Decisive Year.
How
Putin Is About To Lose His War.
Calling
Out Putin's Excuse.
Russia As State Sponsor Of Terrorism And
More.
Putin And Ukraine’s Nuclear Reactors.
The Ukrainian Saboteurs Behind Enemy
Lines.
Divide And Conquer.
The
Polish Incident That Is Changing It.
We Investigate The
Nonproliferation Conundrum.
Why
Putin Gladly Tells You Is No Khrushchev.
What Is
Needed For The Russian Economy To Grow.
China
The Global Power And Russia The Junior Partner.
Putin And Stalin.
Turkey
And Russia: Friends For Now.
What To
Do About Putin.
We
Assess The Possibility Of Regime Collapse.
The
Outcome Of Significant Wars Ultimately Comes Down To Attrition.
The Way
Forward For Russia.
Putin
Puts Faith In The Poor Man's Weapon.
The War
Might Last Another Year And What That Means.
Our
Source In The Kremlin Speaks Up.
What
Happens To Russia’s Periphery.
Why
Today It Becomes More Likely Putin Will Lose This War.
A Fear
Greater Than Putin.
The End Of Putin’s Bargain With The People.
Climbing The Escalation
Ladder.
How To
Build A Better Order.
Policy For A World In
Crisis.
Putin's Private Army.
Why Is There Little Hope For A Quick
Rebound.
Wait For The Tide To Turn.
They Will Be Front And Center In Domestic And
Global Politics.
Naturally, There Can Be No Excuse, Only Ruthless
Punishment.
Assessment Of How The Russia-Ukraine
War Is Progressing.
Peter Took Russia Into The Future. Putin Pushing It
Back To The Past.
Russians Are In For A Rude Awakening This Fall.
There Is A Risk Of Serious Harm.
China Needs To Reach An
Understanding And Russia Does Not.
Bad Timing Of Global
Agriculture And Food Supply Chains.
Russia’s Security Concerns
And Allay Its Anxieties.
China’s Motivations.
Fantasy Is Not History.
When The Economic Recovery Comes.
Putin’s Entire Ukraine Invasion Hinges On The Coming
Battle Of Kherson.
Convicted For The Usurpation Of Power.
This Will Put One Side At A Disadvantage.
Russias Fifth Service.
The Ukraine/Russia War.
Fighting Climate Change Through Trade.
Time For New Trade Agreements.
What Next With The World Energy Situation.
Whose Middle East?
What If The War In Ukraine Spins Out Of Control?
Can Austria Stay Neutral?
Explaining How Far NATO Can Go.
Western Fears Of Putin.
Why Libya Could Be Putin’s, Trump Card.
The Case For Diplomacy.
He Has None.
This Is Not A Victory.
The Key To Victory In Ukraine.
A
Need To Build A Better World Order.
A Global Cold War.
Part Eight
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Seven
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Six
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Five
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Four
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Three
From 1917 To 2022.
Part Two From
1917 To 2022.
From 1917 To
2022.
The Hidden History Of The Glastonbury Festival.
Can Putin
Survive?
Why The
Russian Army Is Facing A Long, Grim Fight In Ukraine.
Why Do Russian Sanctions Persist As A Tool Of Diplomacy?
Why Ukraine Reached A Pivotal Moment.
Why Kyiv Needs An Immediate Solution.
The Why Of The Road To War.
The Putin Challenge.
Putin’s Challenge To The West.
Why Putin’s Ukraine War Is An Inflection Point For The West.
Why It Is Too Soon For A Lasting Diplomatic Settlement.
What Candidate Status Would Mean.
Russia’s Early Failures Doesn’t Make It Less Dangerous.
Russian Army Would Have To Collapse.
The End Of Climate Policy.
Why Does China Neither Endorse Nor Condemn Russian President
Vladimir Putin’s War?
What
The G7 Foreign Ministers Will Do.
Belgian Lessons.
What Will The Consequences Of Mobilization Be?
The Kremlin’s Questionable Worldview.
Understanding The Kremlin’s Worldview.
Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part One.
The Re-Invention Of History And National Identity.
Why The War In Ukraine Is Shifting.
Understanding Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part Three.
Understanding Putin’s Revisionist Worldview Part Two.
Understanding Putin’s Worldview Part One.
The Wargame.
How Serious A Threat Is Putin.
The War About Food Supplies.
Infiltrating The Highest Level Of Government.
Meanwhile, Russians Are Fleeing Their Country In Doves.
Revealing Putin’s Inconsistencies While Striving For A New
Empire.
Geostrategy Of Russia.
Putin’s Victory Speech.
The Murder Of General Wrangel An Equally Famous
Ballerina.
The Atomic Option.
A “New” War, Twenty Years In The Making.
Exposure To Russian Intelligence Services.
Major Case Study:
The Mongolia Factor.
Moscow’s Suez Moment.
What
Putin Has In Mind Next.
Who Is The Tsar Of Russia.
Life For The Tsar.
S
Second World War, see also WWII
Slavery North America
South America
South Asia
Spy Agencies - Secret Intelligence
Services
Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen
The Special Operations Executive In France
And Elsewhere.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part Six.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part Five.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part Four.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part Three.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part Two.
Hitler's Aristocrats Part One.
Major Case Study:
The Pearl Harbour attack and its consequences
Part Two
Major Case Study:
The Pearl Harbour attack and its consequences Part One
The post-WWII new order part two
The post-WWII new order part one
The old order is crumbling, and a new order
is rising
Axis states understood they
settled the moral low ground.
The Second World War created the
conditions for transforming Europe and the entire global geopolitical order.
Creating a new
world order part one.
How the various countries
justified WWII Part One.
Major Case Study:
From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II
Part Four
Major Case Study:
From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II
Part Three
Major Case Study:
From the Manchurian Incident to Word War II
Part Two
Major Case Study: From the Manchurian Incident to
Word War II Part One
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Sixteen
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Fifteen
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Fourteen
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Thirteen
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Twelve
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Eleven
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Ten
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Nine
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Eight
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Seven
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Six
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and
Poland Part Five
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Four
… Trianon (1919 and 1920)
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Three
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part Two
Major Case Study:
Russia, Germany, and Poland Part One
How Britain hoped to avoid war
with Germany in the 1930s
Major Case Study:
The Vatican archives and World War II
When Britain gave Hitler the
go-ahead
Hitler’s Bolshevism and the myth of the
Jewish Conspiracy
Major
Case Study:
London, Madrid, and the creation of
Washington, D.C.
Case Study:
S.America P.1: Overview
Case Study:
S.AmericaP.2: Economic Musings
Case Study:
S.America P.3:
The Road to Independence
Case Study:
S.America P.4:
Che and Castro
Case Study:
S.America P.5:
From Chile to Brazil
…and distribution networks: Research Report
Hugo Chaves
Anonymous activists threaten to
expose Mexican drug cartel secrets, here the
context:
A Nuclear Collision Course In South Asia.
Introduction
... traders that "turned
sovereign". And Burke sought the impeachement of the companies
Governor, Warren-Hastings...
History of
Globalization: In and out of India P.1: The First Trade-Wars
History of
Globalization: In and out of India P.2: The First Multinational Companies
So let us
start with the most important one, language
… a gendered/racial categorization of the
Indian populace by the British gave rise to several stereotypes like the
manly Sikh, the devious Maratha, and the loyal Gurkha
…a reaction to the warfare 'with France in
Europe', that 'The British Company' proceeded to involve itself more
actively with 'local politics.' This becomes particularly apparent when one
doesn't only consult British, but also French sources
Hindutva
The Secret
Backround of the Kashmir Problem
…overview of Atlantis and
Lemuria:
'World
Hindu Council'
Bengal: Making a New Hinduism:
Politics or Culture?: The Making of Religion in India Today, P.1:
Politics or Culture?: The Making of Religion in India Today, P.2
Politics or Culture?: Hindu and Muslim
Fundamentalism Today
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West: The Anti Aryan Myth
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West: Seek Mason, Will Travel
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West: Are you a Sikh?
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West: Polynesian Aryans
Reformed Aryans, in East
and West: The Orion Myth
Reformed
Aryans, in East and West: Aryan Christianity
our overview about India
|
Spy Agencies – Secret Intelligence
Services
|
The Spy that Defeated the Nazis.
The Agents Who Risked All
Behind Nazi Lines.
The Noor Inayat Khan
Story.
The Spying Program.
How To Spy On China.
The Harrowing Story Of A Double Agent.
Possibility That Chinese Spy
Balloon’s Path Over The US Was Accidental.
Why Are Meteorologists Tracking
The Location Of The Chinese Balloon?
Codename
Madeleine.
The
Secretive PWE Political Warfare Executive.
The
Inside World About Spy Agencies Revealed.
Meet the new world today’s spy agencies
part three
Meet the new world today’s spy agencies part two
Important
Case Study:
Meet the new world today's spy agencies
|
Syria Crisis – Lebanon, Yemen
|
The
Path To A Regional Order.
The Measure Of Their
Effectiveness Will Be In How The Houthis Respond.
Regional Conflicts Resemble World War II.
The
Ongoing Houthi Attacks.
U.S. Strikes Targets
In Syria.
Yemen's Humanitarian Crisis.
Time To Move On.
What Needs To Happen Next.
The Making Of The Middle East.
The Making Of The Modern Middle
East Part 2.
The ‘Arab’ And The Syrian Question.
Making of the Middle East's hidden history
Part Two
Making of the Middle East's hidden history
Part One
..conflict in Yemen seems anything but over
The Syrian civil war and the Middle East
going forward
Did Aleppo's Grozny moment arrive? If
there was ever any hope of salvaging the latest cease-fire in Syria, there
isn't anymore
Investigating the never-ending Great War
As suggested
by me earlier … International
rivalry and the battle for Syria
...Aleppo, question is for how long
…entered the Ramouseh Artillery
Base… Who
are the rebels and how will Assad and Russia respond
.. Syrian Civil War…The
make or break battle currently underway, rebels appear to be losing
FM denounces "cynical game" of
Syrian regime and rebuked Moscow
How close is ISIS to defeat, and will
Turkey invade Syria?
Does the Middle East Need New Borders?
Fighting in Syria seen problematic for
Damascus while exit strategy for Assad under discussion
Obama’s Syria and What the Confrontation
Will Look Like:
The Sunni-Shia struggle
The Arab World in Transition 2013
Why the War in Syria will not end with the
removal of the al Assad regime
Why Assad Won’t Use Chemical Weapons, yet
why we should still be worried
The contradictory web that fuels conflicts
in the Middle East
Upcoming turmoil in Asia?
Lebanon and what next with Syria: Charting
the course of future events
Background forms the rebel Free Syrian Army
supply lines in Lebanon
T
Taiwan
Taiwan Conundrum
Thailand
Turkey
Turkey In Context
The Perils of the Taiwan Strait.
Major
Case Study:
The lead up to present-day China and the
making of the ChinaTaiwan crisis
After Hong Kong deterrence vs Taiwan?
Taiwan going forward
Is China planning to take Taiwan by force?
Taiwan Conundrum
Thailand, China, And The US.
Uighur terrorist attack in China, a
shoot-out between the Koreas along their disputed maritime border and, to
top it off, a coup in Thailand
Thailand and the Political and Economic Volatility
in Important Markets
The insurgency in
Thailand: Multiple Dilemmas
Erdogan’s Tumultuous Leadership.
Turkey In Context.
Will Erdogan Stay in Power?
Erdogan’s
Foot-Dragging On Sweden And Finland Is Causing Headaches For Western
Leaders.
Turkey
And Russia: Friends For Now.
Turkey in context today
Conclusion
about what is really happening in Turkey
Turkey's
government fears second coup
Turkey’s
new Sultanate
Why
Turkey shot down the Russian Jet
… more
than a year ago
…Turkey
and Armenia…
Turkish bid for EU membership …. today:
Introduction
Evolving Turkey P.1
Evolving Turkey P.2
Evolving Turkey P.3
Evolving Turkey P.4
Evolving Turkey P.5
…aligned itself
…former Islamist
Conclusion and Bibliography
Case Study:
…Turkish and Japanese
foreign policies, and why. Continue...
Erdogan’s Tumultuous
Leadership.
Erdogan
And Hamas.
Turkey In Context
U
UAE
Ukraine
United Kingdom
United Nations, UN
United States
The UAE And Its Talest Building In The World
Agreement Not Be a Formal Binding.
How to Create a Durable Peace in Europe.
Stop Fearing Victory.
American Aid Alone
Won’t Save Ukraine.
The Way Forward In
Ukraine.
Obstacles To Diplomacy In
Ukraine.
What NATO Membership Will
Require.
Winning The
Battle But Losing The War.
Why The War Might Defy
Expectations.
Preparing For American
Abandonment.
The Quiet Transformation.
The Ukraine-Taiwan
Tradeoff.
All This Could
Encourage Further Adventurism.
Negotiations Over
Territory.
The Missing Escalation In
Ukraine.
Will The West Abandon Ukraine?
What Ukraine Needs Right Now Is Time.
Ukraine And Next.
Back In The Ukraine Trenches.
The War Of Endurance.
Postwar Ukraine.
End In Sight For The Ukraine War.
Ukraine And The American War Machine.
How Wars Don’t End Ukraine,
Russia, and the Lessons of World War I.
How The West Can Secure
Ukraine’s Future.
What Really Happened To The Kakhovka Dam?
Let Ukraine Join NATO Now.
Vexing The Ukraine War On The Ground.
How Ukraine Learned To Fight.
Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive.
A Loophole In The Law.
Ukrainian War Going Forward.
Ukraine Today.
Why NATO Must Admit Ukraine.
A Partial Victory Will Solve
Little.
Waiting On Weapons.
Ukraine And U.S. National Security.
The Presence Of Kishida In Kyiv And Xi In Moscow.
A Plan For Getting To The
Negotiating Table.
The Promise Of Military
Adaptation.
How To Protect Ukraine Without
NATO Membership.
Ukraine’s
Determination.
How To
Prepare For Peace Talks In Ukraine.
The
Conversations When Ukraine Wins.
Fortifying
Ukraine.
Make The
Position Of The Russian Military Untenable.
Key To
The Russia-Ukraine Conflict.
The
Urgent Issues That Preoccupy Much Of The Developing World.
The War
Will Go On Into Next Year.
An Even
More Intransigent Regime.
Ukraine’s
Coming Electricity Crisis.
What
Ukraine Needs To Liberate Crimea.
Breakthrough
In Ukraine.
Kennan
On Ukraine.
Reading
Like A Spynovel This is What Happened.
Why Some
Wars Don’t End.
Russia As State Sponsor Of Terrorism And
More.
Putin And Ukraine’s Nuclear Reactors.
The Ukrainian Saboteurs Behind Enemy
Lines.
Divide And Conquer.
How The US Can Help.
The Situation Ukraine Is Facing This
Winter.
We Analyse What The Result Of The
Airstrikes Will Be.
Putin's Atomic Gamble.
Game-Changer For Current And Future
Conflicts.
How Ukraine Can Take Back All Its
Territory.
Ukraine As A Poison Pill For Putin.
Putin’s Eventual Replacement.
Putin Threated Nuclear Response.
The UNGA Meeting.
The Nuclear Strike Aimed At Shock?
Mobilize, Retreat, Or Something In Between?
Why Support For Ukraine Will Withstand
Russian Pressure.
Is Ukraine Going To Win This War?
Africa’s Ukraine Dilemma.
Xi Jinping's
Strategic Predicament And The View From Washington.
From Ukraine
to Taiwan.
Putin's Victory
Speech.
How
The World Lost Faith In The UN.
Palestine: a British Dilemma.
The Agents Who Risked All Behind Nazi Lines.
The Red Book.
Royalty And The Nazi's
Part One.
The Secret History Of The
Glastonbury Festival.
Sunak Hopes To Mend Fences With Europe.
The UK Today.
Why The House Of Windsor Will
Ultimately Fall.
Can Sunak Save Britain?
The
Limits Of Monarchy.
The UK
Can Be Leading By Supporting.
The rise and fall of the Thomas Cook Group
Boris Johnson’s Majority Falls to One Seat,
Heightening Chances of an Election
Boris is back…Today’s
cabinet appointments sends a clear signal however
The next steps of Theresa May
"We're out", well sort of. The
Implications and Germany's nightmare:
What will happen after Brexit:
Their Words Should be Taken Seriously.
Will America and China Heed the Warnings.
But He Cannot Fire Them.
Where the Case Stands Now.
Can America’s Special Relationship With
Israel Survive?
How One
Man Seduced the U.S. Navy.
The End of NATO?
The Ongoing
Investigation.
Washington’s Fears
About Energy Markets.
Why U.S.
Credibility And Resolve Is At Stake.
The Tiktok Ban Shows How
Decisions End Up Rushed.
Why TikTok Needs To Get Out
Of The Hands Of The Chinese Government.
Showing An Industrial
Strategy.
Blinken-Xi Talks Also
Highlight Continued Areas Of Disagreement.
The Patron’s Dilemma.
The Politicization Of
The U.S. Military.
Japan Defense And China
Springboard.
US New World War.
Explaining America’s Global Role.
The
New American Way Of Trade How The USMCA Does What NAFTA Couldn’t.
Bracing For Trump 2.0.
The West Needs A Strategy For
After The Counteroffensive.
Why America And China Will Be Enduring Rivals.
Can America Protect The Peaceful Transfer Of Power?
How To Boost Cooperation.
The Formula For Managing Migration.
The Overlooked Influences On Donald Trump.
Think Twice Before You Launch A
Conflict.
The Global South.
Living On The Edge.
How Institutional Balancing Promotes Stability In Asia.
Ukraine And The American War Machine.
The Virtue Of Low Expectations.
The U.S.-Chinese Economic
Relationship.
Spread Too Thin?
Ukraine And U.S. National Security.
A Plan For Getting To The
Negotiating Table.
The New Age Of Great-Power
Competition.
The Leaked Documents.
America Fill The Missile Gap.
The Promise Of Military
Adaptation.
How Elites Misread Public Perceptions Of The War.
We Investigate A Sorbid History
Under Pressure.
The US Is Indispensable To Israel’s Safety And Security.
China Is A Paper Tiger.
Technology Defines The Future Of
Geopolitics.
Does Technology Win Wars?
Rattled By China, The U.S., And Its Allies Are Beefing Up Defenses
In The Pacific.
How
Biden White House Operated Under Cloak-And-Dagger Secrecy.
Far-Right
Movements In The Two Countries Are Deeply Interconnected.
America
Is Back.
U.S. To
Boost Military Role In Philippines As Fear Of Taiwan Conflict Grows.
Export
Control Cooperation From Allies.
What To
Expect From Xi's Third Term.
What To
Expect From The Xi-Biden Meeting.
Have Americans, As Is Claimed,
Been Conned?
Is A Major War To Come?
The United States Does Not
Need To Beat China.
A candid look at the why two atomic bombs
What the situation looks like going forward
Revisiting the Paranoid Style in American
Politics
The election could be a highly fluid situation
The Cost of Chaos review
Major Case Study:
The secret background of the
attack on Pearl Harbor part two
Major Case Study:
The secret background of the
attack on Pearl Harbor part one
Major Case Study:
The origins of Trumpology
Why Washington should push for a resolution
to a disastrous war
The racist lie that is fueling the US
terrorist attacks
Includes update 20 April 2019: Why Robert Mueller is ending his report
How Israeli, Saudi, and Emirati officials
influenced Trump to strike a bargain with Putin
What Robert Mueller Knows
The Trump/Russia investigation
what can be said today
Woodrow Wilson, Versailles, and the making
of Eastern Europe
American Ascendance P.1: Asia in the New
Spatial Order
American Ascendance P.2: The China Blockade
American Ascendance P.3: The Japan Blockade
American Ascendance P.4: Opium War
The Anglo-Saxon Ascendancy: A Concise
Overview P.1
The Anglo-Saxon Ascendancy: A Concise
Overview P.2
…over the course of the Mexican
Revolution
...glaring
misadventures in Iraq
America at a Crossroads P.1:
The Truth about the Cold War
America at a Crossroads P.2:
Superpower Politics
America at a Crossroads P.3:
Anti-Americanism
America at a Crossroads P.3:
The Last
'WWIII'
Possible Future Conflicts from a US Point of View
V
Venezuela
Venice
The worsening situation will make 2015 a
crucial year for Venezuela:
The history of Venice beyond 2021
W
Warsaw
Pact
World - World Economy - History - Politics
WWI,
see also First World War
WWII,
see also Second World War
The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact part three
The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact part two
The abandonment of the Warsaw Pact
Requiem
for Hyperglobalization.
The Hidden Driver of Modern History.
Sixty-Eight Countries Will Hold Elections.
Deglobalization.
The Farmer Who Feel the Heat First.
Infrastructure
Is Remaking Geopolitics.
The Rest Of The World.
Why It Will Not
Surprise.
The Rising
Threat Of Illiberal Democracy.
…Their Failure To Act Fast Enough
On Climate Change Violates Their Human Rights.
Why Academic Links Are Essential In A Fragmenting World.
The World Outside The Great Powers.
Why It’s So Hard To Forecast
Authoritarian Aggression.
How To Reduce The
Vulnerabilities That Free Markets Create.
There’s No Such Thing As A Great Power.
The State Of The World.
The World To Come.
Why The World Still Needs Trade.
Political Violence In Authoritarian Societies.
The Defence Of Global Order And Address Global Crises.
Make The Center Vital Again.
How To Survive A Great-Power Competition.
Managing A Multipolar World.
How The Fight For Resources Is Upending Geopolitics.
Tackling The Opportunity For Change.
Counter
Autocracy.
2023
Anual Forecast.
The
World Has Changed.
Those
Who Cannot Remember The Past Are Condemned To Repeat It.
Understanding The World By Means
Of A Geopolitical Approach.
This
Highlights A Socio-Economic Challenge That The World Needs To Tackle Before
It Gets Worse.
The
Long-Term Trend Is Concerning.
What To
Expect In 2023.
Remaining Robust Enough When
Malign Actors Are Denied Access.
The
World Faces A Zeitenwende.
Let Us
Be The Last Generation To Do So.
The Profound Economic And Financial
Shift.
The Direction Of The World Economy.
The
Global Effects Going Forward.
What the situation looks like going forward
China's pursuit of greatness
Economics and real-time revolution
From East to West and back to
East?
A few countries to look out for the next
six months
How the end of an age is not the same as
the end of history
Major Case Study:
The outlook of the world in 2020
What 2020 will bring P.2
What 2020 will bring P.1
From new economics to new
politics
Major Case Study:
North and South Korea, China, Russia, the
US, Iran, Mexico, India, Central and South America, Turkey, and so on
A look at other developments going forward
in 2017
Forecast for Asia, Europe, Sub-Saharan
Africa, Former Soviet Union, Middle East/North Africa, South Asia, Latin
America
Apocaliptic Politics During the 20st
Century and Beyond
World Finance
Introduction
World Finance Today:
Worldwide
History of Stock Markets and Economics
World Finance Today:
Worldwide
History of Inshurance Risks
World Finance Today:
Worldwide
History of the Housing Bubble
Following an assessment of current finance crash;
the international situation,
Europe, China/Japan and S.America, plus Korea…Continue...
The
Genetics of Finance: Putting the Credit Crisis in Perspective
|
WWI, see also First World War
|
The tribulations and
consequences of the Treaty of Versailles
Why World War I was
pivotal to the creation of the modern Middle East
Shantung the Versailles
Treaty and the Manchurian episode
A new investigation why
the First World War broke out
The Real Russian Origins of the
First World War
Major Case Study:
What led to the Frist
World War P.1
Major Case Study:
What led to the Frist
World War P.2
Major Case Study:
What led to the Frist
World War P.3
What led to the First
World War P.4
From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.1:
The ‘Arab revolt’,
Britain, and the Collapse of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East
From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle
East P.2:
The Arab question and the
‘shocking document’ that shaped the Middle East
From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle
East P.3:
The Menace of Jihad
and How to Deal with It
From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle
East P.4:
The ‘Arab’ and the
‘Jewish’ question
From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle
East P.5:
The Syrian question
From Versailles to the Making of the modern Middle
East P.6:
The Paris Peace
Conference deliberations
From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.6:
The importance of oil, the
‘Arab question’, and the British
From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.7:
The unresolved sectarian
issue in Lebanon today
From Versailles to the Making of the Modern Middle
East P.8:
British rule, Arab
Spring-revolt, and the Syria crisis today
The true history of the
Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.1
The true history of the
Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.2
The true history of the
Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.3
The true history of the
Balfour Declaration and its implementations P.4
WWI's Religious Ideology
From Colonization to de-Colonization
…newly researched documents...took this a step further
From Shandong to Versailles:
China's participation in the First World War
Why We
were Entering a Century of Genocide
The
second First World War
The conspiracy theory
that gave rise to Hitler:
P.1 Reparations and the
famous Article 231
Investigating the
never-ending Great War
|
WWII, see also Second World War
|
From Hitler to Stalin P.1
From Hitler to Stalin P.2
From Hitler to Stalin P.3
From Hitler to Stalin P.4
From Hitler to Stalin P.5
The Nazi Documents P.1: The Russian Connection
The
Secret War Between the Allies:
The Final Secret of WWII: The Murder of
Hitler
The Secret Archive
Hess/Hitler overture to England
The Mistake of Peter Longerich
Alternative Histories of the 20 to 21
Century we start with the making of WWII today
…the Cold War: Continue:
…Comment
Asia and Cold War
The
Vatican’s War P.1
The
Vatican’s War P.2
The
Vatican’s War P.3
From Belgium
to Kosovo Research
The
Vatican’s War P.4
The
Vatican’s War P.5
The
Nazi/Vatican Connection P.6
The
Valkyrie Debate P.1
The
Valkyrie Debate P.2
The
Valkyrie Debate P.3
Protestant
Nazi Hopes P.1
Protestant Nazi Hopes P.2
Protestant Nazi Hopes P.3
Protestant Nazi Hopes P.4
Protestant
Nazi Hopes P.5:
Conclusion
Z
Zionism
The way to Zionism Part Three
The way to Zionism Part Two
The way to Zionism
|
Esoterica
going Mainstream
|
Esotericism,
Freemasonry, and Conspiracy
…main aspects of Western esoteric traditions
have their foundations in antiquity…
Case Study:
From Numerology to Magic and Esoteric Christianity
Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.1
Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.2
Hermetic Alchemy and Zosimus of Panopolis and Iamblichus P.3
New History of the Hermetica P.1: Hermes
Times Three
New History of the Hermetica P.2: The
Sabian Myth
New History of the Hermetica P.3: Middle
East Disporea
The Rosicrucians
Freemasonry
The Occult Revival in America P.1
The Occult Revival in America P.2
Alleged New Age Religions
the
Goetheanum
Harry Potter 6 and Gnosis: The Search for
the Higher Self
…founder of Scientology L.R. Hubbard to
create a 'moonchild' by means of 'Magic'…
first ever history of this idea rooted as it is, in Paracelsian
Magic
Reincarnation: The Invention of a Modern
Myth
New Age or Emerging Religions?
The 1920's
Vinland Map - A Legend is Born
Alternative
History books:
The Nazi Occult Myth
ABC News UFO's: The Day After
UFO's as Conspiracy Theory
From Esotericism to Pop Culture
From Esotericism to Pop Culture P.2
Update
From
Aleister Crowley to Scientology
Case Study:
New Religious Movements –
Rudolf Steiner/Waldorf Schools P.1 of 2
We successfully questioned the term "Gnostic" and
"Gnosticism"
Dan Brown's two recent books
Case Study:
New Religious Movements -
Spiritualism
P.1
Case Study:
New Religious Movements:
Spiritualism
P.2
Case Study New Religious Movements
Spiritualism P.3
Case Study New Religious Movements
Spiritualism P.4
Case Study New Religious Movements
Spiritualism P.5
Case Study New Religious Movements
Spiritualism P.6
P.1: The Making of Spiritism
P.2: Christian Spiritist Conversion
P.3: To England Now
P.4:
Occult Orders
P.5: Taming the Wild Spirits
P.6: Revelation of the Revelation
P.7: Text Related Occult Conversions
P.8: An Occult Sociological Profile
P.9: Phenomena on Trial
P.10: Theosophical Fights
P.11: Nazis and The Occult
P.12: Cults of the Self
P.13: The Esoteric
P.14: The Never Ending Mystery?
P.15: Psychic Androginity
P.16: Cosmological Searches
Comment: The Forgotten Monarchy Discovered
From Robert Anton Wilson to the Da Vinci Code Prank: The Californian
Illuminati
Introducing
H.P. Blavatsky
H.P.Blavatsky
and her 'Masters' of the Theosophical Society
Search
For Astral Projection: The Investigation
The
Hodgson Report
The
Hodgson Report P.2
The
Hodgson Report P.3
Finding
the Theosophical Masters and Mahatmas
Blavatsky's
Final Work
After
Blavatsky P.1: Krishnamurti, the Fashioning of a Mahatma
After
Blavatsky P.2: Fashioning the Future Race
Race and Literary
Nationalism
Enter
Scientology:
Investigating,
UFOs Seeing is Believing?
The
Secret of the Cabalah/ Qabbalah
New History
of Jewish Kabbalism
Establishing the Christian Kabbalah, P.1: Rewriting Frances A. Yates
Establishing
the Christian Kabbalah, P.3: F.M. van Helmont
Zosimos
of Panopolis and the Book of Enoch
While somnambulist ventures like the
Course in Miracles have been well researched…
The Key of Solomon P.1: The Making of Witchcraft
The Key of Solomon P.2: Occult Science
The Key of Solomon
P.3: Magical
Revival
Conspiracy
Theories P.1
Conspiracy
Theories P.2
Conspiracy
Questions or Answers?
The
Rise and Fall of the Silver Shirts
auf Deutsch
Towards
"a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.1
auf Deutsch
Towards
"a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.2
auf Deutsch
Towards
"a Sociology of Conspiracy Theories" P.3
Neoplatonism, Philology and Nationalism
Geschichtliche Entwicklung des Ariermythos
The True Story Behind "The Aquarian Gospel" Movie:
Conspiracy
Theories
DaVinci
Code Matrix
From
Invented Witchcraft To The Carlos Castaneda's legacy
The
'Werdegang' of Mary Wigman:
The
'Werdegang' of Mary Wigman P.2:
Inventing
The Mormon Tradition
Major Case Study:
Paganism and Early Christianity in N. Europe P.2
The
Positive Thinking Movement P.2
Case Study:
Ungern P.1: The Revolution
Self Help Books as Popular Culture: Introduction
Self
Help Books as Popular Culture P.1
Self
Help Books as Popular Culture P.2
|
|
|
Eric
Vandenbroeck world-news-research.com
16 January: Washington isn’t
solely to blame for its deteriorating relations with India. Some of the
United States’ grievances, such as New Delhi’s close ties to Moscow, are
legitimate. Before the invasion of Ukraine, Russian oil amounted to less
than one percent of Indian imports. Now that Trump has endorsed bipartisan
legislation that would increase tariffs on India and other countries that
import Russian oil; Pressure is building
on New Delhi to finally halt energy imports from Russia.
16 January: The United States
is a superpower, but that does not make it omnipotent. There are many
situations in which, no matter the effort invested, success will be
elusive. There are also situations in which the United States might have a
chance of success, but where unilateral action is still not warranted,
given the risks and who is most likely to suffer should something go wrong.
Both cautions apply to any conceivable U.S. military operation in Iran,
creating a prohibitively high risk-to-reward ratio. Trump has no credible
option to directly defend Iranian protesters, while indirect means to
protect the Iranian people through deterrence or disruption of regime
forces are unlikely to buy much time. The costs of failure (Iranian
retaliation against protesters or the United States) are real; the costs of
success (another failed democratic transition produced by military
intervention) would be tragic. Iran and the Limits of American Power: What a U.S. Military Strike Would and Would Not Achieve.
15 January: In the months
ahead, Washington must make a crucial distinction between reacting to a
change in regime that is underway and a policy of proactively pursuing
regime change. Going forward, the United States might need to react to the
internally generated collapse of regimes in Iran and Cuba, as it did in
Iran in 1979 and the Soviet Union in 1991. When this happens, the question
is how best to use traditional foreign policy tools to influence the
outcome. The best approach is to offer substantial economic help if
specified conditions are met, although in Iran, the United States should
also be prepared to provide support to the opposition and weaken the
government, given the many threats posed by Iran to U.S. interests. The
Trouble with Regime Change: What History
Teaches About When and How to Pursue It.
14 January: The plain fact is
that the Khamenei regime’s days are numbered, at least in its present form.
Even with brutality, the ayatollah and his cohort are struggling to drive
protesters off the streets. Missiles are not needed. Iran’s citizens can
topple the theocrats on their own. Many
thousands of Iranians are again risking their lives to protest their
authoritarian, theocratic regime.
13 January: Whatever the
pressure of this moment, there's no sign Iran's leaders are changing
course. Iran's rulers face the biggest
challenge since the 1979 revolution.
13 January: Denmark
challenged the United States with its move to acquire Greenland at the
International Court of Justice, but the case languished in procedural
purgatory, and U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio dismissed it as
“nonsense.” Indigenous Greenlandic voices remained split: although some
elites embraced U.S. investments, most residents warned of coming
environmental degradation and cultural erasure. None of that mattered. U.S.
contractors continued to deliver services. Washington concluded its association compact with
Nuuk, assumed full authority over Greenland’s defense and security affairs,
and asserted a claim that Greenland represented a U.S. “special economic
zone.” Trump declared victory.
12 January: Iran’s leaders
are facing a perfect storm of crises. Bloody
crackdown could spell the end.
11 January: More than 2,300
have been arrested in Iran, according to a US-based human rights group, as
the internet blackout enters another day. Many
demonstrators in Iran have been calling for the return of Reza Pahlavi.
11 January: What can Trump
offer Big Oil to bring US capital back to Venezuela? The Fate of “America
First”: How the Assault on Venezuela Threatens
Trump’s Promise.
|
|
Cuba
has only one choice: liberalize its economy. This includes permitting
private business to operate in more industries, opening the private sector
to foreign investment, and letting these firms trade free of state
intermediaries. It also means cutting fiscal deficits and actually unifying
exchange rates for government-owned and private businesses at levels that
reflect real economic conditions. Just as important, the state must
increase legal guarantees and tax incentives for domestic and foreign companies
that build productive capacity. Even with U.S. sanctions, such steps would
at least give Cuba the chance to begin rebuilding its economy and attract
greater foreign investment. Cuba on the Brink: Where Will the Island’s
Crisis End? Cuba seems poised to slide
further into economic decline.
Regional
governance remains the best antidote for weakening multilateralism. It is
an essential building block of global governance and has a long history of
supporting international cooperation. Since the end of the Cold War,
regional institutions have expanded, and their role in facilitating trade,
resolving conflicts, and developing shared standards has grown. Now they
must support weakened global institutions and take on more responsibilities
themselves. This shift will not only help sustain multilateralism but could
also improve on it, by harnessing regional strengths and facilitating
innovative, bottom-up solutions to the world’s most intractable problems. How Multilateralism Can Survive Global
Institutions Are Declining, but Regional Cooperation Can Fill the Gap.
Following
the capture of Maduro, Trump said that the US will run Venezuela as
captured Maduro lands in New York. He added that US forces were ready to
conduct a second, “much bigger” wave of strikes if necessary. The US plan to “run” Venezuela will be a
complicated task, says former ambassador.
Denmark
PM urges Trump to stop ‘threatening’ Greenland. The US president’s latest
threat comes a day after Washington bombed Venezuela and abducted its
president. The wife of Trump’s
deputy chief of staff posted a contentious image of the Danish autonomous
territory, featuring the colors of the US flag, on her X feed, with a
single word above it: SOON.
If
President Trump and Marco Rubio, Secretary of State, succeed, they will
reshape hemispheric politics and validate a hard-edged vision of U.S.
leadership. If they fail, the costs will echo for years - fueling
migration, empowering adversaries, and reinforcing skepticism about
American intervention. Venezuela’s future will be decided not by Maduro’s
removal, but by the discipline, restraint, and economic imagination applied
in its aftermath. The End of the Beginning in Venezuela: The Real Challenges and Risks for U.S. Policy Are
Still to Come.
Trump’s
internationalism, and the similarity in his thinking to that of former
presidents such as Jackson, Polk, McKinley, and Roosevelt, does not mean
that his often impulsive and idiosyncratic decision-making style is a
positive thing for U.S. foreign policy. But in his approach to national
security, Trump is not nearly as unprecedented a figure in American history
as is sometimes alleged. His philosophy centers on the pursuit of national
power, not simply as the main priority but as the overwhelming fixation.
Yet if not leavened with a more inclusive vision that takes the legitimate
interests of other countries into account, such a simplistic pursuit of
national interest can fail catastrophically. What may have worked for the
first half of the country’s history, ethics aside, did not work thereafter,
and it is unlikely to begin working now. The Illusion of Isolationism: Why No One Should Have Expected Trump to Retreat.
|
Trump’s
Venezuela raid plunges Greenland and the Western military alliance into
uncertainty. US attack on Greenland
would mean the end of Nato, says Danish PM.
In
the AI era, deterrence can no longer rest on capabilities and resolve. It
will require leaders, defense strategists, and other decision-makers to be
able to preserve the reliability of their information environment - even
amid widespread digital distortion. The Fog of AI: What the Technology Means for Deterrence and War.
Trump’s
deployment of a massive naval flotilla in the Caribbean naturally evoked
memories of gunboat diplomacy, when the United States routinely sent naval
forces to the region as an instrument of coercive diplomacy or a prelude to
intervention. A hundred years ago, gunboat diplomacy was closely associated
with President Theodore Roosevelt and rationalized by the Roosevelt
Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine, in which Washington
claimed the right to intervene in Latin American countries to maintain
stability.
The
new, twenty-first-century challenges will demand international frameworks.
The diffusion of resources in a multipolar world presents policymakers with
the potential to reframe a world order around the concerns of weaker states
that are also vital economic partners. And they must do so: the truth is
that today, the absence of any international order, even if imperfect,
would be a problem for global stability. A world premised on one-off
transactions between nations will prevent the development of the kind of
long-term, grand strategic thinking required to ensure that the
exploitation, imperialism, and violence of the nineteenth century does not
simply resurface - or even reemerge in a worse form. The Transactional
Trap: How Foreign Policy Dealmaking Can Sow
Violence.
It
is uncertain, however, whether Trump’s intervention in Venezuela will
become a testament to American power or expose its limits, and eventually
contribute to its erosion. Many countries are already responding to Trump’s
punitive use of tariffs by hurrying to strengthen diplomatic and trade ties
with Asia and Europe. Some states, including Brazil and Colombia, are
experimenting with building closer defense and tech ties, respectively,
with China. The Shock Waves of Venezuela: How Maduro’s Capture Could Transform Latin
America.
Defense
tech leaders often speak about “unleashing” the power of the market by
cutting regulations. But the defense sector is an inherently distorted and
flawed marketplace. It is defined by a single dominant buyer, significant
barriers to access, and large capital requirements; no amount of
deregulation or deference to Silicon Valley can correct for that. Rather
than cede yet more ground to the private sector or design policy around an
unachievable vision of self-administering contracts available to flashy but
untested firms, Washington must grab the regulatory and institutional reins
to create and manage competition within the limits of a monopsony market.
It must negotiate and oversee contracts that extract the best performance
from the private sector, encouraging the competition that Silicon Valley
rightly claims is currently lacking. And it must decide when public
in-house research, development, or production is the better investment for
the future. What Silicon Valley Gets Wrong About National Security: Defense Tech Innovation Requires Government
Intervention.
As
countries grow stronger, they often feel more insecure. When the United
States annexed the Philippines, greater power led to a feeling of greater
vulnerability. As Roosevelt admitted to William Howard Taft in 1907, “The
Philippines is our heel of Achilles.” If Trump starts running Venezuela, he
will not simply find Venezuela impossible to control; he, and his
successors, will find it impossible to let go. The New Imperial Age: Trump, Venezuela, and a Century-Old Vision of American
Power.
|
|
|
|
Chinese
reach creates room for other regional and international actors to play
a role in Myanmar and balance China’s outsized influence. India and
Thailand are deeply involved in Myanmar’s west and south because they
coordinate border security with both the central government and rebel
groups operating along their borders, facilitate cross-border trade, and
manage humanitarian access points for refugees fleeing Myanmar. In addition
to Thailand, members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations can
promote quiet political dialogue among opposition groups and then
collectively with the junta without aligning with any side. The United
States and its allies, meanwhile, can help build local administrative
capacity, deliver emergency medical services and food aid, and reinforce
safe humanitarian channels beyond China’s primary zones of engagement. How China Carved Up Myanmar Beijing’s Strategy
to Create Stability Through Dependence.
Trump
has confirmed that he spoke to Maduro on the phone on 21 November. While he
did not reveal what was said in the call, Reuters news agency reported that
Trump gave Maduro a one-week ultimatum to leave Venezuela along with his
close family. It said that Maduro did not take him up on the offer of safe
passage. Gunboat diplomacy on steroids’: Trump
Strikes Security Deals to Surround Venezuela.
In
December 2025, the legacy and memory of former Chinese leader Hu Yaobang were prominent due to the recent November
2025 commemoration of his 110th birth anniversary, with President Xi
Jinping attending and giving a speech that strategically reframed Hu's
reformist image to support current Party goals, sparking analysis on
political narrative, loyalty, and memory management within China's elite
circles.
A
coup d'état in Myanmar began on the morning of 1 February 2021, when
democratically elected members of the country's ruling party, the National
League for Democracy (NLD), were deposed by the Tatmadaw. Myanmar’s election is derided as fake, but the
nation’s suffering is all too real.
Today,
Somaliland has been recognized as an independent country by Israel.
Somaliland, home to roughly six million people, enjoys relative peace and
stability. Its proponents argue that it should not be shackled to Somalia,
which has long been wracked by Islamist militant attacks. History of Somaliland.
Clashes
broke out on Syria’s coast between protesters from the Alawite religious
minority and counterdemonstrators on Sunday, killing at least three people
and injuring dozens of others, health officials said. In many cases, the attacks appear to be by Sunni
extremists and jihadis motivated by sectarian hate.
AI
already has the potential to deceive key decision-makers and members of the
nuclear chain of command into seeing an attack that isn’t there. In the
past, only authentic dialogue and diplomacy averted misunderstandings among
nuclear-armed states. Policies and practices should protect against the
pernicious information risks that could ultimately lead to doomsday. How
Deepfakes Could Lead to Doomsday: America’s
Nuclear Warning Systems Aren’t Ready for AI.
|
Iranian
President Masoud Pezeshkian said in an interview that the current war with
the West is worse than Iran’s deadly war with Iraq in the 1980s. Iran’s president says his country is in a full-scale
war with the West.
For
Ukraine and its European supporters, they
might already feel that they are at war with Russia. Nevertheless, Europe
will have to take on a far greater share of supporting Ukraine, but if
the United States were to turn its back on Ukraine, as it sometimes
threatens to do, that would be a colossal burden.
China
conducted a second day of live-fire military drills around Taiwan on
Tuesday, staging rocket launches and naval-air exercises it said were aimed
at simulating a blockade of the self-ruled island. China mobilised army, naval, air force, and
artillery units around Taiwan on Monday for its "Justice Mission
2025" exercises.
While
on Monday, authorities attempted to shift blame for the unrest to enemy
nations, the regime has redirected its strategy toward the protesters. Tear gas and arrests: Iranian regime
continues crackdown on protesters amid economic unrest.
The
attack last week, on a dock purportedly used for shipping narcotics, did
not kill anyone, people briefed on the operation said. But it was the first
known U.S. operation inside Venezuela. The
CIA Was Behind Venezuela Drone Strike.
In
2026, Trump is scheduled to visit Xi in China, Xi is likely to visit Trump
in the United States, China will host the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation
forum, and the United States will host the G-20 summit. These events
provide vital occasions for the two leaders, as well as Chinese and U.S.
policymakers more broadly, to make deals, build relationships, and begin
shaping a grand bargain. If Washington and Beijing can use this moment to
bridge their divide, it will not only reset relations between the two
leading powers but also provide stability and opportunity for the rest of
the world. The Case for a Grand Bargain Between America and China: How Trump and Xi Can Reset Relations.
China
took its feud with Tokyo over Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Taikachi’s
recent comments on Taiwan to the United Nations, as tensions between the
East Asian neighbors deepened and ties plunged to their lowest since 2023. If Japan dares to attempt an intervention in the
cross-Strait situation, it would be an act of aggression.
Finland
seizes a ship sailing from Russia after suspected cable sabotage. Russian
ship suspected of sabotaging undersea cables. Soviets
At Sea.
The
Venezuelan oil tanker with a Russian flag on its ship, following which
Putin filed a complaint with the US State Department. Although securing Russian protection may be a long
shot for the Bella 1 under international law, Russia’s diplomatic
intervention could complicate the attempt to seize the tanker, which stems
from the United States’ continuing conflict with Venezuela.
With
the current unrest in Iran, Reza
Pahlavi, Crown Prince of Iran, is now, all of a sudden wanted:
|
|
|
|
How
Chinese Weapons Transformed a War Between Two Neighbors. China urged
Cambodia and Thailand to end their border war in July. But weeks earlier,
it had sent rockets and artillery shells to Cambodia, Thai intelligence
documents show. Thailand’s leader vowed on Saturday to continue fighting,
as fighter jets struck targets just hours after US President Donald Trump
said he had brokered a new ceasefire. Whereby today Thailand declares curfew along the coast as the
Cambodia border fighting spreads.
A
mass shooting in which 15 people were killed during a Hanukkah celebration
at Sydney’s Bondi Beach was a terrorist attack inspired by the Islamic
State, Australia’s federal police said Tuesday. How
It Unfolded.
More
than 120 Belarusian political prisoners have been let go by Lukashenko in exchange for the lifting of
sanctions.
Today,
at least 11 people have been killed and 29 injured in a shooting on
Australia’s Bondi Beach, which targeted the Jewish community, police say.
The attack, which took place as hundreds gathered to celebrate the first
day of Hanukkah, has been declared a terrorist incident. Police have
confirmed that there are two known suspects, one is dead, while the other
is in a life-threatening condition in the hospital. Officers have secured
and removed explosive devices found in a nearby vehicle. Antisemitism Alive and Well.
The
next Colombian administration would be unwise to advocate for a mere return
to the status quo ante, which Trump clearly views as having benefited
Colombia more than the United States. Rather, it should focus on the
critical interests that Trump has identified in the region, drugs,
migration, Venezuela, and Chinese influence- and determine how best to
collaborate with the United States in one or more of those areas. As the
successes of Plan Colombia demonstrate, a fruitful partnership between
Bogotá and Washington is not just possible but desirable as well. The
Needless Rift Between America and Colombia: How
to Rescue Washington’s Most Important Partnership in Latin America.
Unless
the United States can maintain air and maritime superiority over key
contested areas, it will find that the rest of its military force structure
will struggle to produce relevant combat power against China in any
Indo-Pacific clash. America’s Drone Delusion: Why the Lessons of Ukraine Don’t Apply to a
Conflict with China.
Australian
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese says his government will crack down on hate
speech following Sunday's deadly shooting at Bondi Beach that targeted a
Jewish festival. A task force will be set up to properly respond to
antisemitism. The Fallout of the Bondi
shooting.
Countries
that want to diversify their foreign policy strategies will likely find
themselves in a situation like India’s. Rather than decoupling from the
United States, whose power and influence remain significant, these
countries can reduce risk and improve their resilience by developing closer
relations with a variety of partners and speeding up efforts to build their
own economic and security capabilities. But countries that adopt this
strategy not only face the promises and downsides of a diversified approach;
they also make the whole web of international relationships exponentially
more intertwined. Any geopolitical change could set off a chain reaction of
consequences as countries simultaneously rebalance their own carefully
calibrated portfolios of partners. How to Survive in a Multialigned World: The Indian Way of Strategic Diversification.
The
Chinese nation and the Russian nation were, in fact, great imperial
civilizations, and few inhabitants of those places dispute that they
deserve to be great again. The centrality of narrative in the operation,
legitimacy, and survival of authoritarian regimes makes them vulnerable.
They are especially exposed where they are most active: in wielding
history. China drills home stories of what it calls its “century of
humiliation” beginning in the 1800s, and these resonate with large numbers
of Chinese people. The Weakness of the Strongmen: What Really Threatens Authoritarians?
What
Europe has lacked so far is the political will to act until events force
its hand. This reluctance is precisely what has left Europe in the position
it is in now, where neither its traditional ally in Washington nor its
adversaries and competitors, including Moscow and Beijing. A delay is too
risky when the United States is becoming an unreliable partner, and Russia
is not hiding its revanchist, aggressive aims. The continent needs to step
up now to strengthen its defenses and regain its competitiveness.
Otherwise, Europe risks reinforcing the perception that it can be divided
and managed rather than treated as a global economic and strategic player.
Europe Is Missing Its Moment. It’s Time to
Finally Reform, or Risk Irrelevance.
For
now, many U.S. allies feel threatened by China and Russia, making it
unlikely that they would go so far as to team up with Beijing or Moscow to
balance against the United States. And most Asian and European partners
probably won’t join alternative geopolitical groupings such as the BRICS -
a ten-country bloc named for its first five members, Brazil, Russia, India,
China, and South Africa - given their differences with those countries and
their desire to avoid a major crisis with Washington. But an “America
first” strategy taken to its logical extreme could force U.S. allies to
distance themselves from the United States to a degree that would have been
virtually unthinkable during the past 80 years. The Allies After America In Search of Plan B.
Restoring
calm to Yemen will not be easy, and the effort will need to include
security guarantees for the Red Sea and for Gulf neighbors as well as
address the STC’s demands for southern independence. It will ultimately
require bringing the Houthis into a political process and refocusing their
attention domestically by giving them a stake in a better future. A deal
may well stall in the face of many competing interests. But doing nothing
will be far worse, all but ensuring that Yemen’s problems continue to spill
out into one of the world’s most vital shipping lanes and the greater
Middle East. The Middle East’s Most
Overlooked Threat.
|
The
US has built its military presence in the area and carried out at least 21
strikes on boats it said were carrying drugs, killing more than 80, without
providing evidence. Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro has said the US
actions are an attempt to oust him. Why is Trump threatening Venezuela's
Maduro? America’s Revolution of the Right: The Forces Remaking the Region
in the Age of Trump. The US is
preparing to carry out strikes on Venezuela.
Researchers
know that the expense of raising a family is a downward pressure on
fertility rates, so they should ask why housing costs have skyrocketed as a
proportion of income in the United States, Europe, and elsewhere.
Regulations for childcare, particularly in the United States, could be
responsible for an undersupply of daycare facilities. The adoption of new
norms for both maternity and paternity leave remains fitful, so researchers
could probe how work cultures disincentivize taking leave - and therefore
having children. The policies that may help raise birthrates should not, in
the short term at least, be evaluated purely in terms of their effect on
fertility levels but in the ways they, for instance, ease financial burdens
for families, improve educational and health outcomes, and make it easier
for people to reconcile the demands of work and family. The Depopulation Panic What Demographic Decline
Really Means for the World.
When
world leaders met for sideline meetings at the Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation forum in October, Sanae Takaichi and Lee surprised their
domestic audiences with an overwhelmingly positive encounter. The Japanese
prime minister, who had expressed fondness for South Korean cosmetics,
seaweed, and television dramas days earlier, bowed to the South Korean flag
- a move considered respectful that was widely covered in the South Korean
press. After the summit, the South Korean president, for his part, told a
domestic audience that he was “no longer worried” about having Takaichi as
his counterpart, a statement embraced by Japanese media. Lee is reportedly
considering traveling to Tokyo to visit Takaichi in January 2026. By
deepening cooperation across ideological lines and managing expectations,
Tokyo and Seoul have a rare opportunity to construct an alignment resilient
enough to withstand the political winds of the future. Are Japan and South
Korea Poised for a Historic Breakthrough? An Unlikely
Partnership Could Allow Tokyo and Seoul to Counter...
A
century ago, America refused to shoulder its burden, and the international
system collapsed, leading to World War II. Today, there are many other
stabilizing forces in the world, but an America that looks mainly after its
backyard will leave the world rudderless, unstable, and chaotic. Let’s hope
we will not have to learn that lesson again. Trump’s Doctrine Is ‘Make
America Small Again.’ A hemispheric
focus makes little sense for a global economic and military giant.
In
contemporary international relations, security is not just something
countries seek for themselves. It is also a concept they use to justify
controlling, constraining, and directing others’ behavior. When political
scientists speak of “securitization,” they refer to a process through which
a particular issue is portrayed as an existential threat, justifying
extraordinary measures instead of something that governments can address
through normal politics. How America
and Iran Can Break the Nuclear Deadlock: Ending the Cycle of Hostility and
Threats.
Democrats
are playing by the rules of a game that no longer exists. They are relying
on sterile communiqués, predictable conferences, and cautious diplomacy
while their opponents have become more ruthless, more imaginative, and
better networked. Halting the expansion of the illiberal international will
require democracy’s defenders to rethink their approach. The Illiberal International Authoritarian Cooperation
Is Reshaping the Global Order.
According
to President Trump, striking boats, seizing oil tankers, and threatening to
attack Caracas are all necessary to stop the flow of illegal fentanyl into
the United States. But this is based on faulty reasoning. Fentanyl is
perhaps the primary cause of American overdose deaths, yet there is no
evidence that Venezuela produces fentanyl at any significant level. These
operations thus do not bolster U.S. security. Instead, they risk starting a
major new conflict that would consume massive amounts of American
resources, easily pushing spending beyond what the recently passed, nearly
$1 trillion defense budget provides for. And that enormous budget is itself
unlikely to bring Washington a sense of peace. To people across party
lines, the dollars devoted to the Pentagon are meant to shore up U.S.
security. With Great Power Comes Great Insecurity: Why Stronger States Are More Fearful Than Weaker
Ones.
Ukraine's
President Volodymyr Zelensky has given details of an updated peace plan
that offers Russia the potential withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the
east that Moscow has demanded. Zelensky
moves towards demilitarized zones in the latest peace plan for Ukraine.
Erdogan’s
desire for a Turkish-led order, a Pax Turkica, endures, but the foundations
of that order remain brittle. If he cannot deliver on this grand vision, Erdogan
risks a self-reinforcing cycle of domestic decline, with public
disillusionment and dwindling legitimacy further straining an already weak
economy. A regional project meant to showcase Turkish resurgence could
instead become a reminder of the gap between ambition and ability. Erdogan
might be able to escape this cycle by broadening his domestic political
tent, rebuilding Turkey’s institutions, and appealing to the country’s
professional elites and business community. But all that would risk
exposing his rule to criticism and weakening his strong hold on power.
Erdogan may harbor the dreams of an Ottoman sultan, but modern Turkey
remains hobbled in its own backyard and mired in domestic problems.
Although Ankara will remain a major player in the regional order and a
dominant one in Syria, it will not be able to turn back the clock to the
time when it was the single dominant force in the Middle East. Erdogan’s
Imperial Delusions: Turkish Power Does
Not Match President Trump’s Ambitions.
Turkish security
forces have detained 115 individuals suspected of membership in the Islamic
State (ISIS) and planning attacks during Christmas and New Year
celebrations.
The
drone threat is no longer theoretical. It is here, it is accelerating, and
it will only grow more challenging. The United States still has the means
to shape the environment before a crisis forces its hand, but the window is
closing. How to Secure the Sky.
|
|
|
|
If
international AI deals are to help the United States in the long term, they
should be designed to complement, rather than cut into, the domestic AI
industry. That means Saudi Arabia and the UAE will need to quickly deliver
on their promised investments in AI infrastructure within the United
States. It also means the United States needs to act with urgency to build
AI infrastructure at home, in part by removing permitting bottlenecks and
increasing domestic power capacity. Projects in the Gulf already benefit
from looser regulations and cheaper energy. The United States’ ability to
generate gigawatts of new electricity for AI will set the ceiling for how
much global demand can be served from U.S. territory. Compute Is the New
Oil: America and the Gulf Must Work Together
on Artificial Intelligence.
Despite
Trump’s erratic behavior, Washington remains a more desirable partner for
most governments. But the administration will need to reconcile its
“America first” orientation with the reality of an increasingly multipolar
world by combining transactional deal-making with a broader strategic
framework that delivers real benefits to other countries. The first Trump
administration’s creation of the Artemis Accords offers a useful model. It
framed the accords as rules-based, transparent, cooperative, and inclusive
while also providing capacity-building programs in areas such as space law,
resource governance, and satellite data. Initiatives that embody this same
type of innovation, openness, and true partnership distinguish American
leadership from Chinese leadership, and they provide the best chance for
sustaining U.S. influence across the uncharted frontiers of the
international system. How China Wins
the Future: Beijing’s Strategy to Seize the New Frontiers of Power.
Despite
much speculation to the contrary, Trump has neither abandoned Ukraine to
Russia’s will nor walked away from the problem as one that is too hard to
solve. And the U.S. national security apparatus has the expertise and skill
needed to manage a complex diplomatic undertaking, if only the
administration could find a way to reliably control its own bureaucracy,
which it does not trust. The Time to End the War
in Ukraine Is Now.
Keeping
the Levant fractured will not bring stability to the Middle East. The
Shiite communities that once undergirded the axis of resistance must be
incorporated into the region’s political and social life. And Iran must see
that it can reap more benefit from diplomatic and economic engagement than
from resuming its disruptive military efforts. Shiite groups have been
weakened, but trying to keep them subdued by excluding them from politics
will only make them prey for future Iranian efforts to rebuild its proxy
network - and imperil any broader vision of regional peace. What Comes
After the Axis of Resistance? The Abiding
Power of Sectarianism in the Middle East.
More than 1,900 flights from China to Japan
scheduled for this month have now been cancelled, the figure
representing more than 40% of the flights from mainland China to Japan
scheduled for December, Chinese state broadcaster CCTV reported on Monday,
citing data from online platforms.
China
has released more details about a mid-air stand-off between Chinese and
Japanese fighter jets that occurred on December 6, 2025. The incident, in
which Japan’s Defence Ministry claimed the Chinese ship-based J-15 fighters
from aircraft carrier Liaoning had locked fire-control radars on Japan’s
F-15 jets in international airspace near Okinawa, has further raised
tensions between the two nations. An audio recording, purportedly of the
radio communication between the two navies before the Liaoning began its
flight exercises that day, was also published on December 9 by
Yuyuantantian, a social media account run by state broadcaster CCTV.
Syria
feels lighter without the Assads' crushing weight. But now there are new problems.
|
What
we did not anticipate a year ago was the Trump administration’s routine
subversion of the law, and even the U.S. Constitution. Although the
Constitution gives Congress, not the executive branch, the authority to
appropriate funds and set tariffs, Trump has usurped that authority,
freezing or canceling spending appropriated by legislators and dismantling
entire agencies established by Congress. He has also repeatedly imposed
tariffs without legislative approval, usually by declaring national emergencies
that did not exist (neither Canada nor Brazil posed an “unusual and
extraordinary threat” to U.S. security). The Price of American
Authoritarianism: What Can Reverse Democratic
Decline?
History
does not Repeat Itself, But It Rhymes. Deserving a recap is 'the war
of all wars', the First World War, no doubt, is what led to the
Second World War, in which Japan participated, hence drawing in the whole Pacific Region.
US
Sends B‑52s as China–Russia Military Pressure Mounts Over
Japan
In
the Middle East, the eastern Mediterranean, and the Caucasus, Turkey has
too often resorted to confrontation or empty gestures, such as suspending
diplomatic contacts, issuing highly charged public statements, and
announcing new initiatives but not following through. The way Turkey’s
influence will grow is instead through sustained dialogue and
confidence-building. It is crucial to maintain positions consistent with
international law to play a constructive role in these regions. The full
normalization of relations with Armenia and the opening of the
Turkish-Armenian border, for example, would be an important step in this
direction. Turkey’s Second Act: What a
Democratic Restoration Offers the Country’s Citizens, and the World.
Beijing
will continue to use incremental tactics and economic coercion against
neighbors to pressure them to decouple or distance themselves from
Washington. In the coming years, the extent to which Beijing attempts to
eject the United States from its region politically and militarily will
likely define the principal arena of U.S.–Chinese strategic rivalry. “Don’t
make us choose” has been the mantra of many East Asian countries, including
some U.S. treaty allies. But under bipolarity, the luxury of choice is not
one afforded to small countries in a superpower’s backyard. Countries will
be forced to choose, and choose correctly according to their neighbor, or
risk the consequences. The Multipolar Mirage: Why America and China Are the World’s Only Great Powers.
Nuclear
deterrence is almost a taboo subject in Europe, since there is no good
alternative to the American umbrella: the French and British nuclear
deterrents are ill-equipped to counter Russia’s vast nuclear arsenal. But
Europeanizing such a deterrent opens countless dilemmas, such as financing
an expanded French-British nuclear capability, determining how decisions
would be reached on its use, and providing the conventional military
support needed to enable a nuclear deterrent and strike force. Europe’s global role and what must be done to escape a lost
decade.
Deadly
Clashes Upend Thailand-Cambodia Cease-Fire. Pictured underneath, the Thai
Prime Minister dismisses Trump's calling him as just asking how things are
going. The Thai Prime Minister announces the results of discussions with
"Trump" on the Thailand-Cambodia situation. He explained today
why the war has been continuing. Thai
Military Launches Coordinated Strikes Targeting Cambodia's Financial and
Drone Warfare Capabilities.
The
suspected gunmen in the Bondi Beach attack threw explosives at the start of
the deadly incident and had practiced shooting weeks before. The pair
"meticulously" planned the attack for several months and, two
days before the shooting, visited Bondi for reconnaissance. We mentioned
the Bondi situation as soon as the initial arrests
were made.
|
|
|
|
For
decades, Pakistan’s invisible state allowed the generals to rule without
responsibility while civilians absorbed the costs of failure. The Field Marshal
Asim Munir model reverses that bargain. By making Pakistan’s military power
public, putting the army chief at the center of tariff policy and oil
exploration, and at the negotiating table with miners and tech firms, the
generals promise efficiency and speed. The bargain also collapses the
distance between the uniform and the republic. This is not a creeping coup.
It is something slicker: strategic integration. The military has
institutionalized its dominance rather than disguised it - Pakistan’s Quiet
Coup: The Making of a New Model of
Military Rule.
The
Pope visits Istanbul's Blue Mosque (the former Hagia Sophia).
China
has its own problems, with deflation, slowing growth, and an industrial
glut, but President Trump’s “America First” policy opens up new
opportunities for China to boost its global
influence. It will present itself as a more reliable partner,
particularly in the global south, where it is striking a string of trade
agreements. It is happy to do tactical deals with President Trump on
soybeans or chips. The trick will be to keep relations with America
transactional, not confrontational.
Japanese
Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s active presence on social media has
captured the public’s interest. While her honest and humorous posts draw
people in, they pose the risk of online backlash. Japan's PM Takaichi’s personal touch on social media
draws bouquets and brickbats.
Although
Hamas won support initially, as the costs of conflict rose and the
realities of what future governance would require grew clearer, that
support diminished, and the public’s appetite for a negotiated settlement
by a Palestinian-led, internationally backed administration grew. A
cease-fire that exists mostly on paper, however, would push opinion back
the other way. Where popular attitudes go next depends on whether
Palestinians are given a real chance to imagine a future that is not just
war by other means. Are Palestinians Ready to Shed Hamas? How Other Factions Might Gain Ground.
US
lawmakers demand answers over Hegseth's Venezuela boat strike claims. The US military carried out a second strike, killing
survivors on a suspected drug boat that had already been attacked.
The
1975 convening of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe
offers a stark contrast to Yalta. Thirty-two European countries, plus
Canada, the Soviet Union, and the United States, met in Helsinki to create
a European security structure based on rules and norms applicable to all.
They agreed on fundamental principles governing states’ behavior toward
their citizens and one another. It was a remarkable feat of multilateralism
at a time of major tensions, and it became instrumental in precipitating
the end of the Cold War. The West’s Last Chance: Build a New Global Order Before It’s Too Late.
The
post-Cold War era of unchallenged American primacy is over, and a new
period of global competition has taken its place. As the United States
withdraws its foreign aid, understanding the subtleties of China’s economic
statecraft is more important than ever. Policymakers must analyze where and
how Chinese money flows. Doing so will allow the United States and its
allies to gain valuable insights into Beijing’s strategic focus, and
perhaps even begin building a more targeted and effective response. Foreign Aid With Chinese Characteristics Where Beijing
Is, and Isn’t, Seeking Influence.
Both
Europe and India face similar predicaments that could bring them closer
together. Neither side feels able to rely on the United States as they once
did. Both seek new partnerships to help protect themselves from a more
capricious Washington. Until only six months ago, India seemed destined to
align ever more closely with the United States, in part to fend off future
Chinese aggression. Now, Trump’s pressure campaign means that India will
pursue a renewed multialignment, not out of ideological conviction but as a
practical necessity. The ultimate irony of Trump’s approach is that it is
producing precisely the outcome it sought to prevent: a more multialigned
India, invested in multiple partnerships and less susceptible to
bludgeoning pressure from the United States. The
India Trump Made Where American Bullying Is Leading New Delhi.
The
best thing that can happen to Russia is that it discovers the limits of its
imperialism the hard way - by getting bogged down in Ukraine. By contrast,
winning the war (and this is what Putin clearly hopes to accomplish,
whether on the battlefield or through peace negotiations) would only
further inflame Putin’s hubris and encourage more aggression. Russia should
face the consequences of its misguided policies, not reap the rewards of
territorial enlargement. It should be made to realize that there are better
ways to achieve greatness than invading one’s neighbors. For the sake of
peace, Trump should not place further obstacles in the way of this belated
realization. America’s Magical Thinking About Ukraine: A Bad Deal Is Worse Than No Deal.
|
The
Middle East is no place for idealism and lofty ambitions. It is, instead, a
place for power and realism, which makes it perfect for this U.S.
president. For now, oil continues to flow, the Iranian threat has been
diminished, the fighting in Gaza has subsided, and there are no major
upheavals. In a region known mostly for chaos, these are consequential
achievements. Trump’s Middle East Order:
The President’s Transactional Style Is Well Suited to the Region.
How
did the first cities form at all, when it makes no sense for farmers to
leave the land and congregate, and what happened to the Mayan cities? New Model of Urbanization Challenges the Paradigm
of the Mayan Collapse.
Israel’s
international isolation as a result of the war in Gaza represents a clear
and present danger for the country. Leaders of the Netherlands, Spain, and
Switzerland have said publicly that they would arrest Netanyahu if he set
foot on their territory. Germany and the United Kingdom, which have armed
Israel for decades, are restricting weapons sales. Changing attitudes in
the United States are particularly alarming for Israel. Americans under the
age of 45 are more than twice as likely to sympathize primarily with the
Palestinians as they are to sympathize primarily with Israel. Although
these changes in public opinion have not yet translated to changes in
policy, Israel cannot expect the disconnect to persist indefinitely. The End of the Israel Exception.
The
findings suggest that Trump should drop his quixotic push, which risks
placing Syria’s current government in direct opposition to the preferences
of the vast majority of its citizens. Instead, the United States and its
allies will have more success if they continue to provide Syria with the
financial and technical assistance it needs to rebuild and address its
internal social challenges. By doing so, they can help the state become a
stable U.S. partner in a critical region for American interests. What Syrians
Want: A New Survey Shows the Promises and Perils
Facing the Country’s New Government.
Putin
arrived on Thursday evening, 4 December, in Delhi and was greeted with a
hug and handshake by PM Modi at the airport, followed by a private dinner.
Russian newspapers say the leaders spoke for 2.5 hours last night, but
details haven't been released yet. Delhi has turned into a fortress, and
security is tight at the venue of the joint business forum Bharat Mandapam,
one of India's largest convention centers that hosts important global
events, including the 2023 G20 Summit. Security officials are conducting
sweeping checks with sniffer dogs, handheld scanners, and metal detectors.
More than 100 business leaders and ministers from India and Russia will be
meeting here to work out crucial trade agreements. Putin in India and why Delhi needs Moscow.
Sweeping
Trump strategy document seeks to reframe the US’s role in the world, slams
Europe. The US National Security Strategy aims to reassert influence in the
Western Hemisphere via a "Trump Corollary", increasing its
military presence. It also warned that
Europe faces “civilizational erasure.”
How
Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro defied all predictions. The leader mocked by some is now the longest-serving
president in power in Latin America.
In
an ideal world, the United States would still be the best security provider
for U.S. allies. But these allies do not find themselves in an ideal world,
and the possibility that the United States under Trump or one of his
followers will ultimately do the right thing by its allies is more in doubt
than perhaps at any time in the nearly 80 years since the modern U.S.
alliance system took shape. Hoping that the United States eventually does
the right thing or rediscovers the benefits of strong alliances is not a
viable long-term strategy. The prudent step is hedging. America’s allies
remain committed to Washington for now, but they are anxious enough to
start looking elsewhere for support. How
Much Abuse Can America’s Allies Take? Longtime Partners Will Soon Start to
Drift Away.
Resolving
the conflict in Ukraine would demand not just flexibility but close
coordination with allies and carefully plotted incentives to curb Russian
aggression. This is incompatible with the project of imposing
American-style conservatism on Europe. Contending with China’s reach in the
Indo-Pacific and beyond will benefit from Washington’s talent for
persuasion rather than for imposing tariffs. And if the United States is to
minimize its military footprint, it will have to look past civilizational
patterns and affinities, whatever these may be, and establish global
partnerships that are based on mutual respect. Having campaigned on
moderating American power, Trump has shown himself to be enamored of it and
the world-changing options it creates. Trump’s Power Paradox: What Kind of World Order Does His National Security
Strategy Seek?
The
Royal Thai Army says it has launched air attacks along its disputed border
with Cambodia, following deadly clashes. Thailand says one of its soldiers
was killed and eight others injured after troops came under Cambodian fire
on Monday morning, 8 December. The New War
Between Thailand and Cambodia.
|
|
|
|
One
summer evening last year, a couple’s therapist, Henrik Lenkeit, 49, was
watching a TV documentary about German Nazi SS master Heinrich Himmler,
architect of the Holocaust. After the show ended, Lenkeit poked around the
Internet for information about Hedwig Potthast, Himmler’s rather gruesome
mistress featured in the documentary. Suddenly, Lenkeit saw his grandmother’s face in an image of
Potthast posing with Himmler.
Underneath
Rafah, southern Gaza, the war is not over. Scores of Hamas militants, split
up into independent cells, are behind Israeli lines. Now mediators try to find a solution that
doesn’t collapse the month-old ceasefire in Gaza.
First
comes the warning, that disembodied voice over the tannoy: "Your
attention please. Air siren in the city. Please move to the shelter on the
minus second floor." Then comes the mosquito-like whine of the
incoming Russian drones, massing in their hundreds just above the clouds. Russian Drone Terror Tests Europe.
Debates
over “free trade” cannot be separated from questions of sovereignty. To
sustain a stable and fair global system, policymakers must recognize that
integration entails shared constraints. Countries cannot insist on the
freedom to engineer domestic imbalances while also insisting that other
countries absorb them. Unless major economies accept equivalent limits on
their ability to manage credit, currencies, and external accounts, the
world will see recurring beggar-thy-neighbor tensions, protectionist backlashes,
and a fragmented trading order. The arithmetic of global accounts
guarantees it. How to Fix Free Trade: A Global
Customs Union Could Solve the Problem of Imbalances.
Venezuela
will be unable to carry out a free and fair contest until its new
institutional framework is consolidated and the economy is clearly
rebounding, a process that is likely to take three to five years. Even
then, elections must proceed under a predetermined schedule: first local,
then regional, then parliamentary, and finally presidential. The transitory
judiciary, electoral, and oversight bodies that embody the power-sharing
arrangements will have to remain in place, with the same split membership, through
at least the first post-transition presidential term. A Grand Bargain With Venezuela American Force Won’t
Dislodge Maduro, but American Diplomacy Might.
Former
inspector general of police Chowdhury Abdullah Al-Mamun is the only accused
person who is present in court today. Chowdhury pleaded guilty in July for
his involvement in the uprising last year and has given testimony as the
state's witness. Bangladesh's former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina and
another co-accused, ex-interior minister Asaduzzaman Khan Kamal, have both
gone into hiding. Stun grenades were fired at
the Dhaka protest as soldiers deployed.
For
the foreseeable future, the BRICS are likely to continue muddling through,
attracting new members, producing grand declarations, and occasionally
coordinating positions, but falling well short of becoming the basis of a
new model of global governance. Trump has reminded BRICS members why the
bloc matters, while simultaneously exposing why it cannot rise to the
occasion. BRICS Is Missing Its Chance, United
by Trump’s Hostility but Too Divided to Seize the Moment.
Google
boss warns 'no company is going to be immune' if AI bubble bursts. Every company would be affected if the AI bubble were
to burst, the head of Google's parent firm, Alphabet, has said.
In
an age in which many nations face the dual, often competing imperatives of
population decline and anti-immigrant populism, Japan’s approach is a case
to watch. If it succeeds, it could offer a pragmatic blueprint for how to
grow and integrate a migrant labor force without fracturing social trust.
If it fails, it may reinforce the perception, both in and outside of Japan,
that the promotion of even carefully managed immigration is politically
unsustainable. Japan’s Stalled Immigration Experiment: The Uncertain Future of a Promising Approach.
Selective
nuclear proliferation requires careful management to fulfill its potential,
but it offers genuine ground for optimism. The case for it remains as
controversial as ever, but it doesn't matter greatly which countries get
the bomb. If the proliferators are allied, stable governments and
responsible members of the international community, then more nuclear
weapons might indeed be better. America’s Allies Should Go Nuclear: Selective Proliferation Will Strengthen
the Global Order, Not End It.
Defending
against information warfare will require partnership between the public and
private sectors, organized by the White House Office of Science and
Technology Policy. The creation of formal channels for collaboration with
social media platforms, leading AI research labs, and cybersecurity firms
would enable the U.S. government to share intelligence about particular
threats, codevelop advanced technologies to help detect AI-generated
content, and establish industry-wide best practices to counteract AI’s
magnification of disinformation. Through the White House’s involvement, the
fight against information warfare, now a niche policy concern, would become
a central organizing principle of U.S. national defense. AI Is Supercharging Disinformation
Warfare, And America’s Defenses Aren’t Ready.
Britain’s
domestic spy service, MI5, warned lawmakers on Tuesday that China’s
intelligence services are posing as recruiters to target people who work in
Parliament, just weeks after the collapse of a case against two British
nationals accused of spying for Beijing. Chinese Spies Using LinkedIn to Target British
Lawmakers, MI5 Warns.
It
would be premature to declare the relative improvement in China’s
soft-power position a definitive victory for the country. For now, Beijing
seems to be holding back rather than fully taking advantage of the United
States’ decline. It presents itself as a reliable and accessible
developmental partner, as it did before the second Trump administration,
but it has also been cautious about expending more resources abroad.
China’s ideological message still draws largely on resentment toward the
West, rather than presenting a compelling alternate international vision or
offering concrete, replicable policy lessons. Many foreign publics remain
wary of China, especially when it comes to global leadership. The New
Soft-Power Imbalance: China’s Cautious
Response to America’s Retreat.
U.S.-Saudi
Bonhomie Masks Divide Over Nuclear Technology. The Saudi crown prince’s flashy trip to Washington
was not enough to secure a formal atomic cooperation accord.
|
The
only way for Trump to be able to declare victory credibly is for Maduro to
go. Trump is obviously reluctant to launch strikes inside Venezuela. It’s a
fair guess that it isn’t the problem of how to legally justify and defend
such strikes that is deterring him, but his own doubts about the chances of
success. And if Trump backs down, he would not acknowledge defeat; he would
instead claim that his only goal had been to depress drug trafficking. He
would declare victory and cite statistics showing that the number of drug
shipments on boats in the Caribbean had gone down, which it would have. How to Topple Maduro and Why Regime Change Is the
Only Way Forward in Venezuela.
Trump’s
New Ukraine Policy Is Old Hat. The White House
may soon preside over the first negotiated defeat of a modern democracy.
China
spat with Japan on Taiwan deepens, reaches UN: What’s it all about? The spat has rapidly escalated into a trade and
diplomatic war set to affect businesses on both sides.
Senators
claim Rubio told them the 28-point proposal was a Russian plan, not an
American one. We must do everything to strengthen defense against Russian
attacks, says Zelensky. Ukraine's Western allies
say 28-point plan would 'leave Ukraine vulnerable'.
Borders cannot be changed
by force, says von der Leyen:
Top
US and Ukrainian officials said Sunday they were making progress toward
ending Russia's war in Ukraine, yet they didn't elaborate on how the US
plan to achieve peace was evolving after talks in Geneva. Many of
Washington's European allies have expressed concerns that the plan is far
too conciliatory to Moscow.
Long-wave
geopolitical cycles do not last forever. The most important question facing
Americans and the divided U.S. polity is whether the nation can gather
itself to recognize the perils of the moment, find the wisdom required to
navigate it, and take collective action to prevent - or more accurately,
postpone - the next global convulsion. Unfortunately, as Hegel observed, we
learn from history that too often we do not learn from history. When
American strategists crafted the Cold War strategy that was the foundation
of the long peace, their vision lay far beyond the conventional wisdom of
earlier eras. To sustain the exception that has allowed the world to
experience an unprecedented period without a great-power war will require a
similar surge of strategic imagination and national determination today.
The End of the Longest Peace? One of
History’s Greatest Achievements Is Under Threat.
Japan’s
Defence Minister, visiting a military base close to Taiwan, said plans to
deploy missiles to the post were on track as tensions smolder between Tokyo
and Beijing over the East Asian island. Japanese stocks related to tourism
and retail declined on Monday after China issued a warning to its citizens
not to travel to the country. Japan to
deploy missiles to island near Taiwan, Defense Minister says.
Traditionally,
Russian intelligence has suffered from poor coordination between separate
agencies. But because sea operations are based on joint
military-intelligence operations, they appear to have largely escaped this
problem. Since Soviet times, Moscow’s different intelligence services,
including the military intelligence and the FSB, have cooperated closely at
sea. Moreover, the presence of official military boats, as the surveillance
ship observed near the UK this fall, alongside shadow fleet ships, suggests
the extent to which shadow tankers may be coordinating with the military
and intelligence apparatus. Over the past six months, Russian warships have
also been observed escorting shadow fleet vessels in the Baltic Sea and
even the English Channel. Moscow’s Offshore Menace: How the Shadow Fleet Enables Russia’s Hybrid Warfare in
Europe.
The
US still has points of leverage it can use against China. But the strategic
incoherence of Liberation Day, the subsequent de-escalation of the trade
war, and the administration’s efforts to mollify Beijing ahead of the South
Korean meeting have led China to conclude that Washington is not prepared
to escalate. To the extent China does want a stable equilibrium, it wants
to get the United States accustomed to a new one, on Beijing’s, rather than
Washington’s, terms. A year into the second Trump administration, it has
made startling progress toward that objective. How
Xi Played Trump, Beijing Gambled and Is Now Reaping the Rewards.
Whereas
resumption of full-scale nuclear testing would allow the United States to
answer some pressing questions about the fitness of its stockpile, it would
provide even greater benefit to China and Russia. When Trump posted on
social media that China and Russia were already testing nuclear weapons, he
was likely referring to hydro-nuclear experiments with ultralow yields,
which are not detectable without an onsite presence. (If China or Russia
were doing nuclear tests in the multi-kiloton range, it would almost
certainly be detected by the elaborate international test-monitoring system
established by the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization.) Lessons
From Los Alamos: America Has the Most
To Lose From Restarting Nuclear Testing.
If
the world’s most powerful country is seen to be disregarding both
international law and its own domestic statutes, it risks further
undermining the very legal order it built and encouraging transgressive
behavior by others. The impetus to imitate the United States’ rule-breaking
may arise not only in illiberal states but also potentially among other
Western democracies. The Real Costs of
Washington’s Use of Force.
Colombian
president says oil is ‘at the heart of’ US pressure campaign on Venezuela. Venezuela has what are considered the largest oil
reserves in the world.
Right-wing
parties, no less than their centrist and liberal counterparts, are aware
that in an increasingly unstable geopolitical landscape, their countries
may have to fend for themselves. Confronted with a hostile world, Europe’s
right may rediscover, perhaps reluctantly, the practicality of Europe’s
decoupling from an unreliable United States. Ultimately, Trump’s impact on
Europe bears many similarities to Mikhail Gorbachev’s influence on the
Eastern Bloc in the 1980s. Gorbachev-mania dramatically reshaped the communist
regimes of Eastern Europe, and in the process helped Moscow lose its sphere
of influence. The Paradox of Europe’s Trumpian Right: How America’s Weaponization of Ideology Could Backfire.
|
|
|
|
China’s president, Xi Jinping, has met with his American counterpart, Donald Trump,
for their first face-to-face talks in six years. Trump emerged from the
meeting in South Korea in a buoyant mood, describing it as a 12 on a scale
of one to ten. He is now saying the US
will lower tariffs on Chinese imports, with Beijing giving the US better
access to rare earths in return.
Trump
has authorized a CIA covert operation against Venezuela. His administration
has already targeted “drug boats” in the Caribbean. Trump calls Maduro a
“narcoterrorist” and has declined to answer if the goal is regime change in Venezuela. Is it just about
drugs? Or is something bigger going on that might affect the entire region?
And how will Venezuela’s backers, Russia and China, react? The pink part on
the map is the Orinoco Belt, a vast oil reservoir in eastern Venezuela,
home to the world’s largest petroleum deposits.
Former
US Vice-President Dick Cheney has died at the age of 84 - ex-President
George W Bush calls it "a loss to the nation and a sorrow to his
friends." Cheney, VP under President Bush
from 2001 to 2009.
The
United States can build a better model of engagement that recognizes the
American and Pacific Island interests are already aligned in seeking to
deter aggression and coercion in the Pacific. But to sustain that deterrent
capacity, the United States and its partners must recognize the political,
economic, environmental, and social concerns of the islands themselves.
Supporting the islands’ sovereignty and democratic institutions, and
sincerely addressing their interests, is not only good for Pacific peoples.
It is a cost-effective way for Washington and its allies to preserve the
fragile balance that keeps the Pacific as peaceful as its name. The Pacific Islands Challenge in America’s
Tug of War With China, Oceanic Democracy Is Caught in the Middle.
Even
as the Trump administration makes positive moves to rebalance its security
commitments, it is undermining the United States’ economic and diplomatic
standing. From imposing draconian tariffs and sanctions to conducting
seemingly random military strikes in Iran and off the coast of Venezuela,
the administration has approached friends and foes alike with self-serving
aggression - even though successfully navigating a more multipolar world
will require strong, lean global partnerships. Ultimately, this half-baked
strategy for multipolarity may be just as bad as no strategy at all. Making
Multipolarity Work: How America Should
Navigate a New Global Order.
A
strong United States, backed by partners that want to share the burden of
the defense of freedom, will prevail against the autocrats, tyrants,
communists, and terrorists wishing to do Americans and their friends harm.
A stronger country will allow Americans to find opportunities to bring an
end to conflicts around the world that were otherwise thought to be
insurmountable. The Case for Trump’s Second-Term Foreign Policy: Peace Through Strength Is Delivering
Stability and Security.
Japan’s
biggest obstacle to revitalizing a free and open Indo-Pacific strategy is
its own political reality. Although public support for the newly formed
Takaichi government is high, because the Liberal Democratic Party is not in
the majority, it will have to deal with a fragile coalition in which it
cannot call all the shots. Takaichi will also have to address numerous
domestic challenges, including how to manage a continually aging
population, a shrinking workforce, and one of the highest debt-to-GDP ratios
in the world, as well as how to implement social and financial changes -
including updating tax structures to reward innovation and attract talent -
that Japan needs to remain competitive in a borderless digital economy.
Japan Can Keep the Indo-Pacific Open and Free With America Stepping Back. Tokyo Should Step Up.
Kyiv
cannot break Russia’s oil industry overnight. But by forcing Moscow into
constant firefighting - whether putting out actual refinery fires or
preventing a second-order economic conflagration - these attacks ensure
that Russia will have to pay an ever higher cost to maintain stability. For
now, the refineries will keep operating, the pumps will keep running, and
exports will continue - but with rising costs, shrinking margins, and a
reduced capacity to recover from attack. The Slow Death of Russian Oil: Why Ukraine’s Campaign Against Moscow’s Energy Sector
Is Working.
Each
generation of Republicans turns out to be more radical than the last.
Ronald Reagan was more right-wing than Richard Nixon, and Trump is more
right-wing than Reagan. By the 1980s, Barry Goldwater, once the avatar of
the Republican far right, was seen as a libertarian critic of the party’s
social conservatism. So, too, Cheney, who in a previous generation served
as a champion of the hard right, ended up as a symbol of resistance to the
MAGA movement. But even if Cheney never intended to give rise to the Trump
movement, many of its actions are rooted in his legacy. The Cheney Effect: How Dick Cheney Became the Accidental Architect of
Trump’s Power.
It
will be important to try to keep an initial fight over Taiwan limited to
provide Chinese leaders a pathway for de-escalation. Chinese leaders might
back down after claiming to have taught Taiwan a lesson or taken some
contested territory. Yet China’s own messaging before a conflict could set
a higher bar: Chinese leaders might demonize Taiwan and the United States
to rally public support, while trumpeting the PLA’s military superiority
and China’s great rejuvenation. An invasion of Taiwan might start with
Beijing metaphorically burning its ships, so there would be no turning
back. How War in Taiwan Ends If Deterrence Fails: Could America Thwart China?
Before
Argentina’s midterm legislative elections last month, many believed that
President Javier Milei’s party, La Libertad Avanza (LLA), was bound for
electoral defeat. After nearly two years in office, Milei faced a shortage
of the foreign currency reserves needed to halt a run on the Argentine
peso, raising fears of yet another debt crisis in a country that has
repeatedly defaulted. His economic adjustment program, which entailed
massive spending cuts and layoffs, had brought hardship to many Argentines.
And in September, his party had lost by a 13-point margin in the provincial
election for mayors and legislators in Buenos Aires, the country’s largest
electoral district. Milei’s Tightrope Act: Why the Argentine President Will Struggle to
Exploit His New Mandate.
The
current approach to climate policy simply isn’t built for success - and
maintaining the status quo amid an intensifying climate crisis will be
especially harmful for the developing countries that suffer most from its
effects. With countries struggling to meet even their most basic
obligations under the Paris agreement, the treaty is at risk of becoming a
dead letter. Sticking with a process that has not yielded results will only
cause more damage and death. Global Climate Policy Is Broken. Fixating on Emissions Won’t Decarbonize the World’s
Economy.
The
battle over Gaza's future: Why no one can agree on the rebuild. In the midst of a still shaky ceasefire, Gazans
are taking the first tentative steps along the long road to recovery.
China
has undertaken a massive expansion of sites linked to missile production.
More than 60% of 136 facilities connected to missile production or the
Chinese military’s rocket force, which controls China’s nuclear arsenal,
showed signs of expansion in satellite images. The
historic build-up stands in stark contrast to the United States’ own supply
struggles.
The
current approach to climate policy simply isn’t built for success - and
maintaining the status quo amid an intensifying climate crisis will be
especially harmful for the developing countries that suffer most from its
effects. With countries struggling to meet even their most basic
obligations under the Paris agreement, the treaty is at risk of becoming a
dead letter. Sticking with a process that has not yielded results will only
cause more damage and death. Global Climate Policy Is Broken. Fixating on Emissions Won’t Decarbonize the World’s
Economy.
|
With
pressure from Iran easing, the appetite for a treaty requiring two-thirds
congressional approval has diminished, especially in the absence of
normalization with Israel. Trump and Crown Prince
to seal defense pact.
As
Trump ramps up pressure on Maduro, massing U.S. forces and strikes against
alleged drug boats, María Corina Machado’s opposition has embraced his
approach. Venezuela’s opposition pins its
hopes on Trump, despite perils.
The
competition with China will hinge not on mimicking Beijing’s methods but on
buttressing the core strengths of the United States. To sustain preeminence, Washington must reinforce
its institutions, alliances, and incumbency advantages, not erode them.
The
Israel Defense Force’s top-tier investigations into its failures on and
ahead of Hamas’s October 7, 2023, terror onslaught are considered to be
unacceptable, a panel of former senior military officers has determined. October Seven Revisited.
The
great famines of the twentieth century were often driven by droughts. Now,
the reasons people go hungry are more likely to be structural, related to
violent conflict, enduring climate change, and economic marginalization.
According to the Uppsala Conflict Data Program, the number of active
conflicts worldwide has risen from 46 in 2014 to 61 in 2024. And the
proportion of active conflicts that are resolved in a given year has
reached its lowest point in half a century. Violent conflict has always increased
food insecurity, and nearly 70 percent of people currently facing acute
food insecurity live in countries affected by it. In Gaza and Sudan alone,
war has driven a million people into famine. A Hidden Hunger Crisis Is
Destabilizing the World: How Food Insecurity Provokes
Violence, and Weakens Even Wealthy States.
Finding
a compromise that will satisfy both ultra-Orthodox rabbis and the law of
the land has proved impossible so far, creating headaches for Netanyahu.
The prime minister’s coalition is built on his alliance with both
ultra-Orthodox and nationalist Orthodox parties. The ultra-Orthodox parties
left the Netanyahu government in July to push the prime minister into
finding a workaround to the court’s decision. But the ultra-Orthodox still
clearly prefer Netanyahu to Bennett and his secular partners, and so they
have not brought his government down. Religious nationalist voters are more
likely to jump ship, and Bennett has tempted them by promising “an alliance
of the serving.” Still, many of them also prefer the current prime
minister’s raw nationalism over his competitor’s cooperation with the
center left, who are less enthusiastic about West Bank settlements. Netanyahu Survives Divide and Conquer in Gaza and at
Home.
Beyond
reinforcing the message to the Kremlin that prolonging the war will only
further harm Russia’s interests, such moves by European powers would also
go a long way to making their postwar security guarantees tangible. This
would boost Ukraine’s will to resist today and give it confidence to reach
a settlement when the conditions are right. Ukraine’s home front needs
causes for optimism as it heads into what is likely to be the harshest part
of the war to date. Ukraine’s Hardest Winter: With
the Donbas in Peril, Europe Must Pressure Russia Now.
Ultimately,
Trump and his supporters are right when they boast about the extraordinary
impact the second administration has had since taking office. It is as
consequential a first year as any president since Roosevelt. Much of
Trump’s approach was predictable, including his general unpredictability.
But the true surprises are those that are likely to reverberate for years
to come. They are also the ones that make the long-term forecast harder to
discern. Trump’s Year of Living Dangerously: How
His Second Term Is Reshaping America and the World.
This
is a prime moment for Washington to reassess its approach to South Asia.
The U.S.-Indian partnership has been shaken in Trump’s second term, with
Washington slapping high tariffs on New Delhi ostensibly because of the
latter’s purchases of oil from Moscow. As U.S. officials determine what
kind of partnership they want with India, they should change the way they
look at the broader region. It is not simply India’s backyard, but a series
of independent partners home to hundreds of millions of people. Listening
to local voices, setting clear standards for transparency and human rights,
and responding firmly to breaches of those standards - including by India -
will be key to making deals in South Asia that can last. If Washington does
not want to see Chinese influence expand irrevocably in the region, it must
stop deferring to India. Instead, it should take seriously the democratic
aspirations of all South Asian states and remember that their citizens will
not countenance repression and bad governance - especially when it is
sponsored by the world’s largest democracy. The Folly of India’s Illiberal
Hegemony: China Gains From New Delhi’s
Support for South Asian Autocrats.
Madeleine
Albright believed that supporting democracy is not just a moral imperative
but a strategic one. Authoritarian regimes do not simply repress their own
people; they export corruption, weaponize information, and erode the norms
that underpin global stability. Democracies make better partners. They
uphold the rule of law, respect borders, and are far less likely to provoke
conflict. And in the long-term competition with China, the United States’
greatest advantage is the attractiveness of its ideals, which help it build
international coalitions, attract talent and investment, and confer
legitimacy on the U.S. government that coercion cannot buy. Can Democracy Still Make a Comeback? Hope for a Freer
Future Is Dimmed but Not Lost.
France on Thursday commemorated the 10th
anniversary of the November 13, 2015, terror
attacks in Paris. There were 130
people killed and over 400 injured when militants loyal to the
"Islamic State" (IS) group attacked several sites almost
simultaneously on a Friday night in Paris.
Shock,
disbelief as Delhi blast in India linked to doctors in ‘white-collar’
terror cell. When Medical Doctors become
terrorists.
For
the first time in a generation, the United States has an opportunity to
build a durable security architecture for one of the world’s most violent
regions. But the Trump administration must act quickly to take advantage of
this rare moment by aligning expectations with its partners, solidifying
the emerging security framework, and reinvigorating diplomacy. As Saudi
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman prepares to meet with Trump in Washington
on November 18, the United States has a crucial opportunity to extend its
new security pledge to Qatar to Saudi Arabia and the entire Gulf region. If
the president and his team lose their focus, however, it could all crumble.
A New Path to Middle East Security: How American
Commitments in the Gulf Can Rebuild the Regional Order.
Leaders
cannot wish away close friends such as Israel, Taiwan, and Ukraine that
straddle combustible geopolitical fault lines - nor would it benefit the
United States to do so. But to advance U.S. interests, Washington needs
better answers to the strategic dilemmas inherent in managing
quasi-alliances. Only by grappling with recent successes and failures can
policymakers develop a better playbook. America’s
Quasi Alliances: How Washington Should Manage Its Most Complicated
Relationships.
Aggressive
tariffs and export controls have forced Xi to adapt his economic approach
by diversifying China’s trade partners and even embracing some domestic
private-sector companies that can contribute to Xi’s goal of technological
self-reliance. Internal stressors, such as high unemployment and financial
fragility, may also constrain Xi’s options to pursue his goals, but so far
they have merely slowed, rather than stalled, his agenda. The End of
China’s Old Guard: Why Party Elders Can’t
Save the Country From Xi.
China
warns citizens against Japan as Taiwan spat escalates. China urges citizens not to visit Japan.
|
|
|
|
The
case for maintaining the dollar’s privilege is stronger than ever, as
ballooning deficits make it imperative to keep debt service costs low.
Washington’s strategy of using sanctions to further its national security
interests, moreover, requires access to the financial tools that the
dollar’s position affords. If the current administration carries on with
its attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve and official
statistical agencies and continues to undermine the credibility of the
United States’ international commitments, it could erode the dollar
dominance on which so much of U.S. domestic and foreign policy depends. The
dollar is not invulnerable, and now is not the time to make bad choices and
count on good luck alone. If their currency falls from its pedestal,
Americans will pay the price. Exorbitant Pillage: Can the U.S. Dollar Survive the U.S. Government?
President
Xi proposed the idea of a “dual circulation” strategy: China would
structure more of its economy around domestic markets, he “internal
circulation” of goods, services, and technology, while promoting the
“external circulation” of international trade and investment. By taking
advantage of China’s colossal domestic market, Xi’s strategy seeks to
minimize reliance on the outside world while enhancing international
dependence on China’s economy. The brief trade war in April and May 2025,
at the beginning of U.S. President Donald Trump’s second term, suggests
that China has successfully hardened itself against U.S. tariffs. Xi has
been able to refrain from offering costly stimulus packages, instead
providing the minimum support needed to stave off the worst effects on the
economy and the export-oriented industries that have borne the brunt of the
tariffs. Moreover, Beijing has figured out how to weaponize Washington’s
dependence on China for important materials, such as rare-earth magnets,
which many American manufacturers require for their products. China Against
China: Xi Jinping Confronts the Downsides of
Success.
President
Xi Jinping's father, Zhang Youxia, represented the old, princeling elite of
the PLA. His father was a Red Army hero of the 1920s and 1930s and was
equal in stature to Xi Jinping’s father. Zhang Youxia built his military
career on being a hero during the 1979 border war against the Vietnamese. Despite the amazing military equipment
modernization of the recent Chinese Victory Day parade, several anomalies
caught our eye, showing that the PLA is hiding its problems.
For
two months, the US military has been building up a force of warships,
fighter jets, bombers, marines, drones, and spy planes in the Caribbean
Sea. It is the largest deployment there for decades. Why this probably
isn't just about the drugs. It's about
regime Change.
India's
most powerful Hindu nationalist organization marks centenary. Strategy to deal with dual threats.
Rebel
group claims capture of key city in Sudan. War
Is Likely to tear the Country Once Again Apart.
Today’s
crisis of free speech in America is not the legacy of John Stuart Mill or
First Amendment fetishism. It has arisen because too many Americans have
lost their faith in free-speech exceptionalism - at the very moment when
the First Amendment remains the strongest constitutional barrier to Trump’s
censorious agenda. Yet the First Amendment’s text alone cannot guarantee
robust debate. Time and again, unpopular and persecuted groups - political,
racial, and religious - have fought to strengthen their practical force.
Americans must work again to secure that inheritance. Who Has Free Speech? The Global Fight Over a Powerful Idea.
Shifting
dynamics in global gas markets suggest that new dangers may lie ahead. In
the coming years, supplies will be more concentrated among a handful of
producers, even if Russia’s plan to triple its LNG export capacity by 2030
does not materialize. The sharp growth in LNG exports from Qatar and the
United States, in combination with growing European and Asian dependence on
LNG, means that more gas will travel through the Strait of Hormuz and from
the U.S. Gulf Coast, creating new geopolitical targets. Moreover, although
the rise of the United States as an LNG superpower was once seen as a salve
for geopolitical risk, the Trump administration’s use of economic coercion
against allies and adversaries has stirred fear among energy importers that
the United States may no longer be a reliable, apolitical supplier. The Return of the Energy Weapon: An Old Tool
Creating New Dangers.
It
has been dubbed the “heist of the century”, the theft in broad daylight of
Napoleonic-era artefacts from the renowned Louvre Museum in Paris. French
President Emmanuel Macron called the robbery “an attack on a heritage we
cherish,” and vowed to bring the perpetrators to justice. Investigators are
in a race against time to track down four suspects and recover the
treasures. Known as France’s crown jewels, amid
fears they may be lost forever.
Eric
Rosenbach, who served as a former assistant Defense Secretary and Chief of
Staff at the Defense Department, said that he believes the U.S.-China
conflict is at a tipping point as President Trump prepares to meet with
Chinese President Xi. Imagery captured by the European Space Agency's
Sentinel-2 satellites on October 8, 2025, shows the Zhurihe Training Base
in China's northern region of Inner Mongolia, where the Chinese military
has constructed a mock-up of key Taiwan government buildings found in Taipei.
How Trump and Xi Can Pull Back From the Brink.
China
and Russia are making themselves more capable of sustaining regional
conflicts for a longer time. The United States and its allies will not be
prepared to manage this challenge unless they also collaborate militarily.
Fortunately, Washington’s friends are already doing so. Just as Russia has
relied on Chinese and North Korean assistance to keep up its assault on
Ukraine, NATO has been able to sustain Ukrainian defenses because
Australia, Japan, and South Korea have been quietly backfilling U.S. stocks
of 155-millimeter artillery rounds and Patriot missiles. Similarly,
European deployments to the Indo-Pacific theater, although limited, have
helped maintain allied presence around the South China Sea and in the
Taiwan Strait, especially as U.S. ships have been redeployed to the Middle
East and elsewhere. The New Eurasian Order: The U.S. Should Link Its Atlantic and Pacific
Strategies.
Trump:
‘Nothing’ will jeopardize Gaza ceasefire, Israel should hit back’ if troops
killed. Israel strikes Gaza after
accusing Hamas of violating US-brokered ceasefire.
Trump
and Xi Reach a Trade Truce. Beijing appears
to be the bigger winner, leveraging Washington’s reliance on China to lower
steep U.S. duties.
|
As
soon as a battle or a war has been fought, victors and losers alike begin
to tell different stories. Official stories have a deliberate, not
necessarily sinister, design. The rise of the PowerPoint “storyboard” in
the U.S. military during the global “war on terror,” for example, helped
ensure that every engagement would be recorded a particular way. One need
only search the web for a “U.S. Army storyboard template” to see how
institutionalized narratives can homogenize experience by molding episodes into
a particular form or genre until all content starts to look and sound
alike. The Military-Narrational Complex: What
Stories Do in an Age of Conflict.
By
the time Biden left office, the China consensus seemed so strong that it
resembled something of a ratchet. With Xi’s China continuing to press its
advantage around the world, the pressure for the United States to compete
could only increase. Structure Trumps Agency in the U.S.-China
Relationship: Why Competition
With China Is Here to Stay.
Two
suspects arrested in connection with the theft of France’s crown jewels
from the Louvre museum have admitted involvement in the heist and have been
remanded in custody, the Paris prosecutor’s office said on Wednesday.
Louvre heist suspects have admitted involvement in jewel theft.
The
Louvre has transferred some of its most precious jewels to the Bank of
France following the heist. They will now be stored in the Bank's most
secure vault, 26m (85ft) below the ground floor of its elegant headquarters
in central Paris.
World
leaders should expect the ISF to remain in Gaza for years to come. Only an
international force under strong U.S. leadership can provide the security
needed for effective governance, the smooth flow of humanitarian aid, rapid
reconstruction, and the assurance that any groups in the territory remain a
minimal threat to Israel. But the mission should also be carried out to set
the conditions for future success. To gain buy-in and commitment from
Palestinians, the deal’s guarantors must make clear that the mission is
laying the foundation for Palestinians to take over. For Trump’s cease-fire
to withstand the growing pressures it faces, U.S., Arab, European, and
other leaders will quickly need to agree on a unified approach for
disarming Hamas and setting up the ISF. Any delay risks squandering this
rare chance for long-term peace and stability. How to Solve Gaza’s Hamas
Problem: Disarming the Group Will Require
Arab and Muslim Forces.
Neither
the United States nor China can fully hobble each other’s economy, but each
side has economic tools that can inflict real damage if adversarial
competition continues unchecked. As Trump and Xi head to the negotiating
table, the conditions are ripe for an inflection point in U.S.-Chinese
relations that could set a path toward a more stable and effective
relationship. Such a course correction is far from guaranteed. But it is a
possible and worthy goal. America and China Can Have a Normal Relationship:
How to Move Past Strategic Competition.
Analysts
whose arguments rest on unacknowledged paradigms can easily miss important
facts or bend reality. Asking ahead of time which events would disprove
their predictions can correct this bias. If China and the United States
reach a trade deal, and if the Trump administration is willing to let other
great powers claim “spheres of influence,” that would seem inconsistent
with realist theory. If democracies continue to backslide and protectionism
rises, liberals must reevaluate whether there really are universally
desired public goods. How to Put IR Theory into Practice: American Strategists Should Think More Like Social
Scientists.
In
the repeated cycles of confrontation and détente that define U.S.-Chinese
relations, a paradox has emerged. Economic relations between the two
countries are more fraught than ever: in early October, for the second time
in just six months, the United States and China launched a trade war,
imposing prohibitive export restrictions and threatening to raise tariffs
to previously unthinkable levels. America and China Can Have a Normal
Relationship: How to Move Past
Strategic Competition.
Israel
may view itself as the region’s new hegemon, but in fact, it has made
itself both less necessary and less useful. After the attack on Qatar,
leaders of the Gulf states are unlikely to continue pointing all their air
defense systems toward Iran and Yemen. Perhaps they could accept Israel’s
obliteration of Gaza, but now Israel has made itself a threat to their own
security. That Israel has avoided paying any serious price thus far for its
military expansionism in the region and for the devastation of Gaza has fed
the sense in Israel that it never will. But that is as misguided as the
Israeli belief in 1973 that no Arab state would ever dare attack it again
after its sweeping victory six years earlier or its notion, before October
7, 2023, that Hamas would remain forever contained in Gaza. The Fantasy of a New Middle East.
A
recent investigation found that the CIA allegedly tried to recruit the
trusted pilot of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro
to help overthrow him. The revelations were published shortly after US
President Donald Trump authorized the CIA to conduct new covert operations
inside Venezuela as he ramps up US activity in Latin America.
What
is truly unique about the above escalation of tensions between Washington
and Caracas is that everything is being done out in the open.
A
U.S.-engineered effort to topple Maduro would potentially entangle the
United States in another open-ended conflict, alienate regional partners
amid a broader competition with China for influence in the region, and defy
the desires of the American public. A YouGov poll conducted in September
found that 62 percent of adult U.S. citizens “strongly or somewhat oppose
the U.S. using military force to invade Venezuela,” and 53 percent strongly
or somewhat oppose “the U.S. using military force to overthrow Venezuelan
President Nicolás Maduro.” (The support for U.S. Navy deployments was more
mixed, with 36 percent strongly or somewhat approving “the U.S. sending
Navy ships to the sea around Venezuela” and 38 percent strongly or somewhat
disapproving.) A poll from early October found that even in Florida’s
Miami-Dade County, home to the largest Venezuelan diaspora in the United
States, more residents oppose than support the U.S. military being used to
oust Maduro, 42 percent to 35 percent. The Regime Change Temptation in
Venezuela: If Past Is Prologue, a U.S.
Attempt to Overthrow Maduro Would Not End Well.
The
early Zionists hoped for Arab acceptance. But a brief period of amity soon
gave rise, inevitably, no doubt, to a persistent and often violent conflict
between two national claims, each backed by religion. Balfour would not
have been surprised. As chief secretary for Ireland in the 1880s, he had
been accused of being unjust to Irish nationalists. “Justice,” he mused,
“there is not enough to go round". And
indeed in the Middle East there isn’t.
|
|
|
|
Chinese global ambitions are not merely
about gaining technological superiority in the fields of AI, Quantum
computing, and semiconductors; rather, it is a struggle for asserting
competing values, rules, and institutions that will govern the global technological
landscape for decades to come. The neo-liberal values of free market,
inclusivity, economic interdependence, and multilateralism are being
affected by the rise of exclusionist tech alliances, fragmentation, and the
bifurcation of the tech market. As this competition intensifies, the global
tech divide will deepen further. Consequently,
states in the global South are bound to get caught in the middle with the
complex task of not only navigating this fragmented digital space but also
ensuring their own autonomy and development.
How China tightens the screws in the trade
war with the US. Beijing is standing firm in its trade dispute. The higher
the tariffs, with Washington finds new partners along the way. The higher the tariffs, the more China's confidence
seems to grow.
Newly elected KMT chair Cheng Li-wun urges
DPP to drop the anti-China card. And is
instead vowing reconciliation with China ahead of the Oct. 18 chairperson
election.
The Israeli military has launched an attack
on Gaza, as Israel continued to trade blame with Palestinian militant group
Hamas over violations of the US-brokered ceasefire aiming to end the war in
the enclave, Israeli media reported on October 19. Most media outlets described the attack as an air
strike.
When it comes to thwarting Putin’s ambitions
to confront NATO, timing is everything. Russia can make up for its losses
over the next two to three years, but fully restoring its military will
take much longer. The paradox of Russia’s war economy is that it is
simultaneously strong and brittle. The United States and Europe must act
with urgency: pressing their advantages while Russia remains constrained
rather than waiting for the Kremlin to get back on its feet. The Cracks in
Russia’s War Economy: How Europe and the US
Can Exploit Moscow’s Vulnerabilities.
For Xi Jinping or other party successors to
similarly reckon with their country’s past, they would, in effect, have to
take down the portrait of Chairman Mao that hangs on the Gate of Heavenly
Peace in Tiananmen Square. Such an act would betray the legacy of all those
who, like Xi’s father, devoted their lives to the sacred cause of Mao’s
revolution. Xi Jinping continues to venerate the party and views criticism
of its record as “historical nihilism.” Indeed, it’s unlikely he will ever
admit to the magnitude of crimes it committed against him or his country,
much less abandon the rationalizations he inherited from his father that
the revolution’s travails may have involved excesses but are excusable
because they helped forge a better future for China. Miseducation of Xi Jinping: How a Father’s
Struggle Revealed the Price of Power.
A country like the U.S. needs secure supply
chains, and for that it needs to encourage cross-border manufacturing with
countries it can count on, not blanket tariffs that drive domestic prices
up and foreign partners away. Separating the country from global commerce
is a path to increased inflation and slowing innovation and growth that
will result in U.S. manufacturers struggling to compete for global
consumers. Such a path will ultimately leave the United States less
wealthy. The security costs of protectionism are just as dire. U.S. defense
suppliers will lose many of their current market advantages as foreign
contracts unravel and competitors abroad begin to look like safer
geopolitical bets. A shrinking American defense industry is not just an
economic blow; it also undermines the United States’ ability to field and
equip a world-class military. In the Trump administration’s wishful
thinking, building a “Fortress America” may seem like a way to protect the
country’s wealth and raise its defenses. But in reality, dismissing the
United States’ partners degrades its sources of strength. The New Supply Chain Insecurity Fortress America Is
Not a Safer America.
Forecasting is a perilous business.
Demography can be measured, but technology and politics often surprise, and
today’s certainties may look naive a generation or even a few years from
now. What can be said with confidence is that for two and a half centuries,
global politics was driven by the rapid rise of great powers, and the
forces that made such ascents possible are now receding. That does not
guarantee stability, but it does mark a profound shift: the familiar
struggle between living and dying powers is winding down, and another
story, its outlines still obscure, is beginning to unfold. The Stagnant Order and the End of Rising Powers.
|
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned
that Israel's war on Gaza would not end until Hamas disarms in a Saturday
night TV interview. It came as the US
State Department said it had "credible reports" that Hamas was
planning an attack against Gaza civilians, warning that it would be a
"ceasefire violation."
Taiwan’s citizens have, among others, soured
on Beijing when they elected Lai Ching-te, Tsai’s former vice president, as
president in January 2024. Beijing made clear that it would not work with
him, labeling him a “dangerous separatist” intent on destroying
cross-strait peace. China’s military called Lai a “parasite” and depicted
him in a propaganda video as a bug hovering over a Taiwan engulfed in
flames. Although Lai has adopted a more defiant stance on Taiwan’s
relations with China than Tsai did, for instance, by labeling China a
“hostile foreign force,” Beijing’s preemptive rejection of Lai has removed
any incentive for him to take a more accommodating approach. Beijing is not
looking for a way to break this impasse; instead, it is seeking external validation
for its efforts to undermine Taiwan’s leadership. Taiwan Is Not for Sale: America Can Make a Good Deal With China Without
Abandoning the Island.
Eventually, Russia’s war with Ukraine will
end. But as to whether that could lead the country toward a second
perestroika, a renewed flourishing of liberal thought. Across society,
including among the elite, the romantic political ideal of the West as a model
is gone and cannot be easily resurrected. War supporters clearly view the
Western order, its military and geopolitical power, and its embodiment of
liberal values, with hostility; but even quiet war skeptics or outright
opponents feel embittered and let down by the United States and its
European allies, which look, from Russia’s vantage point, feckless and
hypocritical. First, they failed to stop the war and its resulting
suffering. Then they tried to punish and
isolate the Russian government with sanctions and travel bans, leaving
ordinary citizens, including those against the war, as collateral damage.
To create a more sustainable model - one
that encourages innovation but doesn’t spiral into overcapacity, China will
have to undergo an institutional reckoning. The logic of speed over
quality, of scale over innovation, and of investment volume over returns is
deeply embedded in the system. Reversing that logic means making
long-deferred tradeoffs and moving past the structures that once powered
China’s incredible rise. The China Model’s Fatal Flaw: Why Beijing Can’t Overcome Overcapacity.
Grand bargains often work better as tag
lines than as policy, and getting the right kind of deal when it comes to
AI is easier said than done. The technology, after all, is rapidly
progressing along an unpredictable path. As AI improves, ever-larger amounts
of infrastructure, power, and money will be required; the need for improved
security from foreign intelligence threats will increase; and the urgency
of collaboration with the defense apparatus will grow. So will the risks of
misuse, prompting new policy tradeoffs. More startups will arrive on the
scene, and legacy companies that today look unstoppable may fall by the
wayside. Everyone involved in the AI world should prepare for constant
renegotiation and rebalancing. U.S. officials, for their part, will almost
certainly have to remain agile, experimenting with different AI policies as
time goes on. The AI Grand Bargain: What
America Needs to Win the Innovation Race.
US President Donald Trump has held off on
new sanctions for months, saying he hoped to persuade Russian President
Putin to make peace. US slaps ‘tremendous
sanctions’ on Russian oil for Ukraine war, says Putin wasn’t ‘honest.’
Among the many aims of the October 8
ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, flooding Gaza with humanitarian
assistance ought to be one of the most achievable. According to U.S.
President Donald Trump’s 20-point plan, “full aid” would be “immediately sent
into the Gaza Strip” through neutral international institutions “without
interference from the two parties.” The very first phase of the agreement
called for 600 aid trucks per day to enter the territory unimpeded; in
contrast to disarming Hamas or determining Gaza’s long-term security and
governance arrangements, implementing such a measure is theoretically
straightforward. The Biggest Threat to
the Gaza Deal: Only UN Infrastructure - and American Leverage - Can Prevent
a Humanitarian Collapse.
|
|
|
|
How the trade war unfolded. China criticizes
the US for ‘double standards’ over new tariffs. China has accused
Washington of “double standards” on Sunday, October 12, after US President
Donald Trump Announced an Additional 100%
Tariff on the World’s Second-Largest Economy.
The government needs to support an overhaul
of the enclave’s educational system and, critically, endorse a reformed
Palestinian Authority that will eventually assume control over Gaza. Right
now, Netanyahu is opposed to such measures, but he must realize that the
Arab commitment to remaking Gaza will be to Israel’s advantage. Arab
countries, in turn, must remain willing to work with the Israeli
government. That, in turn, requires repairing relations between Israel and
many of these states, which have soured. How to End the War in Gaza for
Good: American and Arab Pressure Can Ensure
Israel and Hamas Reach a Durable Settlement.
The plan calls for Palestinian
self-governance, an objective that Netanyahu has, for many years,
explicitly ruled out. Israeli leaders may simply believe that what the plan
calls a “pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood” will
never come to fruition, judging it to be conditioned on reforms that the PA
will not enact. But the Arab countries on the hook to underwrite Gaza’s
stabilization, a project that the UN has estimated will cost over $53
billion, expect that Trump will deliver on this pathway. In welcoming the
cease-fire, the Saudi Foreign Ministry released a statement pointedly
emphasizing its belief that the plan must “initiate practical steps to
achieve a comprehensive and just peace based on the two-state solution” and
move toward establishing an independent Palestinian state “with East
Jerusalem as its capital.” The Tenuous
Cease-Fire Between Israel and Hamas.
AI adoption is accelerating, and its
deleterious effects on employment are no longer a speculative problem. They
are already widespread, and they will only accelerate in the months to
come. Adaptive policies, meanwhile, will take years to yield results. If
governments want to protect their economies – and themselves – they must
act now. The Coming AI Backlash: How the
Anger Economy Will Supercharge Populis.
The 20-point plan insists that Hamas and
other militant factions play no role in the future governance of
Palestinian territories “directly, indirectly, or in any form”; that Hamas
and other militant groups be fully disarmed and weapons decommissioned; and
that regional partners “ensure that Hamas, and the factions, comply with
their obligations and that New Gaza poses no threat to its neighbors or its
people.” But Hamas will do whatever it takes to avoid being sidelined in
this way. Hamas Is Not Done Fighting. As It
Has in the Past, the Group Will Retrench and re-arm.
In a poignant conclusion to a long conflict,
20 Israeli hostages were reunited with their families, while 24 bodies
remain unaccounted for, with Hamas facing difficulties in their return.
Meanwhile, Political maneuvering continues as Netanyahu balances diplomatic
opportunities against his coalition’s hardline stance. End of Gaza War
Could Open Door to Major Diplomatic Shifts in the Middle East. Uncertainty Over Gaza’s Next Steps as Israeli
Families Are Angry at Waiting for the Return of the dec’ased Hostages.
World
leaders gathered in Egypt’s Sharm El-Sheik on Monday for a summit aimed at
supporting the Gaza ceasefire and developing a long-term plan for
rebuilding the devastated enclave. Earlier in the day, Hamas freed the 20
surviving hostages while Israel released more than 1,900 Palestinian
prisoners under the US-brokered deal.
A conflict as entrenched and violent as the
one in the Middle East naturally breeds skepticism and cynicism. Yet there
are real reasons for cautious optimism. Regional and international actors
are assiduously pursuing avenues to reduce violence and lay the groundwork
for lasting peace: Qatar, in coordination with Egypt and the United States,
has helped shepherd parties toward a Gaza cease-fire; Egypt continues to
lead Arab efforts in collaboration with neighboring states, particularly
Jordan; and Saudi Arabia, along with France and Norway, has marshaled
global diplomatic and financial support for a viable two-state solution. Increasingly, countries around the world are
recognizing Palestinian statehood, signaling growing international concern
and engagement.
While its Persian Gulf neighbors became
global hubs of finance, transport, and technology, Iran squandered its
wealth on failed regional adventures and a nuclear program that brought
only isolation, all while repressing and wasting its greatest source of
wealth: its people. The country still has the natural resources and human
capital to rank among the world’s leading economies. But unless Tehran
learns from its mistakes and reorders its politics, its trajectory will
remain one of decline rather than renewal. The
question is not whether change will come, but whether it will finally
deliver a long-awaited spring – or merely another winter.
Why Hamas remains the greatest threat to
Trump’s Gaza plan. Gaza’s Map Today. As Gaza
Ceasefire Begins, Hamas Is Already Reasserting Control.
|
Since its creation in 2022, the bipartisan
National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology, on which I serve as
chairman, has searched for ways to advance U.S. leadership in
biotechnology. Most importantly, the United States needs a private-public
partnership to develop the domestic biotechnology industry so it can reach
its full potential. Such an alliance would remedy the market failures that
inhibit American innovators, investors, and entrepreneurs from achieving
breakthroughs in the field. Supply-side actions such as research prizes and
infrastructure investments can accelerate R&D, while targeted
demand-side policies can reduce financial risks and regulatory bottlenecks
and make the U.S. government a better customer for biotechnology products. How America Can Win the Biotech Race To Outcompete
China, Washington Must Unleash the Private Sector.
A conflict as entrenched and violent as the
one in the Middle East naturally breeds skepticism and cynicism. Yet there
are real reasons for cautious optimism. Regional and international actors
are assiduously pursuing avenues to reduce violence and lay the groundwork
for lasting peace: Qatar, in coordination with Egypt and the United States,
has helped shepherd parties toward a Gaza cease-fire; Egypt continues to
lead Arab efforts in collaboration with neighboring states, particularly
Jordan; and Saudi Arabia, along with France and Norway, has marshaled
global diplomatic and financial support for a viable two-state solution.
Increasingly, countries around the world are recognizing Palestinian
statehood, signaling growing international concern and engagement. Signaling Growing International Concern and
Engagement.
Video footage of two Israeli hostages being held in Gaza sent
shockwaves through Israel and around the world. Freed hostages tell
families of torture, starvation, and long periods of isolation. This now ended:
Some European politicians think that strategic
autonomy means going it alone, but to be competitive, the continent’s chip
makers need even deeper connections with firms from allied countries. The
United States has become a vexing partner for European industries and
political leaders, yet European industry needs access to the American
market and its leading U.S. AI technologies. The United States, for its
part, would benefit from European help to reduce reliance on Asia for its
technology supply chains. As Europe tries to revitalize its chip sector and
rebuild its defense base, the United States remains an indispensable
partner. Europe Is Losing the Chips Race.
The consequences of America’s failure to
solve its software quality problem are becoming more severe. Power grids,
hospitals, pipelines, ports, and financial networks now run almost entirely
on software, leaving them exposed to escalating risks of corruption and
disruption. Companies and regulators can continue treating software
insecurity as a fact of nature, reacting to breaches, layering on patches,
and blaming users - or they can make security the default setting. The End
of Cybersecurity: America’s Digital Defenses Are Failing - But AI Can Save Them.
The second Trump administration is certainly
more difficult to manage, given the president’s love of tariffs and general
unpredictability, and no current Asian leader can claim a mandate at home
comparable to Abe’s. But although no Abe-like Trump whisperer currently
exists among Asia’s leaders, that absence cannot be allowed to remain.
Asian leaders have an even greater incentive to keep Washington in play
than they did in 2017 because of China’s ambitions, and only the United
States has the composite power Asia needs to maintain regional defenses and
deter Beijing’s aggression. Despite Trump’s unpredictability, key members
of his administration are ready to step up engagement with Asia. This time,
however, the initiative will likely come only from the top. Thus, personal
relationships with Trump are even more important for Asian powers than they
were during Trump’s first term. Whatever combination of flattery,
persuasion, and political alignment is required, Asian leaders should learn from their European
counterparts and ensure that the United States stays in the game.
The uncertainty over the details of the
U.S.-brokered cease-fire between Israel and Hamas that went into effect on
Monday is creating confusion among Israeli soldiers, commanders, and combat
soldiers. According to one officer whose combat troops withdrew from Gaza
over the past several days, the soldiers can see from observation posts
that armed Hamas members are shooting at Palestinians who have tried to
resist them – or who are suspected of assisting Israel – but they have been
instructed not to intervene. It's beginning to look like a massacre there,'
one IDF officer said: Hamas Shoots Opponents
in Gaza Unimpeded as IDF's Hands Tied by Lack of Gaza Cease-fire Details.
The gambler who responds to frustrating
losses by placing bigger and riskier bets is said to be “on tilt.” In the
United States, too many analysts are still assessing the hypothetical
benefits of a hyperpower status that does not exist; too many politicians
are still giving speeches about their affection for various forms of
imagined empire. With a humbler and more realistic strategy of reciprocity,
Washington would finally be placing a bet that the United States can win. A
Grand Strategy of Reciprocity: How
to Build an Economic and Security Order That Works for America.
|
|
|
|
The world looks at Israel and sees a country
in crisis. I look at it and see a country holding its breath. It is waiting
for a new leadership to lead it down a different path. Israel’s future
rests on the political decisions that Israelis will make in the coming
year. Should the current government stay in power, Israelis may instead
find themselves condemned to international isolation, poverty, and
increasing social rifts. If Israelis choose courage over cowardice,
openness over isolation, prosperity over religious zealotry, the country’s
best days will yet lie ahead. A Defining
Choice for Israel After Two Years of Growing Isolation and Endless War, an
Alternative Future Is Possible.
A security guarantee based on snapback of sanctions,
financing, and weapons may not have the grandeur of NATO’s Article 5 or the
bravado of deploying European forces to Ukraine. But for Kyiv, those are
illusions, not real options. Ukrainians should not rely on the United
States and Europe to do something in the future that they have repeatedly
refused to do for the last ten-plus years. A
Snapback Solution for Ukraine: How to Craft Security Guarantees That Kyiv
and Moscow Will Find Credible.
What Australian security elites want is the
old American ally, the one to which they so often appealed as the guarantor
of the rules-based order. And they want, more than anything else, ironclad
guarantees that the transfer of the Virginia-class submarines will take
place and that the United States will not retreat from Asia. They worry,
however, that Australia’s much-prized access in Washington is slipping as
Trump prioritizes great-power politics. For now, Australia is experiencing
this loss as a trauma. The only way forward may be to accept that the
United States today is simply not the ally Canberra is used to. AUKUS Anxiety Unmet Expectations Could Fracture the
U.S.-Australian Alliance.
To avoid falling behind, the United States
and Europe need to start paying better attention - especially since Moscow
is passing its knowledge along to its autocratic partners. But that means
they must see the Russian military for what it is: flawed, but resilient in
its own way. Its structural problems are very real and would be
particularly acute in the event of a conflict with NATO. Yet its learning
process is relentless. The Russian armed forces will further modify
tactics, introduce new weapons, and expand as they begin a decade-long
reconstitution effort. Experts are fond of saying that armies shape war.
But war shapes armies, as well. How Russia Recovered: What the Kremlin Is Learning From the War in Ukraine.
Research consistently shows that if the
public is exposed to rhetoric from their leaders that threatens violence or
characterizes their political opponents using dehumanizing metaphors, their
support for political violence rises. There is a good reason to think that
calming statements can encourage the opposite trend. Since Kirk’s
assassination, various Democratic and Republican governors have separately
condemned political violence. Assembling a group of leaders to do so
jointly at the same publicized event would send a strong signal that U.S.
leaders can live with each other - and so should all Americans. America’s
New Age of Political Violence: What Happens
When the Threat Comes From Both Left and Right.
|
By recognizing that the resilience of one
democracy strengthens the security of all, Taiwan and the United States
have bolstered their security cooperation in 2025 through military
procurement and arms deliveries, significantly accelerating Taiwan’s preparedness.
This should serve as a call to action for other democracies, as well.
Taiwan is doing its part with urgency and resolve and is committed to
achieving peace through strength by going beyond military readiness to
strengthen whole-of-society resilience. As Taiwan accelerates its
preparations, there should be no doubt about its determination to defend
its future and its freedom. Taiwan’s Plan for Peace Through Strength: How Investments in Resilience Can Deter Beijing.
Trump has made the first step in reversing
course on this trend and has considerable, perhaps unique, political
protection to undertake such steps. But it will take consistent pressure
and courage to get to the “strong, durable, and everlasting peace” that the
president says he wants. For the hostage families and tens of thousands who
lost their lives, family members, and homes forever, it is tragic that the
United States has refrained from using its power to end the war for so
long. With myriad global security threats around the world, the United
States cannot afford to fail yet again. How
Israel’s Military Dominance Could Undermine America’s Quest for Regional
Peace.
Deterrence depends not just on the number of
bombers, submarines, and destroyers but also on the ability to keep forces
supplied, even when conventional logistics breaks down. As on the beaches
of Normandy in 1944, logistics itself can be a decisive weapon in battle.
Failing to invest in these capabilities signals unpreparedness or dangerous
overconfidence that there will be time to adapt once war begins. Reliable
and effective logistics are crucial in any war, and especially so when that
war is half a world away. Fighting China, Fast and Slow: The Real Logistics Challenge in the Taiwan
Strait.
Thousands of Palestinians began the long,
dusty walk from the south of Gaza toward Gaza City after a ceasefire came
into effect in the enclave on Friday, October 10. While US troops begin
arriving in Israel to oversee the Gaza ceasefire. Hamas has until 12:00
local time (10:00 BST) on Monday to release the hostages, while Israel is
set to release around 250 Palestinian prisoners and 1,700 detainees from
Gaza.
US-China trade tensions escalate as Trump imposes
100% tariffs following China's rare earth export restrictions. Experts warn
of severe damage to both economies, particularly US industries reliant on
rare earth metals, potentially halting production within weeks. The Advantage of China in the Latest US-China Spat.
Brandenburg Gate in Berlin lights up with
Israeli flag in solidarity.
|
|
|
|
A politically illiberal India, much like authoritarian
China, is unlikely to have less success in its efforts at regional
political and economic engagement than a more liberal one might. That said,
growing hyper-nationalism in India – and its spread to diaspora communities
– does produce negative reactions in multi-religious, multicultural Asia.
Reining in hyper-nationalism and xenophobia at home should therefore be a
high priority for New Delhi in crafting a weightier role in Asia and
beyond. India and the Rebalancing of Asia: New Delhi still faces many
obstacles on its path to great-power status. One of the Unanticipated Features of Asia’s New Geopolitics
Has Been the Return of India to Center Stage.
Three ships with Russian links have emerged
as possibly playing a role in the mysterious drone flights that closed
several Danish airports several times this week. The vessels were spotted
off the Danish coast around the time of Wednesday’s incident and may have
served as launch pads for the drones. Troubling
Questions About the Scope of Russia’s Hybrid Warfare.
US President Donald Trump has promised
“something special” is coming on Gaza as Israeli officials say Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has reservations at about the White House’s
21-point ceasefire and post-war governance plan. Draft of Tony Blair’s Gaza
Plan Outlines. Remote Governance, Little
Palestinian Representation.
Missteps by China or resistance from other
countries could well thwart President Xi’s designs. For the United States,
such setbacks can buy time until different leadership in Washington once
again has a vision of the future built around more than looking out for
itself. China Goes on Offense: Beijing’s Plans to
Exploit American Retreat.
Indigenous survivors
recount past horrors at Canada’s residential schools. We extensively
covered this situation in Part 1,
Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, and Part 5.
Based on a proposal by President Donald
Trump, Gaza would be governed by a transitional “apolitical” committee made
up of Palestinians and overseas experts under a 20-point peace plan agreed
to by US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu that the pair said would lead to the immediate end of the war and
the release of all remaining hostages within 72 hours if Hamas accepts the
deal. Netanyahu Backs US Plan to End War,
Under Which Trump Would Initially Govern Gaza.
Although Beijing has outcompeted Washington
in Myanmar up to this point, the junta’s woefully incompetent management of
its currency and foreign reserves presents an opportunity for the United
States to recalibrate its approach to the country. The United States has
the financial tools to hobble the junta, push back on China’s influence in
the region, and improve the future for the people of Myanmar. If it fails
to do so, it risks further empowering the junta and solidifying China’s
powerful hold over the region. Such an outcome would be a moral and
strategic disaster for the United States. The
Chance to Save Myanmar: U.S. Economic Tools Can Counter Both the Junta and
China.
Washington must further anchor U.S. policy
in support of a just resolution of the Palestinian question. Ending
Israel’s crushing campaign in Gaza, preventing the depopulation of the
territory, stopping the manmade famine there, and halting the annexation of
the West Bank should be the starting point. The United States cannot skirt
the plight of the Palestinians and ignore Israeli revisionism if it wants
to foster a functional and credible regional order. The Middle East That Israel Has Made.
China is not Japan. Its market is larger and
its state support is heavier. And for the United States, the security
stakes of this competition are much higher. But the same rule holds: the
United States should resist fortress economics. Treat Beijing as a serious
competitor, not as a blueprint. How America Outcompeted Japan and Why That
Matters for the U.S. Rivalry With China. The U.S. Should Treat Beijing as a
Serious Competitor, Not as a Blueprint.
Sudan’s disaster could become a bitter but
valuable lesson on overreach for regional powers, prompting them to learn
how to manage their competition, ideally without relying so heavily on the
United States as a middleman. But the prospect of playing a smaller role
must not be an excuse for the United States to walk away. Some in
Washington argue that because influencing peacemaking in the Horn is harder
than it used to be, the U.S. government should pull back. But that will
only encourage even more instability. Washington will need to learn to
adapt and contribute to mediation processes in which it is one of various
players, not the decider. Otherwise, catastrophic wars like Sudan’s could
multiply. Sudan’s War Is the Shape of Things to Come: Why Mediators Struggle to End a New Kind of
Conflict.
Remembrance of Oct. 7, 2023, in Paris:
|
The United States might find itself with
fewer close allies even without Trump, as the international system becomes
increasingly multipolar. But the current president’s unpredictability is
likely hastening this process. Trump may leave office convinced that his
unpredictability made Washington stronger and that Americans will benefit
from the resulting configurations of power and transactional deals. He may
think that by rejecting the need for credibility, he freed the United
States from constraints that tied the hands of previous presidents. But
history is likely to show otherwise: that Trump replaced credibility with
volatility, leaving behind a United States that is less trusted. The Price
of Unpredictability: How Trump’s Foreign
Policy Is Ruining American Credibility.
The Israeli invasion of Gaza has reached its most violent period
yet. Netanyahu, who has aligned with extremist factions that favor the
complete expulsion of Palestinians, is still clinging to his political
power. And with no conventional military threats, the Israeli’s can focus all
their efforts on Hamas. – Trump has
sidelined the American security apparatus, leaving Israel with few external
checks. With no one to intervene and both Hamas and Israel leaning further
into their stances…there really is no good solution here.
The global consensus against the starvation
weapon took decades to achieve. Now, international apathy risks letting it
collapse at the moment it is most needed. Political solutions in Sudan and
between Israel and Palestine may be hard to find, but keeping people from
starving is perfectly feasible. It should be something on which all can
agree. The Return of the Starvation
Weapon: The Collapse in Global Norms Fueling the Catastrophes in Gaza and
Sudan.
Anti-Semitism, in the UK today; on Yom
Kippur, the holiest day of the year in Judaism, there was a targeted attack
on a synagogue. Recently, Britain Has
Recorded a Marked Rise in Antisemitism.
As Syria’s authorities navigate formidable
challenges, it only seems prudent for them not to antagonize Russia. Rather
than panicking over Moscow’s maneuverings or conditioning their own support
on Syria’s total break with Russia, U.S. and European leaders should focus
on helping Syrians recover after a decade of civil war and a half-century
of despotism. The best way to ensure that Syria will not allow Russia to
exploit its territory in the future is to build good relations with
Damascus today. Russia Isn’t Done
with Syria: How Moscow Has Retained Influence in the Post-Assad Era.
Trump asks Israel to stop bombing Gaza,
saying Hamas is ready for peace. Israel Is
Preparing To Implement the First Steps of Trump’s Deal.
IDF shifts to solely defensive operations in
Gaza after demand from Trump, as the US president pushes to end the war.
Netanyahu says Israel ‘prepared
for immediate release of all hostages’ in the wake of Hamas’s response
to the US. Talks on implementing the deal are scheduled for Egypt
tomorrow; Witkoff is reportedly on the way, and the Israeli delegation is
preparing. Zamir tells IDF to gear up ‘for implementation of first stage of
Trump’s plan’.
Brazil’s president Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva
said in a UN speech that democracy can prevail over ‘would-be autocrats,’
and while this can be seen as a critique of Trump. It Certainly Was a Critique of Lula Da Silva's
Opponent, Jair Bolsonaro.
Steve Witkoff and
Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kushner, arrived in
Cairo for discussions to free the Hostages. On 6 October, Cairo will be
observing Armed Forces Day, a national holiday commemorating
the
1973 October War victory, with various celebrations. Additionally, a
Gaza ceasefire implementation meeting between Hamas and Israel is scheduled
to take place in Cairo on the same date, focusing on prisoner-hostage
exchange talks. President Donald Trump has said he thinks the hostages held
in Gaza will start to be freed "very soon"
as mediators are set to meet in Egypt on Monday for indirect peace talks
between Hamas and Israel.
Conservation is China’s newest weapon in the
South China Sea. China’s plan to turn a
destroyed reef into a marine reserve exposes how green rhetoric is being
used to mask coercion in the South China Sea.
Arc-shaped gouges carved by steel propellers, entire coral beds smothered
by sediment plumes, and at least 1,900 acres of reef laid to waste, all
within the ring of Scarborough Shoal, once a
thriving marine ecosystem in the South
China Sea.
Two great powers of the twenty-first century
must have the foresight to create such channels without first subjecting
the world to a Cuban missile–type crisis in the Indo-Pacific. The
U.S.-China Crisis Waiting to Happen: Beijing’s
Reluctance to Engage With the U.S. Military Has Never Been More Dangerous.
|
|
|
|
Neither Beijing’s nor Washington’s immediate
readouts on the call mentioned Taiwan, but China has stepped up its
pressure on the island in recent years through both diplomatic statements
and military provocations. Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun said at a
security forum in Beijing on Thursday that China’s takeover of Taiwan, a
self-governing democracy that Beijing treats as a breakaway province, is
“an integral part of the post-war international order.” Taiwan’s Message to
Trump and the U.N.: ‘We’re Not a
Freeloader.’ The Island’s De Facto Ambassador to Washington on Trump,
China, Defense Spending, and More.
Trump’s backing gives Baku and Yerevan the
courage to stand up to Moscow. Having brokered a provisional agreement
between Baku and Yerevan – and lent his name to a crucial new transit
corridor -Trump now needs to understand that he cannot do this on his own.
Rather, he must invest in more old-fashioned American diplomacy to help
bring lasting peace to the region. An Unlikely Road to Peace in the South
Caucasus: How Common Cause Against Russia
Enabled an American Deal.
By increasing defense spending, investing in
the United States, and making a case that Taiwan is a steady partner in
sustaining peace and stability in a key global hotspot, Taiwan has strong
cards to play in managing relations with Trump. None of this, of course,
provides a foolproof hedge against the risk of Trump making concessions on
Taiwan in exchange for a trade deal or a better relationship with Xi.
Successive Chinese leaders have sought and failed to get American leaders
to take such a deal. Nobody Lost Taiwan. The
Island Remains Secure and Stable.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro rejected
US allegations of being a drug trafficker and asked President Donald Trump
for dialogue, according to a letter released Sunday by Caracas, as tensions
soar between the two countries. He also sent a letter addressed to Trump,
dated September 6, and was sent days after the United States deployed
warships off the coast of Venezuela and carried out the first of several
attacks on Venezuela-based boats, as alleged by Trump. Maduro Offers To Engage in Direct Talks With Trump
Envoy Grenell.
'Palestine' Doesn't Meet the Requirement
of a Defined Territory.
The EU and NATO should do more to help
Ukraine firmly prevail over Russia’s technologies and deny Moscow any
further battlefield victories. Its members need to plow more resources and
in-kind technology contributions into Ukraine’s defense industry. They must
help Kyiv quickly develop and massively scale up new systems. Then, and
only then, will Europe be able to breathe. The Only Security Guarantee Ukraine Can Trust
is that More Drones and Missiles Are All that Can Stop Russia.
|
The United States’ security challenges are
becoming only more complex, and policymakers are still figuring out how
best to address them using the economic tools at their disposal. Yet one
guiding principle is clear: a democratic government does not exist to
enrich itself. National security policy, therefore, should not seek profits
or involve opportunistic bonus payments. The U.S. government’s national
security responsibility is to ensure national security. National Security
for Sale: How Profit Seeking Distorts
American Policymaking.
New Delhi realizes that it will have less
leverage with Beijing and a tougher time securing itself, growing
economically, innovating, and ensuring an Asia not dominated by China if
U.S.-Indian ties remain fraught. This is why it continues to seek an agreement
with the Trump administration. If Washington does not reciprocate and
instead persists in pressuring India, however, New Delhi over time will
find a different balance in its foreign policy, and that new balance will
invariably be less favorable to the United States. India Doesn’t Want to
Need China, But U.S. Policy Is Forcing
New Delhi to Turn to Its Rival.
Averting proliferation in this geopolitical
moment may seem difficult, and it will indeed require strong, bipartisan
support to update U.S. strategy. But consensus is within reach when it
comes to halting the spread of nuclear weapons, if only because the
alternative would be far more costly. The Proliferation Problem Is Back: Washington Must Adapt Its Playbook for a New Era of
Nuclear Risk.
By shoring up its ties with Vietnam and
Thailand, the United States can help ensure that maritime Southeast Asia
remains open, imposing a natural limit on China’s ability to dominate Asia
and preserving U.S. interests in the wider Indo-Pacific region. The Two Southeast Asia's. A Divide Is Growing Between
the Region’s Continental and Maritime Countries.
Racing toward a myth is not sound policy.
Instead, the country’s primary goal must be rapidly scaling practical AI
applications - improvements that meet government needs and deliver real
efficiencies today and tomorrow. Otherwise, the United States could keep
producing the world’s fanciest models. It could lead to algorithm creation.
But it will still fall behind countries that make better use of AI
innovations. The Cost of the AGI Delusion
By Chasing Superintelligence, America Is Falling Behind in the Real AI Race.
There is a lot the United States will not
need for a potential conflict with China, such as large numbers of surface
ships and aircraft carriers, which are vulnerable and highly exposed in a
war. The United States is also still investing in land systems, such as
tanks, that will not be necessary for this fight. An offset that focuses on
China. The Pentagon’s Missing China Strategy: Washington Still Lacks a Credible Military Plan for
Deterring Beijing.
|
|
|
|
The United States and Taiwan will still need
to be prepared with a credible plan to prevent escalation if and when an
incident occurs. What is alarming is that almost all public wargames are
premised on an intentional use of force by Beijing, with little focus on
how the United States and Taiwan should respond to a crisis triggered by
accident. Improvisation, necessitated by a lack of preparation, would be
more than dangerous. It is thus encouraging that U.S. President Donald
Trump has declined to offer specific guarantees to Taiwan. The Greatest Danger in the Taiwan Strait: Even If
China Avoids a War of Choice, a Miscalculation Could Spark a War of Chance.
China is preparing for war to retake Taiwan,
the island's top China policymaker said in Washington on Friday, warning
that if Taiwan were to fall, It Would
Cause a Regional "Domino Effect" That Would Threaten the Security
of The United States.
The events of October 7, 2023, shook Israel
to its core. Hamas’s brutal attack - which left some 1,200 dead and
hundreds more held captive - made clear to Israel’s leaders and citizens
alike that the country must change its approach to national security to
ensure its survival. For many Israelis, October 7 demonstrated that it is
impossible to contain groups such as Hamas or to accept their existence
along Israel’s borders without compromising the country’s safety. What
Israel Wants: The Post-October 7
Security Strategy Driving Israeli Actions.
China, Russia, and North Korea each still
have reasons to deal with the United States. If Washington can resist the
urge for improvised, optics-driven diplomacy, recognize its sources of
leverage, and lean into its comparative strengths - its alliances, military
power, economic influence, and diplomatic reach - it can shape the
strategic environment instead of just reacting to it. Don’t Overestimate the Autocratic Alliance.
Washington Still Has Significant Leverage Over China, North Korea, and
Russia.
NATO allies rally round Poland in the face
of Russian incursion, as drone warfare takes center stage:
Trump has long criticized the United States’
forever wars in the Middle East. He is well aware of how U.S. interventions
in the name of counterterrorism can go wrong. Mining the long and often
sordid history of these efforts can provide the Trump administration with
lessons for the fight against transnational crime. But to embrace the
entire U.S. counterterrorism playbook without considering what may and may
not work against the cartels would be to court catastrophe. The Wrong Way to Fight the Cartels: Trump Risks
Repeating the Mistakes of the “War on Terror.”
Over decades, the United States had
gradually built an alternate universe. A universe in which happy talk comes
true and actions produce promised consequences. Washington’s mission in
Afghanistan gives rise to a modern democracy, and U.S.-backed government
forces can stand up to the Taliban. In which economic sanctions yield
desired political change, domesticate the Houthis, and reverse Iran’s
nuclear advances. In which the United States is engaged in a decisive
struggle of democratic forces against autocratic regimes. A universe in
which moderate Palestinians represent their people will reform the
Palestinian Authority and curb its political demands; a reasonable Israeli
center will take charge, thanks to gentle American prodding, and agree to
meaningful territorial withdrawals and to a Palestinian state worthy of the
name. The Lies America Tells Itself About
the Middle East As Its Influence Faded, Washington Dissembled and Denied
Reality.
The
Highest Telescope In The World
|
Foreign policy is difficult, and pursuing a
principled foreign policy is even harder. Some hypocrisy is virtually
inescapable. But when two states with different biases and worldviews
collide - one enamored with a vision of its exceptionalism and another
clinging to its identity as moral authority - pragmatism is in order. The
United States does not gain from endorsing racist conspiracy theories that
amplify South Africa’s caricature of it. And South Africa does not gain by
gratuitously alienating the United States. The Costs of South Africa’s
Ideological Foreign Policy: Washington and Pretoria Were at Odds Long
Before Trump.
Gaza war: What is the history of the
Israel-Palestinian conflict? The
Conflict Between Israel and the Palestinian People is One of the
Longest-Running and Most Violent Disputes in the World. Its Origins Go Back
More Than a Century.
Instead of terminating U.S. participation in
the Global Coalition, Washington should expand the grouping to include
Syria itself—a move that would enable better joint training, intelligence
exchange, and operations. To that end, the United States and its partners
in the Global Coalition should stipulate the conditions that HTS must meet
to join. To be sure, existing members will have reservations about
welcoming former jihadists such as Shara. But if ISIS is to be defeated
once and for all, the new Syrian government must be involved and empowered
to succeed. The Return of ISIS: The Group Is
Rebuilding in Syria, Just as U.S. Forces Prepare to Leave.
Emerging powers have long complained that
they have been excluded from the global high table. The current fluid
moment provides an opportunity for the likes of Brazil, India, Indonesia,
and South Africa to collaborate with advanced market democracy counterparts,
such as Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom,
which may be looking for new partners in the post-Western world. What Happened to “the West”? As America Drifts Away
From Its Allies, a Less Peaceful World Awaits.
A common defense bond and reforms in
Europe’s banking and financial industries would allow for a rebuilding of
the continent’s defenses. For years, limited EU-level coordination of
defense policy and member states’ reluctance to increase defense budgets have
held the continent back. Now, European leaders must recognize that bold
action is the only way to keep Europe safe and united in the dangerous
times that lie ahead. Fixing Europe’s
Firepower: How the EU Can Funnel Its Wealth Into Its Defense.
The way to end the war is to get regional
stakeholders to agree on principles for how Gaza will be governed afterward
in a manner that Hamas is not involved, and not armed and unable to regain
power. This can only happen if there is a new governing structure in Gaza
with a serious security force from the international community. This cannot
be the PA in the beginning. The PA will be a partner. They’ll be consulted
and coordinated with, but they won’t be the ones managing Gaza on day one. This Will Happen Later On After They Reform.
Dealing effectively with China requires
understanding China as it actually exists, not the China that U.S.
policymakers of both parties have imagined and come to accept as fact. It
is neither unrealistic nor unfairly sympathetic to China to examine what the
country wants and realize that its aims are far less expansionary,
confrontational, or threatening to U.S. interests than most policymakers
believe. China is telling the world, and itself, what it wants. What China Doesn’t Want: Beijing’s Core Aims Are
Clear and Limited.
|
|
|
|
As China faces its own challenges at home,
where the ruling Communist Party is grappling with a slowing economy and
persistent unemployment, some observers wonder whether drumming up
nationalism as a distraction strategy could push China into an even more
aggressive stance. Xi Jinping Asks the
World To Choose ‘War or Peace.’ Which Direction Is China Headed?
President Donald Trump said over the weekend
that his administration is engaged in “deep negotiations” with Hamas, and
he issued a new warning to the terror group: "If you don't let them
all out, it's going to be a tough situation, it's going to be nasty." There Are Three Competing Elements in
Dissecting the Palestine Question.
Many members of Putin’s aristocracy continue
to hold out hope that after the end of hostilities, everything will become,
if not different, then at least milder. They are counting on the repeal of
the laws on “foreign agents” and “undesirable organizations” and an end to
the encroaching nationalization of the private sector, among other things.
But the larger lesson of the recent purges is quite different: Putin lacks
a reverse gear. Russia’s New Fear Factor: How
the War Is Driving a Wave of Purges and Suicides Among the Country’s Elites.
Though Putin and Trump may join hands in an
aspirational Yalta order for Europe, the Europe of today is no longer the
Europe of the 1940s and 1950s. It is contesting Putin’s actions with
military force, and Ukraine is manifestly not a pawn on some Cold War
chessboard. Our world is and is not the world that the Cold War made: It is
haunted by an East-West contest for Europe that has no end, but it has also
moved on, inviting new forms of global power and inventing new kinds of
global agency. The Cold War Is Historically
Anomalous. It Was Awkwardly Long, With No Clear Origin or Conclusion.
Putin's aim all along has been to bend the
international system to his will and to preserve his monopoly on power at
home. Since his first incursions into Ukraine in 2014, Putin has played the
long game. He has always believed that time is on his side. The Alaska
summit bought him even more time - and gave him a stronger hand for
achieving military victory. The Wrong
Way to Do Diplomacy With Russia What Trump Could Learn from Reagan.
Russia’s war against Ukraine has much
broader aims than subjugating an independent country. It sees the war as a
first step toward unraveling the post–Cold War settlement that brought
security and prosperity to hundreds of millions of Europeans who had long
lived under the yoke of Moscow’s domination. Ukraine is therefore on the
front lines of a more existential fight. The peace and security of all
Europeans - and Americans, too - requires a secure, sovereign, and
independent Ukraine. But Today, It Is Up
To Europe As To Whether It Has the Wisdom and the Will To Make It So.
Israel faces growing backlash over Qatar
strike. Israel Targets Hamas
Leadership.
|
Israel’s attack on Hamas’s political
leadership in Qatar’s capital on Tuesday signaled that Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu is making an all-out blitz To
Force the Group to Surrender in the Gaza War.
U.S.-Pakistani relations represent a
significant departure from Washington’s approach in recent years. But
Trump’s willingness to overturn the apple cart may, in this context, prove
useful. After all, if the United States chooses to stick with its current
India-focused policy, it could lose not just Pakistan but also South Asia
in the years ahead. Why America Should Bet
on Pakistan: A Better South Asia Policy Runs Through Islamabad.
In the fourth year of the full-scale war,
and the 12th year since Russia’s initial invasion, Ukrainians consistently
remind the world what civic courage really means. They have shown that even
an enemy as large and menacing as Russia can be deterred, that governance
reforms can move forward during wartime, and that a committed public can
encourage leaders to stand their ground on the world stage while also
keeping them accountable for malpractice at home. Defeating Russia and
building a strong Ukrainian democracy go hand in hand. If Ukraine’s
partners want to see the country prevail, they must insist on the high
standards of governance and accountability that Ukrainian society itself
demands. The Formation of NABU and SAPO.
Today, social media amplifies the allure of
such a draconian approach, allowing leaders to bypass media scrutiny,
showcase choreographed images of shackled prisoners, and portray themselves
as protectors of the people. But the Venezuelan example shows the fragility
of authoritarianism. Leaders who cannot sustain the material benefits that
once underpinned their popularity - whether from economic growth, social
programs, or restored public safety - tend to pivot toward repression as
their primary means of control. Does the
Bukele Model Have a Future? El Salvador’s Police State Will Soon Face a
Reckoning.
Accidental or deliberate? Russia's drone
incursion into Poland is a test for NATO. It’s
The First Time NATO Forces Have Directly Engaged With Russia Since It
Invaded Ukraine.
If the United States does eventually return
to its senses, it can help these states build on the progress they’ve made
by institutionalizing their cooperation. Washington will still be best
positioned to bring Asian and European democracies together and turn their
loose association into a more formal alliance, given its historical
connections to each. But the United States will never again, and should
never again, be trusted to lead the free world. It could convene this
grouping, but it could not helm it. After all, the world’s other democratic
countries will not only have saved freedom without the United States. They
will have saved democracy from it. How to
Build a Post-American Liberal Order: The World’s Democracies Must Work
Together, and Constrain Washington.
|
|
|
|
The upcoming summit of the Shanghai Cooperation
Organization (SCO) in Tianjin, China, from August 31 to September 1, will
be the organization’s largest gathering of heads of state to date. It comes
at a time when the existing liberal international order is rapidly
disintegrating. But rather than offering a concrete new order, the SCO
demonstrates the persistent difficulties that anti-liberal powers such as
China and Russia have in agreeing and implementing a credible alternative.
A First in Seven Years: Xi Jinping to Host Vladimir Putin and Narendra
Modi. India’s Modi to Meet Xi and Putin on
First China Trip in Seven Years.
Japan’s contributions to a stable
international order are more valuable than ever as the United States
becomes increasingly protectionist and mercurial. To fix Japan’s leadership
vacuum, mainstream parties must restore voters’ trust through meaningful political
reform, articulate a compelling strategy to address the shift from a
deflationary to an inflationary economy, bridge generational divides in the
electorate, and avoid pandering to the far-right as it peddles the dubious
benefits of a closed Japan. Only by getting its own house in order can
Japan sustain its essential role as a global force for stability. Tokyo’s Leadership Vacuum: What a Divided Japan
Means for Asia and the World.
It is no surprise that Beijing fears
Tibetans led by the Dalai Lama: there are few groups more threatening to an
authoritarian regime than national movements for self-determination that
the regime cannot control and that are supported by a diaspora it cannot
silence. If Beijing continues to insist on a hard-line approach to the
Dalai Lama’s succession, global leaders can support Tibetan resistance
efforts by amplifying the international consequences to China through
economic sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and public support for pushing
back against further cultural and religious erasure. Such actions may not
change Beijing’s attitude in the near term, but they will keep alive the
legacy of the Dalai Lama and bolster Tibetans’ ongoing struggle for
self-determination. Beijing’s Dangerous Game
in Tibet: How Controlling the Dalai Lama’s Succession Could Backfire.
Economically, the deepening of trade and
investment ties would solidify China as Brazil’s primary external partner,
firmly embedding Chinese firms in strategic sectors. Geopolitically, it
would make it harder for Brazil to serve as a bridge between the global
South and Western countries, limiting its multipolar aspirations and
narrowing its diplomatic flexibility. These scenarios already feature in
political debates in the lead-up to the 2026 elections: opposition figures
warn of “excessive dependence” on China while government allies frame
diversification as essential to defending national sovereignty in an era of
great-power rivalry. Trump’s Collision Course
with Brazil, How U.S. Policy Is Playing Into China’s Hands - and Remaking
Latin America.
The scope of AUKUS, particularly regarding
dual-use emerging technology, means that the leadership of AUKUS should
come from a consortium of defense, foreign, and commerce departments or
ministries. The leader of each country’s delegation should be deemed an
ambassador, or have a title and organizational stature commensurate with
the scope and complexity of the endeavor. Such leaders must possess the
authority necessary to effectively coordinate and, when required, compel
action. The Case for Recommitting to, and
Revitalizing, the Alliance.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un entered
China aboard his armored train for his rare visit outside the country to
attend a military parade in Beijing.
Kim, his foreign minister Choe Son Hui, and other senior officials
left Pyongyang late Monday to attend the “Victory Day” parade on Wednesday,
the official Korean Central News Agency reported earlier Tuesday, citing a
statement from its foreign ministry. Kim
Arrives in China for Military Parade.
In what is almost like a new Cold War, the
battle is not just over emissions, energy markets, trading systems, and
technology. Nor is it just about sovereignty or identity. Rather, it is
about the metabolic basis of modern civilization in a warming world. This
reshuffling of alliances is ultimately about competing visions and
narratives of modernity, over what it takes to modernize, to survive, and
to flourish. Will the future be forward-looking, green and bravely
planetary - or will it be backward-looking, carbon-intensive and stridently
sovereigntist? The Coming Ecological
Cold War Decarbonization Isn’t Just About Technology and Markets - It’s a
Geopolitical Revolution.
By touting Beijing’s military and diplomatic
might, Chinese President Xi Jinping hopes to shift away from the U.S.-led
global system. Xi’s New World Order.
|
The United States should make good on its
legacy of being Israel’s closest friend. Policymakers and American citizens
should consider that what is deemed today to constitute a pro-Israel stance
could well be judged differently by history. It is in the interests of
Israel and the United States alike to try to bring about a Palestinian
state before the possibility disappears forever. It is literally now or
never. A Palestinian State Would Be Good for Israel. The Chance for a Two-State Solution Still Exists, but
Won’t for Long.
What the Victory Parade in China concerns it
was not the current Communist Party in China that won WWII, but the Nationalist Party under Chiang
Kai-shek.
China has held a massive military parade to
commemorate 80 years since Japan surrendered at the end of World War II.
North Korea's Kim and Russia's Putin were at the event hosted by China's
Xi. As U.S. Adversaries Bond in Beijing, Trump
Grows Frustrated With Putin.
Whether that will happen with the current
occupant of the Oval Office is unpredictable, but the strategic aim should
be clear. The realities of the emerging era have elevated the value of new
shared security arrangements. And India has emerged as one of the United
States’ most consequential partners. The only thing harder than building
and formalizing a deeply significant relationship with India is not having
one. So, with no illusions, the United States and India should get to work.
The Case for a U.S. Alliance With India:
Washington Should Draw New Delhi Closer, Not Push It Away.
Thousands of US troops are on warships
heading to Venezuela’s coast. President Donald Trump says the move is part
of his administration’s fight against drug cartels that the United States
has labelled “terrorist organizations”. In response, Venezuelan President
Nicolas Maduro has ordered troops to the border and called on citizens to
mobilize to defend the country. Is Trump’s
Aggressive Move About Fighting Drugs or a Signal of Broader US
Intervention?
Unskilled leaders will not prove capable of
managing the economy, prudently steering policy, or generally delivering
results. To defeat them, however, opponents must offer more than mere
rejection and condemnation. They must offer a promise that inspires popular
faith in a government that can govern effectively. Ungoverning America: The Logic Behind Trump’s
Assault on the Administrative State.
Tehran may yet find itself with an
opportunity for a do-over, and if it does, it may well take the North
Korean approach and not stop until it gets to a bomb. In doing so, it may
find its own path to an insurance policy for a new, chaotic nuclear age. Paradoxically,
Washington’s military action against Iran’s nuclear program may have
hastened, hardened, and hidden the march of would-be proliferators toward
the bomb. The Real Winner of Israel’s 12-Day
War: Aspiring Nuclear Powers Will Look to North Korea, Not Iran.
No one knows what Russian President Vladimir
Putin was hoping to achieve when he embarked on a nine-hour flight from
Moscow to Alaska to meet U.S. President Donald Trump last month. But it’s a
safe bet that he was looking to avoid the additional sanctions on the
Russian economy that Trump had vaguely threatened several times - and
perhaps get relief from existing sanctions or even some lucrative U.S.
investment deals. Russia-Ukraine War: Putin's
Fear of an Economic Crisis Offers Sanctions Leverage for the West.
Izz al-Din al-Haddad, the leader of Hamas’
military wing, said recently that if he cannot get what he described as an
honorable deal to end the war with Israel, then the conflict would become a
war of liberation or the group would face “martyrdom,” according to a
senior Middle Eastern intelligence official familiar with al-Haddad’s
thinking. A Deal They Can Live With: Why
Hamas Refuses To Give Up Fighting Israel in Gaza.
US Navy SEALs killed North Korean civilians
during a botched mission: US Navy SEALs
Killed Several North Korean Fishermen.
|
|
|
|
The system of nuclear deterrence that has
been in place since the end of World War II cannot be taken for granted. As
political rivalries and the growing competition for AI supremacy heat up
between the world’s great powers, it is more important than ever to
maintain channels of communication and pathways to reduce the risk of
inadvertent escalation and calamity. The End of Mutual Assured Destruction?
Nuclear Deterrence Is the
Existential Threat, Not the Nuclear Ban Treaty.
Ukraine must be part of the peace solution,
Zelensky says ahead of Trump-Putin meeting. Ukraine Will Not Give Up Land.
Xi Jinping Deepens Military Purge as Top PLA
Posts Remain Unfilled. The Vacant Positions
Expose Dangerous Institutional Instability and Concerning Leadership Purges
Within China's Military Hierarchy.
Airpower is a unique instrument of strategic
leverage. In the modern era, air superiority is not just a prerequisite for
joint success; it can be the decisive factor. In other words, Israel’s air
campaign did not just set back Iran’s nuclear program. It reaffirmed that
airpower can be the foundation of modern military success. U.S. defense
planners should pay attention. Investing in air superiority is not optional
for American security. It is essential. Israel
and the New Air Superiority: The Real Lessons of the Strikes on Iran.
Whatever the benefits of the postwar global
trading system - for growth, poverty alleviation, consumer welfare, and
more - there were, at the end of the day, losers as well as winners.
Neither the costs nor the benefits were equally shared, and the distributional
issues rarely got adequate attention from policymakers. These downsides
will remain even in the best-designed system, and it will be essential to
find better solutions for the harms. Any new system must come with an
accompanying set of domestic policies designed to ensure that American
workers and communities can thrive in a rapidly changing economy, whether
that change comes from trade, technology, or immigration. Past
administrations have made modest attempts at place-based economic
development and worker retraining, but never with the seriousness of
purpose or degree of prioritization that will be necessary. After the Trade War: Remaking Rules From the
Ruins of the Rules-Based System.
The fact that targeted, well-managed
immigration policies are more popular than purely humanitarian approaches
does not preclude helping those in need. But efforts to assist refugees and
displaced people must also demonstrate their benefits to society to avoid
backlash. Governments are more likely to gain public support when they
strictly enforce immigration rules, quickly provide accepted refugees with
the right to work, match them to open jobs, and expand the role of
communities and private companies in sponsoring new arrivals. When willing
citizens and employers share the costs, everyone - including politicians,
workers, and even asylum seekers - can also share in the benefits. How to Win on Immigration: Targeted Policies That
Benefit the Economy Can Counter Rising Populism.
Historians often call World War II a “war of
factories.” The same is true for the war in Ukraine today. Ukraine produced
more than two million drones in 2024 and plans to make over four million by
the end of 2025. Its adversary is also getting better at drone production:
last year, Russia was building 300 Shahed drones a month. Now, it can
produce 5,000 in the same time frame. The side that consistently builds the
most drones is the one most likely to prevail. And it is in the interest of
the West, and of the United States in particular, to support the Ukrainian
people in their dogged determination to win that fight - not only for
Ukraine’s sake, but also for its own, so it can learn to reckon with this
new reality of war. The Dawn of
Automated Warfare: Artificial Intelligence Will Be the Key to Victory in
Ukraine, and Elsewhere.
European leaders have warned against
Ukrainian borders being redrawn by force, two days before a US-Russia
summit on Ukraine is due to take place in Alaska. Ukraine's Borders Must Not Be Changed by Force, EU
Leaders Say.
Since October 7, a growing political
consensus has emerged in Israel around the view that military might is the
exclusive basis for Israel’s survival. There were no dissenting voices
during Israel’s war with Iran in June. Israel’s Emerging Occupation Consensus
Despite Misgivings About Netanyahu’s Gaza Plans, Most Israelis Support His
Approach to the Palestinians.
The very inadequacies of multi-alignment may
push India to become only more multi-aligned. If Washington is not a viable
or reliable partner, New Delhi will seek and cultivate other partnerships.
Trump’s outreach to Beijing and Moscow will now prompt New Delhi to follow
suit, reversing India’s earlier policy of gradually distancing itself from
China and Russia. The Shocking Rift Between
India and the United States: Can Progress in the Partnership Survive Trump?
There are reasons the United States has
lagged in bolstering its cyberdefenses, including political obstacles as
well as technological ones. Congress has shown little appetite for
extending the legal authority and sustained investment that comprehensive cyberdefense
requires. Private companies resist mandated security requirements that
increase costs. China Is Winning the
Cyberwar. America Needs a New Strategy of Deterrence.
For the thousands of Ukrainian POWs and
civilians in Russian custody, each passing day brings more brutality,
torture, and indignity. For the thousands of Ukrainian children deported to
Russia, each day in exile erodes their connection to their Ukrainian
families and identity. And for imprisoned Russian war critics, each day
behind bars compounds the injustice they face. The fate of Russia’s war
captives is a humanitarian issue that can be resolved soon. The First Step in Negotiations With Russia,
Freeing Detained Ukrainians, Including Children, Can Smooth the Way for
More Difficult Talks.
As Beijing looks toward the next stage of
dealmaking, it remains on edge about which version of the Trump
administration will emerge. Beijing wants face-to-face negotiations with
Trump, focused on economic and trade issues, to tie his hands with a commitment
to positive and friendly U.S.-Chinese relations for the next three years at
least. But its plan could backfire. China’s inflated sense of empowerment
on trade could leave its policymakers too comfortable, which could provoke
a harsher U.S. response and send bilateral relations back into a tailspin
of mutual distrust and hostility. China
Is Enjoying Trump 2.0: How the Trade War Is Helping Beijing Prepare for
Long-Term Competition.
Concerning the meeting with President Trump
in Alaska. Putin does not agree to peace in Ukraine if his demands are not
being met, and has warned of economic sanctions if his meeting on Aug 15
proves fruitless. Hence, Russia is likely to resist Ukraine and Europe’s
demands and has previously said its stance had not changed since it was
first detailed by Putin in June 2024. Ukrainian
President Volodymyr Zelensky and His European Allies Have Intensified Their
Efforts This Week to Prevent Any Deal Between the US and Russia.
It
was the first time Putin was invited to a Western country since he ordered
the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Putin faces an arrest
warrant issued by the International Criminal Court for alleged war crimes.
It was also the first time that a Russian presidential visit to the United
States was held on a U.S. military property. The Aug 15 summit, the first
Russia-US summit since June 2021, comes at one of the
toughest moments the Ukraine in the war. The
Follow-Up to Our Comment Yesterday.
|
Despite Trump’s claim to have made “a lot of
progress” and that the summit was a “10 out of 10,” all signs point to a
huge win for the Russian autocrat. Putin’s
Wins Leave Trump With Hard Choices.
Myanmar is undergoing fragmentation: large
parts of the country, including most of Myanmar’s international borders,
are now under the dominion of various ethnic armed groups. Now Myanmar's Military Junta Is Rebranding Itself
to Hold Elections.
For more than 40 years, the PLA has been a
peacetime military unbloodied by actual conflict. Without challenges or
tests of loyalty, Xi knows it is at risk of growing complacent. He wants a
military that is inured to such trials and ready to take on the most
difficult missions, whether that is punishing its purported compatriots in
Taiwan and fending off a potential U.S. intervention, or even employing
violence to protect the party from its fellow citizens. Why Xi Still Doesn’t Have the Military He Wants
China’s Force Has Been Remade, but Can It Be Trusted?
The Kremlin is likely to persist in these
efforts until international actors understand that the fight for Ukraine is
also a fight for the future of the Black Sea. Efforts to end the war must
be paired with a robust strategy to prevent Moscow’s dominance in the
greater Black Sea region. North American and European policymakers should
prioritize initiatives designed to improve the region’s democratic
governance and economic development and ensure the secure production and
transit of commodities. Russia’s Imperial
Black Sea Strategy: Maritime Power and the Quest for Regional Dominance.
American officials and many intellectuals
perceived the age of weaponized interdependence and the age of American
hegemony as the same. Such assumptions now seem outdated, as other
countries gain these weapons, too. As during the nuclear era, the United States
needs to turn away from unilateralism, toward détente and arms control,
and, perhaps in the very long term, toward rebuilding an interdependent
global economy on more robust foundations. A failure to do so will put both
American security and American prosperity at risk. The Weaponized World Economy: Surviving the New
Age of Economic Coercion.
China’s model has worked because its
policymakers have gotten a lot of things right and have given Chinese
entrepreneurs the conditions for success. The country may have problems,
but it will continue to be effective. And the longer it succeeds, the more
the United States and its allies will deindustrialize under pressure from
Chinese firms in energy, industrial goods, and perhaps even artificial
intelligence. If the United States is to compete effectively, its
policymakers must spend less time worrying about how to weaken their rival
and more time figuring out how to make their country the best and most
vigorous version of itself. The Real China
Model: Beijing’s Enduring Formula for Wealth and Power.
Europe is helping Ukraine by increasing
military aid, although it must pick up the pace. But on the whole, the
world is not yet giving Kyiv the support it needs to contemplate a deal.
Diplomats can profess that they are making progress. Yet no statement,
summit, or social media post can substitute for actually understanding
Ukraine’s demands - and creating a strategy that meets them. Ukraine Will Not Be a Pawn. Any Deal to End the War
Must Respect the Country’s Independence.
During the Alaskan summit, Putin matched
Trump’s performative diplomacy with performative negotiations, essentially
tricking the Trump administration into believing that he was making serious
concessions. According to Trump and various U.S. officials, such as
Witkoff, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and Vice President JD Vance, Putin
signaled in Alaska that he was ready to climb down from some of his
maximalist demands - demands that were absurd to begin with. Putin’s Play for Time: How Trump’s Performative Diplomacy
Strengthens Russia’s Hand.
The collapse of the Weimar Republic was not
inevitable. The Nazi Party never garnered anywhere near a majority of the
German electorate’s support, winning just over 30 percent of the vote in
the republic’s last free and fair national elections. Mainstream political
leaders had many opportunities to push back. But Hugenberg believed he
could use Hitler to revitalize his conservative movement. Von Papen
believed he could control Hitler after making him the chancellor. Kaas
believed that capitulating to Hitler’s demands would protect his party and
buy time for a more significant resistance. They
Were All Wrong.
The Trump administration believes that the
12-day war has inflicted enough punishment on Iran to force true
soul-searching among Iranian leaders. But if Tehran is to arrive at the
right conclusions - and feel able to relinquish its nuclear ambitions and its
aggressive regional policy - then it must see diplomacy as a credible path
to realizing gains that have thus far eluded it. As unlikely as it may
seem, Trump’s bombing campaign could lead to a breakthrough, but only if
both countries can put their history of missteps behind them and approach
diplomacy with vision and patience. Iran’s
Roads Not Taken: Tehran, Washington, and the Failures That Led to War.
Negotiating an end to the war in Ukraine
remains a long shot. But if any diplomatic resolution brokered by the
United States and Europe is to have a chance, it will require an approach
from Trump more disciplined and creative than he has shown so far. He must
not only convene two separate negotiations; he must get the order right. How to Arm Ukraine for Negotiations for a Durable
Peace, Trump Must Get the Order of Talks Right.
It would be an extraordinary outcome if
governments and academic communities could collectively scan the horizon
for biosecurity hazards and identify risks before they materialize. Such
efforts offer a unique opportunity to chart the course of scientific
progress, steering the allocation of resources away from possibly dangerous
goals, improving countermeasures and preparedness for biological risks, and
in the process, laying the foundations for a better, safer future. What to Do About “Mirror Life”? The Promise and
Peril of a Startling New Technology.
It may not prove possible to negotiate an
agreement with the strict limits on enrichment and the rigorous monitoring,
inspection, and enforcement measures needed to reliably block Iran’s
pathways to acquiring nuclear weapons or to resuming its status as a
threshold nuclear-weapon state. In that case, the Trump administration will
have little choice but to leave the negotiating table and turn to military,
economic, and other coercive tools to eliminate the Iranian nuclear threat.
The Path to a Good-Enough Iran Deal: How
Washington and Tehran Can Bridge the Gap on Enrichment.
Thailand’s Prime Minister was dismissed. Here is the Background Why.
The
American-raised Pope has this to say:
Moscow still portrays Ukraine as surviving
only through Western aid, not as an independent state. But as Ukraine marks
34 years of independence, it is increasingly clear that it is its own
resilience, as a state, a society, and a military power, that has allowed
it to survive. The real lesson of the past six months is that no one is
fighting this war except Ukrainians themselves. The Real Limits of Ukrainian Power: How
Democratic Unity May Determine Military Survival.
European Union foreign policy chief Kaja
Kallas said on Saturday it was not possible to imagine giving back Russian
assets frozen inside the bloc due to the war in Ukraine. Moscow To Pay Reparations.
|
|
|
|
Shimon Peres was ridiculed for talking about
a new Middle East based on economic cooperation and regional integration
built on a foundation of peace with the Palestinians. But talk of a new,
peaceful Middle East today, one based on Israeli military dominance with no
political horizon for Palestinians, is no less fantastical. And worse, it
will be far more dangerous, bringing Israel right back to where it started.
Israel’s Squandered Victory Gains
Against Iran Won’t Translate Into Regional Peace.
Taiwan’s leaders might be able to heal the
island. Defending its current democratic system and way of life, after all,
is the one thing that most Taiwanese agree is essential. Finding some
points of consensus on this fundamental issue might thus be the first step
toward overcoming polarization. Taiwan’s
Democracy Is in Trouble: How Polarization Undermines Security.
The 17th BRICS summit was held in
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on July 6-7, 2025. But without President Xi, the
top leader of its most powerful member. The Question That was asked is will
President Xi Jinping resign. The
Succession Question Obscuring China’s Future.
Whatever the outcome of the current
tensions, Tigray has a long road to recovery. Ultimately, rebuilding the
region will require sustained effort to rebuild accountable institutions
and civil society, as well as the economic foundations needed to provide
lasting stability. None of this will be possible, however, if there is
another war. The most urgent task today is to prevent that from happening. Ethiopia’s Tigray Temptation: Only America Can Prevent
a New War in the Horn of Africa.
|
Brokering a new U.S.-Iranian deal would be a
herculean task. To do so, the Arab Gulf states must exercise every lever of
influence available to them in Washington, Tehran, and Tel Aviv to take the
region off its war footing. Their futures depend on it. The Middle East’s New Intermediaries: Can the Gulf
States Broker Peace Between America, Iran, and Israel?
Israel’s military deterrence has shown the
capacity to defend itself and to deter its enemies. But this alone cannot
dismantle Iran’s proxy network and deliver Israel lasting peace and
security for its future generations. Only a regional agreement with strong
international backing that ultimately yields a viable two-state solution
can preserve Israel’s security and Jewish-democratic identity, end the
cycle of violence, and transform the Middle East from a battlefield into a
zone of cooperation. This is not utopian idealism. It is in the interest of
regional and international actors. And for Israel, it has become a
strategic necessity. Israel is Fighting a
War It Cannot Win. Only a Path to a Palestinian State Can Stop Calamity in
Gaza.
With Iranian power and influence waning, and
with the challenges of an ascendant China and a recalcitrant Russia
necessarily dominating the American national security agenda, indifference
may appear to be the most appealing option for Washington. This would be a
mistake. The world stands on the precipice of a dangerous era of nuclear
proliferation that risks expanding the geography of catastrophic risk. It
is essential to devise a diplomatic pathway that reimposes transparency on
Iran’s nuclear enterprise and creates a way to escape the escalatory storm
that lurks just below the surface of the uneasy postwar calm. Iran’s Dangerous Desperation What Comes After
the 12-Day War.
| |