The real story of what happened to the
Middle East After the First World War
The British who besides
the Ottoman's (with whom they had a good relationship at the time) was the
first major European power to be in that region, and in order to secure their
Suez Canal route to India already in 1881-82 gave up stage-managing events
behind the scenes and simply moved onto the stage by taking over Egypt. The
alleged proximate cause was the attempted coup against the government by Urabi Pasha, a disaffected Arab Egyptian army officer
chafing under the Turkish yoke.
Also in 1914-18
participants in the Middle East had their own reasons for entering the
conflict: the British fought to secure the Suez canal
and the Gulf oilfields; the Turks feared Russian
encroachment and hoped to regain territory lost before the great war; the
Germans sought to destabilize the British empire, the Russians coveted Istanbul
and Anatolia…
Following the rebellion sparked by the Hussein-McMahon
correspondence; the Sykes-Picot agreement; and
memoranda such as the Balfour Declaration the at
first British (closely followed by the French) in
1918 became very influential in the Middle East.
The discussions
between the British and the French who would control what following the break down of the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East would reach fever pitch during the Versailles deliberations.
Although its
centennial is to come up next, while even very few people are aware of the
various aspects of the Treaty of Versailles, one should add that there was also the Treaty of Saint-Germain with
Austria on September 10, 1919, the Treaty of Neuilly with Bulgaria on 27
November 1919, the Treaty of Trianon on June 4, 1920 with Hungary, and the
Treaty of Sevres with the Ottoman Empire on August 10, 1920, which subsequently
was superseded by the Treaty of Lausanne made on June 24, 1923 with the new
Republic of Turkey.
The Treaty of Sevres
covered the partitioning of the Ottoman Empire and
determining the nature of the post-war political entities that took its place.
Following the initial meetings in Paris in the spring and summer of 1919, the
negotiations continued into 1920 with substantive meetings at the
Conference of London (February 12-24) and the San Remo Conference (April
19-26). And it was the San Remo agreement and the mandate policies that were
applied to the newly created Arab countries in Al Mashriq
that replaced the Sykes-Picot agreement. Nothing was left of the Sykes-Picot
agreement except the initial demarcation of Lebanon, Iraq, Transjordan and
Palestine borders.
For many Arabs who
until then simple felt themselves to be inhabitants of the Ottoman Empire, now
broken in pieces, a search for identity would ensue, once a search for survival
had been satiated.
Against the backdrop
of soon to be rising nationalist movements across the Middle East and an
assertive Turkish military and nationalist alliance sweeping away the final
vestiges of Ottoman rule, the wartime allies attempted to maintain political
control by devising and distributing a system of mandates
for administering the region.
At the end of WWI the
history of the making of the modern Middle East thus could be seen as the
exercise of imperial power, skilled at advancing its
interests over those of others.
In 1939, Turkey
seized Syria’s Iskenderun province, in collaboration with the French mandate
authorities.
The British-French
colonization remained in the Al Mashriq countries,
except in the regions of Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Transjordan, until the
beginning of World War II in 1939. Egypt and Iraq signed treaties with Britain
that practically prevented them from getting their independence until the two
monarchies were overthrown respectively in 1952 and 1958. During the war,
France’s government pledged to grant independence to the countries under its
mandate, amidst the loudening voices of the local political class that called
for independence. Syria and Lebanon gained independence in 1943, two years
before the end of WWII.
The end of the Second
World War instead was greeted in the Middle East as a new beginning. With peace
came the promise of an end to the vast military machine that the British had
built all across the region, a super-imperialism that had turned the Arab states
and Iran (also partially occupied by Russian troops) into mere auxiliaries of
the imperial war effort. Once that had gone, political life might begin again.
Better still, the British had decided (for their own convenience) to lever the
French out of Syria and Lebanon, France's pre-war mandates, and secure their
independence (1946). This was a promising start. They had also encouraged the
formation of the Arab League in 1944-5. The British intended the League to be a
channel of their influence, a way of keeping the Arab states together under a
British umbrella. But it might also serve as a vehicle for Arab cooperation to
exclude or contain the influence of outside powers. The new geopolitical scene
in which Soviet and American power was seen to balance (if not outweigh) that
of Britain made this far less unlikely than it would have been before 1939. To
many young Arabs, there seemed reason to hope that the post-war world would be
a new 'national age'. The false dawn of freedom from Ottoman power after 1918 -
which had led instead to Britain's regional overrule - might at last give way
to the glorious morning of full Arab nationhood. Almost immediately the
barriers piled up. The British rejected the 'logic' of withdrawal: instead they
dug themselves in. (1)
Arguments of strategy
and heavy dependence on oil (still mainly from Iran) made retreat unthinkable.
The strategic vulnerability and economic weakness with which Britain had
entered the peace (London hoped they were temporary) ruled out the surrender of
imperial assets unless (as in India) they had become untenable. In the Middle
East, the British still believed that they had a strong hand. Their position
was founded on their alliance with Egypt, the region's most developed state,
with more than half the population of the Arab Middle East - I9 million out of
some 35 million. (2)
The long-standing
conflict between the Egyptian monarchy and the landlord class gave them
enormous leverage in the country's politics. If more 'persuasion' was needed,
they could send troops into Cairo from their Canal Zone base in a matter of
hours. To improve relations after the strains of war, they now dangled the
promise of a smaller military presence. They assumed that sooner or later the Wafd or the king would want to come to terms, because
Egypt's regional influence, like its internal stability, needed British
support. So, when negotiations stalled, the British stayed put, intending to
wait until things 'calmed down'. They could afford to do so, or so they
thought. For they could also count certain of their historic claim to head the
Arab cause: it was they, after all, who had led the rising after 1916 and
proclaimed an Arab nation. Their long-standing ambition was a great Hashemite
state uniting Syria (lost to the French in 1920) and Palestine with Iraq and
Jordan. Their fiercest enmity, returned with interest, was towards the house of
Saud. (3)
It was the Saudi
monarch who had seized the holy places of Mecca and Medina from their Hashemite
guardian and turned Hashemite Hejaz into a province of what became 'Saudi'
Arabia. Much of the rivalry between Egypt, the Hashemites and the Saudis were
focused on Syria, whose religious and regional conflicts made it a fertile
ground for influence from outside. (4)
This rough
equilibrium of political forces in the post-war Middle East was quickly upset
by the volcanic impact of the Palestine question. The British had planned to
keep their regional imperium by a smooth transition. All the Arab states would
be independent; some would be bound by treaty to Britain; the rest would
acknowledge its de facto primacy as the only great power with real strength on
the ground. It was always going to be difficult to manage this change in the
case of Palestine, ruled directly by Britain under a League of Nations mandate
since the First World War. Reconciling the promise of a Jewish 'national home',
in which Jews could settle, with the rights of the Arabs who were already there
had been hard enough in the 1920's. The flood of refugees from Nazi oppression
in the 1930's made it all but impossible. London's pre-war plan was to appease
the anger of the Palestine Arabs at the growing Jewish migration by fixing a
limit to ensure a permanent Arab majority. With its future settled as an Arab
state, Palestine could be edged towards a form of self-rule. After 1945 this
ingenious solution was soon blown to pieces. The practical difficulty and
political embarrassment of excluding Jewish refugees, diplomatic pressure from
the United States against the attempt to do so, and the scale and ferocity of
the terrorist campaign waged by Jewish settlers destroyed any semblance of
British authority by mid-1948. (5)
The result was the
worst of all colonial worlds: an ungovernable territory whose control was
disputed between two seemingly irreconcilable foes; outside encouragement that
hardened the resolve of both contending parties; and the absence of either the
means or a method to impose any decision. The partition proposed by the United
Nations could not be enforced. The war that followed between the Jews and Arabs
(local Palestinians and the contingents sent by the Arab states) brought a
Jewish victory. The new state of Israel was strong enough to impose a second
and more favorable territorial partition. But it was not strong enough to force
the Arab states to accept this outcome as a permanent condition.
The Arab catastrophe
marked a crucial stage in the end of empire in the Middle East. It galvanized
the sentiment of pan-Arab nationalism and gave it a cause and a grievance. It
was a crushing humiliation for the ruling regimes in the main Arab states, where
post-war inflation and hardship were fostering mass discontent: the violent
demonstrations of the Wathbah (the 'Leap') in Baghdad
in January 1948 had already stopped the renewal of the Anglo-Iraqi treaty. (6)
It provoked bitter
resentment in the ranks of the armies, who blamed their defeat on their
civilian leaders. The impact on Egypt was the greatest of all. The king had
insisted on sending an army, to boost his domestic prestige and assert Egypt's
first place among the Arab states. (7) The shock of defeat was felt all the
more deeply. To make matters worse, he could make little progress towards
evicting the British from their massive Canal Zone, the great visible symbol of
Egypt's subaltern status. Nor indeed could his old political foes, the leaders of the Wafd.
Where diplomacy failed, direct action stepped in. The struggle with the British
became increasingly violent. Strikes, assassination and other acts of terror
exploited British dependence on Egyptian labor and the vulnerable state of
British installations and personnel. Retaliation and revenge spread to Egypt's
main cities. As the sense of order broke down, the king planned a putsch to
purge discontent in the army. Before he could act, the 'Free
Officers' movement seized control of the government in July 1952, and
forced him into exile.
The effects at first seemed
far from radical. The new regime set out to restore order. It crushed the
Muslim Brotherhood, an Islamist movement that enjoyed mass support. It accepted
the loss of Egyptian influence in the upper Nile when British-ruled Sudan was
promised independence as a separate state (the British rejected Cairo's demand
to respect the 'unity of the Nile valley'). Above all, it secured British
agreement to leave the Canal Zone base by conceding a right of return if its
use were needed to repel an outside attack (code for a Soviet invasion) on the
Middle East region. The British had concluded that, with a nuclear deterrent
that they could deliver by air, the base was redundant in its present form as
well as politically costly. (8)
What they probably
hoped was that the new Nasser regime would turn its attention to internal
reform. Egypt, they thought, would exert limited influence in the Arab world.
This was the judgment of the British ambassador in Cairo in July 1954. (9)
Meanwhile, they would
remodel their imperium around a closer alliance with the Hashemite states and a
new military pact. American influence, helpful in making the Suez agreement,
would be thrown on their side. Egypt would be isolated and on its best behavior.
But Nasser's response was not to comply. Instead, his
astonishing revolt against the British 'system' was the central event in the
Middle East's decolonization. (10)
As an Egyptian
nationalist (one of the first acts of the new officers' government was to bring
a statue of Ramses II to Cairo), Nasser had every reason to mistrust the
British and plot their departure from the Middle East as a whole. He was also
influenced by pan-Arab feeling and the Palestine war. He wanted a cleansing
tide of revolutionary politics to smash the old regime of landlords and kings,
left over from the Middle East's colonial era. He also feared that time was
against him. Any ruler in Cairo would have faced much the same dilemma. Sudan was lost. There was high tension with Israel. The
Arab East (the Mashreq) was being closed to Egyptian influence and perhaps even
its trade. Without markets or oil, he faced stagnation at home and growing
social unrest. He would be dangerously dependent on economic aid from the West.
His regime was untried. His critics would multiply. His revolution would fail.
So, as the British assembled their 'Baghdad Pact' (with Turkey, Iraq and - they
hoped - Jordan: Syria was next on the list), Nasser launched a counter-attack.
He embraced pan-Arabism. With Saudi support, he backed the anti-Iraqi faction
in Syrian politics. He encouraged opposition in Jordan to joining the pact.
Then in September 1955 came a spectacular coup. Nasser broke free from the
embargo on arms imposed by the West and arranged a supply from the Soviet bloc.
Egypt would now be a
real military power. By early 1956 he had declared an
open political war on Britain's Middle East influence. The rising level of
violence along the borders with Israel played into his hands. With what seemed
amazing ease, he had seized the initiative in regional politics. He had made
Egypt the champion of the pan-Arab cause, and pan-Arab feeling into a dynamic
force. The reaction in London was one of panic and rage. The Suez Crisis in 1956 grew directly out of this
confrontation.
When a loan to pay
for Egypt's Aswan High Dam was stalled in Washington, there was no going back.
Nasser expropriated the Suez Canal, then jointly owned by Britain and France.
It seemed an act of bravado. But perhaps Nasser guessed that the British would
find it hard to defeat him. They no longer had troops in the old Suez base. An
open attack would enrage all Arab opinion. International pressure (through the
United Nations) was unlikely to bring what they really wanted: his political
downfall. Nasser may also have sensed that London's relentless hostility was
not shared fully in Washington. Indeed, the riposte, when it came, revealed
Britain's political weakness. Thinly disguised as an intervention between the
forces of Egypt and Israel (in whose invasion they colluded), the Anglo-French
occupation of the Suez Canal was meant to humiliate Nasser and ensure his
collapse. The key to Nasser's survival was the enormous appeal of his act of
defiance to patriotic Arab opinion. It convinced President Eisenhower that
allowing the British their victory would unite Arab feeling against the West as
a whole, throw open the door to more Soviet influence, and wreck American
interests into the bargain. By a painful irony, the economic fragility that had
helped spur the British into their struggle with Nasser - fear that his
influence would damage their vital sources of oil- now proved decisive. Without
Washington's nod, they faced financial collapse. The British withdrew and ate
humble pie. Nasser kept the canal. So It was not he who fell through the
political trapdoor, but the British prime minister, Sir Anthony Eden. (11)
Suez signaled the end
of British ambition to manage the politics of the whole Arab world. It created
a vacuum of great-power influence. It was the moment to forge a new Middle East
order. Nasser stood forth as an Arab Napoleon. His prestige was matchless: he
was the rais (boss). With its large middle class, its
great cities and seaports, its literature and cinema, its journalists and
teachers, Egypt was the symbol of Arab modernity. Nasser's pan-Arab nationalism
(formally inscribed in Egypt's new constitution) chimed with a phase of sharp
social change in most Middle Eastern states. To the new urban workers, the
growing number of students, the expanding bureaucracy, the young officer class,
it offered a political creed and a cultural programme.
It promised an end to the Palestinian grievance, through the collective effort
of a revitalized nation. Within less than two years of his triumph at Suez,
Nasser drew Syria into a political union, to form the United Arab Republic. The
same year (1958) saw the end of Hashemite rule in Iraq. Nasser still had to
reckon with American power (the United States and Britain intervened jointly to
prevent the overthrow of Jordan and Lebanon by pro-Nasser factions). But
American fears of rising Soviet influence and Nasser's opposition to Communism
allowed a wary rapprochement. It looked indeed as if Nasser had achieved a
stunning double victory. He had displaced the British as the regional power in
favor of a looser, more tolerant American influence. He had made himself and
Egypt the indispensable partners of any great power with Middle East interests.
Pan-Arab solidarity under Egyptian leadership (the new Iraqi regime with its
Communist sympathies had been carefully isolated) opened vistas of hope. It
could set better terms with the outside powers. It could use the oil weapon
(oil production was expanding extremely rapidly in the 1950's). It might even
be able to 'solve' the question of Palestine.
But, as it turned
out, the Middle East's decolonization fell far short of this pan-Arab ideal.
Nasser might have hoped that the oil-rich sheikdoms of the Persian Gulf
(especially Kuwait) would embrace his 'Arab socialism' and throw off their
monarchs. But the British hung on in the Gulf and backed its local rulers
against Nasser's political challenge. Secondly, the pan-Arab feeling on which
Nasser relied faced a powerful foe. In the early post-war years, the new Arab
states seemed artificial creations. The educated Arab elite moved easily
between them. So did their ideas. State structures were weak and could be
easily penetrated by external influence. By 1960 this had begun to change. New
'local' elites began to man the states' apparatus. Every regime acquired its
Mukhabarat, a secret police. The sense of national differences between the Arab
states became clearer and harder: the charismatic politics of Nasser's
pan-Arabism faced an uphill struggle. His union with Syria broke up after three
years. Thirdly, the Israeli state proved much more resilient than might have
been hoped, and its lien on American sympathy showed no sign of failing: if
anything, it was growing steadily stronger by the early 1960s. (12)
Fourthly (and largely
in consequence), the pan-Arabist programme could not
be achieved without help from outside. The search for arms, aid and more
leverage against Israel (and their own local rivalries) drew the Arab states
into the labyrinth of Cold War diplomacy. Lastly, a twist of geological fate
placed the oil wealth of the region in the states least inclined to follow
Cairo's ideological lead: Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Britain's Gulf protectorates.
Nor did oil become (as coal had once been for Britain) the dynamo of social and
industrial change. In fact, Arab prosperity (or the prospect of it) seemed
grossly dependent on an extractive industry over which real control lay in
foreign hands the 'seven (multinational) sisters' who ruled the world of oil. (See
A. Sampson, The Seven Sisters: The Great Oil Companies and the World They Made
(London, 1975).
The second
catastrophe of the 1967 Six Day War, fought between Israel and Egypt, Jordan
and Syria, was a savage reminder that mineral wealth was not the same as power
and that oil dollars did not mean industrial strength. By 1970, the year of
Nasser's premature death,the promise of post-imperial
freedom had become the 'Arab predicament’. (13)
The three largest
states in the Middle East were Egypt, Turkey and Iran (each of which was to
reach a population of 66 million in 2001). With the failure of Nasser's
struggle to make Egypt the center of an Arab revolution, his successor, Anwar
Sadat, turned back (like Mehemet Ali in the 1840's) towards an accommodation
with the West. By the late 1970's Egypt had become the second largest recipient
(after Israel) of American aid.
Turkey, under
Ataturk's shrewd former lieutenant Ismet Inonu, remained
carefully neutral during the Second World War. But the huge forward movement
of Soviet power at the end of the war, and Stalin's open avowal of his designs
on the Straits - 'It was impossible to accept a situation where Turkey has a
hand on Russia's windpipe,' he declared at Yalta - pushed Ankara firmly towards
the Western camp. Under the Truman Doctrine (1947), Turkey was included in the
sphere of American help and protection, however vague at this stage. By 1955 it
had become a full member of NATO. In a way that Kemal Ataturk could hardly have
dreamed of, the pattern of Cold War conflict had opened the door for Turkey's
acceptance as a part of the West, with, a claim to enter the European Union.
Tensions with Greece and over the future of Cyprus (which Turkey invaded and
partitioned in the 1970s) made relations fretful at times. Within Turkey
itself, the key question for much of the half-century after 1945 was how far
Ataturk's grand project of a strong bureaucratic state, with a modern
industrial base and a secular culture, was compatible with representative
democracy (Ataturk's Turkey had been a one-party state) and an open (not
state-dominated) economy.
The case of Iran is
the most intriguing of all. Iran had been jointly occupied by Soviet and
British forces in 1941, partly to block Reza Shah's approaches to Germany,
mainly to secure a free passage for supplies from Britain to an embattled
Russia. Reza Shah abdicated and was sent off into exile. The result was to
unravel his authoritarian state. Resentful notables (the powerful landowning
class), radical movements in the towns (like the Tudeh Party), tribal leaders
(of the Qashgai and Bakhtiari) and ethnic minorities
(Kurds, Arabs and Azerbaijanis) challenged the new young shah's authority and
scrambled for a favor from the occupying powers. At the end of the war, this
instability grew. The Red Army stayed on in Iranian Azerbaijan until 1946. The
effects of wartime inflation ravaged the economy. The supporters of the Shah
struggled with the radicals and notables for control of the Majlis, or
parliament. The government faced increasing resistance from tribal, provincial
and ethnic groups. By 1949, however, the Shah was close to reasserting control,
perhaps because the alternative seemed a further fragmentation of the Iranian
state and a deepening cycle of social unrest.
Before this could
happen, a huge crisis broke out. To restore his position, the shah had been
anxious to swell Iran's revenue from its main source of wealth, the vast
oilfields in the south-west of the country, controlled by the British-owned
Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (today's BP). In July 1949 a so-called 'supplemental
agreement' proposed to increase the royalty that the company paid from 15 to 20
percent, with further increases envisaged. But this agreement ran afoul of two
massive obstructions. The first was the fear among the shah's opponents that
this newfound wealth would seal the revival of his power along pre-war lines.
The second was the much wider hostility across Iranian opinion against
continued foreign control of Iran's key resource and against the influence the
company was believed to exert To make matters worse, while the matter was
debated in the Majlis it became known that Aramco, the Arab-American Oil
Company, had offered a 50 percent share of profits to its host government in
Saud Arabia. As negotiations with Anglo-Iranian ground on, the political
temperature rose and in March 195I the Majlis passed a law to nationalize the
company. A few days later Mohamed Mossadeq, a veteran
antagonist of the Shah and his father, took office as prime minister. (14) The result was a stand-off. British talk of
armed intervention war vetoed in Washington, where London's approach was
regarded as reckless and retrograde. (15)
Instead, the large
British staff was withdrawn from the fields and the Abadan refinery. The major
oil companies, fearing that others might follow the Iranian example, imposed an
inter national boycott on Iranian oil that was very
effective. Mossadeq had seemed on the brink of
achieving a constitutional revolution, but hi support - never very cohesive -
now began to break up. In the Wes he was suspect as a dangerous demagogue,
paving the way for Communist rule. In August 1953 he was overthrown by a military
coup aided and part-funded by American agents with some British support and
replaced by a premier who was loyal to the shah. Under a new oil agreement,
Iran's oil was sold through a cartel of British and American companies. The
shah's oil income rose spectacularly: tenfold between 1954-5 and 1960-61, to
$358 million; and aHurthe fifteen fold by 1973-4. So
did his military and political power. By the early 1960s, he was firmly
established as a major ally of the West whose value as a bulwark against a
Soviet southward advance was offset periodically by the fear that his drive to
be master of the Gulf would set off a conflict with the Arab states of the
region.
1. For a good account
of British policy, W. R. Louis, The British Empire in the Middle East I945-I9F:
Arab Nationalism, the United States, and Postwar Imperialism (Oxford, I984).
2. This estimate is
explained in, W. B. Fisher, The Middle East: A Physical, Social and Regional
Geography (London, I950), p. 249.)
3. Ghada Hashem Talhani, Palestine and Egyptian National Identity (New
York, 1992), p. 9.
4. P. Seale, The
Struggle for Syria: A Study of Post-War Arab Politics 1945-1958 (London, 1966);
A. Rathmell, Secret War in the Middle East: The Covert Struggle for Syria
1949-1961 (London, 1995); P. Seale, 'Syria', in Y. Sadiqh
and A. Shlaim (eds.), The Cold War and the Middle
East (Oxford, 1997); M. Ma'oz, 'Attempts to Create a
Political Community in Syria', in I. Pappe and M. Ma'oz,
Middle East Politics and Ideas: The History from Within (London, 1997).
5. M. J. Cohen,
Palestine and the Great Powers 1945-1948 (Princeton, 1982) is the standard
account.
6. H. Batatu, The Old Social Classes and the Revolutionary
Movements of Iraq (Princeton, I978), pp. 470-72, 545-66, 680.
7. Talhani, Palestine, pp. 48-50.
8. For details see R.
McNamara, Britain, Nasser and the Balance of Power in the Middle East 1952-1967
(London, 2003), ch. 3.
9. See James
Jankowski, Nasser's Egypt, Arab Nationalism and the United Arab Republic
(Boulder, Colo., 2002), p. 56.
10. The standard
account is K. Kyle, Suez (London, 1991).
11. For Eden's
political fate, D. Carlton, Anthony Eden (London, I98I). 52. See Rathmell,
Secret War, pp. 160-62; Abdulaziz A. al-Sudairi, A Vision of the Middle East:
An Intellectual Biography of Albert Hourani (London,1981).
12. For the intensification
of America's 'special relationship' with Israel from the late 1950s, see D.
Little, The Making of a Special Relationship: The United States and Israel
1957-1968, International Journal of Middle East Studies 25,4 (1993), pp.
563-85; G. M. Steinberg, Israel and the United States: Can the Special
Relationship Survive the New Strategic Environment?, Middle East Review of
International Affairs 2, 4 (1998).
13. The title of the
influential study by Fouad Ajami (London, 1981).
14. For the onset of
the crisis, E. Abrahamian, Iran between Two Revolutions (Princeton, 1982), ch 5. For Anglo-Iranian, J. Bamberg, The History of the
British Petroleum Company, vol. 2: The Anglo-Iranian Years 1928-1954
(Cambridge, 1994).
15. For the American
view, see for example Rowntree to McGhee, 20 Dec. 1950, in FRUS 1950, vol. 5:
The Near East, South Asia and Africa (Washington, 1978), p. 634. For British
policy, Louis, The British Empire in the Middle East, pp. 632-89.
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