The purpose of this
multipart investigation will be two-fold, where one we analyze what led to the 1941-1945
pacific war starting with the discussions following the Treaty of Versailles in
context of which Erez Manela in his epic book 1 pointed to 1919 as the
"Wilsonian Moment" whereby the purpose of this is too to understand
potentially could lead to a futures second pacific war if China follows up on
its threats to attack Taiwan with as a purpose to take control of what China
terms the South China Sea.
The term South China
Sea itself did not exist before the 20th century and was first established as a regional concept in Japan or as
the preface to Yoshaburo Takekoshi's
1910 bestseller Nangokukki [Outline of the History of
the South Seas], Tokyo: Niyousha, 1910, indicated
that "in the last twenty years the name `South Seas' has come into general
use" which suggests that this term may have been re-imported to China from
Japan.
As we have seen, many perceive The Treaty of
Versailles and 1919 as a moment in which a few European and North American
states – principally, the United Kingdom, France, and the United
States – reaffirmed their supremacy over affairs in all reaches of
the globe. Of course, these remaining so-called Great Powers were not
omnipotent, as witnessed by their failed attempt to reverse the course of the Russian Revolution.
Still, they collectively asserted their primacy by excluding the newly formed
Soviet Union from the League of Nations, and more importantly, refusing to
dismantle the remaining colonial empires. Within this
view of 1919, the centrality of President Wilson suggests that it was the
year that the United States attained global preeminence, or hegemonic shift, at
the expense of the European powers, and in particular that of the United
Kingdom with the abrupt end to Pax Britannica following
the outbreak of the First World War.
The “1919
moment” – a notion that extends before and after that calendar
year – as we have seen
was a time of tremendous global upheaval as well as significance. However, one
should contest the prevailing historiographical tendency that privileges
Europeans and Americans' experiences and actions in determining the worldwide
importance of that moment. In fact, this narrative fails to adequately address
the populations and real or imagined states of Northeast Asia. Doing so demonstrates
that the diplomatic and military endeavors, intellectual pursuits, and
nation-building efforts within Northeast Asia constitute a bold new challenge
to European and American hegemony. This does not mean that Europeans and
Americans ceased to shape the international system to suit their own interests,
as that argument would necessitate the denial of historical reality. Rather,
something we will now expand on, is that among others, Japanese, Chinese,
Koreans, and Mongolians rejected key aspects of
this Euro-American hegemony, raised objections, and posited new challenges to
the nation-state system on which it rested. These actions in themselves wrought
fissures within the world order that would eventually explode in the late 1930s
and 1940s, create conflict and instability through the Cold War, and shape the
multipolar nature of world affairs from the late twentieth century until very
recently when the shadow of a bipolar world began to loom over us.
Japan seized the
outbreak of war in Europe as a “one-in-a-million chance” to establish Japan’s
footholds in China south of the Great Wall. As an ally of Great Britain, Japan
immediately declared war on Germany. Within three months, it occupied the
German leased territory in Shandong Province, including Qingdao with an
excellent harbor in Jiaozhou Bay. Intending to secure
all German rights and concessions in Qingdao/Shandong (along with other
Japanese interests in China, notably in Manchuria
and Fujian), Japan resorted to the aggressive diplomacy of the Twenty-One Demands and extracted the Beijing (Chinese
Republic) government’s consent to give Japan a free hand in its negotiations
with Germany at a future peace conference in Paris.
Thus, the greatest
challenger to the Eurocentric system – or the established world
order – was Japan, as it ascended to a Big Five
Power position at the Paris Peace Conference. When the Covenant
of the League of Nations, part of the Treaty of Versailles, came into force
in 1920, Japan became one of only four Executive Council members who oversaw
the League’s operations since the United States had failed to join the body.
However, as a non-white country, Japan collided with a glass ceiling that
relegated it to a secondary status among the Powers. Discourses of biologically
determined racial hierarchies and civilizing missions that prevailed during the
“age of empire” prevented Japan from attaining full parity with the other Great
Powers. Nonetheless, these same trends meant that, when Japan proposed adding a
racial equality clause to the League’s convention, its effort gained widespread
attention worldwide, including within China.
The European and
American refusal to enshrine racial equality in a multilateral treaty pushed
many Japanese intellectuals and political leaders on their own rejectionist
path, away from the West and toward an anti-Western form of pan-Asianism. It was no
coincidence that intellectuals in Japan began to call for Japan’s exit from the
West and reentry to Asia, or that pan-Asianism and
other transnational ideologies gained popularity at this juncture. 1919 and the
years after were undoubtedly a key turning point because the lack of support
from the United States became a critical catalyst for Japan’s eventual
divergence from established global norms. Deciding that the Western Powers
envisioned a world in which the white race was assured permanent supremacy,
Japanese leaders began to seek an alternate course whereby Japan would become
the master of Asia.
To be sure, Koreans
and Chinese also leveled substantive challenges to the Euro-American
international system's foundation during 1919. However, they did so initially
in the form of anti-Japanese mass movements. As for Korea, a Japanese presence,
especially after the imposition of a protectorate (1905) and full annexation
(1910), mediated Korea’s contacts with the wider world to a large degree. Thus
the March
1st Movement, also known as the Sam-il Movement, one of the earliest public
displays of Korean resistance during Korea's rule by Japan from 1910 to
1945. As a consequence, Japan stood in as a proxy for the international
order of colonial empires.
The widespread
explosion of independence-oriented mass nationalism in the March First Movement
challenged Japanese imperialism and the broader edifice of colonial rule.
Similarly, when Chinese students marched in Beijing two months later in
opposition to the Treaty of Versailles, which placed Germany’s concessions in
China under Japanese control rather than restoring them to Chinese sovereignty,
they protested the character of the “old diplomacy” with its secret agreements
and presumption that the world existed for the Great Powers to divide.
It should not be
overlooked that in both cases, Chinese and Korean activists drew on ideas and
models from the very system they sought to
undermine, such as the right to national self-determination, participatory
democracy, and ideas of social equality. In other words, even though Japan
worked to overturn aspects of Euro-American hegemony, from the perspective of
many politically active Chinese and Koreans, Japan was undeniably fully
complicit in the international colonial order. Therefore, it can be said that
an attack on Japan’s imperialist activities, in turn, targeted the larger
system that had produced global wars and an unequal peace.
The Shandong/Qingdao controversy
To this day, every 4
May('May fourth') is Youth Day in China. This public holiday
commemorates the revolutionary rallies led by Chinese youth in the early 1900s.
Yet as we among others will see why, in our multi-part investigation, what
actually took place on 4 May 1919 in fact is strongly contested. Although both
the Communist party in China (CCP) and most historians agree that in 1919 the
country was at its nadir. The last imperial dynasty, the Qing, weakened by
decades of internal strife and foreign encroachment on Chinese territory, had
collapsed in 1911. A military strongman, Yuan Shikai,
had tried to reinstate the monarchy with himself as the new emperor. His death
in 1916 had unleashed struggles between rival warlords. the CCP does not want
to be reminded that its supporters were once attracted by its promise of
liberation from autocracy, not by the dictatorship it came to represent.
In East Asia, there
was a socialization process that began after the First Opium War (1838–1842),
when European powers forced their way into China and secured their interests by
obtaining concessions and extraterritoriality. A decade later, in 1853–1854, Commodore Perry's arrival in Tokyo Bay opened
Japan to the world. While different in some respects, China and Japan shared a
similar path in which they had to substantially change their political and
economic systems to gain recognition as members of the international
community.2 Thus, from the mid-nineteenth century to the mid-twentieth century,
multilateralism was at the core of the two countries’ foreign policy. For
China, Japan’s success in ending extraterritoriality in 1894 and forming an
alliance with Britain in 1902 proved that multilateralism effectively kept
peace in the world and allowed mobility in the global system. Hence, from 1895
to 1915, China saw Japan as a model of “East Asian modernity” and sent
thousands of its brightest students to schools in Japan.
To highlight the
close relationship between China and Japan during this time, Douglas Reynolds
calls these ten years “the golden decade” of Sino-Japanese relations.3 The
period was golden not only because it was in sharp contrast to what happened
later when the two countries went to war in the 1930s and 1940s. The metaphor
that it was golden is because China and Japan were closely tied to a cultural
and technology sharing network to build an “East Asian modernity.” What drove
this cultural and technological network was the belief that East Asia
(encompassing China, Japan, and Korea) was a region with a unique culture and
history that could achieve modernity equal to, but different from, Europe and
the United States. A striking characteristic of this network was that it was
centered in Japan rather than in China, practically destabilizing the
Sino-centric tributary system dominant in East
Asia in previous centuries.
The “golden decade”
ended abruptly in 1915 when the Japanese government presented the Twenty-One
Demands to Yuan Shikai, the president of China's
young Republic.
The larger context of
this was that in October 1914, a combined task force of British, British,
Indian, and Japanese troops besieged Germany’s major enclave at Qingdao. The
German forces, many rallied from expatriate communities across China, led a
dogged resistance in which more besiegers than defenders fell. But on 7
November, the settlement capitulated. In stark contrast with the deepening
stalemate on the western front, it was seen as a military triumph, and Qingdao
was left under Japanese administration. Some 5,000 German defenders ended up in
fifteen hastily constructed prisoner-of-war camps in Japan, arriving rather
incongruously to German and Japanese flags' fluttering. Bismarck’s Germany had,
after all, served as a model for Meiji statesmen.4
Japan took advantage
of the embroilment in Europe to project its national trade and influence across
Asia and into the Pacific. Exploiting the 1902 alliance with Britain, Japanese
warships were seen everywhere in British harbors. Civilian ‘sightseeing parties’
gathered economic and political intelligence in Malaya and Indochina, and the
Netherlands Indies. British strategists knew that as the greater weight of
British naval power was drawn towards the home seas, the defense of eastern sea
lanes was at the mercy of Japanese goodwill. Few were under any illusions about
Japan’s hidden intentions. The Dutch press in the Indies saw the loss of
Qingdao as a moral and racial victory at the expense of European powers and
feared a pre-emptive British occupation of the Dutch outer islands.5 It would
not take much – Germany overrunning the neutral Netherlands or the Japanese
extending their occupation of German Oceania – for an overzealous rival to
encamp on Australia's borders. To forestall this, the enterprising British
consul in Batavia, W. R. D. Beckett, suggested to Whitehall that parts of the
Netherlands East Indies – Sumatra, Borneo, and the Celebes – be partitioned
between Britain and Japan. But Whitehall upheld the status quo: the Dutch at
least were ‘harmless.’6
To capitalize on this
‘one in a million chance,’ on 18 January 1915, Japan presented ‘Twenty-One
Demands’ to the President of China, Yuan Shikai,
calling for economic privileges and settlement rights extraterritorial
concessions. This launched a fresh wave of patriotic demonstrations across
Chinese cities. The leaders of the newly established republic, for their part,
sought recognition and respect among the imperial powers of the world. They saw
the conflict in Europe as an opportunity to regain their lost territories,
especially the German Concession at Qingdao. But the Allies denied China’s
entry into the war. Although officially neutral until August 1917, China has
begun recruiting ‘laborers as soldiers’ for Europe. This became a patriotic
cause like no other, as the fierce internal debates around the war extended the
public spheres for newspapers and polemic.7 Some 120,000 men were despatched to the west; in the region of another 100,000
were recruited for Tsarist Russia, the Murmansk railway, the Baku oilfields,
and the Donets' coal mines Basin. But for many of the impoverished rural
laborers – most of whom came from Shandong, the old heart of the Boxer
Rebellion on the eastern edge of the North China plain – it resulted in the
form of debt bondage much like any other. The route to the western front for
84,244 of them was through Canada.
Some 120,000 men were
despatched to the west; in the region of another
100,000 were recruited for Tsarist Russia, the Murmansk railway, the Baku
oilfields, and the Donets' coal mines Basin. But for many of the impoverished
rural laborers – most of whom came from Shandong, the old heart of the Boxer
Rebellion on the eastern edge of the North China plain – it resulted in debt
bondage much like any other. The route to the western front for 84,244 of them
was through Canada: a cynical, and secret, hiatus in the decades of
exclusion.8
The aftermath of the Versailles treaty
The Versailles treaty
Articles 128 to 158 specified that Germany's treaties with several states were
invalidated. The most important of these concerned the Chinese Shangdong peninsula (Articles 156– 158), where, since 1898,
Germany had held a 99-year lease for 100 square miles at Kiachow
Bay in the south. Here, at Qingdao, they constructed a harbor where the German
Cruiser Squadron was stationed. The Japanese overran Tsingtaoe
in the early months of the war, and they expanded their base far beyond the
territory leased to Germany. The Allies, keen to secure continued Japanese
assistance in East Asia and the Pacific, had assured Japan in 1917 that it
could take over from Germany in Shantung after the war. Still, U.S. delegates
at the peace conference objected to the acquisition. Under pressure to finalize
the treaty in the last days of April, Wilson agreed to a compromise: Japan
could take over Germany’s economic rights in Shantung - the port, the railways,
and the mines - but had to pull out its occupation forces. When the Chinese
delegates were handed these terms, they left the conference. Japan withdrew
from Shangdong in 1922 but invaded the Chinese
mainland, including Shangdong, fifteen years later.
It was the beginning of a war and occupation to take the life of twenty million
Chinese.
What is less known is
the behavior of Woodrow Wilson when the end of April 1919, Wilson (USA),
Clemenceau (France), and Lloyd George (Britain) settled the last major issue on
their agenda, which was indeed the quarrel between the Republic of China and the
Japanese Empire.
On the other hand,
the French and particularly Lloyd George's arguments were: We can't say to the
Japanese: "We were happy to find you in time of war; but now, good
buy!" The Japanese compounded Wilson's anxieties by threatening to
withdraw from the Peace Conference unless their Chinese claim was honored. Thus
in a double bind, Wilson feared that if the Japanese followed the Italians out
the door and declined to sign the treaty, Wilson explained, Germany might also
decline. And that thus the only hope for world peace was "to keep the
world together, get the League of Nations with Japan in it, and then try to
secure justice for the Chinese." So Wilson joined Clemenceau and Lloyd
George in awarding the German rights in Shangdong to
Japan. And in the agreement not written into the Versailles treaty Articles,
Japan promised to return Shangdong Peninsula to
Chinese sovereignty "at the earliest possible time."
China's faith turned
to anger and disillusion when, in early May 1919, news reached China that the Big
Three had decided to give economic control of the Shandong Peninsula to Japan.
Thousands of protesters marched through Beijing's streets on May 4, protesting
Japanese businesses, expressing their anger at the Western leaders in Paris,
and burning down a prominent Chinese politician's house with ties to Japan.
Calls for a full boycott of Western and Japanese goods soon followed, as did a
wave of strikes in Shanghai, Wuhan, and other Chinese cities.
China’s weakness and Japan’s strength
Thus the First World
War had starkly revealed both China’s weakness and Japan’s strength. For their
part, Japanese leaders knew that the European influence in Asia would likely
decline after the war, and they very much wanted to be the power that would fill
in the resulting vacuum. Their delegation to Paris was led by Prince Saionji Kinmochi, a seventy-year-old elder statesman and former
prime minister who had studied at the Sorbonne and had been Georges's
classmate Clemenceau there. Japanese leaders mistrusted Woodrow Wilson's
principles, seeing right through his noble-sounding ideas to the racist core
that underlay them. As one Japanese newspaper wrote, Wilson was an angel in
rhetoric but a devil indeed. The Japanese knew that Wilson held Asians to a lower
standard of development than he did Europeans. They also blamed Wilson’s
promises of national self-determination for the rise in anti-Japanese sentiment
in China and Korea. Hoping to catch Wilson in a trap and expose his hypocrisy,
the Japanese delegates came to Paris seeking to force the insertion of a racial
equality clause into the final treaty. Either the Allies would agree and
thereby undercut their own rationale for imperialism, or they would refuse and
give the Japanese a tremendous public relations victory across Asia, especially
inside the European and American colonial empires.
But not having China
present among the signatories was another bad taste that the signing ceremony
left behind. British diplomat Sir James Headlam-Morley and American general
Tasker H. Bliss were among the senior officials who sympathized with the Chinese
and thought they had been correct to refuse to put their names on a treaty so
humiliating their country. The Shandong decision was deeply unpopular among the
Chinese and among diplomats in Paris who recognized just how badly it
undermined the very principles upon which they were trying to rebuild the
world. Headlam-Morley worried about the ramifications of China’s noninvolvement
in that new world order. Chinese anger at the West and the West’s acquiescence
in Japan’s power grab would inevitably lead to an increase in Japanese
strength, a development that worried both the Europeans and the Americans.
Headlam-Morley feared setting up the dangerous possibility of creating a bloc
of anti–League of Nations states led by an alliance between Germany, the Soviet
Union, and China. Neither option augured well for the West or stability in East
Asia. The Americans were worried about Japanese power growth, but Wilson
scarcely had time to think about Asia. First, he had to find a way to get the
US Senate to approve the Treaty of Versailles and its most controversial
provision, the League of Nations' Covenant.
The battle to do so proved to be one of the most arduous, partisan, and
acrimonious debates in the history of American American
politics. In the end, it may well have led Wilson to suffer the strokes that
incapacitated him, destroyed the remainder of his presidency, and muddled his
legacy.
A shared animus at
the old system crystallized in debates on China’s place in the world.
‘Warlordism,’ a popular pejorative term for the provincial militarists'
politics, was seen as a symptom of imperialism and China’s democracy's
weakness.9
When the European
powers finally rejected China’s demands at Versailles to restore its
territories at Shangdong/Qingdao, the news spread
through Beijing like wildfire. There was fury that Qingdao remained in Japanese
hands. On the evening of 3 May 1919, students from across the city rallied at Beida’s law school. There were fiery speeches, and one
student bit his finger and wrote in blood on a banner: ‘Return our Qingdao.’
The next morning some 3,000 students from across Beijing rallied on the square
before the Tiananmen, or ‘Gate of Heavenly Peace,’ and the threshold of the
dethroned emperor. They shouted demands for an hour, wrote slogans on the joss
notes (‘hell banknotes’) used at funerals, and recited mock funerary couplets
for the ministers who had failed China so badly at Versailles. They marched to
the Japanese legation, but soldiers and police barred the way, and they had no
permit to enter. Determined to hold someone directly to account, part of the
crowd surged towards the house of one of the Versailles delegates, the deputy
foreign minister, Cao Rulin, who was seen to be
sympathetic to Japan. Ten or so students – at least one of them a not-so-young
twenty-nine years of age – broke into the house and opened its doors to the
rest. They punched one of the minister’s house guests – China’s minister to Tokyo,
who had played a role in acquiescing to Japanese demands – terrorized Cao’s
concubine, and set fire to his bed. The rector of Beida,
Cai Yuanpei, resigned and left the city. Thirty-two
students were arrested before being released three days later. One student
died, but only because the demonstration had exacerbated his
tuberculosis.10
The students
endeavored to prove to western observers that this was a modern protest enacted
in an orderly manner in the public spaces and new thoroughfares of Beijing. In
the words of one leader, it was an awakening of sorts: ‘a a
new way of doing things, applying a new method of thinking, using colloquial,
easily understood language to communicate with the masses, and using effective
organizational techniques … It embodied the progress of the age.’11 For them,
it heralded a ‘life or death’ struggle that propelled them out into the world.
The key activists were now younger, a self-conscious and exclusive generation;
there was an invisible threshold by which, if one was born too early or too
late, one was on the wrong side of history as they understood it. They shared a
conviction that the generation before them was ill-equipped for leadership and
had, by its failings, relinquished such a role. But this fissure was more
imaginary – and exaggerated for effect – than real. They were somewhat
selective in their self-fashioning, even choosing some of their intellectual
inspirations, which included members of the generation in between, the
generation of ‘lasts and firsts.’ Lu
Xun was thirty-seven years old and had spent most of the last decade
trapped in the bureaucratic inertia the students were challenging. Chen Duxiu was forty. He had
increasing doubts about the efficacy of the students as yet another ‘movement
of constitutions.’ Soon, however, two of his own sons would break with him and
head abroad.12
Almost immediately,
‘May Fourth’ came to symbolize a rejection of the old ways and the birth of a
new culture: another fury of enlightenment. Demonstrations and boycotts soon
spread to the divided port cities. The moment news of the protest reached Shanghai
on 5 May, a city-wide students’ union was formed encompassing some sixty-one
schools. It garnered wider support with the fourth anniversary of China’s
acquiescence to Japan’s Twenty-One Demands, which fell on 9 May, and through a
boycott, took on a more popular dimension. By 15 June, there was a five-day
shutdown of the city’s Japanese cotton mills in a strike involving some 30,000
laborers. Perhaps the largest single episode of violence occurred in Tokyo
itself, on 7 May, when 400 demonstrating Chinese students were confronted with
more than 1,000 Japanese cavalrymen; over a quarter of the protestors were
injured, though none fatally.13 If May Fourth saw the advent of ‘students’ as
new political and social actors, its legacy lay as much in their methods as
what they thought and symbolized. The longer-term and deeper strands of
activity that lay behind these events were located not only in the sites where
the most prominent champions of the new ideas were found but also in provincial
cities away from the coast. In Wuhan's cities, for example, the heart of the
1911 Wuchang uprising, there was an interlocking world of literary and study
societies, cooperative bookstores, and bodies such as the YMCA it's hiking,
singing, socializing, and group discussions. These overlapped with mutual aid
societies on a more radical model.14 Similar constellations were to be found in
other Chinese cities. As one young writer explained it: As to the actions which
should be undertaken once we have united, there is one extremely violent party,
which uses the method ‘Do unto others as they do unto you’ to struggle
desperately to the end with the aristocrats and capitalists. The leader of this
party is a man named Marx who was born in Germany. There is another party more
moderate than that of Marx. It does not expect rapid results but begins by
understanding the common people. Men should all have a morality of mutual aid
and work voluntarily. As for the aristocrats and capitalists, it suffices that
they repent and turn toward the good and work and help people rather than them
harming them; it is not necessary to kill them. The ideas of this party are
broader and more far-reaching. They want to unite the whole globe into a single
country, unite the human race in a single-family, and attain together in peace,
happiness, and friendship – not friendship as understood by the Japanese – an
age of prosperity. The leader of this party is a man named Kropotkin, who was
born in Russia.15
The author was a
young history teacher and review editor in Hunan province called Mao Zedong. He
had recently returned from Beijing where, between August 1918 and March 1919,
he had been one of the many non-students who attended classes at Beida and had worked in the university’s library. Before
that, he had formed part of the active circle based around the Hunan First
Normal School in Changsha, a reformist teacher-training college whose
curriculum combined classical Chinese pedagogy with new forms of learning that
included many thinkers from the European Enlightenment. Its teachers had spent
time in Japan, Germany, and even Scotland, and they introduced New Youth to
their students.16 One of the Hunan group's principal acts, spearheaded by Mao
Zedong, set up a ‘Culture Books’ agency in Changsha. In the absence of a
‘national’ press, it signed up subscribers to newspapers from Beijing and
Shanghai, particularly for their literary and political supplements.17 In an
important sense, therefore, much of the intellectual substance of May Fourth
had already permeated these circles. In other places, May Fourth was distant
thunder. In the interior of Fujian province, in Zhangping,
only a handful of people read the newspapers in the local reading room. News of
strikes and boycotts in the region or what happened in Beijing normally took
some time to filter through. No student had ever seen a copy of New Youth. But
then, here too, the effects of May Fourth were eventually felt. As one
nineteen-year-old, Zheng Chaolin,
later remembered it: ‘Students who normally never stirred were now active;
students who never spoke were now voluble. The reading room was crowded,
current events were common knowledge, and, most important of all, the students
now controlled their own association.’18
Underneath Yuan Shikai center:
Russian Revolution and East Asia
In late 1917 when the Bolsheviks swept to power in
Russia, the existing order in Asia was changed dramatically. First, the Russo-Japanese
alliance collapsed, and the Russian Revolution presented a new opportunity for
Japan to extend its interest in Siberia. Japan could leverage this into gaining
further control in Manchuria. While Japan was busy preparing its military
expedition into Russia, it was also pressuring China to sign a treaty giving
Japan full control of Manchuria and the Chinese army, using the excuse of
dealing with German soldiers in Russia and preventing the spread of
revolutionary currents from Russia to East Asia.
In early February
1918, when Japan first pressed this issue, China made it clear that if the
so-called German threat came at its Russian border, China would itself manage
the situation. But Japan pushed hard. On 2 March, the Chinese Foreign Ministry
agreed in principle that China would negotiate with Japan regarding the joint
defense if the latter were really sincere in its promise that afterward, the
Japanese troops within Chinese territory would be entirely withdrawn. As it did
with the Twenty-one Demands, Japan asked China to keep the discussions and
alleged agreements strictly secret. Viscount Motono
told Zhang Zongxiang, Chinese minister to Japan, that "before the joint defense agreement is made
known, we shouldn't disclose anything in words to the Allied countries, but
should wait until such a time when the two countries can jointly confer with
them."
The agreement did not
last long. On 27 January 1921, Japan was compelled to cancel. In mid-May, the
Terauchi Masatake government and Beijing concluded and signed the joint defense
agreements; the army section was signed on May 16, the naval section three days
later. Its provisions enabled Japanese troops to move freely throughout most of
China. To continue receiving its financial support, the Republic of China (the Beiyang government that sat in its capital Peking between
1912 and 1928) even agreed that Japan could keep Shandong's interests in a
secret agreement signed on September 24, 1918.
These secret
arrangements were important for two reasons. First, they sowed the seeds of
China's failure at the Paris Peace Conference regarding the Shandong issue.
Second, the joint defense agreement aroused strong opposition among China's
foreign policy public, especially college students, with nationwide
demonstrations coming as a forerunner of the May Fourth Movement. Indeed, when
the news regarding the secret treaty with Japan leaked out, the Chinese people
immediately protested. Thirty-seven groups in Shanghai alone sent a telegram on
April 23 to the Beiyang government, declaring their
opposition to the alleged treaty. Many influential social groups, including the
United Association of National Commerce and provincial education commissions,
openly expressed their dissent. Many societies sent delegates to Beijing to
petition the government directly not to sign the treaty. They all pointed out
that such agreements would only damage China's national interest and claims to
sovereignty. Some protesters felt this was worse than the Twenty-one Demands.
Among the protesters, students were the most active and vocal. Chinese students
in Japan demonstrated, refused to go to class, and many returned to China.
Beijing students organized demonstrations in front of the presidential office,
demanding rejection of the treaty. Students in other places such as Tianjin and
Shanghai also took similar actions.
Part 2: Issues like
the Asian Monroe Doctrine, how relations between China and Japan from the 1890s
onward transformed the region from the hierarchy of time to the hierarchy of
space, Leninist and Wilsonian Internationalism, western and Eastern Sovereignty,
and the crucial March First and May Fourth movements were covered in: Part Two Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?
Part 3: The important
Chinese factions beyond 1919 and the need for China to create a new
Nation-State and how Japan, in turn, sought to expand into Asia through liberal
imperialism and then sought to consolidate its empire through liberal
internationalism were covered in: Part Three Can a
potential future Pacific War be avoided?
Part 4: The various
arrangements between the US and Japan, including The Kellogg–Briand Pact or
Pact in 1928 and The Treaty for the Limitation and Reduction of Naval Armament
of 1930. Including that American policy toward Japan until shortly before the Pearl
Harbor attack was not the product of a rational, value-maximizing decisional
process. Rather, it constituted the cumulative, aggregate outcome of several
bargaining games which would enable them to carry out their preferred Pacific
strategy was covered in: Part Four Can a
potential future Pacific War be avoided?
Part 5: The
Manchurian crisis and its connection to the winding road to World War II are
covered in: Part Five Can a potential future
Pacific War be avoided?
Part 6:The war itself
quickly unfolded in favor of Japan’s regionalist ambitions, a subject we
carried through to the post-world war situation. Whereby we also discussed when
Japan saw itself in a special role as mediator between the West (“Euro-America”)
and the East (“Asia”) to “harmonize” or “blend” the two civilizations and
demanded that Japan lead Asia in this anti-Western enterprise there are
parallels with what Asim Doğan in his extensive new book describes how the
ambiguous and assertive Belt and Road Initiative is a matter of special concern
in this aspect. The Tributary System, which provides concrete evidence of how
Chinese dynasties handled with foreign relations, is a useful reference point
in understanding its twenty-first-century developments. This is particularly
true because, after the turbulence of the "Century of Humiliation"
and the Maoist Era, China seems to be explicitly re-embracing its history and
its pre-revolutionary identity in: Part
Six Can a potential future Pacific War be avoided?
Part 7: Part Seven Can a potential future
Pacific War be avoided?
Part 8: While
initially both the nationalist Chiang Kai-shek (anti-Mao Guomindang/KMT),
including Mao's Communist Party (CCP), had long supported
independence for Taiwan rather than reincorporation into China, this started to
change following the publication of the New Atlas of China's Construction
created by cartographer Bai Meichu in 1936. A turning
point for Bai and others who saw China's need to create a new Nation-State was
the Versailles peace conference's outcome in 1919 mentioned in part one. Yet that
from today's point of view, the fall of Taiwan to China would be seen
around Asia as the end of American predominance and even as “America’s Suez,”
hence demolishing the myth that Taiwan has no hope is critical. And
that while the United States has managed to deter Beijing from taking
destructive military action against Taiwan over the last four decades because
the latter has been relatively weak, the risks of this approach inches
dangerously close to outweighing its benefits. Conclusion and outlook.
1. Erez Manela, The
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2. The classic works
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