By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
The Only Way Is To Defeat Hamas
The war Israel
launched on Hamas after the group’s horrific October 7
attacks is a righteous mission. Hamas fighters massacred hundreds of
innocent people, deliberately killed children and the elderly, and raped and
mutilated women. They abducted hundreds of civilians—including women, infants,
and octogenarians—and held them captive in dismal conditions, subject to abuse
and starvation. Their actions contravened any sense of law and humanitarian
principles. The slaughterers, still spattered with blood, made gleeful boasts
about their atrocities that were broadcast in horrific videos and quoted in
news articles. In response, Israel has waged a just war of self-defense.
But Israelis are not
the only ones suffering. Tens of thousands of people have been killed in Gaza,
many of them civilians, including thousands of women and children. The war is
especially cruel because the fighting is taking place in congested population
centers and because the enemy has turned schools, mosques, and hospitals—places
where civilians seek shelter—into military command centers, communications
hubs, and weapons factories and caches. Hamas, which governs Gaza, has turned
the people it is obligated to protect into human shields. While Hamas’s leaders
and fighters hide in Gaza’s hundreds of miles of underground tunnels, civilians
are defenseless in the line of fire.
Understandably,
Palestinians see the conflict differently than Israelis. Most tolerate or may
even support Hamas because, in their eyes, it is waging a war of liberation
against Israeli occupation, even if they reject the group’s radical Islamist
agenda or recognize the inherent depravity of its sacrifice of civilians.
Hamas, despite its methods, is gaining support not just among Palestinians but
also in Arab-majority countries and Muslim-majority countries outside the
Middle East.
The rest of the world
is watching, too. As time passes and the number of Palestinians killed
continues to rise, Hamas’s atrocities on October 7 are fading from public
consciousness, and Israel has weakened its case to possess the moral high
ground. The recent strike that mistakenly killed seven workers from the relief
organization World Central Kitchen who were trying to provide food to the Gazan
population has further diminished Israel’s international standing. The
global narrative has definitively shifted in favor of Israel’s enemies.
Israel needs to win
back the narrative if it is to win the wider war. Making a convincing case is
not about choosing different words—it requires Israel to change its approach.
The country’s leaders have failed to outline political objectives for the war,
and at this point, continued fighting will not bring the Israeli and
Palestinian peoples closer to long-term peace. Israel must now launch a
diplomatic track that revives the ultimate goal of a two-state solution, and it
needs new leadership to do so. Only by demonstrating its commitment to a
negotiated settlement can Israel reclaim the support it needs from partners in
Europe, the Middle East, and the United States, which has been undercut by the
past six months of war in Gaza.
Finding A Winning Narrative
International
perceptions of Israel’s war with Hamas are especially important in an era when
information is relayed directly from the battlefield to online media consumers,
in real time and without filtration. Unlike battlegrounds in previous
conflicts, the combat zone today is measured not by the range of weaponry but
by the reach of an Internet signal. For many viewers at home, the war has
become something of a television miniseries. People around the world reach
conclusions about the justice of a particular military operation not on the
basis of a legal debate but through the prism of their particular media
consumption. The public decides who is right and who is not and which side is
good and which is bad, and it puts pressure on its government to craft policy
accordingly. The cumulative effect of global opinion is critical to Israel’s
prospects for victory. If Israel’s partners deny it military, economic, or
diplomatic support at a pivotal moment, Israel might lose the war despite
battlefield successes.
Israel has had global
opinion on its side before. International support for Israel was strong during
the 1990s after the signing of the Oslo accords, which were intended to lead to
a Palestinian state—even though Israel was waging an uncompromising battle
against Palestinian terrorism at the same time. The international community
considered this fight legitimate, however, because Israel was genuinely
engaging in a parallel diplomatic track aimed at bringing about peace for both
peoples. I was serving as the director of the Shin Bet, Israel’s internal
security service, during this period. Our collaboration with Palestinian
security organizations led to a dramatic decrease in Hamas terrorism, but my
Palestinian partners also made it clear that their continued cooperation
depended on political progress toward the end of occupation and the
establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel.
Yet what the world
now sees is an Israel whose government denies the existence of a Palestinian
people and strives to establish a “Greater Israel” by building more settlements
in the West Bank—and potentially in Gaza, as well—and moving toward annexation
of parts or all of the Palestinian territories. Seen through this lens,
Israel’s war in Gaza looks less like a just war conducted in self-defense and
more like an act of expansionist aggression.
No one should be
naive about Hamas. It is a murderous organization that must not be allowed to
remain in charge of Gaza. In every position I held in the Israeli security
establishment, I treated Hamas as a ruthless terrorist group that Israel must
fight. I opposed any attempt to negotiate with Hamas because such outreach
boosted the group’s power and weakened that of the Palestinian Authority, which
had recognized the Israeli people’s right to have a country.
Israel cannot win
this war merely by disarming Hamas and eliminating its leadership. Even if
Israel prevails on the battlefield, Hamas’s ideology will not disappear. The
group will be truly defeated only when it loses the support of the Palestinian
people. For that to happen, they must have reason to believe in a diplomatic
process that will bring about the creation of a Palestinian state alongside
Israel.
Words Into Action
At this point, there
are only two things Israel can do to change the story: choose new leaders and
return to the goal of a two-state solution as part of a diplomatic end to this
war. To regain global support, Israel—a country founded after the Holocaust to
safeguard the survival of the Jewish people—must accept the resolutions of the
international community and work to create a reality of two states for two
peoples. Pursuing that path would demonstrate that Israel’s war in Gaza is an
act of legitimate self-defense and would show the world that the target of the
war is not the Palestinian people but Hamas, a jihadi terrorist organization
that seeks to destroy Israel and drive Jews out of the Holy Land.
Seeking a two-state
reality is not just a means to win back international support. It is also vital
to achieve a political victory over Hamas and to ensure Israel’s long-term
security. In a November 1997 interview with Filastin al-Muslima, a
monthly magazine published by Hamas, the group’s founder, Sheikh Ahmed Yassin,
was asked about the prospects for war against Israel. He claimed that the only
thing that would prevent Hamas’s eventual victory—defined as the establishment
of a Greater Palestine stretching from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean
Sea, governed under a sharia-based constitution—would be a scenario in which
Israel accepted a Palestinian state alongside its own. Were the two-state
solution to become reality, Yassin said, Palestinian society would not support
Hamas’s preferred path. And without popular backing among Palestinians, Hamas
would not exist as a political and military entity.
Yassin was right. A
two-state solution would not be a defeat for Israel but a victory—and would be
the only way to truly weaken Hamas. Pursuing that outcome would represent
neither a capitulation to terrorism nor a submission to American diktats.
Rather, it is the best way to realize the Zionist dream of an enduring state of
Israel that is Jewish and democratic.
A War Without An End
In his 1990
book War and Strategy, the retired Israeli general turned scholar
Yehoshafat Harkabi made a crucial distinction between
the thinking of military leaders and that of statesmen. “In military thinking,
the enemy is a collection of targets that need to be attacked; in diplomatic
thinking, the enemy is a human and political entity that also needs to be won
over and satisfied,” he wrote. “In military thinking, we are indifferent to the
adversary’s agonies and therefore seek to increase them; in diplomatic
thinking, we must be mindful of his pain as well.”
In this war, Israel
has no statesmen and no diplomatic thinking. At the beginning of the war,
Israel’s cabinet decided to ignore “the day after” in Gaza because merely
having a discussion of the “political goal” of the operation would undermine
the stability of the governing coalition. The cabinet’s members are hemmed in
by their own political considerations, and they are taking the country down a
dangerous road.
This failure of
leadership has left Israel without a concept of victory beyond military
accomplishments. War has become an end in itself, rather than a means to
achieve a better political reality. Israeli history demonstrates that wars
without political objectives drag on for years and conclude only after
inflicting great trauma. After the 1973 Yom Kippur War, in which around 2,650
Israelis were killed, the Israeli government recognized that it could not
guarantee security through military means alone, and it changed its defense
doctrine accordingly. Israel accepted Egyptian President Anwar Sadat’s peaceful
overture in 1977 and began withdrawing its forces from the Sinai Peninsula in
1979. The Egyptian-Israeli peace deal signed in 1979 provided Israel with real
security on what had historically been its most dangerous front. Despite that
successful record, however, Israel seems to have forgotten the lesson that
political agreements provide the best route to security.
Today Israel is
sinking in quicksand in Gaza. The disaster on February 29, in which more than
100 Palestinian civilians were killed and hundreds more injured as they
surrounded trucks of humanitarian aid guarded by soldiers in the Israeli
Defense Forces, together with the killing of the seven World Central Kitchen
workers and the lack of declared political objectives, have almost totally
erased the legitimacy of a war that most of the world considered unavoidable
when Israel was attacked in October. If Israel does not now announce attainable
political goals and activate a diplomatic channel to achieve them, the war will
march the country to the precipice.
Israel must
acknowledge that its past mistakes enabled Hamas’s October 7 attack, which most
Palestinians now see as a victory. These mistakes include Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu’s policy of bolstering Hamas, which involved encouraging
Qatar to send the group millions of dollars while undercutting the Palestinian
Authority, Hamas’s rival in the West Bank. To turn Hamas’s victory into defeat,
Israel must use this moment to embark on a diplomatic track.
Israel can no longer reach
any meaningful objectives through the continuation or intensification of its
military operation in Gaza. Pressing forward in an attempt to kill Hamas’s
remaining leaders will not bring Israel a wider political victory, even if that
narrow goal is achieved—it will only boost Hamas’s power on the Palestinian
street.
Victory Through Diplomacy
The Palestinian issue
is now widely understood to be the linchpin of any potential regional accord.
And the Biden administration has insisted that only an accord that leads to a
two-state reality will enable the creation of a moderate Middle Eastern bloc
that can serve as a counterweight to Iran and its proxies both in Gaza and
across Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen.
Israel’s immediate
priority must be to bring home all of the hostages still held in Gaza. Doing so
would not be a military victory but a victory for morality and communal
responsibility, a repayment of the debt owed to those who were forsaken by the
Israeli government and the entire defense establishment. Like any debt, there
is a price attached. The country will be forced to free terrorists held in
Israeli prisons, including people with the blood of Israeli civilians on their
hands. But Israel must agree to as long a cease-fire as necessary to secure the
hostages’ release.
Then, in the longer
term, Israel must choose between two courses of action. The first is to
continue the occupation and creeping annexation of the West Bank. That path
spells ongoing war, international isolation, and the loss of Israel’s Jewish
and democratic character. The second is to pursue a diplomatic accord that will
lead to an agreement with the Palestinian people within a regional framework.
The United States and Europe would oversee such an agreement, and it would
include normalization with Saudi Arabia and aim to build a broader coalition
with moderate Sunni countries, such as Egypt, Jordan, and the Gulf states.
Israel can only be
secure if we choose the second option and participate in international “day
after” discussions. The goal should be a regional accord that is based on UN
General Assembly and Security Council resolutions 242 and 338, which
established the “land for peace” framework for Israeli-Palestinian
negotiations, and on the Arab Peace Initiative, first raised two decades ago by
Saudi Arabia, which provides a blueprint for member states of the Arab League
to establish normal relations with Israel. All these plans call for a
Palestinian state alongside Israel, with strong security guarantees.
In spite of all the
challenges Israel faces, there is cause for optimism, especially stemming from
the strength of Israeli civil society. For ten months before October 7,
hundreds of thousands of Israeli citizens flooded the streets, defending
Israel’s justice system from the government’s attempt to take it over. They
proved that they are the guardians of Israeli democracy.
Yet this struggle for
democracy ignored the occupation and the existence of the Palestinians as a
people. On October 7, Israelis were reminded that there is no way to separate
the occupation from democracy—or from security. Walls alone, no matter how high
or deep, cannot protect Israel. If Hamas or groups like it think they have
nothing to lose, they will choose the “Samson option,” risking all to find ways
to get past any barrier Israel can erect.
More and more
Israelis are now returning to the streets in anger over their government’s
inability to protect its citizens and to define achievable goals for the war.
They are calling for the release of the hostages still held in Gaza and new
elections to replace the Israeli government. Only a coalition that excludes
right-wing extremists can chart a course toward lasting peace. With a bold new
leadership that recognizes the failure of policies advanced by the hard right,
and with the support of the Israeli public and the country’s friends around the
world, Israel may finally be able to climb out of its grief and agony and reach
for a sustainable political settlement.
Since October 7, the motto “Together We Will Win” has
rallied the Israeli public in the fight against the perpetrators of that day’s
attacks. But Israelis must remember that any military victory will turn into
defeat if it undermines the core values of a Jewish and democratic Israel.
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