By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
To know the context
of what follows start with the overview here, and for a reference list of personalities involved.
To Israelis, October
7, 2023, is the worst day in their country’s 75-year history. Never before
have so many of them been massacred and taken hostage on a single day.
Thousands of heavily armed Hamas fighters managed to break through the Gaza
Strip’s fortified border and into Israel, rampaging unimpeded for hours,
destroying several villages, and committing gruesome acts of brutality before
Israeli forces could regain control. Israelis have compared the attack to the
Holocaust; Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has described Hamas as “the new
Nazis.” In response, the Israel Defense Forces have pursued an open-ended
military campaign in Gaza driven by rage and the desire for revenge. Netanyahu
promises that the IDF will fight Hamas until it achieves “total victory,”
although even his own military has been hard put to define what this means. He
has offered no clear idea of what should happen when the fighting stops, other
than to assert that Israel must maintain security control of all of Gaza and
the West Bank.
For Palestinians,
the Gaza war is the worst event they have experienced in 75
years. Never have so many of them been killed and uprooted since the nakba, the catastrophe that befell them during
Israel’s war of independence in 1948, when hundreds of thousands of
Palestinians were forced to give up their homes and became refugees. Like the
Israelis, they also point to terrible acts of violence: by late March, Israel’s
military campaign had taken the lives of tens of thousands of Palestinians,
among them thousands of children, and rendered well over a million homeless. As
the Palestinians see it, the Israeli offensive is part of a larger plan to
incorporate all Palestinian lands into the Jewish state and get them to abandon
Gaza entirely—an idea that has been raised by some members of Netanyahu’s
government. The Palestinians also hold on to the illusion of return, the
principle that they will one day be able to reclaim their historic homes in
Israel itself—a kind of Palestinian Zionism that, like Israel’s maximalist
aspirations, can never come true.
Ever since the first
Zionists began to conceive of a Jewish homeland in Palestine in the
late nineteenth century, Jewish leaders and their Arab counterparts have
understood that an all-encompassing settlement between them was likely
impossible. As early as 1919, David Ben-Gurion, Israel’s first prime minister,
recognized that there could be no peace in Palestine. Both the Jews and the
Arabs, he observed, were claiming the land for themselves, and both were doing
so as nations. “There is no solution to this question,” he repeatedly declared.
“There is an abyss between us, and nothing can fill that abyss.” The inevitable
conflict, he concluded, could at best be managed—limited or contained, perhaps,
but not resolved.
In the
months since the October 7 attacks, critics of Netanyahu, noting his
efforts to bolster Hamas and his push for Arab normalization deals that
sideline the Palestinian issue, have accused him of trying to manage the
conflict rather than end it. But that complaint misreads history. Netanyahu’s
cardinal blunder was not his attempt to parry the issues that divide Jews and
Arabs. It was that he did so more incompetently—and with more disastrous
consequences—than anyone else over the past century. Indeed, conflict management
is the only real option that either side and their international interlocutors,
have ever had. From its beginnings, the conflict has always been perpetuated by
religion and mythology—violent fundamentalism and messianic prejudices,
fantasies and symbols, and deep-rooted anxieties—rather than by concrete
interests and calculated strategies. The irrational nature of the conflict has
been the main reason why it could never be resolved. Only by confronting this
enduring reality can world leaders begin to approach a crisis that demands not
more empty talk of solutions for the future but urgent action to better cope
with the present.
This Land Is My Land
Not far from the
grave of Theodor Herzl, the father of political Zionism,
on the mountain in Jerusalem that bears his name, is a national memorial to
generations of Jewish victims of terrorism. The monument reflects an Israeli
tendency to try to prove that Jews were persecuted by Arabs in Palestine long
before the first Zionists set foot there. The earliest victim mentioned is a
Jew from Lithuania who was killed by an Arab in 1851 after a financial dispute,
and the eviction of some Arabs, related to the rebuilding of a synagogue in the
Old City of Jerusalem. The memorial also mentions several Jewish victims of
Arab robberies and 13 Jews who were killed in British bombing raids on
Palestine during World War I. Palestinian historiography and commemorative
culture rely on a similarly tendentious use of history.
At the beginning of the nineteenth century, fewer than 7,000 Jews
were living in Palestine, making up about 2.5 percent of the population of what
was then an Ottoman province. Some of their communities had been there for many
centuries. As more Arabs and Jews migrated there, the territory’s population
grew, and with it the relative proportion of Jews. Most Arabs came from
neighboring countries in search of employment. Most of the Jews came for
religious reasons and as refugees from pogroms in Eastern Europe, and they
tended to settle in the Old City of Jerusalem. These immigrants had no
intention of establishing Jewish statehood in Palestine. Most Jews at the time
did not believe in the Zionist ideology, and many of them even opposed secular
Zionism on religious grounds.
By the end of the
nineteenth century, there were about half a million Arabs in Palestine, whereas
the number of Jews, although it had increased steadily, was around 50,000, or
about one-tenth of the population. Nonetheless, Herzl’s international activities,
including a visit in 1898 to Jerusalem, where he was received by the German
Kaiser Wilhelm II, began to worry leaders of the Palestinian Arabs.
The following year,
Yusuf Diya al-Khalidi, the mayor of Jerusalem, expressed his concerns about the
Zionists in a remarkable letter written to the chief rabbi of France. “Who
could contest the rights of the Jews in Palestine?” Khalidi began in polite, even
sympathetic, French prose. “My God, historically it is your country!” But that
history was now deep in the past, he continued. “Palestine is an integral part
of the Ottoman Empire, and more gravely, it is inhabited by others,” Khalidi
wrote. The world was big enough, with plenty of uninhabited land for Jewish
independence, he concluded.
“For God’s sake—let
Palestine be left alone!” Herzl, who received the letter from the French chief
rabbi, assured Khalidi in his reply that the Zionists would develop the land
for the benefit of all inhabitants, including the Arabs. Previously, however, he
had written that the Zionist project might require the resettlement of poor
Palestinians to neighboring countries.
Around the time of
Herzl’s death, in 1904, young Zionists, mostly socialists from Eastern Europe,
began to come to Palestine. One was David Gruen, who later changed his name to
David Ben-Gurion. Born in Poland, he arrived in 1906 at the age of 20 and joined
a Jewish workers’ group in the Galilee. His first political activity was the
promotion of “Hebrew labor”—an attempt to require Jewish employers to hire Jews
rather than Arabs. At the time, the Zionists’ acquisition of land also led to
the dispossession of some Arab agricultural workers, some of whom reacted
violently. In the spring of 1909, Ben-Gurion’s settlement was attacked, and two
of his fellow members were killed, one of them apparently in front of
Ben-Gurion. The future prime minister of Israel concluded that the Jews and the
Palestinian Arabs had irreconcilable differences; there was no escaping the
conflict.
Ben-Gurion’s attitude
toward the Arabs was further shaped by two other experiences. During World War
I, he was expelled from Palestine by the Ottoman authorities. On one of his
last days in Jerusalem, he ran into a young Arab with whom he had studied in Istanbul.
When Ben-Gurion reported that he was about to be expelled, his acquaintance
replied that as his dear friend, he was deeply sorry for him, but as an Arab
nationalist, he was very happy. “That was the first time in my life that I
heard an honest answer from an Arab intellectual,” Ben-Gurion said. “His words
burned themselves into my heart, very, very deeply.” Years later, Ben-Gurion
had a conversation with Musa Alami, a prominent Arab Palestinian and
politician. Ben-Gurion promised as usual that the Zionists would develop
Palestine for all its inhabitants. According to Ben-Gurion, Alami replied that
he would rather leave the land poor and desolate for another century, if need
be, until the Arabs could develop it themselves.
Ben-Gurion often
dismissed the “easy solutions” that he attributed to some of his colleagues,
such as the notion that Jews could be encouraged to learn Arabic or even that
Jews and Arabs could live together in one state. They were refusing to
acknowledge the facts. Ben-Gurion’s own concept of the Jewish future in
Palestine was based simply on acquiring as much land as possible, if not
necessarily the entire territory, and populating it with as many Jews and as
few Arabs as possible. His views about the conflict remained unchanged to the
end of his life and continuously informed his efforts to manage it.
Switzerland In Judea
In 1917, the Zionist
movement achieved one of its most important successes when British Foreign
Secretary Arthur Balfour declared the United Kingdom to be in favor
of establishing a “national home” for the Jewish people in Palestine. The
Balfour Declaration, as it became known, was part of a strategic British plan
to take the Holy Land from Ottoman dominion. In reality, like almost everything
to do with that land, Balfour’s policy was driven more by sentimental religious
ideas than by rational statecraft. A staunch Christian Zionist, Balfour was
committed to the idea that the people of God should return to their homeland
after a 2,000-year exile so that they could fulfill their biblical destiny. He
aspired to go down in history as the man who made this messianic transformation
possible.
As was often the case
with Western officials at the time, Balfour’s apparent reverence for the Jews
simultaneously drew on deep anti-Semitic prejudice. Like others of his era, he
attributed almost unlimited power and influence to “the Jew,” including an ability
to determine history and even convince the United States to enter World War I.
(It was hoped that the Balfour Declaration would sway American Jews to push the
United States to join the Allied powers in the war.)
By the end of 1917,
the United Kingdom had conquered Palestine, thus beginning nearly 30 years of
British rule. During this period, the Zionist movement laid the political,
economic, cultural, and military foundations for the future state of Israel.
Tensions with the Arabs increased over the years as hundreds of thousands of
new Jewish immigrants, mainly from Europe, continued to arrive. In the 1920s,
these immigrants were motivated not by support for Zionism but by the severe
new immigration restrictions imposed by the United States. In the 1930s, more
than 50,000 Jewish refugees arrived in Palestine from Nazi Germany, although in
less desperate circumstances most of them would have preferred to stay in their
country.
Large-scale
immigration of Jews sparked more waves of Arab violence against Jews and
against the British authorities, who were seen as supporting Zionist aims. This
came to a head in the Arab revolt of 1936–39, in which Palestinians rose up
against the British colonial administration through a general strike, an armed
insurrection, and attacks on railways and Jewish settlements. Amid this
turmoil, the British began to regard Palestine as a nuisance. To get rid of the
problem, they appointed the so-called Peel Commission, which recommended
dividing the land into Jewish and Arab states—the very first “two-state”
solution.
1. British Mandate
Palestine in 1933. 2. The UN’s 1947 two-state partition plan, with Jerusalem
and surrounding areas under international trusteeship. 3. Israel-held territory
after the 1967 war, including Sinai, which was eventually returned to Egypt in
1982.
Although the Jewish
state it envisioned was small, amounting to just 17
percent of British Mandate Palestine, Ben-Gurion supported the plan. Notably,
Arab inhabitants of the area designated for the Jewish state were to be
transferred to the Arab state, a provision that he described in his diary as a
“forced transfer,” drawing a thick line under the words. Most of his
colleagues, however, wanted much more land for the Jewish state, setting off a
contentious debate between the center-left Zionist leadership and right-wing
“Revisionists” who cultivated a dream of a Greater Israel on both banks of the
Jordan River. Although they stood to gain control of about 75 percent of the
land, the Arabs rejected the idea of a Jewish state in principle, and the
British withdrew the plan. Here, again, was the “abyss” between Jews and Arabs
that Ben-Gurion had identified years earlier and that would become even deeper
after the Holocaust and the war of 1948.
In January 1942, a
few weeks before Nazi leaders met at the infamous Wannsee Conference to discuss
the “Final Solution to the Jewish Question. At the time, no one outside
Germany knew about the Nazis’ planned extermination camps, but their treatment
of Jews in occupied Western Europe and during Germany’s ruthless assault on the
Soviet Union had already made clear that the Nazis were threatening the
existence of the entire Jewish people. Only total victory over the Third Reich
could halt the extermination of the Jews, and although Weizmann expressed hope
that a better world could be built after the war, his article was an urgent
appeal for a Jewish homeland. Palestine, he wrote, was the only place where
Jews, particularly Jewish refugees, could survive.
From a Zionist
perspective, Weizmann’s proposal contained elements of compromise: more than 20
years earlier, at the Versailles peace conference after World War I, he had
presented a map of the Land of Israel with biblical borders that extended to
the east bank of the Jordan River—territory much larger than the country would
ever attain. In his article, by contrast, Weizmann did not specify borders but
proposed unlimited Jewish immigration to a democratic country that would offer
equal rights to all its inhabitants, including Arabs. Although he wrote that
the Arabs must be “clearly told that the Jews will be encouraged to settle in
Palestine, and will control their own immigration,” he asserted that Arabs
would not be discriminated against and would “enjoy full autonomy in their own
internal affairs.” He also did not rule out the possibility that the new Jewish
state could join “in federation” with neighboring Arab states. But like
Ben-Gurion, he also foresaw the need to contain the Palestinian Arabs: should they
wish, he wrote, “every facility will be given to them to transfer to one of the
many and vast Arab countries.”
Attempting to
convince his readers that the Jews were worthy of help, Weizmann somewhat
pathetically promised that “the Jew” no longer fit the anti-Semitic stereotypes
that were prevalent in the West before the start of the Zionist project.“ When
the Jew is reunited with the soil of Palestine,” he wrote, “energies are
released” that if “given an outlet, can create values which may be of service
even to richer and more fortunate countries.” Weizmann compared the hoped-for
Zionist state to Switzerland, “another small country, also poor in natural
resources,” that had nevertheless become “one of the most orderly and stable of
European democracies.” Seven years later, he was elected the first president of
Israel. In the meantime, the Nazis had murdered six million Jews.
Unrealized Gains
In November 1947, the
UN General Assembly recommended the partition of Palestine, this time in a
division that would give each side broadly equitable areas of land, with the
Old City of Jerusalem under international control. The Arabs rejected the plan,
in accordance with their traditional objection to Jewish statehood in
Palestine. The Zionists accepted partition, although Ben-Gurion expected war
and hoped that it would end with territory that was empty of Arabs.
Soon afterward, Arab
militias began a series of attacks on the Jewish population, and Zionist groups
retaliated with actions against Arab communities. In May 1948, Ben-Gurion
declared Israel’s independence. It was a dangerous gamble. Regular Arab armies and
volunteers from Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Transjordan were
about to invade the new country, and top commanders of the Jewish armed forces
warned that the odds of defeating them were even at best. U.S. Secretary of
State George Marshall demanded an immediate cease-fire; Ben-Gurion feared that
the Zionists were not ready for war. Before the UN partition plan was
announced, he had tried in vain to persuade the British to stay in Palestine
for five to ten more years, which could have given the Jews more time to
increase immigration and strengthen their forces.
But faced with the
historic opportunity to declare a Jewish state, Ben-Gurion chose to obey a
Zionist imperative that he said had guided him since the age of three. He later
explained that the Israelis won not because they were better at fighting but
because the Arabs were even worse. In keeping with his abiding view that
establishing a Jewish majority was more important than gaining territory, he
led the army to push out or expel most of the Arabs—some 750,000—who fled to
the West Bank, East Jerusalem, and Gaza, which Ben-Gurion left unoccupied, as
well as to neighboring Arab countries. A direct line could be traced from the
Zionists’ campaign in the 1920s to replace Arab workers with Jews to the far
larger effort in 1948 to remove Arabs from the land of the new Jewish state.
Israel lost close to 6,000 soldiers in that war, nearly one percent of the new
country’s Jewish population at the time.
Israeli troops firing at an Arab village in the
Galilee region, 1948
When the war ended in
early 1949, green pencils were used to draw armistice boundaries between Israel
and its Arab neighbors, the famous “Green Line.” Gaza became an Egyptian
protectorate, and the West Bank was annexed by Jordan. Israel now controlled more territory than it had
been allocated in the UN partition plan. It was also almost free of Arabs; the
ones who remained were subjected to a rather arbitrary and often corrupt
military rule. Most Israelis at the time saw this as an acceptable situation—a
rational way of managing the conflict. The Arabs in turn considered Israel’s
existence a humiliation that had to be remedied. In Jordan, Lebanon, and Syria,
authorities did not allow Palestinian refugees to be integrated into their new
countries of residence, forcing them instead to live in temporary camps, where
they were encouraged to nurture the idea of return.
In the first two
decades after independence, Israel made remarkable achievements. But it failed
to reach the Zionist goal of providing the entire Jewish people with a safe
national homeland. Most of the world’s Jews, including many survivors of the
Holocaust, still preferred to remain in other countries; those in the Soviet
Union and other communist countries were forbidden to emigrate by the
authorities in those places. After the 1948 war, most Middle Eastern Jews, many
of whose families had been in the region for thousands of years, no longer felt
safe in Muslim countries and chose—or were forced—to leave. Most settled in
Israel, at first often as destitute refugees. By the mid-1960s, immigrants who
had arrived since independence made up around 60 percent of the Israeli
population. Most had not yet mastered the Hebrew language, and they often
disagreed on basic values and even on how to define a Jew.
Ben-Gurion continued
to manage the conflict, but many Israelis, particularly newcomers, felt that
Israel’s existence was still in danger. Only a few close confidants knew about
Ben-Gurion’s nuclear project. Border wars frequently broke out; the IDF prepared
contingency plans for the occupation of the West Bank and Gaza. During the Suez
crisis of 1956, Israeli forces invaded Egypt, occupying Gaza and the Sinai
Peninsula, but withdrew a few months later. In a cabinet meeting, Ben-Gurion
said that if he believed in miracles, he would ask for Gaza to be swallowed up
by the sea.
After Ben-Gurion
resigned in 1963, Israelis were left with a weak and hesitant leadership and a
deep economic crisis. More and more of them began to lose confidence in
Israel’s future. In 1966, the number of Jews emigrating from the country
exceeded the number entering it. A popular joke referred to a sign supposedly
hanging at the exit gate of the international airport that read: “Would the
last person to leave the country please turn off the lights?”
Land For War
By the mid-1960s, a
new generation of Palestinian refugees had grown up on the legacy of the nakba and the dream of return. They
founded the Palestine Liberation Organization, a movement that declared a war
to free Palestinians and establish an Arab state encompassing their entire
historical land, and began carrying out attacks on military and civilian
targets in Israel. Some Palestinian militants infiltrated Israel from Syria and
Jordan. Israel responded with military reprisals, and in May 1967, Egyptian
officials openly threatened to “annihilate” Israel. As tensions rose, many Israelis doubted that their
country could survive, and the weariest ones relived their Holocaust
experiences. Playgrounds around the country were hastily prepared to serve as
burial grounds for the tens of thousands of the expected dead. Israel’s
decision to attack Egypt in June 1967 was not only a preemptive strike but also
an act of nightmarish panic.
But the surprise
attack, launching what would come to be called the Six-Day War, resulted in a
dramatic victory for the IDF. Within hours, the Egyptian air force had been
destroyed on the ground, and Israelis’ existential dread was replaced by an
almost uncontrolled triumphalism. Led by Revisionist opposition leader Menachem
Begin, who had joined Israel’s emergency cabinet on the eve of the war and
would later become prime minister, as well as some other cabinet ministers,
prominent Israeli politicians demanded the “liberation” of what they called
Greater Israel—the biblical land that included the entire West Bank and East
Jerusalem.
Such an ambition
reflected national and religious feelings, but strategically it was contested.
A few months before the war, senior officials from the IDF, the prime
minister’s office, and the Mossad, the Israeli intelligence agency, had met to
discuss the possibility that King Hussein of Jordan would be overthrown by
Palestinians living in the West Bank. At the time, the Israeli leadership
concluded that the king was working to eradicate Palestinian nationalism in
Jordan and the West Bank and that it would be advisable, indeed almost vital,
for Israel to stay out of it. After the June victory, however, none of the
cabinet ministers questioned why it would be in Israel’s interest to occupy
land that was populated by millions of Palestinians. Having just experienced a
kind of national resurrection, they were determined to acquire as much land as
possible. The impulse came from the heart, not from the head.
Ben-Gurion had
opposed the attack on Egypt because he feared defeat, including the destruction
of Israel’s nuclear reactor in Dimona. After the war,
he said that if he had to choose between a smaller state of Israel with peace
or the newly expanded boundaries without peace, he would choose the first
option. But even he could not contain his emotions when Israeli forces entered
the Arab-controlled areas of Jerusalem at the beginning of the war. Shortly
afterward, he demanded that the wall of the Old City immediately be torn down
to ensure that Jerusalem remained “united” forever.
Taking Arab Jerusalem
was a fatal decision, for neither the Israelis nor the Palestinians were likely
to agree to any compromise there. There were efforts to manage this flash
point, but these arrangements often broke down, and the eternal city has since
remained the emotional core of insoluble conflict. The Israeli conquest of the
West Bank sparked similar messianic passions, and within months, Israelis began
to settle there. Only a few realized that in the long run, occupying the
Palestinian territories would put Israel’s Jewish majority and its shaky
democracy in jeopardy. Just as there was no rational justification for the
existential hysteria that had preceded the Six-Day War, there was no rational
basis for the unbridled expansionism that took hold after it.
Despite Israel’s
victory, the 1967 war simply reinforced the underlying tensions that had long
driven the Arab-Israeli conflict. Arab countries reaffirmed their refusal to
recognize the existence of Israel; the Palestinians’ longing for their lost
homeland intensified. Every few years, another war broke out. And each side did
what it could to manage a situation that had no ready answers. Egypt was able
to make peace with Israel in 1979 mostly because Israel was not required to
give up any part of Palestine; under a similar logic, Jordan was able to follow
suit in 1994. In reaching these agreements, both Arab countries abandoned the
Palestinians in East Jerusalem, Gaza, and the West Bank, perpetuating the
people’s identity as the orphans of the Middle East.
Containment Or Catastrophe
Like Ben-Gurion and
other Israeli leaders, Netanyahu does not believe the conflict can be solved.
But he has proved even less adept than his predecessors at managing it. In an
attempt to divide and rule the Palestinians and prevent them from attaining independence,
he accepted and then encouraged the Hamas takeover of Gaza. Later, he developed
the illusion that peace with some Gulf Arab states in the 2020 Abraham Accords would weaken the Palestinian cause. Implicit in
these moves was the idea that it would be possible to control Hamas by bribing
its leaders: Israel thus allowed Qatar to deliver Hamas millions of dollars in
cash packed in suitcases. The Israeli government also issued work permits for
residents of Gaza on the premise that this economic arrangement would restrain
Hamas. This kind of bribery reflects a long tradition of Israeli condescension
toward the Arabs—a fundamental contempt for them and their national feelings.
In reality, Hamas
used much of the money to acquire thousands of rockets, some of them obtained
from Iran, that were frequently fired at Israeli cities. In reaction, Israel
imposed a blockade on the territory that made Gazans even poorer. Hamas organized a fighting force and constructed a web
of tunnels that some experts have described as the most extensive underground
fortress in the history of modern warfare. Most important, Netanyahu’s approach
disregarded Hamas’s ideological and emotional commitments, some of which
outweigh even life itself, as was illustrated by the organization’s barbarity
last October and in the months since. Israel has responded to this
indescribable catastrophe with the vengeful devastation of Gaza and its people,
a military campaign that, after more than five months, has singularly failed in
its primary goal of “total victory” over Hamas.
The history of the
Arab-Israeli conflict is rife with futile peace plans. These have varied from a
single binational state—a concept that was first proposed by Jewish
intellectuals in the 1920s, and again in the 1940s—to transforming the
Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan into a Palestinian state, an idea that has
repeatedly resurfaced since the 1967 war. Seemingly reasonable two-state
solutions have also been conceived over the years that might allow Israelis and
Palestinians to control their own destinies, in some cases with some form of
international oversight of the contested holy sites in Jerusalem.
For decades,
successive U.S. administrations have sponsored such initiatives, but rarely
have they gotten beyond the concept stage, regardless of how favorable they
might seem to one side or the other. Consider the “deal of the century,” a
two-state solution briefly proposed by the Trump administration in 2020. It
would have left Israeli settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem largely
intact and given Israel complete security control over both. Yet Jewish
settlers themselves did not support it because it gave parts of the West Bank,
as well as the outskirts of East Jerusalem, to the Palestinians. That “deal”
was merely another iteration of an enduring fantasy. There is little reason to
believe that the Biden administration’s efforts to lay down a post-Gaza peace
plan will be any more successful.
Israeli soldiers next to the United Nations Relief and
Works Agency headquarters, Gaza City, February 2024
Historically,
Israelis and Palestinians have occasionally shown a readiness to make at least
some compromises. And in the early 1990s, it seemed that peace had won after
all: the Oslo accords brought leaders of the two sides to the White House lawn
in 1993 and subsequently earned them the Nobel Peace Prize. But even then, the
results were evanescent. The following year, an Israeli fanatic massacred 29
Palestinians in a mosque in Hebron in the West Bank, setting off new waves of
terrorist attacks by Palestinians. Shortly thereafter, another Israeli
extremist assassinated Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin—just as, after the
1979 peace accord with Israel, Egyptian President Anwar Sadat had been
assassinated by an Egyptian fanatic. Acts of terrorism and the rise of
extremist forces on each side led to the end of the Oslo peace process, but in
hindsight, the plan had never had much chance of success.
The common flaw in
these international peace initiatives is a failure to contend with the
inability of the Israelis and the Palestinians to embrace a lasting solution.
Outside powers, including the United States, have never acted forcefully enough
to stop the systematic violation of human rights in the Palestinian
territories. But the primary reason the conflict endures is neither Israeli
oppression of the Palestinians nor Palestinian terrorism, but rather the
irrevocable commitment of both peoples to undivided land. These absolute
positions have increasingly become the essence of collective identities on each
side, and any compromise is likely to be denounced by significant Israeli and
Palestinian constituencies as a national and religious betrayal.
Evidently,
existential conflicts shaped around competing visions of nationhood cannot be
ended by grand solutions that neither side will support—least of all, during
the most devastating war that Israelis and Palestinians have experienced in
three-quarters of a century. But such a conflict can be managed in more or less
reasonable ways. If a century of failure has made clear that the two sides are
unlikely to be reconciled in the foreseeable future, the war in Gaza has
exposed the terrifying cataclysm that poor handling of the conflict can bring
about. When the fighting is over, imaginative, resourceful, and compassionate
management of the conflict between the two sides will be more crucial than
ever. Rather than devoting energy and political capital to deeply unpopular—and
unsustainable—peace plans, the United States and other leading powers must do
more to ensure that Palestinians and Israelis can find a safer and more
tolerable existence in a world without peace.
Countless failures in
the search for a solution to the conflict have given rise to a hypothesis that
only a catastrophe of biblical proportions could persuade either side to
rethink their delusional national creeds. The unfolding events in Israel and
Gaza may suggest that both sides have not yet suffered enough. But perhaps this
hypothesis is not rooted in reality, either.
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