By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
What Gazans Want
In early March, as
its cease-fire with Hamas began to unravel, Israel again turned to a tactic it
had used earlier in the war in Gaza: imposing a total blockade on the
territory, including a cutoff of all deliveries of food, medicine, fuel, and
electricity. The aim, according to Israeli cabinet officials, was to make life
unbearable for Gaza’s two million citizens to force Hamas to accept Israeli
demands in talks on a cease-fire extension. On social media, Finance Minister
Bezalel Smotrich, echoing statements by National Security Minister Itamar Ben
Gvir, defended the government’s decision to “completely halt” the flow of
humanitarian aid, calling it a way to open the “gates of hell . . . as quickly
and deadly as possible.” This was not an isolated remark; Smotrich had
previously suggested that blocking aid to Gaza was justified even at the cost
of mass civilian starvation. Seven weeks into the new siege, as the UN World
Food Program announced that border closings had caused all of its food stocks
in Gaza to run out, Moshe Saada, a Knesset member from Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu’s Likud Party, told Israel’s Channel 14 TV that that was the
intention: “Yes, I will starve the residents of Gaza, yes, this is our
obligation,” Saada said.
Amid a war in which tens of thousands of
civilians have been killed by more direct means, Israel’s serial blockades
of Gaza may at first appear a secondary issue. But the tactic - and
the justifications Israeli officials have offered for using it - has become a
major test for international law. This week, the International Court of Justice
(ICJ) is holding hearings on the issue, following a UN General Assembly request
to investigate whether Israel violated the UN Charter by blocking UNRWA, the
principal UN aid agency in Gaza. And in November, the International Criminal
Court (ICC) already issued international arrest warrants not only for the leaders of Hamas but also for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and
former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant for war crimes and crimes against
humanity. In the case of Hamas, the ICC charges related to atrocities committed
in the October 7, 2023, attack on Israeli civilians. At the heart of the
charges against Netanyahu and Gallant, however, is a different, and rarely
invoked crime: the ICC’s prosecutor, Karim Khan, accuses them of orchestrating
a criminal starvation policy against Gaza’s civilian population.
In its classification
of war crimes, the Rome Statute, the 1998 treaty that established the ICC,
includes “intentionally using starvation of civilians as a method of warfare,”
a tactic that can involve “willfully impeding relief supplies.” By publicly declaring
Israel’s intention to impose a total siege of Gaza and then enforcing measures
that deprive Gazans of food and other goods that are indispensable to
civilians’ survival, the ICC prosecutor alleges, Netanyahu and Gallant have
committed the war crime of starvation. It is the first time in history that a
major court has centered a war crimes prosecution on this particular charge.
As the war in
Gaz has unfolded, the consequences of the blockades have been
far-reaching. In October 2024, after a year of war during which aid shipments
often slowed to a trickle, a UN-backed food assessment found that roughly
four-fifths of Gaza’s 2.2 million population were facing “extreme hunger.” Now,
as the Israeli military dramatically escalates its new ground offensive, fears
are rising that the humanitarian crisis could again reach, or even exceed,
those catastrophic levels. Already in early April, the World Food Program
announced that all 25 of the bakeries it supports in Gaza, many of which had
been vital for civilian survival during earlier phases of the war, had been
forced to shut down because of a lack of flour and fuel. Since fuel and electricity
are needed to run the desalination plants that provide much of Gaza’s drinking
water, an estimated 91 percent of the population also faces water insecurity,
aggravating the food shortages and reviving the specter of disease. According
to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
(OCHA), the people of Gaza are now entering the longest period without relief
aid since hostilities began in October 2023. “Right now, it is probably the
worst humanitarian situation ever seen throughout the war,” a spokesperson for
OCHA said last week.
Despite these plainly
visible effects of Israeli policies, the ICC faces a steep uphill battle. For
one thing, it has never attempted to prosecute the leader of a Western country.
The arrest warrants have placed ICC member states, especially Israel’s European
allies and Canada, in a precarious position. If Netanyahu—or Gallant—enters one
of those countries, its authorities are legally required to detain him.
(Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban flouted this requirement when he hosted
Netanyahu in early April.) For its part, the United States has strongly opposed
the case against the Israelis from the outset, and President Donald
Trump has set out to destroy the ICC itself, withdrawing U.S. support for
a war crimes prosecution of Russian President Vladimir Putin and authorizing
sanctions on ICC officials in February that are aimed at making it extremely
difficult for the court to operate. Fearing that its future could be in
jeopardy, the court has rushed to pay staff salaries in advance and made an
appeal to EU member states for emergency aid. Paradoxically, the very weapon
the ICC tries to prosecute, economic coercion, is now being used against the
court itself. “The court is facing an existential threat,” ICC’s president,
Tomoko Akane, told the European Parliament in March.
Equally challenging,
however, is the substance of the ICC case. Despite its long and devastating
history, intentional starvation of a civilian population is notoriously
difficult to prove, and belligerents that have used the tactic have rarely been
held to account. Thus, the ICC’s actions highlight both the acute urgency of
the mass hunger crisis in Gaza and the persistent challenges in prosecuting
starvation as a crime. Notwithstanding these daunting legal obstacles, the ICC
prosecutor’s move has drawn international attention to a particularly dangerous
form of warfare against civilians, one that has until now gone too often under
the radar. Whether or not the ICC case succeeds, the precedent it establishes
could redraw the legal boundaries of war and force states to reckon with rules
they once thought would never apply to them.
The West’s Favorite Weapon
Although millions of
civilians died in the twentieth century as a result of siege and starvation
strategies, the effort to treat starvation as a war crime is surprisingly
recent. Unlike other war crimes codified in the aftermath of the two world
wars, the use of starvation as a weapon of armed conflict was not formally
prohibited in international law until 1977. Since then, despite the explicit
ban, prosecutions of this crime have been exceedingly rare. Most post–World War
II international criminal tribunals, including the one established in the early
1990s for wartime abuses in the former Yugoslavia, did not include forced
starvation in their founding statutes, let alone seek to prosecute it.
One of the key
reasons was that throughout the twentieth century, starvation blockades were
integral to Western strategic thinking - and, as many statesmen saw it, to the
maintenance of international order itself. During World War I, blockade
planners in both Germany and the United Kingdom regarded civilian populations
as the backbone of modern militaries: in a total war, they reasoned, cutting
off food imports for enemy civilians was not only permissible but also perhaps
necessary. Thus, beginning in 1914, the United Kingdom imposed a naval blockade
on all the Central Powers that eventually resulted in hundreds of thousands of
deaths. Indeed, so terrifyingly effective was the tactic, known in German as
the Hungerblockade, that both victors and
vanquished viewed it as a war-winning weapon that had caused the societal
collapse of Germany and Austria-Hungary in 1918.
In World War II, starvation campaigns became, if anything, even more
important, and both the Allied and Axis powers explicitly acknowledged that
their aim was to kill enemy civilians. As part of its all-out war against
Japan, for example, the United States launched Operation Starvation, a
submarine and air blockade cutting off food and raw materials. After the war,
the Nazis were held accountable for civilian starvation actions at the
Nuremberg tribunals, although such measures were subsumed under meta-crimes
such as extermination. For the victorious Allied parties, there was no
accountability at all.
The West’s strategic
embrace of starvation lasted well beyond Hitler’s downfall in 1945, and
discussion of the tactic was notably absent from much of the architecture of
postwar international law. Neither the 1948 Genocide Convention nor the
Universal Declaration of Human Rights, for example, explicitly addressed the
deliberate starvation of civilians. But it was the drafting of the Geneva
Conventions that provides the clearest window into why starvation crimes were
marginalized after World War II.
Blockader Rights and Wrongs
When state
representatives met in Geneva in mid-1949 to draft conventions for protecting
victims of war, many countries sought to enshrine stronger humanitarian
safeguards for armed conflict. In particular, the International Committee of
the Red Cross, along with many representatives from states that had been
occupied during World War II, including the Soviet Union, pushed for guarantees
of free passage for humanitarian aid and a prohibition on the destruction of
objects essential to civilian survival. But the United States and the United
Kingdom were adamant about preserving their ability to impose blockades and
resisted any provisions that might limit their naval or air power. Envisioning
possible future sieges against communist or anticolonial adversaries, they
successfully watered down these proposals.
The resulting
compromise helped lay the groundwork for a Cold War–era legal consensus on
starvation blockades. While it fell short of prohibiting the tactic, the Geneva
Conventions stigmatized the pillaging of land, protected aid workers, and
nominally recognized the principle of humanitarian access - although the
protection of that access was greatly weakened by restrictive conditions and
sweeping inspection powers, allowing blockaders to obstruct aid on even the
slightest suspicion that it might benefit the enemy.
legally tolerable
under specific circumstances. The United States, for example, used starvation
tactics on a large scale in the Vietnam War, with its systematic destruction of
crops in areas suspected of harboring communist guerrillas. Within the emerging
framework, a government at war could claim that starving enemy combatants
remained legal and that as a result, incidental civilian deaths were tragic but
nearly unavoidable outcomes of a legitimate method of modern warfare against
totalitarian enemies. As is well known, few wartime famines can be described as
deliberate from start to finish; more often, they are a consequence of blockade
policies that prioritize military needs over civilian lives.
By the 1970s,
however, a wave of newly independent countries, including in Africa, the Middle
East, and elsewhere, led a new push to further stigmatize starvation tactics,
driven by direct experience of this kind of warfare by their former colonial
overlords. In negotiations leading to the addition of two new protocols to the
Geneva Conventions in 1977, these states pressed for robust rules against
indiscriminate bombing, crop destruction, and starvation. Still, not all
postcolonial states supported a comprehensive ban. Nigeria, for example, which
had deliberately exploited the 1949 legal carve outs for blockades to
devastating effect during the Nigeria-Biafra war of the late 1960s, recognized
the tactical advantages of starvation in suppressing secessionist insurgencies.
As a result, the new international legal architecture curbed starvation tactics
in interstate wars and during occupations but stopped short of fully
criminalizing the weapon, particularly when used by poorer states against
insurgent groups in civil wars.
This outcome had
dramatic consequences. Stateless or marginalized minorities - Biafrans,
Darfuris, Kurds, Tigrayans - remained vulnerable to famine-inducing blockades
by hostile governments. Even after the Rome Statute classified starvation as a
war crime, the designation applied only to interstate armed conflicts. It took
until 2019 for countries, including Germany, to formally recognize starvation
as a crime in civil wars, as well. Still, until the ICC case against Israel, it
had never been prosecuted as a standalone offense. Despite its codification in
treaty law, charging a belligerent with starvation crimes was considered too
politically sensitive, too entangled with the military strategies of powerful
states. Deliberate starvation has persisted as a military strategy not just
because it is cheap, simple, and brutally effective but also because it is so
difficult to punish.
Cause and Effect
The ICC’s arrest
warrants against Israel’s leaders seek to challenge this long-standing
impunity. But the case also highlights the continuing difficulties of
prosecuting starvation crimes: prosecutors need to prove that the Israeli
leadership intentionally and knowingly deprived the civilian population in Gaza
of objects indispensable to their survival. As with genocide, however, it is
often extremely difficult to prove intent. In the event of mass famine in a
conflict situation, political or military leaders may be able to frame any
resultant deaths as simply an unfortunate consequence of modern warfare.
Moreover, the way
blockades are imposed can also make the crimes harder to pin down. In a bombing
campaign, for example, the source is usually unambiguous and the result
immediate and often visually spectacular. By contrast, the destructive effects
of blockades usually unfold indirectly, over time, and often out of sight. They
are also the consequence of administrative routines—permits denied, crossings
closed, shipments blocked—that are overseen by faceless bureaucrats. To
paraphrase Hannah Arendt, starvation tactics are the work of the “desk
murderer”: methodical, concealed, and often masked by some alternative
rationale, such as security imperatives or preventing weapons smuggling. This
often hidden process has long shielded starvation campaigns from legal
prosecution.
Consider Sudan’s
two-year conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support
Forces militia, which has led to calamitous food shortages for even larger
numbers of people than in Gaza. By the middle of 2024, the UN concluded that 18
million Sudanese were “acutely hungry,” including some 3.6 million children.
This dire situation was the direct consequence of actions by both sides of Sudan’s terrible civil war. The ICC prosecutor has
opened a war crimes inquiry into Sudan’s Darfur region - a region over
which the court has clear jurisdiction following a 2005 referral by the UN
Security Council - where the RSF is now besieging El Fasher, the capital of
North Darfur. Yet despite growing reports linking the humanitarian crisis
across the country to deliberate starvation tactics, the tribunal has not yet
publicly brought charges citing starvation as a war crime in the Sudanese
context. (In April, however, the ICJ took up the issue in a genocide case filed
by Sudan’s military government against the United Arab Emirates that alleges
Emirati support for starvation tactics by the RSF.)
In making the war in
Gaza the ICC’s first prosecution of starvation crimes, then, the ICC prosecutor
appears to have determined that the blunt public statements by Israeli leaders
provide unusually concrete evidence of intent, regardless of various jurisdictional
obstacles. On October 9, 2023, for example, two days after the Hamas attacks,
Gallant declared a “complete siege” of Gaza, ordering the cutoff of all
electricity, food, and fuel, and referring to Gazans as “human animals.”
Similarly, in the opening weeks of the war and again more recently, Netanyahu
publicly refused to allow humanitarian aid into Gaza. During the first year of
the war, Israel did begin to let small amounts of aid into Gaza, largely in
response to international condemnations and pressure from the Biden
administration. Yet more recently, rather than moderating such overt statements
of intent, the Israeli leadership has doubled down on its rhetoric even as it
has reimposed a total blockade and resumed its bombing campaign. In March, for
example, Gallant’s successor as defense minister, Yisrael Katz, joined other
ministers in talk of unleashing the “gates of hell” on Gazans. Such public
declarations by Israel’s political leadership have turned starvation from a war
crime that was never prosecuted into what some scholars of international law
have called “low-hanging fruit” - and helping make starvation charge the
centerpiece of the ICC arrest warrants.
Yet the ICC
prosecutor’s focus on the rhetoric of Israeli officials raises deeper questions
about the viability of seeking justice for starvation crimes. Would the ICC
have been able to issue arrest warrants if Netanyahu and Gallant had been more
discreet in their public statements? The press release announcing the ICC’s
decision suggests that if Israel’s leadership had avoided explicitly declaring
a starvation siege - regardless of the outcome of the tactic - the charges
might have been confined instead to “command responsibility” for direct attacks
on civilians and crimes against humanity. These in themselves are serious
offenses but perhaps less damaging than the crime of starvation, with its
implication of intent to destroy a civilian group in whole or in part.
A Turning Point?
Given the enormous
political headwinds now facing the ICC, the case against Israel may go nowhere.
Yet the court’s focus on the crime of starvation could have legal ramifications
for other recent and unfolding conflicts. Around the Red Sea and in central
Africa, warring parties continue to use siege tactics and starvation campaigns
largely unimpeded. Following the precedents set in Geneva in 1949, the states
employing these tactics continue to claim that the resulting famines are either
nonexistent, or unintended consequences of lawful actions against enemy
combatants. Although it is unlikely to
help the Palestinians’ plight, the arrest warrants against Israeli leaders
marks a small but important legal watershed, potentially clarifying and even
lowering the threshold needed to prove intent in future prosecutions, whether
in domestic or international courts. The recent arrest of former Philippine
President Rodrigo Duterte in The Hague suggests that such efforts are not
necessarily in vain.
The timing of the
ICC’s decision is important, as it coincided not only with growing alarm over
the threat of mass famine in northern Gaza but also with a critical long-term
shift in global attitudes toward the use of starvation as a weapon. Certainly,
the tactic remains entangled with the strategic priorities of the world’s most
powerful states, with China preparing for a potential strangulation blockade of
Taiwan and the U.S. Department of Defense continuing to accept starvation
sieges as potentially legal methods of warfare against enemy combatants. Since
the late 1990s, however, progressive lawyers, nongovernmental organizations,
and other activist forces have pressed both states and courts to stigmatize
starvation campaigns, and recent conflicts have highlighted their unacceptable
civilian costs.
Now, the ICC case
against Israel - and the implication that even powerful allies of the West
can be held to account - puts these changing global norms to the test. As
major European powers seek to rapidly augment their defense capabilities in a
world where the U.S. defense umbrella is no longer assured, their
governments face a choice: they can either uphold the international principles
they often champion or abandon their claim to moral leadership. Just as
crucially, major states in the global South that have long and rightly
criticized international courts for targeting only non-Western actors and
outright adversaries of the West must now step up.As
major European powers seek to rapidly augment their defense capabilities in a
world where the U.S. defense umbrella is no longer assured, their
governments face a choice: they can either uphold the international principles
they often champion or abandon their claim to moral leadership. Just as
crucially, major states in the global South that have long and rightly
criticized international courts for targeting only non-Western actors and
outright adversaries of the West must now step up. If these states wish to
reclaim the mantle of defending international law, they must back the efforts
of the ICC and the ICJ not just in word but in deed.
Otherwise, the two courts and the international rules they seek to enforce may
be consigned to irrelevance.
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