By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
Putin’s Children
More than two and a
half years after Russian President Vladimir Putin launched his “special
military operation” in Ukraine, the disproportionate effects
on Russian youth have become clear. At home, young people face ubiquitous
indoctrination and greater constraints on their freedom. Many try to distract
themselves from this new reality, not paying too much attention to it; the very
few who express their discontent openly—or do things like trying to set fire to
a military recruitment center—are sometimes punished with harsh prison
sentences despite their young age.
Military service,
which applies to all Russian men between the ages of 18 and 30 who
don’t have an exemption from the army, has become especially fraught. Although
by law conscripts (as opposed to volunteers, contract soldiers, and those who
have been specifically mobilized) cannot end up in a war zone, not everyone now
believe that the military maintains this restriction. In other words, a
fundamental feature of the conflict is that Putin and his aging Politburo are
deciding for the younger generations not only how to live but also how to die.
Observers outside
Russia have often assumed that young Russians are bridling under the Putin
regime and that any real change in the country’s political culture will require
a generational shift in its power structure. These youth never experienced life
in the Soviet Union, the thinking goes, having grown up with open borders and
market capitalism in an era in which individual rights and freedoms were
normalized. If young people could only take the reins of power, everything
would be different.
Members of the Young Army at a memorial for Russian
soldiers killed in combat, in Bakhchisaray, Crimea, May 2023
More than two and a
half years after Russian President Vladimir Putin launched his “special
military operation” in Ukraine, the disproportionate effects on Russian youth
have become clear. At home, young people face ubiquitous indoctrination and
greater constraints on their freedom. Many try to distract themselves from this
new reality, not paying too much attention to it; the very few who express
their discontent openly—or do things like trying to set fire to a military
recruitment center—are sometimes punished with harsh prison sentences despite
their young age.
Military service,
which applies to all Russian men between the ages of 18 and 30 who
don’t have an exemption from the army, has become especially fraught. Although
by law conscripts (as opposed to volunteers, contract soldiers, and those who
have been specifically mobilized) cannot end up in a war zone, not everyone now
believe that the military maintains this restriction. In other words, a
fundamental feature of the conflict is that Putin and his aging Politburo are
deciding for the younger generations not only how to live but also how to die.
Observers outside
Russia have often assumed that young Russians are bridling under the Putin
regime and that any real change in the country’s political culture will require
a generational shift in its power structure. These youth never experienced life
in the Soviet Union, the thinking goes, having grown up with open borders and
market capitalism in an era in which individual rights and freedoms were
normalized. If young people could only take the reins of power, everything
would be different.
The reality is more
complicated. For one thing, young Russians have never known anything other than
Putin: they have not experienced normal democracy or even a qualitatively
different leadership. They have also learned the advantages of conforming.
Along with growing repression, the Putin regime has used an extensive array of
rewards to keep young Russians loyal—including offering special privileges to
those who serve in the army, work in the military-industrial complex, or
otherwise show themselves to be diligently toeing the line. It has also sought
to use patriotic youth movements and social media to shape their attitudes and
build their loyalty.
The cumulative effect
on young people of this mix of brutal repression and aggressive courtship is,
for the moment at least, silence: among Russia’s youth today, there are few
signs of any meaningful currents of resistance. Instead, many of them seem to be
passive or active conformists, seizing upon the opportunities that the
still-present market economy or big enterprises provide for young careerists.
They are sometimes far from the Kremlin’s ideal, for which young people would
consist of obedient workers in the military-industrial complex, soldiers, and
mothers with many children, adherents of traditional values. But even these
archaic prospects do not seem meaningless to many. Although outward behavior
may be only one part of the story, it suggests how great may be the challenge
of breaking with Putinism.
Involuntary Loyalists
The story of Russia’s
youth in the two and a half decades since Putin came to power is in many ways
contradictory. Until about 2018, younger Russians, especially those in the
youngest adult cohort (between the ages of 18 and 24), were generally the most loyal
to the regime, according to survey data collected by the independent Levada
Center. This finding is paradoxical only at first glance. At the beginning of
Putin’s rule, when today’s 20- and 30-year-olds were still at a tender age,
Russia was benefiting from strong economic growth—a result of the market
economy built in the 1990s and high energy prices in the early years of this
century. Thus they grew up in a more comfortable era of booming markets, new
means of communication, open borders, and consumerism.
Yet this generation
was hardly exposed to democracy, which was relentlessly curtailed by the
government. Having become ultramodern consumers, many young Russians—and many
of their older counterparts, as well—never became full-fledged modern citizens.
They did not understand the value of the rotation of power and thus of free
elections: the regime already delivered consumer benefits as it was. Most
Russians' loyalty to the system was evident not in their active support for Putinism but in their indifference to politics.
Schoolchildren taking part in a Russian
military-patriotic program, Sevastopol, Crimea, May 2023
Beginning around 2018, however, there was a noticeable
shift. Russia was becoming more closed, and this was disconcerting for a
generation that had grown up in a modernized and relatively open society. The
very style of the government and of Putin—who began to be called, and not for
endearing reasons, “granddad”—seemed hopelessly outdated. Young people became
more aware of Russia’s shrinking political space and grew more skeptical of the
regime.
The changing
attitudes were also influenced by a new fashion for protest, which took root
among the young. Although the lawyer and activist Alexei
Navalny had been one of the figureheads of the mass protests of 2011–12,
his emergence as opposition leader and inspiration to young people came later
in the decade, when he built an effective organization and began to set the
tone for a new kind of political commitment. More than just a symbol of
Russia’s future, he served as a model of behavior and speech. He spoke in a
modern, informal, youth-friendly language that was very different from the
bureaucratic speech of Putin and the ruling class and he raised problems,
including corruption, that were understandable to many, naming and shaming
specific members of the government.
At the same time, for
young Russians in Moscow, St. Petersburg, and other large cities, the spread of
an advanced capitalist economy and exposure to global cultures and ideas
encouraged a growing diversity of opinions and behavior, including in politics.
This made them more likely to question the values promoted by the state.
For the regime, these
developments were not an immediate threat. Russia’s aging demographics meant
that older generations were more numerous than their younger counterparts; they
also were more likely to vote in elections. More concerning, however, was the
potential for young people to spearhead political activism. After 2018,
sociological research made clear that younger Russians, especially teenagers
and young adults, were thinking differently about the state: they were less
supportive of the government, more unshackled, more open to the world and new
information, and more likely to support the kind of opposition that Navalny
represented.
The Kremlin, now
increasingly authoritarian, could not allow this youth culture to flourish. It
began to compete with the opposition for this new generation by, among other
things, actively indoctrinating with “patriotism,” offering tools for
self-development in youth organizations, and stimulating interest in military
service as a springboard for a future career. And when it couldn’t coax
compliance, it used the fist: the Kremlin’s brutal crackdowns on protests and
free media—which were still active at the time—and the direct tightening of
repression made any protest activity dangerous.
After it began the
“special military operation” in 2022, the regime took these steps further.
Authorities simply blocked or banned independent media, such as Novaya Gazeta,
Meduza, Ekho Moskvy, and TV
Rain, as well as social media platforms such as Facebook and Instagram; in
2024, it also slowed down YouTube. Russians can now access these platforms only
by using virtual private networks. And perversely, the emigration of many of
the most politically active young people has made it easier for Russian authorities
to enforce quiet.
Captive Minds
The war itself has
given the regime new reason to cultivate its youth. Russia needs soldiers, IT
specialists, workers for its military-industrial complex, and an obedient rising
generation that has been indoctrinated in the revanchist and simplified history
propagated in the new textbooks. The Kremlin is now less interested in
targeting older generations with propaganda—state television can handle that. A
significant part of the efforts and power of the state are now being thrown at
their children. The result is that while younger cohorts are not particularly
enthusiastic about the war, they are mostly going along with it.
Consider the legions
of volunteers and contract soldiers who now go to the trenches for money or out
of a false sense of duty to their homeland. In the first half of 2024 alone,
according to official data, 190,000 people signed service contracts; although
the statistics are not broken down by age, and many older men are signing up,
it can be assumed that there are many young people among the volunteers. Since
the summer, regions throughout Russia have been competing to offer the highest
payouts for new enlistees.
In Moscow, the
richest city, someone who voluntarily enlists can now receive up to 5.2 million
rubles in their first year of military service—about $55,000, including a
signing bonus and then a monthly salary of around $2,700. For young adventurers
or even new fathers, that is a lot of money. But the rising scale of payments
also indicates that men are not prepared to sell their bodies cheaply.
Russian soldiers departing for their deployments from
a recruitment center, Rostov region, Russia, May 2024
Schoolchildren and
students have also been co-opted into the war effort. Many are tasked with
weaving camouflage nets and making candles for use in the trenches, for
example. Some Russian high schools are now assembling drones, which means that
kids are learning this particular skill starting around the age of 16. (Putin
recently met with some of them.) Significant are the large youth organizations
that the state has built to unite young people behind the regime. These include
the Yunarmia, or Young Army; the Movement
of the First; and the I’m Proud student clubs, which now include millions of
young and very young Russians.
Young Army was
established two years after the 2014 annexation of Crimea, when Putin’s Kremlin
had already begun its totalitarian turn. The start of the “special military
operation” sharply accelerated this process, with the formation of the Movement
of the First in 2022. Although young Russians are not yet required to join them
like they were in Soviet times, these organizations draw on Soviet models such
as the Young Pioneers and the Little Octobrists,
which aimed to incorporate and indoctrinate all youth.
Complacent Comrades
If Russia’s younger
generation has become a growing presence in the state’s patriotic displays, it
has, for now, noticeably avoided acts of resistance. Young actors, writers, and
artists have remained silent as the state has systematically destroyed the old
theater, the old cinema, and independent literature. They have stood by as
educational and cultural institutions and schools that took years to build are
destroyed or when outstanding professionals who were admired for decades are
stigmatized and persecuted.
Young actors remained
silent in the spring of 2023, when state prosecutors forced the legendary
actress Liya Akhedzhakova, who is 86, to resign from
the once famous Sovremennik Theater, where she had performed for decades, for
speaking out against the war. Nor did they object in July 2024, when the state
imposed harsh six-year prison terms on the stage director Yevgenia Berkovich
and the playwright Svetlana Petriychuk for allegedly
promoting extremism in a play that had won the country’s highest theatrical award
just two years earlier.
The same has been
true in Russia’s professional and economic life. Hardly any young people
employed in state corporations, courts, ministries, or departments dare
disagree with top management about government policies; many put their heads
down and continue to work for the regime, insisting that they are just
following orders.
It is a paradox: at
the start of the war, many young people were murmuring and scratching their
heads in shock; now they are serving the regime. And the longer the war
lasts—the more it seems that what is happening may continue indefinitely—the
more eagerly they seem to serve. Once upon a time, in the heyday of Putinomics, many ambitious young people dreamed of getting
a job at Gazprom, the state energy company, or some similarly powerful firm,
where they could pursue promotions and wealth. This was the economic conformism
of the still relatively peaceful era when the fossil fuel economy reigned
supreme. To get a coveted job today, however, it is no longer enough to be a
good or ordinary professional: it is also necessary to show absolute political
loyalty and sometimes to even show it publicly. As many young people see it, it
is better to shut yourself off from real information and embrace the logic of
learned indifference.
Russian President Vladimir Putin meeting with
participants in the World Youth Festival, near Sochi, Russia, March 2024
Since 2022, Putin has
continued his practice of staging meetings with pleasant young patriots around
the country: nuclear physicists, innovators, defense industry workers,
entrepreneurs, students, and even schoolchildren. In turn, these bright young
people are not at all embarrassed by who they meet. They do not let themselves
think too much about what their president has done to the country and the
world.
Take Judge Yuri
Massin, who handed down the brutal sentences against the director Berkovich and
the playwright Petriychuk. Massin was two years old
in 1985 when Mikhail Gorbachev came to power and began opening up the Soviet
Union. He was nine when the reforms that built the Russian market and finally
fed the country began and 13 when Putin came to power. By the time Putin
returned to power in 2012, after the presidency of his close ally Dmitry
Medvedev, the future Judge Massin was 29 years old. Since his teenage years, he
has been a pure product of Putin’s system. And there are millions of other such
judges, investigators, officials, corporate employees, and simply indifferent
or fiercely loyal young people, many of them not even old enough to remember the
Soviet Union.
Since the fall of
2023, the regime has intervened more directly in the education system, with its
new unified history textbook for high schoolers and its required course on
“Foundations of Russian Statehood” for college students. Even so, some
ideologues close to the regime think this is not enough. Alexander Dugin, the
ultraconservative head of the Ivan Ilyin Higher Political School, an institute
at the Russian State University for the Humanities that was established in
2023, has claimed that most Russian universities follow curricula that were
established under the “direct control” of Russia’s Western enemies in the 1980s
and 1990s. To eradicate this liberal virus, he has called for no less than a
full “militarization of education.”
The Limits Of Repression
For all the worrying
evidence, it is dangerous to generalize about Russia’s youth. There are
millions of wonderful young people in the country who do not accept Putin’s
unnatural policies and who are horrified by the war: they understand that they
are being asked to die for their homeland rather than live for it, that they
are being taught to hate their neighbors rather than be friends with them. They
yearn for a different life. And occasionally, they show real heroism, even when
taking a stand means destroying their prospects—and being sent to the army or
even to prison.
There are even
occasional attempts at civil resistance, showing that collective action is
possible despite a harshly repressive environment. One such episode is
connected with Dugin’s Ivan Ilyin School itself, which is named after a
well-known early-twentieth-century Russian émigré philosopher who held
ultranationalist and even fascist views and whom Putin likes to quote. In April
2024, less than a year after the school’s founding, more than 5,000 people,
primarily students but also outraged intellectuals of different ages,
immediately signed a petition against the school’s name.
When news of the
petition began to spread, the number of signatures quickly leaped to more than
25,000, as people outside the student body of the Russian State University for
the Humanities and those who had no connection with the university joined in. The
response from the university’s rector and Dugin was
predictable and in line with current political mores: they irritably speculated
that the petition had been orchestrated by pro-Ukrainian forces, “foreign
agents,” and supporters of “unfriendly countries.”
Students walking near Moscow State University, Moscow,
September 2024
Although younger Russians
still support the “special military operation,” they do so to a lesser extent
than their older counterparts: in July, for example, the Levada Center found
that 80 percent of respondents who were age 55 or older supported the actions
of the Russian military, whereas only 66 percent of those between the ages of
18 and 24 did. (A full quarter of respondents in the latter category said they
do not support the actions of the military.) Young people in general were also
more in favor of peace talks to end the war—in Levada’s August survey, 64
percent of them said they were, versus the national average of 58 percent.
Cautious generalizations are possible here, but young Russians, just like those
of any generation, clearly have a broad range of views and attitudes. Among
this generation are the beneficiaries of Putinism but
also those who have lost everything, including their freedom.
Here is what is
indisputable: a generational shift in Russia will not automatically change the
political atmosphere in the country or the character of its leadership. That
would be too simple. The transformation that is required goes far deeper than
age. It is about thinking and behavior. It is about the human environment. In
two and a half years of this morass, the regime has brought Russia back to the
habits and mindset of the Stalinist era. But the Putin regime will never be
able to achieve total control of Russia’s younger generations, including those
who are still schoolchildren today.
The most realistic
hope, then, is that many young Russians will learn to do two things
simultaneously: adapt to the rules of the system but still think another way.
Eventually, the external political environment will change, and when that
happens, this widespread double consciousness could allow them to reject the
stifling system they have known. However rosy and distant this scenario seems
now, it is probably more plausible than any simplistic theory of generational
change. One day, it might also lead to the normalization, if not the
democratization, of Russia.
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