By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
Thai-Cambodian War Redux
Thailand launched a
deadly airstrike on Cambodia on Monday, upending a tenuous U.S.-brokered
cease-fire deal signed less than two months ago. With both countries accusing
each other of instigating the latest round of fighting, regional leaders warn
that the decades-long border dispute between the two countries could trigger
widespread instability, particularly as fighting displaces tens of thousands of
civilians on both sides.

People flee from their homes following fighting
between Thailand and Cambodia.
The Thai-Cambodia
conflict dates back to a 1907 map drawn up when Cambodia was under French
colonial rule.
According to the map
(and a 1962 International Court of Justice ruling), Cambodia has sovereignty
over an area of land along the two countries’ border that includes the
1,000-year-old Preah Vihear temple. Thailand, however, disputes this claim,
arguing that the map is inaccurate.

Members of the Thai Red Cross Society treat patients
at an evacuation center.
Thailand’s military
conflict with Cambodia is inflaming nationalist tensions again today, with its
current (2025) Prime Minister sacked at home and threatening embattled leader
Paetongtarn Shinawatra, who had already been suspended as prime minister for her
handling of the border dispute. Tweets supporting the Thai army and air force
were trending on social media platforms X and Facebook in Thailand.

Paetongtarn
Shinawatra was suspended as Thailand's prime minister following a leaked phone call between her and
former Cambodian leader Hun Sen.
On Sunday, the
cease-fire was further strained when the Thai army accused Cambodia of killing
at least one of its soldiers in cross-border fire, prompting retaliatory
attacks. Since then, four Cambodian civilians have been killed and nine others
injured. “If you want the fight to stop, go tell the aggressor,” Thai Prime
Minister Anutin Charnvirakul said on Monday, adding that “Thailand has never
initiated a fight or an invasion, but will never tolerate a violation of its
sovereignty.”
Cambodian Prime
Minister Hun Manet denied breaking the truce, saying that the Thai side fired
first and that Cambodian troops did not retaliate. “Cambodia remains strictly
committed to respecting and implementing the ceasefire agreement,” the
Cambodian Defense Ministry added on X on Monday.

The fighting has
renewed concerns of spillover instability in Southeast Asia. “Our region cannot
afford to see long-standing disputes slip into cycles of confrontation,”
Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim wrote on X. Already, the U.S. embassies
in Thailand and Cambodia have urged Americans to avoid traveling within roughly
30 miles of the Thai-Cambodia border.
But whereas Cambodia
says that it remains committed to the U.S.-negotiated deal, Thailand appears
less optimistic that the agreement can address current concerns. Military
action will continue “until we feel that sovereignty and territorial integrity
are not challenged,” Thai Foreign Minister Sihasak
Phuangketkeow said on Monday, adding that “we’re not really convinced that
the joint declaration is working according to its intention.”
Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul formally dissolved Parliament on Friday
in an effort to head off a threatened no-confidence vote by the opposition
People’s Power Party (PPP), which held a majority of seats. Triggering snap
elections just three months into Anutin’s term raises
the specter of more political turmoil in a country that is already prone to
rapid premiership turnover and currently engaged in deadly clashes with
neighboring Cambodia.
Anutin
announced his intention to dissolve the House of Representatives late Thursday,
writing that he was “returning power to the people.” King Vajiralongkorn
approved the request just hours later. However, critics have argued that the
maneuver was merely a way for Anutin to avoid
impeachment after the PPP accused him of reneging on a promise to dissolve parliament within four months and
organize a constitutional referendum in exchange for the party’s support in
September’s election.

Thailand’s Prime
Minister Anutin Charnvirakul is mobbed by the press
at the government house in Bangkok, Thailand, Friday, Dec. 12, 2025.
Anutin,
though, maintains that he honored the pact, saying: “You voted for me to be the prime
minister and are now saying you do not support me anymore and ask me to
dissolve parliament. I just did what you asked.”
Bangkok must now hold
a snap election within 45 to 60 days. In the meantime, Anutin
will oversee a caretaker government with limited power that lacks the authority
to approve a new budget.
That hasn’t stopped
the Thai leader from continuing to fight Cambodia, though. On Friday, U.S.
President Donald Trump announced that he had spoken to Anutin
and Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet, during which they agreed to end border
hostilities and return to a U.S.-brokered cease-fire deal. But such
promises contradicted a
statement that Anutin made just hours earlier, shortly after their
conversation.
The Thai Prime
Minister announced that, “I explained to President Trump that we are not the
aggressor against Cambodia, but we are retaliating,” Anutin
told reporters. Trump “wants a cease-fire. I told him to tell our friends,” Anutin added, referring to Cambodia. Both countries have
accused each other of being the aggressors in the conflict. Since
fighting broke out on Monday, 8 December, clashes have killed at
least 20 people, injured more than 260 others, and displaced hundreds of
thousands of civilians on both sides.
Thai opposition
leaders have long condemned the ruling party’s handling of ties with Cambodia.
Anutin’s predecessor, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, was removed from office in August
and ultimately resigned as party leader after being found guilty of ethics violations
for taking a deferential tone during negotiations with former Cambodian leader
Hun Sen to address a bout of fighting over the summer.

‘Bullets were flying over my roof’: Mothers in
Cambodia flee to shelters to protect their children
Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul vowed on Dec 13 to continue his
country’s military action against Cambodia, despite earlier claims
by US President Donald Trump that he had brokered a ceasefire between the two
nations.
“Thailand will
continue to perform military actions until we feel no more harm and threats to
our land and people,” Anutin said in a Facebook post.
Bangkok’s joint press centre confirmed that Thai
forces had “retaliated” against Cambodian military targets at 5.50am local
time.
A Thai navy spokesman
said the air force “successfully destroyed” two Cambodian bridges used to
transport weapons to the conflict zone. Cambodian Information Minister Neth Pheaktra said Thai forces had “expanded their attacks to
include civilian infrastructure and Cambodian civilians”.
Royal Thai Air Force
spokesman Chakkrit Thammavichai
said the army was “using high-precision weapons to prevent damage to innocent
civilians”. Earlier in the day, Cambodia had said that Thailand continued
dropping bombs on its territory hours after Trump said the neighbors
had agreed to stop fighting.

The latest clashes
between the Southeast Asian neighbors, which stem from a long-running dispute
over the colonial-era demarcation of their 800km frontier, have displaced
around half a million people on both sides.
Each side had blamed
the other for reigniting the conflict. “OOn Dec 13, 2025, the Thai military
used two F-16 fighter jets to drop seven bombs” on several targets, the
Cambodian defence ministry said in an X post. “Thai
military aircraft have not stopped bombing yet,” it said.
It came after Trump
said on Dec 12 that Thailand and Cambodia had agreed to halt fighting along
their disputed border, which has killed at least 20 people this week.
Fighting raged again
on Dec 12, reported Reuters, with Cambodia accusing Thailand of shelling and
firing machine guns on multiple sites, including near ancient temples, and
sending armoured vehicles into what it called its
territory.
Thai opposition
leaders have long condemned the ruling party’s handling of ties with Cambodia.
Anutin’s predecessor, Paetongtarn Shinawatra, was removed from office in August
and ultimately resigned as party leader after being found guilty of ethics
violations for taking a deferential tone during negotiations with former
Cambodian leader Hun Sen to address a bout of fighting over the summer.
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