By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers

U.S. stock futures plunged Monday after stocks reeled last week on worries that President Donald Trump has ignited a trade war that will lead to higher prices and recession.

Trump announced on Wednesday a 10% tariff on all countries that went into effect over the weekend. Even higher tariffs on a list of specific countries that included many Asian nations are set to start on April 9. China hit back, matching the 34% U.S. tariff with its own on all U.S. imports, while other countries around the world denounced Trump's moves and threatened their own retaliatory tariffs.

The surprisingly aggressive retaliatory tariffs pumled the stock market. The blue-chip Dow posted back-to-back losses of more than 1,500 points

for the first time, including a 2,231-point freefall on Friday. The broad S&P 500 posted its biggest one-day loss on Friday since March 2020, the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, and is edging close to a bear market. A bear market is defined as at least 20% below its recent peak. The tech-heavy Nasdaq entered a bear market.

Even with the stock market drubbing, Trump's administration has stood firm. Trump continues to tell Americans to "hang tough." Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CBS News tariffs would not be postponed. Trasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in a NBC interview 50 countries have approached the administration for negotiation but warned these could take time. Bessent also said he didn't believe tariffs would lead to recession.

Futures on the blue-chip Dow were last -3.75%, broad-market S&P 500 futures dived -4.02%; and tech-heavy Nasdaq plunged -4.36%.

U.S. markets were set to open also sharply lower.

The domestic arm of China’s sovereign wealth fund, Central Huijin Investment, said on Monday that it boosted its holdings in Chinese stocks to “resolutely safeguard” the country’s capital markets.

The move appeared to be a response to a slide in share prices triggered by the Trump administration’s unveiling of sweeping global tariffs last week.

 

If the stock market closes in bear territory – a drop of 20% from a recent peak – it would be the earliest in a new administration a bull market has turned into a bear in the history of the S&P 500, which dates back to 1957.

These same tariffs may also take a booming economy and turn it into a recession.

 

 

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