By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
The Alleged
Enemies Within
In
the wake of its invasion of Ukraine, the Russian government has carried out a large-scale
crackdown against citizens perceived as opposing the war. Russian President
Vladimir Putin made his intentions clear in March, warning that the West “will
try to bet on the so-called fifth column, on traitors—on those who earn their
money here but live over there. Live, not in the geographical sense, but the
sense of their thoughts, their slavish thinking.”
Putin’s rhetoric has been translated into
official policy: dissidents and
independent-minded Russians have been accused of advancing Western interests
and working to undermine Russia from within. Some have been fined, imprisoned,
or tortured. This campaign against supposed traitors has been mounted not only
by the Kremlin’s agents directly but also by ordinary citizens who believe they
are acting patriotically by turning on their neighbors and colleagues. The
playbook is one that leaders use in many countries, identifying and vilifying
domestic groups purportedly working with external enemies to undermine the
national interest—and then inciting the public to target them. These leaders
exploit preexisting prejudices, national security fears, and geopolitical
rivalries to weaken domestic political opponents and boost the cohesion of
“insiders” who support them.
Although
the term “fifth column” wasn’t coined until the 1930s, the practice of
identifying and targeting such threats is a far older
phenomenon and arguably predates the nation-state. For much of
history, governments have mainly dealt clandestinely with fifth columns rather
than trumpet their presence for political gain. In recent years, however, there
has been a notable rise in political rhetoric about fifth columns worldwide.
This increase is attributable to several converging factors: rising
geopolitical instability, which increases the likelihood that countries will
meddle in the internal affairs of their rivals; the spread of nationalism as a common-sense belief, which
reinforces the resonance of fifth-column claims; the electoral
success of populist and ethnonationalism movements that often trumpet such
concerns; and the widespread adoption of social media, which facilitates the
rapid diffusion of fifth-column rhetoric. As long as these trends persist, the
focus on externally backed “enemies within” will intensify. Fifth columns, real
or imagined, will shape not just the internal politics of many countries but
relations among them as they struggle for dominance on the international stage.
Rooted in history
The
suspicion that insiders are undermining the national interest can stem
from an ideology such as Putin’s or from an ethnic,
cultural, or religious identity that marks a group as distinct from the
national majority and therefore suspect. Which of these criteria matters most
has depended on the era’s more considerable anxieties and geopolitical
dynamics.
The
first half of the twentieth century focused on ethnically defined fifth columns
as Europe’s empires began to collapse. Leaders who engaged in
nation-building in emerging states vilified certain groups, often referring to
them as “national minorities,” and promulgated exclusionary policies toward
actual or potential fifth columns. Campaigns of ethnic cleansing and forced
population exchange resulted, including the
Armenian genocide of the 1910s.
War
and threats to territorial integrity heightened concerns over ethnic fifth
columns during this period. The Soviet leader Joseph Stalin orchestrated the
deportation of entire ethnic populations—including the Chechens, the Crimean
Tatars, the Ingush, and the Meskhetian Turks—ostensibly to punish those who, in the words of Stalin’s chief of
the secret police, betrayed the
Motherland, crossed over to the side of the fascist occupiers, [and] joined
the ranks of saboteurs and spies. Following the attack on Pearl Harbor, the
U.S. government undertook the internment of over a hundred thousand
Japanese Americans, even though intelligence reports at the time found no
credible evidence of large-scale espionage or sabotage.
With
the spread of communism, and the intensification of Cold War competition,
ethnically defined fifth columns gave way to ideologically defined ones. In the
Soviet Union, which was racked by fears of “capitalist encirclement,”
Stalin (as quoted in Bloodlands by Timothy Snyder) warned
that his Western adversaries were acting through “wreckers, spies,
saboteurs, and murderers.” In the United States, right-wing politicians accused
government employees of secretly sympathizing with communism and the Soviet
Union. The House Un-American Activities Committee, although initially created
to defend against Nazi infiltration, was invigorated by investigations into the
supposed communist sympathies of civil servants, leftist activists, and
cultural figures. Loyalty oaths for public employees cemented the fifth
column’s threat to national unity in the public’s mind.
With
the end of the Cold War, the focus on
ideology as a basis for fifth-column accusations waned and was superseded by renewed
concern over ethnic and national loyalties. The breakup of the Soviet Union and
Yugoslavia left national minorities stranded amidcontinuedd
efforts by national majorities to consolidate their “own” nation-states. Among
them were the Russian-speaking populations in new post-Soviet states, feared as
a potential cat’s paw for Russian irredentist claims. Krajina
Serbs in Croatia were similarly depicted as fifth-column sympathizers of
the Serbian leader Slobodan Milosevic based on their ethnicity, even though
most of them did not share his views at the time.
This
phase of ethnically driven fifth-column politics was also evident in Asia.
After Uyghur protesters demanded the cessation of the mass immigration of Han Chinese into Xinjiang Province in 1990, China cracked
down on protesters and began painting the Uyghurs
as an ethnic and religious nationalist threat. That framing has survived
to the present, as China has portrayed political violence in Xinjiang as a
product of subversive infiltration by transnational jihadi networks.
Instability and infiltration
The
end of the United States unipolar world
described by Charles Krauthammer in 1990, coupled with the aspirations
of revisionist states, has increased geopolitical instability. Russia has been
a significant source of this instability, invading Georgia and Ukraine twice,
ostensibly on behalf of Russian-speaking separatists or oppressed populations.
Regional powers, such as Brazil, China, India, Japan, Saudi Arabia, South
Africa, and Turkey, have sought to exert influence within unstable regional
orders.
Often,
a sponsor country will support a friendly nationalist
or ethnic group in an adjacent country that aspires for self-determination or
autonomy. In response, politicians in the targeted country may play up the
linkages between these alleged fifth columns and their foreign backers, seeking
to generate support from the national majority. Such dynamics have been evident
in the fraught politics surrounding actual or suspected Iranian help for the
Houthis in Yemen, Saudi support for Sunni militants in Syria, and Chinese
support for “fifth-column units” in Taiwan.
Regional
powers also use fifth-column politics to cultivate local support in
strategically important countries. Western politicians have accused
Russia of supporting ideological allies in several democratic states and China
of similarly buying the loyalty of politicians in Australia, Canada, and the
United States. Earlier this year, U.S. FBI Director Christopher Wray warned
that pro-China elected officials in the United States will “be called on to do
Beijing’s bidding when their power and influence grow.” Status-quo powers,
including the United States, engage in similar activities by supporting
pro-Western global movements.
A populist opportunity
Leaders
have also used fifth-column appeals to capitalize on rising domestic
ethnonationalism. Right-wing politicians often play on ethnic and cultural
resentments, using the specter of the disloyalty of particular domestic groups
as the basis for populist political movements. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban exemplified this
approach when he portrayed the financier and philanthropist George Soros as the leader of a fifth column in
campaigns that played on anti-Semitic stereotypes. Other far-right politicians
and parties in Europe have depicted Muslim citizens as threats to Christian
civilization, and conservative politicians in the United States have used
similar rhetoric about Muslim Americans. Populist appeals that have
succeeded in one country have been readily adopted by politicians in others,
responding to similar anti-elite sentiments and cultural grievances.
Beyond
ideological and ethnic criteria, fifth-column rhetoric also targets groups
based on new forms of difference. Homosexuality has increasingly been linked to
the infiltration of Western values, and LGBTQ identity has been seen as a form
of fifth-column activity. In Poland, the ruling Law and Justice party’s
presidential candidate compared what he called “LGBT ideology” to communism,
and in China, gay people have been labeled “agents of foreign influence.”
Yet
another framing for fifth-column accusations is the supposed fealty of
politicians to supranational institutions at the expense of national interests.
In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, opposition
parties and movements in Europe saw an opportunity to delegitimize the ruling
parties willing to negotiate loan agreements with external actors
such as the International Monetary Fund.
Accusations of disloyalty were articulated by both left- and right-leaning
populist movements. And they went beyond dividing society into “pure” patriotic
citizens and a “corrupt” elite, as populist movements often do, successfully
linking that elite to specific, presumably malevolent, external actors such as the IMF, Germany, and the European Union.
It
was on these grounds that former Greek Prime Minister
Alexis Tsipras attacked parties that had voted for two bailout agreements
and other austerity policies before his Coalition of the Radical Left came to
power: “We should never forget that the enemy is not just in Berlin, Brussels
or Washington. The enemy, maybe the harshest one, is also within our borders,”
he said in a speech in 2015. Such fiery allegations had lost their force by the
end of his term as prime minister in 2019, especially after his coalition voted
for a third bailout agreement. But the notion that political elites had
colluded with the European Commission in Brussels or the IMF in Washington,
turning Greece into a debt colony,
as prominent members of Tsipras’s party put it, continued to be articulated by
parties on both the left and the right. Fifth-column accusations linking
domestic elites to “globalists” and international finance, often with
anti-Semitic overtones, outlasted the financial crisis and have buoyed populist
politicians around the world.
How dangerous ideas spread
The
diffusion of ideas worldwide was once thought to benefit democracy, as
movements and leaders emulated pro-democratic successes elsewhere. But the
primary beneficiaries of this learning process in recent years appear to be populist,
ethnonationalism, and authoritarian forces. Strongmen such as Putin, Erdogan,
and Orban have shown how employing fifth-column
rhetoric can produce electoral success and unify majoritarian coalitions around
perceived cultural and security threats. Such appeals have spread far and wide
thanks to social media. It is little wonder that parties in long-standing
democracies have adopted similar tactics. Far-right parties in France depict
Islam and Muslims as an existential threat to the French way of life. In the
United States, the so-called replacement theory, which posits that elites
(often precisely, Jews) deliberately promote immigration from the “Global
South” to dilute the political power of white Americans, has proliferated on
the right and appears to be increasingly mainstream.
Such rhetoric is likely to flourish in the coming election cycles. It
will have important policy implications. Domestically, the feared presence of
fifth columns could further erode trust between various ethnic, social, and partisan
groups, amplifying polarization and undermining national cohesion. Where such
claims become widespread, societies are likely to become more fragile,
vulnerable to external meddling, and prone to violence.
Internationally,
the belief that some countries seek to aid or “activate” friendly foreign
groups to undermine their adversaries can become a self-fulfilling prophecy,
pushing persecuted groups to seek external protection from their governments.
Overly solicitous rhetoric or support by external actors for supposed fifth
columns can heighten the perceived threat in targeted countries, increasing the
likelihood of interstate conflict. In the extreme, the reciprocal abuse of
vulnerable groups by warring nations can lead to ethnic cleansing, as it did in
Greece and Turkey at the beginning of the last century and in Bosnia and Serbia at the end of it.
Here to stay
If
current trends continue, fifth-column politics will become a defining feature
of geopolitics, diplomacy, and domestic politics. Scholars and conflict
resolution practitioners must learn to recognize the signs of campaigns against
purported fifth columns when they appear and understand how internal
polarization and international security crises can converge with dire
consequences. And just as cynical politicians understand that accusing
marginalized groups of disloyalty can initiate a cycle of alienation and
aggression, well-intentioned policymakers must be cognizant of how their
rhetoric about security may inadvertently exacerbate suspicions toward
unassimilated or ostracized populations.
International
organizations should implement early warning systems tracking fifth-column
accusations and cultivate relationships with local civil society groups.
Discourse or policies that seek to stoke fifth-column tensions should spur international
collective action by shaming or sanctions. As inflammatory political rhetoric
is intended to provoke a reaction from an accused fifth column, exposing this
strategy and pushing back against these narratives through local media
campaigns may make such provocations easier to resist.
However,
the forces driving fifth-column politics are powerful and will not subside
until political polarization and income likely to happen by social media
abate—none likely to happen soon. In an age of uncertainty and fragmentation,
the fifth column will no longer be confined to the dark corners of the
nationalist imagination. They will be front and center in domestic and global
politics.
For updates click hompage here