By Eric Vandenbroeck and co-workers
The annual assessment
released Wednesday warns of possible threats from violent extremists driven
by the heated political environment in the US as well as foreign and domestic
threats from terrorist groups and others inspired by conflicts abroad. It
also comes amid a wider conflict in the Middle East after Israel
assassinated Hezbollah
chief Hassan Nasrallah and
began a ground
offensive in Lebanon. Iran
retaliated on Tuesday by launching nearly 200 missiles at Israel.
A senior DHS official
told reporters Wednesday that the department is still working to figure out
what Iran’s escalatory attack on Israel in recent days could mean for US
security.
“It’s of course true
that events in the Middle East over the last 12 months have contributed to this
heightened threat environment and continue to do so, and we’re in a constant
effort to evaluate and monitor what’s happening abroad to determine what implications
it has for here in the homeland,” the official said.
The official also
noted that the attack from Iran, paired with the one-year anniversary
of Hamas’ October 7 attack on Israel last year, could “drive
particular violent extremists here in the homeland to accelerate or look to
take action on a timeline that may not have been anticipated.”
“We are literally in
the earliest days of trying to understand what exactly Iranian intentions might
be,” the official said.
Some of those
intentions of Iran and other countries, according to officials and the report
itself, are to sow confusion and chaos in the US 2024 presidential election.
“China, Iran, and
Russia will use a blend of subversive, undeclared, criminal, and coercive
tactics to seek new opportunities to undermine confidence in US democratic
institutions and domestic social cohesion,” the report warns.
Threats to elections,
according to the department’s report, manifest in a variety of ways, including
misinformation from foreign actors attempting to confuse voters about when and
where they should go to place their vote.
On the cyber front, US officials expect Chinese
government-backed hackers to continue their efforts to burrow into critical US
computer networks for leverage in the event of a conflict with the United
States.
Jews in the United States
One of the threats is that towards Jews in the United
States tripled in the one year since the deadly October
7 terrorist attack on Israel by Hamas.
More than 10,000 antisemitic incidents occurred
between October 7, 2023, and September 2024 – up from 3,325 incidents the prior
year. That marks the most incidents recorded in 12 months by the organization
since it began tracking threats in 1979.
Since last October’s
terrorist attack, “Jewish Americans haven’t had a single moment of
respite.”
The new preliminary figures released ahead of an
upcoming full report by the organization come as police agencies across the
country have ramped up patrols around Jewish and Muslim institutions
as a precaution in response to the escalating conflict in the Middle East,
Monday’s October 7 anniversary and the Jewish High Holidays.
In April, the Council on
American-Islamic Relations said it had received 8,061 reports of anti-Muslim
bias in 2023, the
highest number in the 28 years the group has tracked hate.
ADL’s threat figures included
more than 150 incidents of physical assault, more than 1,840 acts of vandalism,
and more than 8,000 antisemitic incidents involving verbal or written
harassment.
The organization
noted at least 1,200 antisemitic incidents occurred on US college campuses over
the past year, representing a 500% spike from the previous year’s data in the
same category.
Palestinian Flag Raised At Harvard:
US colleges and universities
became a flash point earlier this year after thousands of protesters took
to campuses from coast to coast to demonstrate in support of Palestinians
facing bombardment from Israel’s military response to the October 7 terror
attack.
According to the FBI,
which enforces federal hate crime laws and collects statistics on acts of
violence, threats to Jews in the U.S. far exceed any other category of crimes
based on religion.
The Jewish community is uniquely – uniquely – targeted
by pretty much every terrorist organization across the spectrum,” said FBI
Director Christopher Wrayi in testimony before
Congress
“And when you look at a group that makes up 2.4%,
roughly, of the American population,” Wray said, “it should be jarring to
everyone that that same population accounts for something like 60% of all
religious-based hate crimes.”
In a joint announcement, the FBI and DHS said:
“Jewish, Muslim, or Arab institutions — including synagogues, mosques/Islamic
centers, and community centers — and large public gatherings, such as
memorials, vigils, or other lawful demonstrations, present attractive targets
for violent attacks or hoax threats by a variety of threat actors, including
violent extremists and hate crime perpetrators.”
The agencies assessed that foreign terrorist
organizations will likely continue to “exploit narratives” surrounding
hostilities involving Israel, Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran, to incite lone
attackers toward violence in the US.
Despite talk of a
unity government, Palestinian leadership is as bitterly divided as it has been
for decades.
Following a brief
conflict in 2007, the Palestinian Authority split into two. The secular Fatah
party, led by Mahmoud Abbas, controlled the authority in the West Bank, while
its Islamist rival, Hamas, governed in Gaza.
The Palestinian Side
Despite talk of a
unity government, Palestinian leadership is as bitterly divided as it has been
for decades.
Following a brief conflict in 2007, the Palestinian
Authority split into two. The secular Fatah party, led by Mahmoud Abbas,
controlled the authority in the West Bank, while its Islamist rival, Hamas,
governed in Gaza.
Since then, Palestinian representatives have
held over a dozen
reconciliation talks to
try to bridge the divide, the last taking place in Beijing in July 2024. While
several of these meetings have yielded joint agreements, such as the recent
“Beijing Declaration,” none have led to the different factions working more
closely together.
The current Palestinian Authority president,
88-year-old Abbas, is especially unpopular. First elected in 2005 to a
four-year term, he unilaterally extended his
term in 2009,
declaring he would remain in office until the next election. But he has not
allowed elections to
be held since then. Summing up the views of many, analyst Khaled Elgindy described
Abbas today as “an erratic and small-minded authoritarian with a virtually
unbroken record of failure.”
That helps explain why, according to a September 2024 poll conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy
and Survey Research, 84% of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip want
Abbas to resign.
When asked about a hypothetical presidential election
between the leaders of both Hamas and Fatah, 45% of Palestinians reported they would rather just sit out the election. The
question had to be hypothetical – elections are not even on the horizon. In
fact, Palestinians in the West Bank or Gaza have not voted in presidential or
legislative elections since 2006. And three-quarters of Palestinians see no prospect of elections taking place any time soon.
With no elections in
sight, Palestinians have undertaken several grassroots initiatives to try to
enact democratic reforms from the ground up.
For example, in
November 2022, a Palestinian
Popular Conference was
held in several cities. It called for reforming Palestinian institutions to be
more democratically representative of the 14 million Palestinians living around
the world. Meetings were held in Gaza and Haifa, and Palestinians from around
the world joined in person and virtually.
But Palestinian Authority forces in the West
Bank violently
cracked down on
the gathering in Ramallah and detained
several conference leaders.
The harsh repression signaled to many that Abbas and the Palestinian Authority
were scared of an alternative, democratically elected Palestinian leadership
emerging.
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